Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Relief for Malcolm Turnbull from Bennelong, but none from Newspoll, which records yet another stable result.

Courtesy of The Australian, the final Newspoll of the year is something of a non-event, with two-party preferred unchanged at 53-47, primary votes unchanged at 36% for the Coalition, 37% for Labor and 10% for the Greens, and the only move being a one point drop for One Nation to 7%. Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are also unmoved, at 32% approval and 57% disapproval, while his lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 39-33 to 41-34. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 32%, and up two on disapproval to 56%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1669.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

996 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. At least the usual RWNJ suspects cannot criticise Gai Brodtmann for ignoring Christmas.

    In our mailbox is a 2018 calendar from Gai with the message “Wishing you and your family a safe and happy Christmas and New Year”.

  2. I can’t bear to watch Truffles.

    Katharine Murphy‏Verified account @murpharoo · 31s32 seconds ago

    “This is a ministry rich with diverse experience and energy. And it reflects our very, very talented party room,” says @TurnbullMalcolm #auspol

  3. Katharine Murphy‏Verified account @murpharoo · 31s32 seconds ago

    “This is a ministry rich with diverse experience and energy. And it reflects our very, very talented party room,” says @TurnbullMalcolm #auspol

    On the other hand he could be talking about their performance at a karaoke bar.

  4. Expect citizenship applications to be s-l-o-o-w.

    Josh Butler‏Verified account @JoshButler · 8m8 minutes ago

    Michael Keenan has been named the new minister for human services – the former portfolio of Alan Tudge, who came under fire for his handling of the Centrelink #notmydebt debacle
    Tudge has been moved to citizenship and multicultural affairs

  5. From ABC news

    “Five new faces have been promoted to the Federal Cabinet as part of the Prime Minister’s reshuffle.

    In a surprise appointment, first-term Nationals backbencher David Littleproud will be the new Agriculture Minister.

    Deputy Nationals leader Bridget McKenzie will take the Sport, Rural Health and Regional Communications portfolios and regional Liberal Dan Tehan has been elevated to the role of Social Services Minister.”

    Chester should really consider his position and go rogue and become an independent. The rumblings must be no good in the LNP camp at the moment – particularly the Nationals.

  6. daretotread says:
    Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 1:43 pm
    Jolyon

    No I do not argue Hillary worse, just that they are now equal.

    Trump = Clinton

    The most fatuous statement yet from the dottiest bludger.

  7. Briefly

    Has it occurred to you that people can have different opinions without being dotty.

    The world never progressed by people who see and say the obvious.

    Trump is trump – an odd ball. Clinton is Clinton – a traditional insider.

    I am not sure any US president has much power or influence, hence they are now equal.

  8. Trog Sorrenson @ #782 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 1:29 pm

    Here’s another for P1. Audrey Zibelman knocks the NEG into a cocked hat.
    AEMO plans for future (clean) grid, with no mention of base-load
    “no mention of base-load”. Oh, the humanity!

    I have not yet finished reading the article, but I can’t see why they would have needed to use the term.

    On the other hand, it’s hard to take seriously your article, which contains clangers like this:

    The discussion paper makes certain things very clear: wind and solar are the cheapest form of bulk storage ….

    Ummm. Pass that one by me again please?

  9. Phillip Coorey‏Verified account @PhillipCoorey · 42s43 seconds ago

    Darren Chester was offered a junior role as a parl sec and told them to stuff it. Stay tuned for his presser in Sale after 2pm

  10. **And it reflects our very, very talented party room**
    I have come to the realisation that ‘Turnbull speak’ is the only language known to humans where a double positive = negative.

  11. dtt

    I only noticed your last comment via briefly, but I will respond to your latest directed to me. and it will not surprise you to know just as you don’t care what I think of you. I care even less of what you think of me.

  12. victoria says:

    *************************************

    Like you, Victoria – Even Claude has lost patience :

    Claude Taylor‏Verified account @TrueFactsStated

    Trump wants a “letter”? How about an F? And a U. Here’s a C….

  13. daretotread says:
    Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 2:07 pm
    Briefly

    The Proposition =
    1. The world never progressed by people who see and say the obvious.

    The Argument =
    2. Trump is trump ….
    3. Clinton is Clinton ….
    4. They are now equal….

    Have a cigar. Have a whole box of cigars. You’ve made virtual opposites interchangeable. Do you turn gold into lead as well?


  14. Player One says:
    Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 1:32 pm

    Trog Sorrenson @ #769 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 1:09 pm

    What happened next has stunned electricity industry insiders and given food for thought over the near to medium term future of the grid, such was the rapid response of the Tesla big battery to an event that happened nearly 1,000km away.

    Oh, for goodness sake. Your articles just keep getting sillier, Trog. Shorn of the breathless hyperbole, what this article says is that the Telsa battery did precisely what it was designed, built and contracted to do.

    I’m not sure that the response would have been unexpected; the SA contract will be; stabilize the SA network; why install it otherwise. The control system won’t know if the frequency dropped because a coal set tripped or because Turnbull has windmills wandering around knocking down transmission towers.

