The Coalition recovers just a little bit from its low base in this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, which incorporates new results from Newspoll, Essential Research and YouGov. The Coalition is up half a point on the primary vote and 0.3% on two-party preferred, although the bigger mover is One Nation, which came in higher from all three pollsters. The only change on the seat projection is a gain for the Coalition in Victoria. After a leap last week on the back of the monthly Essential Research numbers, Malcolm Turnbull’s is down again on the leadership trend after a very different result from Newspoll. The bigger picture on these measures is how remarkably little change there has been since last year’s election.
BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor
Mild improvement for the Coalition in the poll aggregate this week after better results from Essential Research and YouGov (though not Newspoll).
Would somebody (anybody) start a rumor to the affect that the HC has delayed a decision on dual citizens until next week.
This will give me time to arrange for popcorn to be included in my weekly goodies delivery from Colesworths next Saturday.
Thank you. kind hearts. 💘
Comment on First Dog by “CountryMember”
True indeed!
Happy 1st April to everybody.
😇😇😇
So Abbott is a “Commonwealth public official”.
CTar1
BBC Breaking
Mugabe been given the flick by WHO after ‘reconsideration’ …
Thank god what were they thinking.
Steely – I think it a little strange that the report talks about falling support but includes no comparison figures.
I have not done the news round or scrolled through bludgers yet, but I read the report again and the numbers are plausible but the tone of the memo still reads fake to me. If it is fake I still don’t get the the reason, who gets the gain, maybe they know something we don’t like the rumors are true and it might be enough for him to pull the pin.
Court Lists up for HC
Only Culleton v Bell is on tomorrow.
Citizen
So Abbott is a “Commonwealth public official”.
—————————————————–
As apparantly are many, many others.
From the Criminal Code
Commonwealth public official means:
(a) the Governor‑General; or
(b) a person appointed to administer the Government of the Commonwealth under section 4 of the Constitution; or
(c) a Minister; or
(d) a Parliamentary Secretary; or
(e) a member of either House of the Parliament; or
(f) an individual who holds an appointment under section 67 of the Constitution; or
(g) the Administrator, an Acting Administrator, or a Deputy Administrator, of the Northern Territory; or
(h) the Administrator, an Acting Administrator, or a Deputy Administrator, of Norfolk Island; or
(i) a Commonwealth judicial officer; or
(j) an APS employee; or
(k) an individual employed by the Commonwealth otherwise than under the Public Service Act 1999; or
(l) a member of the Australian Defence Force; or
(m) a member or special member of the Australian Federal Police; or
(n) an individual (other than an official of a registered industrial organisation) who holds or performs the duties of an office established by or under a law of the Commonwealth, other than:
(i) the Corporations (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander) Act 2006; or
(ii) the Australian Capital Territory (Self‑Government) Act 1988; or
(iii) the Corporations Act 2001; or
(iv) the Norfolk Island Act 1979; or
(v) the Northern Territory (Self‑Government) Act 1978; or
(o) an officer or employee of a Commonwealth authority; or
(p) an individual who is a contracted service provider for a Commonwealth contract; or
(q) an individual who is an officer or employee of a contracted service provider for a Commonwealth contract and who provides services for the purposes (whether direct or indirect) of the Commonwealth contract; or
(r) an individual (other than an official of a registered industrial organisation) who exercises powers, or performs functions, conferred on the person by or under a law of the Commonwealth, other than:
(i) the Corporations (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander) Act 2006; or
(ii) the Australian Capital Territory (Self‑Government) Act 1988; or
(iii) the Corporations Act 2001; or
(iv) the Norfolk Island Act 1979; or
(v) the Northern Territory (Self‑Government) Act 1978; or
(vii) a provision specified in the regulations; or
(s) an individual who exercises powers, or performs functions, conferred on the person under a law in force in the Territory of Christmas Island or the Territory of Cocos (Keeling) Islands (whether the law is a law of the Commonwealth or a law of the Territory concerned); or
(t) the Registrar, or a Deputy Registrar, of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Corporations
[bemused
So Mal the Magnificent bemoans the fact that the NBN may never make a profit.
Perhaps he might like to enlighten us on how roads, other than toll roads, make a profit? And that’s just one example.
Some things are just needed for society to function properly and to provide infrastructure that supports prosperity in other sectors of the economy.]
Yes, the Right seem to fail to grasp that if you properly develop and maintain the Society you then create an environment where the Society and business can thrive.
Also, if you create something that is saleable you might be able to sell it at a profit.
Brandis taking the piss in regards to Estimates.
