The latest fortnightly Newspoll, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor extending its two-party lead from 53-47 to 54-46. The primary votes are Coalition 36% (down one), Labor 39% (steady), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (up two). Both leaders’ personal ratings have improved slightly, with Scott Morrison up one on approval to 43% and down three on disapproval to 45%, and Bill Shorten up one to 36% and down two to 51%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 43-36, in from 44-35. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1610.
Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor
Modest shifts on the primary vote cause Newspoll’s two-party meter to tick in favour of Labor.
Is this Morrispin’s first negative approval rating?
#Dadmentum!
Well done Labor
This one is for Rex and nth
https://mobile.twitter.com/TheAviator1992/status/1104692605667835904/photo/1
Great minds C@t!
I’ll be happy when we can all relax and enjoy life again, after the Coalition era is over.
Nice zinger from Dee Madigan. Lib guy advising that you can’t read too much into a single poll result. She cut in to say “You’ve had 50 of them” 🙂
I was wondering if anyone was believing the Scummo lies. Apparently not.
The budget better be good.
Newspoll is becoming very sticky isn’t it?
The list of people being ignored: Murdoch,Benson,Kenny,Shanahan,Kelly,Sloan,Gottliebsen,Hadley,Jones,Price,Bolt,
Murray,Helicopter,Credlin,Dean,Cameron,Abbott,Dutton,Morrison,McCormack,
Joyce and many more.
Its a beautiful thing.
As per the previous thread, well done to those who went for the 54-46…………….not me, but happy for those who did…………………..
davidwh:
Seeing as the coalition have no economic policies that benefit the country, I’m betting the budget is going to be more of the same tripe they’ve served up to us the last 5 years. 🙂
davidwh @ #8 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 9:53 pm
Are you looking forward to being showered with money? 🙂
Yes Fess. Looks like it going to stay around these numbers until the election. Big win for Labor coming up in May.
poroti @ #6 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 9:53 pm
I bet the Lib guy was Terry Barnes. He’s the eternal optimist for the Coalition spinning brigade.
The full list of guesses.
PB-Guess: Newspoll 2019-03-10
Actual: ALP 54 to 46 LNP
PB mean: ALP 54.3 to 45.7 LNP
PB median: ALP 54.0 to 46.0 LNP
No. Of PB Respondents: 77
ALP / LNP
54 / 46 (?)andy Murray
53 / 47 a r
52 / 48 Al Pal
53 / 47 Andrew_Earlwood
56 / 44 bilko
52 / 48 BK
54 / 46 booleanbach
54 / 46 briefly
54 / 46 bug1
53 / 47 Burgey
54 / 46 Catprog
53 / 47 chinda63
53 / 47 Confessions
55 / 45 d-money
98 / 2 Dan Gulberry
55 / 45 Davidwh
55 / 45 Dog’s Breakfast
52 / 48 Douglas and Milko
54 / 46 EB *permanent
57 / 43 evatt
54 / 46 Fozzie Logic
53 / 47 Frednk *permanent
55 / 45 Fulvio Sammut
57 / 43 Gecko
55 / 45 Goll
52 / 48 grimace
54 / 46 Harry “Snapper” Organs
53 / 47 Henry
53 / 47 imacca
53 / 47 It’s Time
54 / 46 j341983
57 / 43 KayJay – all next polls
54 / 46 klasib
53 / 47 Late Riser
54 / 46 Lynchpin
52 / 48 Marcos De Feilittt
55 / 45 martini henry
54 / 46 Matt31
53 / 47 Mavis Davis
53 / 47 max
54 / 46 Michael A
54 / 46 Mundo
55 / 45 OH
54 / 46 Onebobsworth *cheat
54 / 46 Outside Left
53 / 47 pica
53 / 47 Player One
54 / 46 poroti
53 / 47 Prolo
55 / 45 Puffytmd
53 / 47 Quasar *perpetuity
55 / 45 Question
53 / 47 Red13
56 / 44 Rex Douglas
54 / 46 rhwombat
55 / 45 Scott
53 / 47 SilentMajority
56 / 44 Simon² Katich® *eternal
51 / 49 Smokey
50 / 50 Sprocket_
53 / 47 Socrates
55 / 45 Sohar
53 / 47 sonar
53 / 47 steve davis
53 / 47 Steve777
53 / 47 sustainable future
54 / 46 The real Dave
53 / 47 The Silver Bodgie
55 / 45 Tom
53 / 47 Tricot
52 / 48 Tristo
54 / 46 Upnorth
53 / 47 Victoria
53 / 47 Wayne
54 / 46 Whisper
54 / 46 Yabba
53 / 47 Zoidlord
C@t being a self-funded retiree I don’t think I can look forward to any benefits for the next few years.
