Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Relief for Malcolm Turnbull from Bennelong, but none from Newspoll, which records yet another stable result.

Courtesy of The Australian, the final Newspoll of the year is something of a non-event, with two-party preferred unchanged at 53-47, primary votes unchanged at 36% for the Coalition, 37% for Labor and 10% for the Greens, and the only move being a one point drop for One Nation to 7%. Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are also unmoved, at 32% approval and 57% disapproval, while his lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 39-33 to 41-34. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 32%, and up two on disapproval to 56%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1669.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

996 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. bemused @ #750 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:49 am

    Rex Douglas @ #744 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:35 am

    Unlike the ALP, who are financially shackled to big unions and their dealings with big corp, the Reason Party have progressive policy freedom.

    Stop the presses! Rex has discovered that the ALP is connected to the union movement which started it.
    What a sleuth!

    Big unions cosying up to big corp has compromised the ALP. That as well as the neo-lib infiltration has seen the party lose it’s way.

    You’re an old labor man in denial, bemused.

  2. Of course the IPA gave birth to the “Liberal” party in the same way as the unions gave birth to the ALP. And whose interests do the IPA serve? Everyday Australians? Workers? Employees? The elderly, disabled or sick? They are the union for the owners and managers of Big Money.

  3. victoria says: Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 11:34 am

    PhoenixRed

    And this. What I believed from the get go.
    ·
    Yep, we’re way past Rosenbergs, Weisband, Hiss here — this is uncharted treachery.

    Rick Wilson
    @TheRickWilson
    This is no longer a question: Putin has executed the greatest intelligence coup of all history.

    ***************************************************************
    Older Article – but still true even more so today :

    Putin’s Puppet

    If the Russian president could design a candidate to undermine American interests—and advance his own—he’d look a lot like Donald Trump. Vladimir Putin has a plan for destroying the West—and that plan looks a lot like Donald Trump

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/cover_story/2016/07/vladimir_putin_has_a_plan_for_destroying_the_west_and_it_looks_a_lot_like.html?wpsrc=sh_all_tab_tw_top

  4. Rex Douglas @ #751 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:56 am

    bemused @ #750 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:49 am

    Rex Douglas @ #744 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:35 am

    Unlike the ALP, who are financially shackled to big unions and their dealings with big corp, the Reason Party have progressive policy freedom.

    Stop the presses! Rex has discovered that the ALP is connected to the union movement which started it.
    What a sleuth!

    Big unions cosying up to big corp has compromised the ALP. That as well as the neo-lib infiltration has seen the party lose it’s way.

    You’re an old labor man in denial, bemused.

    You wouldn’t have a clue Rex.
    Labor is the only party which has been in for the long haul to advance the interests of ordinary Australians.
    Warts and all, it beats the hell out of all the dilettante parties that have come and gone or are going, like your Greens.

  5. bemused @ #757 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:08 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #751 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:56 am

    bemused @ #750 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:49 am

    Rex Douglas @ #744 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 11:35 am

    Unlike the ALP, who are financially shackled to big unions and their dealings with big corp, the Reason Party have progressive policy freedom.

    Stop the presses! Rex has discovered that the ALP is connected to the union movement which started it.
    What a sleuth!

    Big unions cosying up to big corp has compromised the ALP. That as well as the neo-lib infiltration has seen the party lose it’s way.

    You’re an old labor man in denial, bemused.

    You wouldn’t have a clue Rex.
    Labor is the only party which has been in for the long haul to advance the interests of ordinary Australians.
    Warts and all, it beats the hell out of all the dilettante parties that have come and gone or are going, like your Greens.

    old habits die hard for you bemused ?

    have the courage to accept the ALP has changed… for the worse

  6. bemused @ #762 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:32 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #761 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:25 pm

    old habits die hard for you bemused ?

    have the courage to accept the ALP has changed… for the worse

    WOW!
    The world is continually changing, if you hadn’t noticed, and the ALP adapts.
    The issues of today are not those of the 1970s.

    Even your treasonous deranged hero recognised the influence of big union factions on the ALP.

  7. Rex Douglas @ #764 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:42 pm

    bemused @ #762 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:32 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #761 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:25 pm

    old habits die hard for you bemused ?

    have the courage to accept the ALP has changed… for the worse

    WOW!
    The world is continually changing, if you hadn’t noticed, and the ALP adapts.
    The issues of today are not those of the 1970s.

    Even your treasonous deranged hero recognised the influence of big union factions on the ALP.

    Your demented ravings mark you as seriously deranged.

  8. bemused @ #765 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:45 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #764 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:42 pm

    bemused @ #762 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:32 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #761 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 12:25 pm

    old habits die hard for you bemused ?

    have the courage to accept the ALP has changed… for the worse

    WOW!
    The world is continually changing, if you hadn’t noticed, and the ALP adapts.
    The issues of today are not those of the 1970s.

    Even your treasonous deranged hero recognised the influence of big union factions on the ALP.

    Your demented ravings mark you as seriously deranged.

  9. Tesla big battery outsmarts lumbering coal units after Loy Yang trips

    The Tesla big battery is having a big impact on Australia’s electricity market, far beyond the South Australia grid where it was expected to time shift a small amount of wind energy and provide network services and emergency back-up in case of a major problem.

    Last Thursday, one of the biggest coal units in Australia, Loy Yang A 3, tripped without warning at 1.59am, with the sudden loss of 560MW and causing a slump in frequency on the network.

    What happened next has stunned electricity industry insiders and given food for thought over the near to medium term future of the grid, such was the rapid response of the Tesla big battery to an event that happened nearly 1,000km away.