[Penny Wong versus George Brandis is one of the highlights of any estimates hearing. For what it is worth, Brandis appeared to take quite a few questions on notice. Given that, it might be worth notice that he currently has 18 answers overdue for questions relating to his role as attorney-general on notice, with one dating back to October last year. They are supposed to be answered within 30 days.
As minister representing the prime minister, there are another 26 questions unanswered, but to be fair, the prime minister i s the hold up there. (He still has to answer them, despite Brandis representing him in the Senate).
As for estimates questions, Brandis has not returned answers on any of the questions he took on notice at the May budget estimates round for the attorney-general’s department. Lucky for us, there is another hearing featuring the AG tomorrow.]
The Guardian blog.
More of the Government trying to avoid scrutiny.
[Talking about estimates hearings which are coming up, this has just lobbed from Joel Fitzgibbon:
The Government tabled the Annual Report of the Department of Agriculture & Water Resources after Question Time today despite the fact Barnaby Joyce received it on September 27.
Senate Estimates for the Department begin tomorrow.
The 11th hour tabling of the Annual Report is a shameless attempt by the Turnbull Government to protect Barnaby Joyce and his mismanagement of his portfolio.
The Annual Report is a critical document for Senate Committee scrutiny and the Opposition should have been given more time to study it. The Department no doubt has found it challenging to justify Barnaby Joyce’s various boondoggles, pork barrelling exercises and massively underspent, poorly thought-through programs.
Barnaby Joyce can run but he can’t hide.
*end statement*]
The Guardian blog.
The other thing I seem to recall (and I could be wrong) is that it was the Liberals who allowed retailers to advertise plans as “up to”.
30 reasons the NEG is bad policy
http://reneweconomy.com.au/30-reasons-to-question-the-national-energy-guarantee-and-its-not-just-politics-47097/
As well as the NBN disaster, Ch 10 news had an item where leading economists (i.e. Richardson of Access Economics) claim wage rises were just around the corner. Cue Turnbull in hi-viz claiming credit for something that may or may not happen. Also, Labor pointing out that Turnbull has presided over a long period of no wage rises.
On the NBN, I have long wondered about the acceptance of fibre connection costs, to the premises being as high as claimed ($2600 IIRC).
New Zealand is doing it for a lot less and declining.
Maybe it is because I have an engineering mindset, but I see the claimed cost as a challenge to devise improved and innovative methods to do it cheaper.
I recall the rollout of the cable for cable TV, including the wasteful duplication represented by Telstra and Optus cables and there was no cost or other barrier to delivering to the premises.
Why now with NBN?
I posted about this previously but here is an introductory to my favourite lecturer.
An excellent course (all 25 + of them) for people who want to make an attempt at understanding modern society and (most) politicians. ( some are beyond explanation)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NNnIGh9g6fA
DisplayName @ #1506 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 4:32 pm
I was in a chat session with a broadband retailer today who told me that the NBN will not allow them to quote minimum download speeds even though they can provided!
Every time you hear him speak, Turnbull sounds like a disreputable salesman. Which, of course, is what he is.
Easybeats George Young Vale.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-23/the-case-for-an-east-coast-gas-reservation-policy/9074896
I assume that a gas reservation policy will be wildly popular at the next election. Another hammer Labor will used to crush Malcolm.
Forget for a second that Tony Abbott is man you despise, prosecutions using assaulting a government official as a charge means four fifths of FA. The bloke assuming he has not got a criminal history littered with violence will get a fine, good behavior bond and at the most some community service, such is our legal system today.
McKim has just accused the head of Border Farce of “having fascist tendencies”.
He withdrew only to keep the Estimates continuing.
Trump & Co are stacking all the federal circuit courts with incredibly reactionary and some downright wacky judges who will be in place for decades to come.
Progressive life in the US is about to get much more difficult – no matter what the population may really want
Further to the Ch 10 story on Turnbull’s favourite go-to economic forecsater who seems to appear at just the right time:
Steelydan @ #1515 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 5:20 pm
What do you want him to get?
How likely is it that when the green shoots sprout, profits will rise and wages will remain the same?
Steelydan @ #1515 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 4:20 pm
Which is the most he should get, considering the minimal amount of harm caused (if any; I question whether a “very, very slightly swollen lip” is actually a swollen lip at all).
Especially if the charge is going to be jacked up to causing harm to a public official. If that’s the statute, then minimal harm caused should bias the outcome towards minimal punishment. And Abbott should have to provide documentary evidence of the harm suffered.
citizen
Yeah, around the same corner as the “Real Malcolm”.
booleanbach
Trump & Co are stacking all the federal circuit courts with incredibly reactionary and some downright wacky judges who will be in place for decades to come.
