The first ReachTEL poll of the year for Sky News is one of the Coalition’s better results of recent times, with Labor’s two-party lead down from 53-47 to 52-48 from the previous poll on November 28. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up a point to 34%; Labor is steady on 36%; the Greens are steady on 10%; and One Nation is down one to 8%.
Malcolm Turnbull also records a strong improvement on his personal ratings, being rated good by 30% (up six), average by 37% (up two) and poor by 32% (down eight). Bill Shorten is on 31% good (up one), 32% average (down four) and 36% poor (up three-and-a-half). Turnbull has increased his lead on ReachTEL’s all-or-nothing preferred prime minister measure, which typically produces closer results than other pollsters: last time it was 52-48, this time it’s 54-46.
The poll also finds 32% support for a cut in the company tax rate for businesses with a turnover of more than $50 million, with 44% opposed. Thirty-nine per cent of respondents rated that trade deals were good for employment, compared with 20% for poor; but 49% said Labor should vote against the Trans Pacific Partnership if it “doesn’t protect jobs”, with 20% taking the contrary view.
I’m not exactly sure what the field date was for the poll, but ReachTEL uses robopolling with samples of typically around 2300.
In other news, Tasmanian Premier Will Hodgman today called an election for March 3, which means there will be no clash with South Australia this time, as there was in 2010 and 2014. I hope to have a full election guide posted later today, so stay tuned.
davidwh
When he needs ‘rivival’ he’d have no trouble finding people ready to chuck him off his backyard pier.
Tones would drive down to help him, I’d think.
davidwh says:
No. That first needs journalists reporting sightings of “The Real Malcolm Turnbull ©” and his getting his “Mojo back” 🙂
Revived, resurrected or taxidermied? 😀
From previous thread:
Had a friend many years back who was a government gambling inspector, mostly for the casinos. The inspectors’ job was to keep both the punters and the casino honest, and so they had to know all the games and tricks backwards, including the probabilities, for both sides of the equation.
His view on gambling of all kinds, from the punters’ perspective? Don’t waste your money.
Or more likely re-imaged by a duplicitous media.
Tom.
Feeney isn’t a loss, Labor should have dumped him years ago.
Doubters.
I have an unshakeable faith in Malcolm’s ability to f*ck up.
Confessions
So basically a reverse “Dead ,buried and cremated” ? 🙂
Seems to be a a few people who havn’t posted before informing us bill is a dud. Seems the Liberals are spending good money on a internet campaign.
I think we can pretty much assume that Feeney did not renounce UK citizenship
Feeney restanding in Batman has a very really risk of disaster
Shorten showing the leadership to dig him out is the challenge
Very brave prediction:
Feeney stands and loses – Shorten goes
On the other hand a success in this situation strengthens Shorten’s position
ReachTEL suggests that Turnbull and the Coalition have not progressed in any significant manner.
When Labor win an election, at its best, it’s not much better than what the current polling suggests.
Perhaps as the SSM debate showed people are in the mood to take on ethical issues that have been controlled and maintained by minority interests
The Tasmanian poker machine position by Labor should be revealing. The truth regarding problem gambling has been well hidden by those who have a financial stake in the industry. Most of the comments made on the previous thread indicate that the majority of bludgers have no idea of the on-going ramifications of widespread use of poker machines. Clubs are mostly not disclosing the detailed distribution of poker machine profits. With hotels and casinos the profits benefit very few. Who owns half of the poker machines in Victoria? What happens to country hotels in NSW country towns as the liquor licences are moved together with the poker machine allocations as the licences are transferred to more lucrative locations?
Poker machine addiction is closely linked with alcoholism, child neglect, broken marriages, fraud, depression and finally violence.
It is a far bigger problem than most people are aware of. Understandably, because what happens with poker machine addiction is outside ths understanding of most. Can you imagine yourself places your weekly wage through a poker machines? Can you imagine becoming a prostitute to feed the habit of poker machines? Can you imagine the post losing streak depression being suffered by families as this addictive habit destroys households? How many Australians owe much more on their housing loan than they did twenty years before? Have you seen the heightened jubilation of a group of indigenous women drinking schooners of beer as they pour their government assistance through poker machines on a Wednesday morning in a coastal country town?
Hundreds of thousands of Australians are subjected to the negative impact of poker machines and it’s a real social issue.
All encouragement should be afforded Rebecca White, Tasmanian Labor and all people of social conscience to enable Labor to win in the up-coming Tasmanian election.
Any celebration of Australia Day should reference the start of the Rum Rebellion in 1808 which seems to reflect the beginning of untethered profit taking and usery by self-interest in this country.
Poker machines are monstrous reflection of the malady presently afflicting modern Australia.
I will be very pissed off indeed with Labor if they don’t dump Feeney, and also give very stark last warnings to the other 3-4 Labor MPs who failed their due diligence on citizenship issues (by being tardy).
It is not a game, you self-indulgent arse clowns. 🙁
poroti @ #58 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 1:58 pm
Haha! Very good.
zoomster @ #51 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 12:58 pm
He doesn’t need much help but he has got rid of Brandis! 🙂
Oakeshott Country @ #60 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 5:01 pm
Shorten must despair at Feeny and his incompetence.
I believe Bill Shorten will be at the NPC this week.
We shall see then what he has up his sleeve for 2018.
