The latest fortnightly Newspoll, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor extending its two-party lead from 53-47 to 54-46. The primary votes are Coalition 36% (down one), Labor 39% (steady), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (up two). Both leaders’ personal ratings have improved slightly, with Scott Morrison up one on approval to 43% and down three on disapproval to 45%, and Bill Shorten up one to 36% and down two to 51%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 43-36, in from 44-35. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1610.
Nicholas.
Found an article on the guy. Mr Yang.
http://time.com/5528621/andrew-yang-universal-basic-income/
Sorry William. I struggle to walk and chew.
I like your view of the AEC matter and approve of that sort of commissioner. I hope my cynical angel comes back to me soon.
BW @5:16
“The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers are basically the Nats without the mining lobby attached.”
Maybe they could call themselves the “Country Party”. After all, if Clive can resurrect the UAP…
PuffyTMD
I take your point, but what Alberici would know is that Australian savings have been spent over the past five years.
‘Steve777 says:
Monday, March 11, 2019 at 5:47 pm
BW @5:16
“The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers are basically the Nats without the mining lobby attached.”
Maybe they could call themselves the “Country Party”. After all, if Clive can resurrect the UAP…’
The pre-Joyce version of the Nationals had a certain sense of noblesse oblige and a certain courtliness about their behaviour. They also understood that a successful Coalition meant that they had to allow the Liberals space to respond to city stuff.
The Shooters, Fishers and Farmers have no such compunctions.
Boerwar @ #698 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 4:46 pm
All sale, no product.
I’m sorry, but anyone who thinks MikMac misspoke and didn’t realise what he was saying is kidding themselves.
“Yeah, it’s like I always wondered why Bernie Sanders, if he thinks he has all the answers for America, didn’t run for President when he was like, a younger man?”
It seems to take most of a lifetime to get a shot at being USA President. You have to be 35 years old to even nominate, and climbing the pole, getting the name recognition and backing is not done overnight. And when you are younger there are far more experienced candidates who have all of the former to compete with for candidacy. Plus it would take half a lifetime, or generations, to gather the friends, influence, favours and trades, and dirt files, to run for President. Plus resources. The political and monetary resources used to be controlled and to a great extent still are, by the older set.
Boerwar @ #698 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 4:46 pm
Morrison is a used-car salesman.
_____________________
True. But I could imagine quite a few of our politicians in that role. I can just see Bill waddling out of the office with that smile, about to hit me up with a few extras like a special warranty, a coating or leather seats.
Ive just tuned back in. McCormack has gone from a person no one knows to a savage in about 3 seconds flat. I wish that Joyce and McCormack spend the next months taking pot shots at each other.
Puffy,
Or you are Barack Obama. 🙂
Boerwar @ #704 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 5:18 pm
They have spent their debt limit too. Hence the popularity of payday loans. Except for pokies addicts, there should be no need for payday loans in Australia.
The only things left are flashing a leg on the main strip or selling body parts.
nath @ #708 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 5:55 pm
At least he wouldn’t be offering to sell you a bogged-up car.
NSW Treasurer Perrotet ‘under fire’ for failing to declare donation (in 2011?) from law firm he used to work for and now receives big government contracts.
Ch 10 news leading item.
Oh, and federal Government in crisis over Barnaby etc.
Morrison is a used-car salesman.
_______
And not a very good one at that!
The Coalition parties are the political wing of big business. The Nationals represent big business which is done outside the big metropolitan areas – mostly mining and agribusiness. The “Liberals” represent big business done in cities.
They claim to represent the little guy, small business and workers, often in contrast to ‘elites’. In the case of the nationals, they claim to represent smaller farmers and workers and small business outside big cities. Nothing could be further from the truth. They just need to round up enough little guys to make up the numbers on Election Day.
This is the full list of guesses of the next Essential poll. The last few Essential reports have come out mid to late morning on Tuesday, but I think it’s a good idea if I post these lists at a consistent time of day, like now.
PB-Guess: Essential 2019-03-12
PB mode: ALP 53.0 to 47.0 LNP
PB mean: ALP 53.8 to 46.2 LNP
PB median: ALP 54.0 to 46.0 LNP
No. Of PB Respondents: 58
ALP / LNP
54 / 46 (?)andy Murray
53 / 47 a r
53 / 47 Al Pal
54 / 46 Andrew_Earlwood
56 / 44 autocrat
55 / 45 BK
54 / 46 briefly
53 / 47 Burgey
53 / 47 chinda63
53 / 47 Confessions
55 / 45 d-money
54.9182736 / 45.0817264 Dan Gulberry
54 / 46 Davidwh
55 / 45 Dog’s Breakfast
51 / 49 Douglas and Milko
54 / 46 EB *permanent
54 / 46 Fozzie Logic
53 / 47 Frednk *permanent
55 / 45 Fulvio Sammut
54 / 46 Goll
53 / 47 grimace
54 / 46 Harry “Snapper” Organs
53 / 47 imacca
53 / 47 j341983
57 / 43 KayJay – all next polls
54 / 46 klasib
54 / 46 Late Riser
53 / 47 Lynchpin
55 / 45 martini henry
54 / 46 Matt31
53 / 47 Mavis Davis
53 / 47 max
54 / 46 Michael A
55 / 45 OH
54 / 46 Outside Left
53 / 47 pica
54 / 46 Player One
54 / 46 poroti
53 / 47 Prolo
54 / 46 Puffytmd
53 / 47 Quasar *perpetuity
55 / 45 Question
53 / 47 Red13
53 / 47 Scott
53 / 47 SilentMajority
56 / 44 Simon² Katich® *eternal
52 / 48 Smokey
54 / 46 Socrates
54 / 46 Sohar
53 / 47 sonar
53 / 47 steve davis
53 / 47 Steve777
55 / 45 The real Dave
53 / 47 The Silver Bodgie
54 / 46 Wayne
54 / 46 Whisper
53 / 47 Yabba
53 / 47 Zoidlord
I’d buy a used car from Arfur Daley before I’d buy one from Scott Morrison.
