The latest fortnightly YouGov poll for FiftyAcres is more conventional than its previous efforts in that the major parties’ share of the primary vote has increased, with Labor gaining three points to 35% without biting into the Coalition’s 34%. Of the others, the Greens are down a point to 11%, One Nation is steady on 9%, the Nick Xenophon Team is down one to 3%, “Christian parties” are steady on 3%, Katter’s Australian Party is steady on 1%, and others are down two to 3%. Despite Labor’s improvement on the primary vote, two-party preferred is unchanged at 50-50 due to weaker respondent-allocated preference flows to Labor, of 67% from Greens voters, 22% from One Nation voters and 50% from the rest. With preference flows more like last year’s election, at which Labor got 82% of Greens preferences and 49% of everybody else’s, Labor would lead 54-46.
Also in the poll:
• Malcolm Turnbull has a 37-29 lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister, compared with 34-27 last time. A high “not sure” result has been a feature of the pollster’s form in this area.
• Head-to-head questions on leadership attributes found Bill Shorten leading Malcolm Turnbull 30-17 for being in touch with the concerns of ordinary Australians; Turnbull leading 28-20 on being a strong leader; and Shorten leading 24-22 on sticking to what he believes in. For a lot more of this sort of thing, I had a paywalled article on Crikey which placed the detailed leadership attributes polling of Essential Research into broader perspective.
• Support for same-sex marriage was at at 59%, with 33% opposed. Eighty per cent rated themselves likely participants in the postal survey compared with 13% for unlikely, but there are no breakdowns for the yes and no camps.
• Sixty-six per cent favoured the proposition that “Australia should move towards more alternative energy source (e.g. wind or solar)” over an alternative, that “Australia should continue to use coal-fired power stations”.
• Forty-three per cent of respondents thought it likely a country would be attacked with a nuclear weapon during their lifetime, compared with 44% for unlikely.
Elsewhere:
• Progressive think thank the Australia Institute has polled the Hunter region seats of Hunter and Shortland, to gauge the impact of AGL’s decision to close the locally situated Liddell coal-fired power station. On two-party preferred, Labor holds respective leads of 60-40 and 58-42, which compare with 62.5-37.5 and 59.9-40.1 at the last election. The other story is that the primary votes show the One Nation well into double digits in both seats. After including results of the follow-up prompt for the undecided, primary votes in Hunter are Labor 44.1% (51.8% at the election), Nationals 21.9% (26.3%), Greens 7.3% (7.1%) and One Nation 15.8%. In Shortland, the results are Labor 44.8% (51.2%), Liberal 26.5% (35.2%), Greens 7.8% (9.5%) and One Nation 14.3%. Despite everything, the poll finds more support than oppose AGL’s decision, and that renewables are heavily favoured over coal. The polls were conducted by ReachTEL on Friday and Saturday nights, from respective samples of 714 and 643. Full results from GhostWhoVotes.
• Sky News reports that polling conducted by the “no” campaign has support for yes down over the first ten days of the campaign from 67% to 60%, although there’s no insight into how this was conducted or by whom.
Lovely outcome re: Mr. Roberts. Should put a dent in his arrogance and pomposity, not to mention this stupid idea he seems to have that if he believes something that it just makes it so.
Good to hear KJ. Hope you enjoy the feetball.
Another person I hope gets a good laugh out of Malcolm Roberts is Professor Brian Cox.
So half of Pawleen’s Senators have been binned already? And she and her motley crew hold this nation to ransom with their swing votes!?!
monica
Lovely outcome re: Mr. Roberts. Should put a dent in his arrogance and pomposity, not to mention this stupid idea he seems to have that if he believes something that it just makes it so.
Indeed. Roberts will be trying hard to figure out where it all went wrong.
You all need to watch the interview vid in this tweet
“I’m never going to get the opportunity to headbutt that c**t again … so I seized a moment” – Man charged with headbutting Tony Abbott.
https://twitter.com/7NewsMelbourne/status/911143719541260288
Tony Abbott: Hobart DJ Astro ‘Funknukl’ Labe charged over alleged headbutt assault of former PM
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-09-22/astro-labe-charged-over-alleged-assault-of-tony-abbott/8975454
The transcript for Roberts hearing yesterday is at last up
http://www.austlii.edu.au/cgi-bin/viewdoc/au/cases/cth/HCATrans/2017/192.html
High Court has found that Senator Roberts was a citizen of the UK by descent at the time of his nomination http://eresources.hcourt.gov.au/downloadPdf/2017/HCA/39
monica
“Should put a dent in his arrogance and pomposity, not to mention this stupid idea he seems to have that if he believes something that it just makes it so.”
.
Nah he will just come up with some conspiracy theory about it. He was in the right but “they” all cconspired against him.
Fairfax said Hc confirmed Roberts was a citizen and didn’t take reasonableness steps.
Have the Hc confirmed he will be removed as a senator?
briefly
I bet he doesn’t find any fault with himself, but finds someone to blame, or a conspiracy.
I reckon one of the funniest cartoons recently was of the lawyers in the robing room and one asking who was acting for Roberts. Over in a corner in a foetal position on the floor sobbing was a forlorn figure.
wendy_harmer: You won’t believe it!
#doitinadress has just passed $400k
doitinadress.com
“Ah, anarchists, so 19th century, but always more literary than islamicists.”
Pre WW1 the anarchists were a major threat, between 1890 and 1905 they assassinated 6 heads of state, including US President McKinley.
So they could be seen as an equivalent to islamicists.
Problem is they never organised.
I can’t and won’t condone the headbutting of Abbottt, but I think a lot of people have thought about doing it….!