    Even before the Loy Yang A unit had finished tripping, the 100MW/129MWh had responded, injecting 7.3MW into the network to help arrest a slump in frequency that had fallen below 49.80Hertz.

    http://reneweconomy.com.au/tesla-big-battery-outsmarts-lumbering-coal-units-after-loy-yang-trips-70003/

  10. So the government is projected to completely fail to reduce emissions to the target they set, I am yet to see any reporting about it in MSM.
    I guess it will mostly get reported as an obscure news item, will anybody question the Liberals about this failure?
    But of course going on about Sam Dastyari for a week is much more important of course!

  11. I haven’t read it yet.

    Katharine Murphy‏Verified account @murpharoo · 2h2 hours ago

    God that climate review is a complete shocker #auspol

  12. lizzie says:
    Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 1:24 pm
    I haven’t read it yet.

    Katharine Murphy‏Verified account @murpharoo · 2h2 hours ago

    God that climate review is a complete shocker #auspol

    Yet another failure for which we can thank G/LNP collaboration.

  13. Nicko

    Someone’s awake.

    [Katharine Murphy‏Verified account @murpharoo · 1h1 hour ago

    Emissions are rising, taxpayers are shelling out for abatement & will continue to do so, let’s screw the safeguards mechanism, but everything is fine. Paris. All good. If you believe this, I’ve got a bridge I’d like to sell you #auspol]

  14. Just goes to show how disconnected the CPG is from reality. Nothing of any significance in the real world has changed, but Turnbull and this government are looking up!

  15. bemused
    Here’s another for P1. Audrey Zibelman knocks the NEG into a cocked hat.
    AEMO plans for future (clean) grid, with no mention of base-load
    “no mention of base-load”. Oh, the humanity!

    The Australian Energy Market Operator has kicked off a ground-breaking major new study in how to plan for Australia’s future grid, and in doing so has effectively thrown down the gauntlet to the government on its climate and technology assumptions.

    In a discussion paper released on Tuesday in the first step of putting together an Integrated System Plan (ISP) by the middle of 2018, AEMO says the future grid will be dominated by wind, solar, and battery and other storage, and it time to put together a co-ordinated plan.

    AEMO is also dialling in emission reductions cuts far beyond that contemplated by the federal government – including a “fast track” scenario that doubles climate ambition by 2030. The long-term emission cuts are assumed to be 70 per cent and 90 per cent in 2050.

    http://reneweconomy.com.au/aemo-plans-future-clean-grid-no-mention-base-load-71052/

  16. ‘He is living in his own world’: Trump ‘confident, even arrogant’ as Mueller encircles top aides

    Donald Tump is “living in his own world” and refusing to take special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation seriously, the Washington Post reports.

    One adviser described Trump as “confident, even arrogant” in his belief that Mueller’s probe will draw to a close soon.

    But for all of Trump’s self-assuredness, people familiar with the investigation told the Washington Post the special counsel’s investigation is likely to carry on for at least another year.

    CNN on Monday reported Trump predicts a “letter” of exoneration from Mueller, noting allies fear a “meltdown” if he doesn’t receive it.

    https://www.rawstory.com/2017/12/he-is-living-in-his-own-world-trump-confident-even-arrogant-as-mueller-encircles-top-aides/

  17. Trog Sorrenson @ #769 Tuesday, December 19th, 2017 – 1:09 pm

    What happened next has stunned electricity industry insiders and given food for thought over the near to medium term future of the grid, such was the rapid response of the Tesla big battery to an event that happened nearly 1,000km away.

    Oh, for goodness sake. Your articles just keep getting sillier, Trog. Shorn of the breathless hyperbole, what this article says is that the Telsa battery did precisely what it was designed, built and contracted to do.

  18. Trog – when I looked on the Renew Economy graph showing power generation a couple of days ago the Hornsdale battery showed up as 100 MW of power supply. A few minutes later and no sign of it. Must have looked at one of its on times. What sort of payments will be made for such input?

  19. Trump team’s meeting with Mueller’s office could ratchet up tensions

    When White House lawyers meet with special counsel Robert S. Mueller’s office late this week, the president’s attorneys are seeking assurance that he will be cleared. But people with knowledge of the investigation said it could last at least another year.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-teams-meeting-with-muellers-office-poised-to-ratchet-up-tensions/2017/12/18/15dac668-e41d-11e7-a65d-1ac0fd7f097e_story.html?utm_term=.79df06315568

  20. Jolyon

    No I do not argue Hillary worse, just that they are now equal. Both are the tools of the US military establishment.

    The only difference it seems to me is that Trump blunders in and states the obvious whereas Hillary would have had an identical policy but would have obfuscated.

    We are living in very dangerous times. I do not believe Trump is in control of anything except his butler.

  21. Wakefield

    Trog – when I looked on the Renew Economy graph showing power generation a couple of days ago the Hornsdale battery showed up as 100 MW of power supply. A few minutes later and no sign of it. Must have looked at one of its on times. What sort of payments will be made for such input?

    It’s coming on frequently. I think the payments, as part of the contract, are not publicly available. e.g. This support for an outage in NSW may or may not be part of the contract, but it certainly provided a service, for which Malky should be very grateful.

  22. victoria says: Tuesday, December 19, 2017 at 1:34 pm

    PhoenixRed

    Another year?! The damage may be irreversible by then. This needs to be seriously sorted soon!

    **************************************************

    Would be good if Mueller gave Trump his Xmas present – a lump of coal and an indictment ( gift wrapped of course )

    Meanwhile :

    John Schindler‏Verified account @20committee

    Some media outlets are under FBI/IC investigation for poss ties to Kremlin pals. It’s not just Fox.

    I think I’ve already said too much.

  23. **The past decade has been awful from the CPG.**
    many would argue they write about things that people want to read about – what sells.

    Nothing to do with the fact that pathetic political punditry is much easier to write than fearless and impartial policy appraisal.

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