C@tmomma @ #711 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 5:27 pm
Yeah, but he was The One. I just wish he had had a Dem parliament.
Someone should try this with a few of our politicians and those promoting seismic exploration of the Great Australian Bight:
https://www.theage.com.au/world/north-america/trump-official-who-says-air-gun-tests-don-t-hurt-whales-blasted-with-air-horn-20190311-p513aa.html
Coalition now favourite with Ladbrokes – $1.80 to $2.00.
It will be interesting to see where it goes from here. I well recall that in 2010 Abbott was $1.30 in the early stages of the negotiations with the Indies. Gave me a very bad feeling at the time.
LR
57/43
That’s in NSW of course.
“The world is your lobster.”
But for Morrison…
“You make contact with your customer. Understand their needs. And then flog them something they could well do without.”
I wouldn’t buy a used car from Scummo if I was walking along the Birdsville track with a hundred grand in my pocket and he offered me a Toyota Landcruiser 4wd with 100 kms on the clock for $10.
Yep, put me down for Essential 55-45.
I thought at first i would live dangerously and say 56-44 but I will save that for next time, or next Newspoll.
Oh noes! The law firm Perrottet worked for declared the donation and DP didn’t! 😆
In December Berejiklian ruled out a preferences deal with SFFP citing the reason the party wants to lower the age at which a child can obtain a minor’s gun permit. Daley has not ruled out a preference deal with SFF afaik but has ruled out a preference deal with the ONP. Will NSW Labor be preferencing SFFP?
A woman on The Drum keeps insisting that Morrison is doing well and increasing the Lib vote. Really???
No, not really at all. There must be some kind of reward for sticking to the talking points.
Or, since early voting has already started is NSW Labor preferencing the SSFP anywhere?
Ladbrokes has moved to a similar position to what Sportsbet has been for a week or so – whatever that means. Perhaps the latest revelation about Perrotet (me at 5.59) might have an influence on the election.
Do it! It is wild and crazy out here in the 56 club. Join us and be merry!
Yeah, a bit.
https://twitter.com/benraue/status/1104895642281730048
You’re encouraged to discuss the NSW election on the NSW election thread:
https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/03/11/new-south-wales-election-minus-twelve-days/
Even the SmearStralian is getting leary of the value of ScoMoFaux…
“Morrison did make up for his no-speaks today with Berejiklian by his side. Yet curiously this joint appearance was not flagged by Berejiklian’s office with an emailed alert like most others, including an earlier solo effort at Padstow. Media learned about St Marys mainly from Morrison’s side, with Berejiklian’s team confirming on request.
The purpose of this high-powered team-up, or so it seemed, was to remind voters that a Liberal federal-state partnership would not only spend billions building a second airport in Sydney’s west by 2026 – but open a new connecting rail line at the same time.
Then it was all defensive as Morrison acknowledged “plenty of distractions” in recent weeks: “You know, one of the things that you do when you lead a government, and Gladys knows this very well, is that you’re never distracted . . .
Berejiklian: “Hmmm.”
Morrison: . . . by the noise. You’re just focused on the work you’re doing for the people you work for, which in Gladys’s case, is the people of NSW, and for me it’s all Australians.
It was helpful to know. Berejiklian chimed in. “I’m working my guts out for eight million citizens, and of course the Prime Minister is focusing on the nation, and that’s what we’re elected to do,” she said.
This performance in Labor heartland – just 100 metres from the electorate office of local NSW MP Prue Car – was never likely to be a Laurel and Hardy routine. But why appear with so little to say?”
https://outline.com/3LYVaZ
Simon² Katich® @ #732 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 5:17 pm
You’re on your own. But there are a couple of 57s you could hang with. 🙂
Thanks Mr Bowe.
Will do.
The 56 club is where its at. We walk down the hall faster than a cannonball. We get caught beneath landslides. It is a never ending champagne supernova here!
Right after I finish helping my kid with her lume bands.
Studio 54 (-46) is the place to be. Hang out with Mick,Jerry, Elton etc.
William Bowe @ #733 Monday, March 11th, 2019 – 6:19 pm
Because, belying their party’s name, the SFFs are actually rational when it comes to discussing Upper House matters with. Unlike PHON they don’t want to destroy the Post War Australian national construct in exchange for their votes.
Ah, just caught a bit of Credlin. Can’t remember who the journo was (Sheridan?) but he gave the obligatory Newspoll spin.
Apparently all these Newspolls are bad for Labor because they show that Labor is ‘stuck’ on a primary of 39% and ON have gone up 2% so that means everyone who is disaffected with the Liberals are voting for minor parties or indies, so that means we could end up with a hung Parliament.
Julian Burnside’s $200,000 target for donations has been exceeded.
@ sprocket_
Sounds like Morrison is as popular as a fart in an elevator with Gladys B.
Being the shy retiring polling estimation type that I am, this is where you’ll find me:
https://youtu.be/62eTq8ErUOQ
😉
An early one from Cathy Wilcox!
And David Rowe doesn’t disappoint.
McCormack’s meal and Joyce’s eyes are worth looking at.
Sheridan is dreaming. Labor will get enough preferences for an easy win.