Courtesy of The Australian, the final Newspoll of the year is something of a non-event, with two-party preferred unchanged at 53-47, primary votes unchanged at 36% for the Coalition, 37% for Labor and 10% for the Greens, and the only move being a one point drop for One Nation to 7%. Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are also unmoved, at 32% approval and 57% disapproval, while his lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 39-33 to 41-34. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 32%, and up two on disapproval to 56%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1669.
Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor
Relief for Malcolm Turnbull from Bennelong, but none from Newspoll, which records yet another stable result.
[Bill Shorten is down one on approval to e2%]
Expressed in decimal, that makes Shorten’s approval a stunning 226%.
No idea what you mean, AR.
(Note: Not an ‘entry’ in ‘Electicity Wars’)
I believe that the overall bottom line ‘cost’ to the household will never drop.
The wholesale cost to the supplier might drop but we’ll find that there will be a ‘neat’ justification that the suppliers ‘retail operations’ costs and ‘network’ costs have increased.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-18/household-electricity-looks-set-to-get-cheaper-from-mid-2018/9266914
(Note: Not an entry in the ‘Electricity Wars’)
I believe that the overall bottom line ‘cost’ to the household will never drop.
The wholesale cost to the supplier might drop but we’ll find that there will be a ‘neat’ justification that the suppliers ‘retail operations’ costs and ‘network’ costs have increased.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-12-18/household-electricity-looks-set-to-get-cheaper-from-mid-2018/9266914
US-Russia
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-42386258
Bugger 3 & 4 duplicated. Too slow to turn a r’s ‘C+’ off to request delete!
Really, no bounce for LNP ? :O
For those who are interested in electricity costs the first 4 pages of this document are elucidating on the various components* of what you are charged.
‘Jargon’ is demystified!
In the attachments (starting at page 14 of the full document) there is one titled ‘Developments in Utilities Prices’ that is also interesting and deals with Gas, Water and Sewerage.
Most of the other attachments a bit to ‘techie’ for me.
It’s a pdf file so googling the link should get you a list with ‘HOW ARE ELECTRICITY PRICES SET IN AUSTRALIA?’ as the first listed document –
https://www.rba.gov.au/information/foi/disclosure-log/pdf/101115.pdf
* – grimace wrote a number of comments on the various components early in ‘Energy Wars’ that dealt with some of this. They were, for me, the only bits of the ‘war’ that were informative.
a r – For info rather than a ‘bleat’ to fix.
The C+ page 1 bug of having to use ‘Refresh’ to get new comments (and ‘Load More’ doing zilch) persists.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers. Mondays are generally slow news days.
Alexander has apologised for a bizarre anecdote he relayed while claiming victory in the Bennelong byelection, which drew fire from disability advocates.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/john-alexander-apologises-after-bizarre-joke-mars-bennelong-victory-speech-20171216-h05y8x.html
Simon Benson writes that Despite some wins to end the year, including the Bennelong by-election, the Coalition has failed to gain any ground on Labor. Google.
/national-affairs/newspoll/coalition-trails-labor-but-turnbull-extends-lead-as-preferred-pm/news-story/024e8fb5d66bddde4ae5bf593e3fed10
A good contribution from Ross Gittins on the need for a healthy public sector.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/a-bigger-better-public-sector-will-secure-our-future-20171216-h05vx3.html
Adele Ferguson continues to double down on the franchising racket. It’s not at all a pretty pictire!
http://www.smh.com.au/business/retail/its-like-7eleven–claims-underpayment-is-rife-at-rfg-20171213-h04d8n.html
Greg Jericho says that this year has been about companies and jobs. Will 2018 be about wages?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2017/dec/17/this-year-has-been-about-companies-and-jobs-will-2018-be-about-wages
Phil Coorey tells us that the Nationals have secured their five spots in the Turnbull government’s cabinet despite calls from Liberals that the junior Coalition partner should lose a place in a ministerial reshuffle that could be announced this week. Google.
/news/nationals-dig-in-as-reshuffle-looms-20171216-h05ymp
On the face of it Mayor Doyle could be in a spot of bother.
http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/lord-mayor-robert-doyle-takes-leave-after-sex-harassment-claim-as-councillor-quits-20171216-h05z4x.html
Urban Wronski on Turnbull’s launch of Yellow Peril 2.0.
https://urbanwronski.com/2017/12/17/turnbull-lynches-sam-dastyari-while-invoking-yellow-peril-2-0/
George Orwell come on down!
http://www.smh.com.au/world/fetus-transgender-diversity-trump-officials-give-us-health-body-a-list-of-forbidden-words-20171216-h05yfq.html
I think it’s time for Labor and the cross bench to get the gloves off.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/labor-facing-as-many-as-four-byelections-in-2018-after-bennelong-win-restores-turnbull-majority-20171216-h05yg0.html
On occasions Amanda Vanstone writes a good article. This is one of those times.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/next-monday-have-a-cold-hard-look-at-what-really-matters-20171215-h058b0.html
The SMH editorial implores Australia to act over the Rohingyan plight.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/we-cannot-stand-by-as-the-rohingya-genocide-takes-place-on-our-doorstep-20171217-h063c8.html
What a mess Myer is in! And it is rumoured that ASIC is having a look at its treatment of intangible assets. Google.