Progressive life in the US is about to get much more difficult – no matter what the population may really want
Don’t think you want the “Population” in the USA to ever to have a vote on abortion for one, ever. Even in Australia it would barely be a majority.
Ghost is tweeting Reachtel poll for Wentworth. Ten point swing to Labor on 2pp
Not impressed.
Which is the most he should get, considering the minimal amount of harm caused (if any; I question whether a “very, very slightly swollen lip” is actually a swollen lip at all).
Bullshit missing a person in a violent act should mean little, a few centimeters has meant death to quite a few Australians, and not just young men on the piss but Doctors doing there duty.
Say the bloke missed when he tried to head butt Julia Gillard? Hypocrite
Jeff Cousins on ABC Sydney polishing Mal’s NBN turd.
Copy paper or toilet paper? This is a tragedy.
Aqualung @ #1528 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 5:13 pm
What’s Cousins saying?
Chris Richardson of Access Economics claims wage rises were just around the corner.
Tomorrow never comes.
Richardson was little Johnie’s favourite economist – his ‘GST’ boy.
BK somewhere in amongst the bs were wtte that it was labor’s fault originally. He reprised the old it was put together overnight by Rudd and Conroy and as he was with Telstra and had something to do with optus in his opinion it was poorly conceived. He claims Mal’s crap will get better.
Paraphrasing a bit but that’s the gist.
A fuller account of McKim’s “fascist” comment I referred to earlier in Estimates.
[Paul Karp
In Senate estimates Greens immigration spokesman, Nick McKim, has said a speech given by the head of the immigration department Michael Pezzulloshowed “fascist tendencies”.
McKim was referring to a speech given by Pezzullo to justify the Home Affairs department of which he is secretary-designate. According to The Mandarin, Pezzullo warned a “dark universe” is emerging as a consequence of globalisation and Australia needs the new security mega-department to confront the forces of evil.
McKim: “I read your speech you gave for the philosophical context of the new department with interest and terror – equal parts I might say.”
Pezzullo: “Sorry, you were terrified?”
McKim: “I was terrified of your thought processes, yes, I don’t like fascists and authoritarians.”
Pezzullo: “I beg your pardon?”
McKim: “I thought that some fascist tendencies came out in that speech.”
McKim is asked to withdraw the comment, and he does so. He did not elaborate which part of the speech he was referring to.]
The Guardian blog.
Is Cousins a mate of Mals? I know his name rings a bell but can’t remember all his background.
Steelydan @ #1527 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 4:43 pm
Then charge him with attempted causation of harm (or attempted murder, for the most extreme level of absurdity), if that’s what you want.
He definitely committed assault. That’s carried by his own admission. But the new statute he’s being charged with (see: Criminal Code s147.1) requires that harm actually be caused. An opinion that missing the headbutt should mean little, means little.
I didn’t say one word about Gillard? But no matter, my position is the same regardless of who the recipient of the ineffectual harm is. I support having punishment that’s proportional to the actual crime committed.
GT
Ghost has tweeted polls for Wentworth, Kooyong and Warringah. Must be from that ReachTell the Aus Institute did yesterday on renewable energy.
Geoff Cousins is the correct spelling. Apologies. And a link
https://www.crikey.com.au/2006/09/25/the-colourful-past-of-geoffrey-cousins/
“Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull is “thrilled” with predictions a lift in wages growth – the missing link in Australia’s economic expansion – is on the cards”.
When is the next wage case due, and will the government make a submission supporting a rise larger than the cost of living increases?
IOM
Yeah but a Ten point gain to Labor in 2pp terms in his own seat is extraordinary for Turnbull.
If it keeps up by election time he could be facing a Howard result.
Ah found it
GhostWhoVotes: #ReachTEL Poll Seat of Wentworth 2 Party Preferred: Turnbull LIB 57 (-10.8 since election) ALP 43 (+10.8) #auspol
If you’ve got double figure swings in safe Liberal seat then it stands to reason that the swing is not as strong in the marginals.
GT
Turnbull is still safe on 2PP
I also question the Warringah result. 2016 was a non classic division as it ended Lib v Green.
The strongest most meaningful thing Turnbull could have done when he assumed leadership, as part of his innovation plan (remember that), was to pivot the NBN. Even if not fully successful, he would have got credit in spades.
So why didn’t he, either:
It simply didn’t occur to him,
It was part of some ‘agreement’ with the Nationals (which seems unlikely).
It was part of some other unknown, agreement.
He received figures and it was too expensive.
He could have said they would spend $30bn on fixing what they broke (with money from the submarines), moved the head office to Adelaide and he and the rest of the country would be better off than what we are now.