Perhaps one or two policy announcements to get the year up and running. Labor has promised a year of policy release around cost of living, wages etc
Turnbull has been out and about all through the holidays putting his face in front of every camera he could find. Shorten has been invisible over the same period enjoying a actual holiday. Labor has been pretty low key as well. The political year starts tomorrow.
Cheers.
ABC RN Talkfest – another interesting and thought-provoking program where issues are talked about in a civil and mature manner among people with differing views:
http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/talkfest/
Do you think the Russian kids being paid good money to disrupt western democracy even know who Bill is?
@davidwh
Haven’t we been through the whole “real PM” bullshit?
So, the Greens have now admitted that their official on-the-record policy position on pokies is not really their position but is, instead, a bad joke.
Instead of their official position as per the Party’s official site, their new position is exactly the same as Labor’s position.
Only better.
Turnbull has found his mojo, done a reset, turned a corner, and become a real prime minister.
WeWantPaul
The only know that Bill Posters should be prosecuted……………………. or set free as the case may be.
“Turnbull has found his mojo, done a reset, turned a corner, and become a real prime minister.”
Exactly the kind of thing they said about Nixon, but Nixon was a lot smarter.
Boer
On what evidence? That he seriously p*ssed off a whole state, by lying to the country?
Maybe this poll is a result of Russian interference ? Moscow doesn’t want a Beijing line labor party in power in Canberra and is taking steps to stop it ?
Don’t forget that Turnbull legalized marriage for the LGBTI community while protecting religious freedom to discriminate against those who need it most, while protecting the right of church hierarchies to plunder the charity provisions of the Tax Act. A whole lot of pluses right there.
Time to head to the beach.
I should get there about this time tomorrow.
4 weeks of sand, surf and sun in Malaysia, Bliss!!
Play nice until I get there, xin chào!
Tomorrow, selamat pagi. 🙂
zoomster
I doubt whether any whole state noticed anything much about anything significant over Christmas/New Year.
Once a state becomes addicted to pokies revenue, they hang on to it like grim death. That’s why WA was smart. And Tassie Labor crazy brave.
It won’t just be a state fight. The pokies industry, which soaks up $24B a year of punters losses, will realise they can not afford Labor to win in Tassie as it will show the other states they can do the same thing. It’s an existential threat to them.
In SA, we had a massive advertising campaign against Labor bringing in a $370M bank tax. They spent tens of millions fighting it and they won.
I wish Tassie Labor every success.
BiDG
Enjoy! I did have a look at your map and the scales are so divergent that there is little that can be sorted out. One observation is that even the highest ridges now have tracks along them which would expedite forestry in areas that were formerly only affected by slash and burn.
Dio
Rent seekers united will never be defeated.
true dio, even gillard who was completely gone deaf squibbed on the pokies.
Australia doing everything to keep England under 300 runs. Looks like they may just succeed too.
#cricketonPB
Edwina StJohn
Indeed, Bad Vlad,currently under every Western bed, showed his party preference a while back.
Not https so add http:// to the start of this link.
http://www.theshovel.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Abbott-Putin-satire-620×400.png
Boerwar @ #69 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 5:17 pm
Lol. They didn’t have the political cojones to announce it, but they have given it their Green seal of approval, which makes it betterer! 😉
Jesus poroti! Have a care when posting photos!!
Shorten may or may not win, but no one else is going to do any better.
The hostility of some labor posters to the greens is misplaced. A workable coalition with the greens is necessary _ Gillard was able to do it with brown and Milne , surely necessity will force a revisiting of this hostile stance from labor?
Boer
Most of the people I talked to thought that the ME postal vote was totally unnecessary and demonstrated a lack of leadership.
No point changing Labor leader when ahead in the polls.Political suicide and a big laughing stock.If Shorten loses a 2nd time then no doubt a new leader is obvious,but why risk burning 2 leaders in less than 2 years.
ESJ
I think that the hostility of some Greens posters to Labor is misplaced, too.
The Toorak Toff @ #87 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 6:01 pm
I disagree. Polling confirms voters have a special dislike for Bill.
https://mobile.twitter.com/roweafr/status/957508589932838912/photo/1
David Rowe latest just in at Davos with Trump
Rex, is that dislike worse than their dislike for Abbott when they elected him?
steve davis @ #90 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 6:11 pm
They’d be mad not to replace Shorten now to protect the polling lead.
It worked with Gillard as she got a bounce and I can’t see Bill Shorten mounting a crazed revenge campaign of the likes Rudd undertook.
Zoomster yes we have had promises of Real JG, Real KR, Real TA and Real MT. Perhaps it is all distraction from how disfunctional government has been for the past 7 years.
Bonza @ #94 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 6:15 pm
They didn’t vote for Abbott, they voted against RGR.
Thanks for that mari. Rowe’s Trump gets more hideous with each cartoon!
Edwina StJohn @ #88 Sunday, January 28th, 2018 – 6:06 pm
Disagree. Labor is closer to the LNP on policy than the Greens.
@Rex… no Shorten’s ratings are roughly on par with most opposition leaders. When an opposition leader has higher ratings than the incumbent, the game is usually already over.
Look at Howard v Rudd, Rudd didn’t trump Howard until almost right at the end, despite regular 10-15% TPP leads. Rudd didn’t fall off the perch as PPM in 2013 until the last week of the campaign.
This isn’t about anything other than your personal distaste for Shorten.