/business/retail/former-myer-ceo-shares-pain-as-balance-sheet-fears-rise-20171216-h05ysm
Cartoon Corner
Matt Golding with Turnbull’s bath time.
Mark David on Turnbull’s motives.
Two more good ones from Golding.
Glen Le Lievre puts the boot into organised religion after the royal commission.
Mark Knight on the Disney/Fox merger.
And Knight conflates Holt and Dastyari.
Pat Campbell and Santa Turnbull in Bennelong.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/pat-campbell-20120213-1t21q
Jon Kudelka prepares Turnbull for 2018.
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/3af89c1ed245dda198428d8ec26e8c96
Morning all. Trump has started banning words, George Orwell style. “Science based” is among them. I imagine “justice” and “impeachment” might be the next ones banned?
http://www.smh.com.au/world/fetus-transgender-diversity-trump-officials-give-us-health-body-a-list-of-forbidden-words-20171216-h05yfq.html
Is the USA on the road to dictatorship?
William Bowe – this might explain the E2=226 reference https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hexadecimal
Thanks Jonno, but it was actually a lame attempt at humour.
‘Appropriate criminal process’: Mueller’s office fires back over Kushner emails — and the Trump team is screwed
Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s office over the weekend shot down Republican complaints that emails from Trump’s transition team — including inner-circle members like Jared Kushner — were illegally provided to investigators.
In a statement to Buzzfeed early Sunday morning, Mueller’s office rebuked claims that investigators obtained the emails inappropriately.
“When we have obtained emails in the course of our ongoing criminal investigation, we have secured either the account owner’s consent or appropriate criminal process,” Special Counsel’s Office spokesperson Peter Carr told BuzzFeed News,
https://www.rawstory.com/2017/12/appropriate-criminal-process-muellers-office-fires-back-over-kushner-emails-and-the-trump-team-is-screwed/
‘A reckless con man as president’: LA Times burns Trump to the ground in brutal editorial
Writing in the LA Times, author and human rights activist Ariel Dorfman took the American electorate to task for electing “a reckless con man as president,” adding the country is now facing a reckoning.
Dorfman admitted that he is tired of hearing about investigations into Russian collusion in the 2016 election of President Donald Trump when the focus should be on how in the hell did American voters let his election happen
https://www.rawstory.com/2017/12/a-reckless-con-man-as-president-la-times-burns-trump-to-the-ground-in-brutal-editorial/
In breaking news!
53-47 is good given the last two weeks.
From previous thread, Labor cannot take the next general election for granted.
My guess is the government will attempt to refer Labor MPs. Talk up a reduced forecast debt figures as a justification for tax cuts, and then if polls soften, race to an election.
Expect all of the media on their side, perhaps “a messy term that has finished strongly clearly they deserve more time”.
Glen Le Lievre linked in Cartoon Corner (thank you BK) has a profound insight. For the institutional Church, Jesus is just a mascot.
If this is the extent of the bounce the Coalition has gotten from the SSM vote and Dastyari, Turnbull is stuffed. All they’ve managed to do is to shift from historic electoral wipe-out to an average landslide victory to the opposition.
S777
I was thinking along the same lines.
I liked the little ‘for God’s sake’ in the talk box.
If falling house prices join falling real wages nothing can save the Coalition.
If both stabilize and/or improve, the Coalition is in with a shot.
25 losing Newspolls!
CTar1
Guessimating the pace of change of relevant electricity technology, the price of retail electricity probably will not be the major factor that determines household electricity decision making.
Many hoseholds will go ‘gridless’ over the next ten years leaving the electricty producers, electricty carriers and regulatory bodies with a set of price detemining factors somewhat different to those existing today.
Electricity suppliers, now grabbing the coat tails of solar will be investing money in electricity storage.
Consumers of retail electricty will continue to be charged at rate designed to line the pockets of suppliers and shareholders.
An Electricity Commission can make a statement but it is just that ……. a statement to suit the times.
William
More like a crippled attempt at humour but nevertheless good fun!
All the best at Xmas
Newspoll No.25 Malcolm……….tick tock tick tock………..
Test
Over in the US, Roy Moore is still refusing to concede!
http://edition.cnn.com/2017/12/17/politics/doug-jones-sotu-cnntv/index.html
Heads up on MYEFO and the projected Budget improvement that Morrison and Turnbull will claim as due to their superior economic management.