    The result should cause any technical person that still believes networks need rotating mass a very solid reason to pause and reflect.

  15. Kelly O’Dwyer is now Minister for Women. Because it’s part of the Coalition Ministry, that seems a demotion, even if not by salary.

    ABC 24 reception bloody awful.

  16. PhoenixRed

    To be fair. I lost patience with the narcisstic deviant treasonous traitor before he was even nominated!!! Lol………

  17. Oh goody.

    [The Nationals are on the brink of an internal revolt after leader Barnaby Joyce dumped two of his ministers as part of a Coalition cabinet reshuffle announced by Malcolm Turnbull, which places a heavy emphasis on wooing votes in Queensland.

    Mr Turnbull has added several new faces to his ministry – including five new Cabinet appointments – in what he plans to be the final reshuffle of his front bench before the next federal election.]

    Read more: http://www.afr.com/news/the-nationals-rupture-as-malcolm-turnbull-reshuffles-cabinet-20171218-h06wc6#ixzz51fqZtL1i
    Follow us: @FinancialReview on Twitter | financialreview on Facebook

  18. If Darren Chester had any balls, he would quit the Nats, sit as an independent,and screw Barnaby over big time. I would start with a censure against Barnaby in the HoR on his handling of water theft and build up from there.
    Most probably won’t happen but it would be fun to watch if it did.

  19. victoria says: Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 2:19 pm

    PhoenixRed

    To be fair. I lost patience with the narcisstic deviant treasonous traitor before he was even nominated!!! Lol………

    ***********************************************************

    Me too – a minute of him opening his mouth and I was done …… but Vlad was watching and thinking – You only get one Trump in your lifetime ……. I just worked how to take down those Yankee imperialists

    as John Schindler says – you wake up each morning – and its like this bad movie is still running …..

  20. Littleproud’s only experience is as a new backbencher. Probyn’s rather silly comment was that Littleproud’s father had been a Minister. “He has it in his DNA”.

    [Mr Littleproud’s ascension to Agriculture and Water Minister has caused a lot of friction.

    “Colleagues are just dumbstruck,” said an MP.

    “He used to be a rural bank lender. That will go down a treat in the bush.”]

  21. Alice Workman‏Verified account @workmanalice · 32m32 minutes ago

    Interesting to note that Innovation has stated in cabinet but Science has been booted into the outer ministry.

  22. frednk

    I’m not sure that the response would have been unexpected; the SA contract will be; stabilize the SA network; why install it otherwise. The control system won’t know if the frequency dropped because a coal set tripped or because Turnbull has windmills wandering around knocking down transmission towers

    Makes sense. I think the point of the article was the rapidity of the response – milliseconds – which provided a buffer, while other frequency control services from spinning lumps of metal, came online in their typically glacial 4 seconds.

  23. Oh FFS

    Phoenix are serious. Trump is just another odd ball republican – Just like Palin. Are you going to blame Putin for her too?

    Face reality. The US electoral system is in crisis and it is incapable of throwing up reasonable candidates much of the time.

    Let us start in 2000

    Bush – a juvenile moron probably less well read than Trump – only redeemig feature was daddy
    Gore – copetent but a bit boring
    Us votes for fool ahead of boring

    This is repeated in 2004 although Kerry even more boring

    2008
    Competent Obama versus Maverick nutter McCain who selects god help us sarah Palin

    For once USA chose wisely

    2016 (not mush to say of 2008)
    Democrats chose a tired has been who was out of touch with the new emerging voters and kept assuming it is still 1995. To make matters more serious she has a hatred for Russia which was dangerous due to the changed world circumstances. Russia hated her too, just to add some fuel to the fire.

    Republicans chose a fruit loop whose only advantage was that he was less likely to start a war with Russia.

    The REAL question that you should ask (or is this Putin’s fault too) is who despite having 17 candidates in the Race, Trump won AND the fact that all 17 were pretty bloody awful. When Jeb Bush is the best of the 17 then you know there is something rotten at the core.

  24. Rob Harris‏Verified account @rharris334 · 2h2 hours ago

    David Littleproud hasn’t even been sworn in or announced yet and colleagues are already briefing against his appointment.

  25. It’s not that I can’t scroll – it is just that it seems to be an ongoing kerfuffle between a couple of posters (with an occasional ring-in adding to the mix) and after the first few hundred discussions it is getting tedious.

    I want to be informed, and to discuss, but sometimes it goes way off into a segue that is too technical for most of us to grasp. I recognise this as I have done it myself and felt guilty afterward having browbeaten others who were not particularly interested in the topic.

    I do want to understand the power issue – but not in the depth these guys have been discussing — am happy with an informed summary.

    If that is selfish, I am sorry. I have started scrolling but the thing is – I fear I might miss an important conclusion for all that scrolling.

  26. @Shady Lady…”The CT on-line has a choice of Cryptic or Quick crosswords (as well as Sudoko) and they can be completed online.”……

    Any chance of a direct link to the page.?

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