BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor

Mild improvement for the Coalition in the poll aggregate this week after better results from Essential Research and YouGov (though not Newspoll).

The Coalition recovers just a little bit from its low base in this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, which incorporates new results from Newspoll, Essential Research and YouGov. The Coalition is up half a point on the primary vote and 0.3% on two-party preferred, although the bigger mover is One Nation, which came in higher from all three pollsters. The only change on the seat projection is a gain for the Coalition in Victoria. After a leap last week on the back of the monthly Essential Research numbers, Malcolm Turnbull’s is down again on the leadership trend after a very different result from Newspoll. The bigger picture on these measures is how remarkably little change there has been since last year’s election.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,721 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.6-46.4 to Labor”

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  1. Leroy

    And it’s worsened over the last few years, with ‘The Age’ having its nose put out of joint, firstly by having two of its journalists taken to court and found guilty (no conviction recorded due to it being a first offence) for misuse of the ALP database, and then an Age journo mislaying a dictaphone with sensitive material on it (notably an interview with Ted Ballieu) at the Labor State Conference.

  7. Actually CT, Magda Z. is extremely good and really dealt well with that mad woman next to her.
    I can see her taking a role in public life if she has a mind to.

  9. bemused @ #1700 Monday, October 23rd, 2017 – 11:18 pm

    Actually CT, Magda Z. is extremely good and really dealt well with that mad woman next to her.
    I can see her taking a role in public life if she has a mind to.

    Because headbutts are out I was hoping that Magda would give the dopey guy a Chinese burn.
    I suspect that nothing would penetrate the lunacy of the “mad woman”.
    I am also impressed with Magda and think she has a great future doing whatever she would like to do turn her hand to.
    Goodnight all.

  10. Didn’t catch Q&A tonight. I was very busy earlier catching up on tasks I’d been procrastinating badly on. By the time I felt I’d done enough for tonight I just wanted to switch off my brain, so I watched a recorded episode of The Bill instead.

    I’m pretty over the debate on same sex marriage. I marked my form “Yes” and posted it over a month ago.

    Since there are no plans to make it compulsory, to force Churches to change their doctrines or to force religious celebrants to conduct same sex marriages, I don’t see what the problem is. It really is as simple as that. The churches no longer have the influence they once had to direct lawmakers reflect their world view in the law of the land. They and their followers just have to live with it.

  11. Can we ban religious celebrants from conducting any marriages? As in, a marriage can only be legally effected by the appropriate state-sponsored nondiscriminatory civil servant, and then anyone who wants to pay extra to have a religiously-oriented (or not) ceremony performed by a willing celebrant can do that if they want (but it carries no actual legal relevance)?

  13. US:

    Solar panel sales going through a slump –

    In California, the No. 1 solar market, residential solar permits fell 20 percent in the third quarter from the previous year. That was an improvement from the 30 percent decline year to date.

    And it looks like Trump is going to make it worse –

    Last month, the International Trade Commission found imports had harmed domestic manufacturers, setting the stage for Trump to consider imposing tariffs or other relief to protect the sector.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-solar/solar-installers-press-homeowners-to-buy-ahead-of-tariff-idUSKBN1CP152

  14. A R

    As in, a marriage can only be legally effected by the appropriate state-sponsored nondiscriminatory civil servant

    The majority of our Civil Marriage Celebrants aren’t public servants. The apply to be a CMC and charge a fee for doing it.

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