Saul Eslake belled the cat on that earlier on ABC News Breakfast. Apparently it’s due to over-the-top assumptions about wages growth of 3% and more! Each year in the Out Years of the Budget.
And we all know that ain’t gonna happen!
This is so depressing and a weak Turnbull is marching us toward a fascist state.
https://urbanwronski.com/2017/12/17/turnbull-lynches-sam-dastyari-while-invoking-yellow-peril-2-0/
Down the rabbit hole with ScoMo.
GG – Great photo of Malcolm. “I bought this job ya sock-puppets, and nobody’s taking it off me.”
Sad to see the media talking up the idea of the government sending opposition MPs who might be ineligible to the HC while protecting their own who are ineligible.
It’s not Malcolm’s Renaissance. It’s Australia’s Dark Ages.
Bearing in mind the results of questions re’ Trump visiting the UK the ‘Obama interviews Prince Harry’ thing is a big ‘up yours’ from the British royals!
Mass murder, rape and the burning of kids.
The Rohingya genocide is effectively ignored by the UN and Australia. All we get are expressions of “concern” by the UN, and by our representative, Julie Bishop. We should be promoting sending in UN troops against this vile regime, instead of training the bastards.
Apparently, the idea behind Australian military training was to “engage” with this vile regime. Well that worked out well, didn’t it.
All international assets of the generals should be frozen, then the UN should round the criminals up and ship them off to the Hague; this is what Australia should be promoting, not “constructive engagement”. Aung San Suu Kyi should be stripped of her Nobel Peace Prize.
CTar1
Cocking a snoot.
Morning all
As Boerwar commented, if housing market stalls and wages continue to flatline, the coalition will find it difficult going forward.
From what I have gleaned auction results are starting to show a stall in the ppty market. After the huge boom, it was to be expected.
It is just as well the Greens Party Government is in power and not the Coalition.
Otherwise the Rohingya would be suffering from genocide.
At current rates of progress only another century to go before the Greens Party Government has power instead of powerlessness.
CTar1
Prince Harry and Obama are good friends. And Harry has not hidden his disdain for Trump.
Turnbull trying to secure his position.
Dutton has been given his Police/Security conglomerate and now he’s throwing ‘fish’ to Joyce.
Google.
/news/nationals-dig-in-as-reshuffle-looms-20171216-h05ymp
Golly
Owners of rooftop solar and, increasingly, batteries will become a major political force which will push for peer to peer trading in electricity using systems such as Power Ledger. Thus the big retailers will be cut out of the loop, energy production and trading will become truly democratic, and prices will come down.
Morning all.
Thanks BK for today’s wrap up.
That was a stupid comment, Boerwar. The Rohingya genocide is not a joke.
Roy Moore is refusing to concede and is still fundraising telling his supporters that the battle isn’t over, that Jones’ win was fraudulant and based on voter fraud.
😮
Mid year economic bull shit from Morrison will also include spurious projections and faux graphs telling all and sundry how catastrophic things have been, are, and always will be under Labor.
Nothing to see here, just Annie Oakley up in Sydney for shoot hoot night. I don’t get shooting. I just don’t get it. It was always intended to kill, and being good at killing doesn’t cut it with me.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/nationals-deputy-bridget-mckenzie-charged-taxpayers-to-attend-shooting-awards-20171216-h05vqh.html
Itza:
McKenzie is probably taking her cue from Abbott who charged taxpayers for his charity cycling rides across the country.
US senator John Kennedy asked one of Trump’s district court judge nominees, Matthew Petersen, a series of questions on basic law
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=17&v=Hs0z2Ef-aEE
I believe that the overall bottom line ‘cost’ to the household will never drop.
The overall bottom line cost did drop in real terms for a very long time. There is no reason why it can’t do it again, even with an increase in renewable generation.
There have been price spikes when we go through investment cycles. These have revolved around changes to government policy, rather that market or technology costs. For example, building interconnections between the states in the 90s, and harmonising distribution network standards over the last decade (leading to the claims of “gold plating”). Generation is about to go through a big cycle of reinvestment, as old coal plants shut down and are replaced by mainly renewables.
The catch is that the technical services provided in excess by conventional machine are becoming scarce in the system. This is inertia, fast frequency response, ramping, etc. If the power system were a ship, this stuff would be its ballast.
Given the upcoming shortage of these services, and under the market paradigm, they should to be given a price to encourage new ways of providing them. The market structures and other governance arrangements for this are the responsibility of AEMC. John Pierce is not doing his job, by sitting back and saying “someone needs to do something” to manage these changes – it is his organisation that needs move! The work around the place is that he’s approaching retirement and doesn’t want to start any new big work packages….
I have more opinions on this too 🙂
“That was a stupid comment, Boerwar. The Rohingya genocide is not a joke.”
Agreed. Some commenters have very poor judgement here.