Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s hitherto surging personal ratings take a turn for the worse, as both sides lose ground on the primary vote and two-party preferred remains as was.

The latest Newspoll, courtesy of The Australian, is the fourth in a row to show Labor leading 51-49 on two-party preferred, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (down two), Labor 35% (down one), Greens 10% (steady) and One Nation 9% (up two). Malcolm Turnbull’s previously surging personal ratings have collapsed – he is down six on approval 36% and up seven on disapproval to 55%, and his lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister has narrowed from 48-29 to 44-32. Bill Shorten is steady on 32% approval, and down one on disapproval to 56%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

764 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

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  1. lizzie,

    The BAU forecast for wholesale energy prices that they will decline considerably over the next 2-5 years, as the current pipeline of renewables comes on line.

  2. Shorten_Suite ‏ @Shorten_Suite · 10m10 minutes ago

    Imagine being Prime Minister of Australia and taking the time to count and memorise the individual votes in a by-election that you already lost.

    Sad.

  3. This is really good from Amy Remeikis after Greg Hunt’s answer to Susan Lamb’s question:

    A brief history on Greg Hunt’s delightful “tissue of lies”:

    Apparently, you have to use the days of yore use of tissue – or tyssu, as you will – which meant: ‘an intricately woven ornamental cloth’

    By the 18th century it had begun to be thrown around to mean “the intermingling of characteristics, usually of a bad kind, and by January 1800 it was in the Monthly Review in this context:

    The ingenuity and cunning of politicians are not infrequently employed to conceal or misinterpret facts; and venal writers are easily found, ready to construct a tissue of lies to serve the purposes of their employers.

    Which could have been written today.

    🙂

  4. “Any sane independent intelligent journalist should destroy that comment and the politician that made it.”
    We are talking about Katharine Murphy, so best to leave it at that.

  5. Zoidy
    You said baldy what I was hinting at. I should just scroll by. I AM On my phone otherwise I woulwould not have seen it.

  6. Did Friedburger explain anything? Malcolm flicks him the qn as if Malcolm wasn’t the one who offered the money?

  7. I note that was /sarcasm, William.

    People allowed to discuss, William, that was not the point.

    A broken record with misleading information is the point.

    Abit like The liberal party who misleading every single day.

  8. Malcolm has gone behind the curtains. No one said being First High Priest meant being knifed when the crops failed.

  9. Wayne Swan
    ‏Verified account @SwannyQLD
    6m6 minutes ago

    The only thing that’s transparent about the Turnbull Government’s process in awarding $444 million to a private foundation for the Barrier Reef is that we can see right through it #auspol #qt

  10. Chicken

    “Tony Burke…..”today the CEO explained no-one in the foundation was contacted and she wasn’t aware there was a due diligence process under way. Could the Prime Minister detail the extensive due diligence that his minister referred to?”
    .
    Turnbull punts the question to Josh Frydenberg

  11. Kristina Keneally Retweeted

    Katharine Murphy

    Verified account

    @murpharoo
    10m10 minutes ago
    More
    On the contradiction between what the Foundation has said and what a government spokesman said about due diligence prior to April 9: @MathiasCormann says he’ll take that on notice @KKeneally #SenateQT

    2 replies 10 retweets 9 likes
    Reply 2 Retweet 10 Like 9
    Kristina Keneally Retweeted

    Katharine Murphy

    Verified account

    @murpharoo
    12m12 minutes ago
    More
    In the Senate @KKeneally is asking what due diligence happened on the reef grant prior to April 9 #SenateQT

  12. Kerry Schott has a background in water infrastructure. This is one of her first gigs in power systems.

    Just sayin’.

  13. According to the ACCC the average electricity bill in 2015/16 was $1,524 (1) of which the wholesale electricity component was $341 (22%) and retail costs were $241 (16%). The total of those two is $582 (38%).

    Canstar Blue put the average electricity bill at just short of $1,700 for 2017 (2).

    Using the higher Canstar Blue number, the government would have us believe that the NEG is going to reduce bills by 32% per year.

    It is a disgrace that the CPG are so credulous that they accept an assertion that tinkering with the generation of electricity is going to reduce prices by 32% when the generation component of electricity is only 22% of the bill.

    Can someone please humour me by explaining how the NEG is going to reduce prices by 32% because I can’t see it.

    Sources:
    (1) https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/oct/15/australias-household-power-prices-rose-63-in-past-decade-says-watchdog).
    (2) https://www.canstarblue.com.au/electricity/average-electricity-bills/

  14. Michelle Grattan‏Verified account @michellegrattan · 1m1 minute ago

    They shd be selling tickets for tomorrow’s bout in the party room

  15. Can someone please humour me by explaining how the NEG is going to reduce prices by 32% because I can’t see it.

    Prestidigitation

  16. Joyce talking with Abbott:

    Alex Ellinghausen
    ‏ @ellinghausen
    3m3 minutes ago

    Backbench conversations during Question Time

  17. Amy again: “Christopher Pyne just said some words on something, but he didn’t seem to be that into them, as it wasn’t about how terrible unions were, so I turned out.”

  18. All that private and philanthropic sector out there and the GBRF rsised only 60mil in 28 years? Either the GBRF isuseless a fundraiser or our wealthy are tightarsed greedy scumbags.

  19. Love this.

    Greg Jericho‏Verified account @GrogsGamut · 2m2 minutes ago

    Burke: “I would ask the Minister to table the Google search that constituted due diligence” #qt

  20. Richard Tuffin

    ‏ @RichardTuffin
    1m1 minute ago

    Richard Tuffin
    Retweeted Richard Tuffin

    So the foundation submitted their grant AFTER they were offered the money on 29 May???

    You offered the money on 9 April???

    WTF???

    #qt

  21. grimace @ #381 Monday, August 13th, 2018 – 3:03 pm

    Can someone please humour me by explaining how the NEG is going to reduce prices by 32% because I can’t see it.

    Your rooftop solar will completely eliminate your generation costs with enough surplus left over to get back another 10% in credit? The NEG will get everyone to install solar, right?

  22. I couldn’t watch QT but followed it through the Guardian and Twitter. So much more peaceful than hearing the shouting.

  23. Mikearoo
    ‏Verified account @mpbowers
    2m2 minutes ago

    Tony Abbott reacts to the prime minister during an answer he gave in #qt “this is what happens when you allow ideology and idiocy to take over energy policy” @AmyRemeikis @GuardianAus @murpharoo #politicslive

  24. Friedburger really is the village idiot who can’t find his way back to a village. How can you do due diligence after you have solicited a proposal, you moron.

  25. Just heard Greg Jennet fluff his lines. He called the GBRF a ‘small charity’. His bosses will not be happy. No doubt MT Vessel will complain.

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