C@tmomma @ #1538 Friday, September 22nd, 2017 – 4:11 pm
How did that song go again? Oh yeah:
John Reidy
Clevah!
poroti
snap
I would just like to inform everyone here that I am indeed a senior official in the UK government, but I have never received an email from Malcolm Roberts.
I have informed the Australian High Court of this fact.
[monica
Lovely outcome re: Mr. Roberts. Should put a dent in his arrogance and pomposity, not to mention this stupid idea he seems to have that if he believes something that it just makes it so.]
The best thing is it removes his main platform.
I wonder how many in the media are willing to continue to give him one?
stopadani: BREAKING: Minerals Council CEO Brendan Pearson steps down after BHP falls out of love with MCA’s love of coal. #StopAdani #auspol
Has noone laughed at the name astrolabe yet? I am disappointed.
BernardKeane: Brendan Pearson should reflect on just how much bullshit the MCA peddled on his watch that even mining companies jacked up about it.
guytaur
I just sent a tweet to Professor Cox. Whether he sees it or not is another matter. I’m sure he reads the press and will become aware of it sooner or later.
The trial of the Hobart fellow could turn into a gala event with much theatrics, a goodly number of lawyers and a large contingent of mainland* journos.
*aka the “northern island” in Taswegian speak.
John Reidy
There were, of course, many non-violent anarchists.
One of my heroines was Simone Weil the French anarchist (who incidently went to school at the École Normale Supérieure with Simone de Beauvoir and beat her in the exams).
She was quite small and had to attend French Union Congress meetings accompanied by big burly anarchist unionists to protect her from the violence of the USSR Communists!!!!
DG
Cool 🙂
OK..
I was wrong..
Tony Abbott WAS assaulted ..by a self-proclaimed anarchist..
Completely unacceptable behaviour..
monica
briefly
I bet he doesn’t find any fault with himself, but finds someone to blame, or a conspiracy.
I reckon one of the funniest cartoons recently was of the lawyers in the robing room and one asking who was acting for Roberts. Over in a corner in a foetal position on the floor sobbing was a forlorn figure.
I enjoyed that one, too. Mailer Daemon is obviously a plant by the cabal, who showed a lot of foresight in the way they created and then disabled those email accounts, luring Roberts into a false sense of renunciation…
lizzie
Brian CoxVerified account
@ProfBrianCox
Australian High Court have ruled on “issues of fact” against @SenatorMRoberts . Data is data, Malcolm – you should have listened to me
beautiful!
Another $m or so to be deducted from ABC budget.
More Survey papers being stolen
http://www.smh.com.au/national/samesex-marriage-survey-envelopes-found-in-bin-of-mona-vale-apartment-block-20170922-gymxlw.html
Despite claims made earlier by others that #headbuttgate would work against the Yes campaign, I beg to differ.
Now that the truth is out, and the Libs Fan Club (ABC, 7, 9, Arsetralian, Daily Tellmecrap, et al) are still peddling the myth that the incident was about SSM, it’s not going to do the Yes side any damage. It merely reinforces the widespread belief that the MSM cannot be trusted.
Bill Shorten is n the Project tonight.
DR Norman Swan grew up in Scotland. He wore dresses with no underwear. Does not see any harm coming of it. Just now on the Drum
when and where is the project?
CC
Channel Ten
The anarchist was interviewed on channel nine news. Turns out I was right in thinking the almost headbutt was as a result of this guy not liking Abbott. Nothing to do with ssm
BiGD
I will be surprised if the MSM don’t keep going to him for comment, apart from a few notable exceptions.
For most of the day the ABC has been regurgitating the Abbott head butt as being all about SSM. It’s only been towards the end of the day that this is being challenged by actual stuff Astro Labe has said. Funny name, that.
briefly
That’s a lovely conspiracy theory. Perhaps you could send it to Mr. Roberts. Snicker.
Dan Gulberry
Ch7 News interview with him.
https://twitter.com/7NewsMelbourne/status/911143719541260288
lizzie @ #1574 Friday, September 22nd, 2017 – 4:47 pm
There you go. Professor Cox is already aware of Roberts fate.
As expected this survey is turning into a farce. By the time results are in people will have very little faith left in the process. All because Turnbull has no authority in his own party and we are all paying for it one way or another.
It will be great once this idiot Roberts get booted out of the senate. He is disgracing the entire institution.
poroti @ #1589 Friday, September 22nd, 2017 – 5:01 pm
Just overheard the headlines for 7 in Perth. Pushing the “SSM debate turns ugly as Tony Abbott headbutted by Yes supporter” line.
Will check out full bulletin to see if they air that footage. They have a habit of running their own agenda despite what gets shown in the East.
Good interview by Mr Shorten
Looked statesmanlike.
monica
“For most of the day the ABC has been regurgitating the Abbott head butt as being all about SSM. ”
———–
There may be a pattern here ………… (i rarely watch ABC/USBS news anymore). It is possibly the Stockholme Syndrome. The ABC identifies with their torturers.
Plus, i think the ABC folows an “equal opportunity” policy for news employees: i.e. idiots have equal opportunity.
Thanks, windhover 🙂
Still disappointed that #nutthec*nt isn’t trending on Twitter. (Replace the asterisk with a “u”).
Reposting this now since this blog is very hard to navigate..
I met a young gay friend recently. 22. Arab. Muslim and having to hide his true self every minute of the day. His parents have access to his phone so he cannot have gay friends txt or call him.
I asked about the survey. He told me his dad opened the letter and was going to hand the form to him. He had to respond quickly and say “no you handle that”.
When you see how this affects real lives and how far we have to go on homophobia its only natural to feel pissef off at how some defend the contempt for gay people inherent in denying civil marriage.
This isn’t just the Christian religion. Giving gay people the respect inherent in legal marriage is just one step towards breaking homophobia directed towards my young friend and others like him by other faiths and cultures.