I had 53/47. Happy with this result!
Nice zinger from Dee Madigan. Lib guy advising that you can’t read too much into a single poll result. She cut in to say “You’ve had 50 of them”
I aren’t a psephologist, and skipped statistics in maths but you could argue 50 consecutive polls is a trend.
Is 50 negative polls a big record?
Unless Morrison brings in a budget that says no one will ever pay any tax ever again………. and the budget will be in surplus forever….. and the numbers all add up……he is toast.
C@t, apparently Craig Kelly is on SkyFoxNews, and said the ‘only one poll’
And no wonder GladysB wanted no part of Scotty talking at her launch today
How’s the ‘rapist/ murderer refugees will overrun the hospitals and the country’ narrative going?
Maybe ScoMo should crank it up a bit more (as I have seen some RWNJ suggest)?
Nice to see my 53-47 prediction wrong on the right side.
Is this 50 consecutive negative Newspoll results for the coalition? That is some trend my friend!!
C@tmomma
Nah, Mr Coal Kelly busy pushing coal in between trying to claim they are in with a real chance.
I think its more like 56-44. I still think in all polls the Labor vote is underestimated by 2 pts.
Sorry make that additional benefits. My pension fund is tax free and at least Shorten isn’t changing that …: yet.
When Parliament next meets, can the majority override both 1. spending on Christmas Island Prison re-opening and 2. require medical treatment on mainland?
Will the next newspoll be 3 weeks to be with the next sitting week?
And LR wouldn’t let me pic the “PB median”.. meany!
They’re gonna need a bigger budget.
Dan, believe it or not, the incoming Labor government when it sacks the NBNco board and starts investigating the fraud that has gone on, will have no choice but to scrap FTTN and replace, as quickly as technically possible. There is no way FTTN remaining for the next 20 years is a plausible scenario.
Roger,
It wouldn’t surprise me, especially with the NSW election in 2 weeks.
Governments hardly ever get a bounce on a budget. They’re toast.
I was being cynical Steve.
Good news: after 5 months from application of a pretty straight forward case the Capitalist Profiteer Company running centrelink has awarded me my part aged pension, with a five month back pay.
I so wish we had the terrible market stultifying semi-socialist system we had in the ’80’s when it would have taken two weeks!!
But neither major party really supports public ownership anymore.
I’ve just added the Newspoll result to BludgerTrack (voting intention numbers only). Hasn’t made much difference.
Cud Chewer @ #34 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 7:06 pm
I hope you’re right, however given all the messes Labor has to clean up this one may be low down the list of priorities. As I said, I hope I’m wrong but only time will tell.
Morrison will obviously continue with boats and the surplus. What else, coal power stations for the ‘base’?
The cover of the Australian yesterday had an article on more, larger tax cuts.
How good is alphabetical domination of the winners list, you ask?
Very good, thank you.
Cud Chewer @ #33 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 7:06 pm
Do you really think this will happen? I’m kind of with Dan G on this; Labor has so many problems left to it by the coalition, that broadband is down the list in terms of priority.
William, solid incremental movement is enough … slow and steady and all that!
I imagine William, the latest result just confirms the existing trend.
Looks great for Labor now, but beware the wounded Pentecostal.. he will speak in tongues even worse now. .
I got it right at 54/46 and I think its going to stay around that till the election. 90 seats is doable now. Go get this mess of a Government out of our sight Bill-
Cat i took will relax after this mess is over – for a few years at least we wont have a…holes running the country 😀
PS THANKS TO LATE RISER FOR RUNNING THE POLL AGAIN
Morrison & Dutton must be very tempted right now to let it be known to the people smugglers that Christmas Island is open for business.
In recent years the “traditional” polling movements have been defied by reality.
Perhaps this year ‘the narrowing’ that is always touted, might not happen. The by-elections and Vic showed the opposite. We can always hope that the libs cop an absolute pasting and need to rebuild from the ground up — it will make for a ‘healthier’ political landscape if the rabid partisanship can be wound back.
Abbott and Pyne were instrumental in destroying the political discourse. Pyne is going and Abbott might be also. The Duttons and Craig Kelly’s need to be booted too. The Murdoch influence is waning. If the Libs became more Liberal, we might be in for a more balanced discourse.
And of course – an ICAC will help.
Think Scott should stay out the limelight for awhile and see what happens but he can’t help himself. He would honestly believe that God will save the day.
He is channeling Trump by doing something everyday irrespective whether it is good or not. The only issue is, we aren’t the USA.
EB
“I got it right at 54/46 and I think its going to stay around that till the election. 90 seats is doable now. Go get this mess of a Government out of our sight Bill-”
—–
I know, far to early to claim victory, but I chose 91 seats to Labour in the Contest some time ago!!!!