As reported by The Guardian, the Coalition has picked up a point on Essential Research’s fortnight rolling average for the second week in a row, reducing Labor’s lead to 52-48. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up one to 36%, Labor is down one to 36%, One Nation is up a point to 11% and the Greens are steady on 10% (UPDATE: No, actually it’s the Coalition steady on 38% and One Nation up one to 8% – the rest is okay). Further:
• On the question of who would be best to lead the Liberal Party, Malcolm Turnbull recorded 25%, up five since March; Julie Bishop 20%, down three; Tony Abbott 10%, unchanged; and 13% chose an unspecified “someone else” option. For Labor, Bill Shorten was on 20%, down one; Tanya Plibersek 13%, unchanged; Anthony Albanese 13%, up two; with someone else on 13%.
• Fifty-two per cent were of the view that economic inequality was worsening, with 26% saying it was stable and only 12% concurring with Scott Morrison’s suggestion that it was diminishing. No doubt relatedly, 82% supported forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on their Australian earnings; 61% favoured a higher top-tier income tax rate; 71% a “Buffett rule” to force the wealthy to pay a minimum 30% tax rate; and 86% measures to inhibit the wealthy from minimising tax payments by sending funds offshore.
• Fifty-eight per cent expressed support for four-year terms, with only 24% opposed.
Another poll worth noting is a rare effort on voting intention in the Australian Capital Territory, conducted by ReachTEL for Anglicare and the Canberra Gambling Reform Alliance, which records Labor on 36.4% (down 2.0% since the 2016 election), the Liberals on 38.8% (up 2.1%) and the Greens on 13.3% (up 3.0%).
Rasmussen has gone below 40% approval for Trump. That is truly extraordinary.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Ratsak:
Yes he’s one of the worst kinds of hypocrites who complain about taxpayer funded whatever, but are the first to stick their hand out for pork when it’s offered.
“I have the highest stock market ever. The highest in the history of stock markets!”
a r @ #149 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 11:12 am
It is also contrary to the Crikey / William’s guidelines, but when has that ever bothered some?
If the right want to roll Turnbull and not instantly drop massively in the polls, they need a Casus Belli that the public will support.
ME is not such a trigger. Taking down the sitting PM because he supports something that 2/3rds or more of Australians support will not end well for the Liberals.
Commence popcorning
Voice Endeavour @ #155 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 11:27 am
Shhhh don’t warn them! 😀
Americans ‘enduring a death toll equal to 9-11 every three weeks’ from opioid crisis: report
The United States is losing 142 Americans every day from drug overdoses, according to a shocking new report from the Commission on Combating Drug Addiction and the Opioid Crisis.
http://www.rawstory.com/2017/07/americans-enduring-a-death-toll-equal-to-9-11-every-three-weeks-from-opioid-crisis-report/
“We’re winning bigly! It’s too much stock market winning!!”
@ Bemused – oh yes.
All those polls indicating that Australians want everyone to have rights are just fake news.
Roll Turnbull and you’ll win bigly. So much that you’re sick of winning!
So is the spill actually likely?
If memory is correct there is only 4-5 predictions for dates of the spill on dan’s list that havent been passed.
Fess
Labor Senator Justine Keay put out her statement. Renounced UK citizenship month before nominations closed.
Apparently HBO has been hacked and Game of Thrones eps may have been leaked.
Ides:
Good to know, thanks.
Ides of March @ #119 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 8:30 am
I think you’ll find their vote will change to “yes” if it becomes apparent that a couple of Liberals will cross the floor and there is the very high probability of Truffles on toast shortly thereafter.
test
Grimace
The 5 or 6 im thinking of come from backgrounds/seats less inclined to be supportive. I think that most the Labor caucus is in support because they want gay marriage, not just because they can get one over Turnbull on the issue.
Turnbull with Cash in Perth.
First question on employment of young people … Turnbull says “This govt is committed to youth employment in a secure environment ….” directly back to terrorism.
The right of the Liberal Party are using SSM as a pawn in the power game to roll Turnbull.
However, what happens next?
The right obviously feel they have all the safe seats locked up. So are impervious to any dramatic swing. It would serve those moderate lefties right to lose their seat were an election called immediately.
You might see a rump carve off and sit as Independents maybe supporting Labor to introduce certain Legislation like SSM on the basis that an election follows. Shorten would go to the polls as PM under that sort of scenario.
When the Libs have lost sight of their raison d’etre of being in power, you know they re troubled souls.
confessions @ #162 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 11:43 am
Looks like it’s the Liberal party Room is who dunnit!
confessions @ #162 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 11:43 am
I blame the ALP.
Trump dictated son’s misleading statement on meeting with Russian lawyer
The president directed that Trump Jr.’s statement to the Times describe the meeting as unimportant. He wanted the statement to say that the meeting had been initiated by the Russian lawyer and primarily was about her pet issue — the adoption of Russian children.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-dictated-sons-misleading-statement-on-meeting-with-russian-lawyer/2017/07/31/04c94f96-73ae-11e7-8f39-eeb7d3a2d304_story.html?utm_term=.a338b25b5d60
P1
Not it was definitely young people wanting avocados and coffee who are at fault.
CTar1 @ #167 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 11:55 am
You know that when they say ‘this govt is committed to ..’ whatever it is they’re committed to has just gone pear shaped.
It begins just about every sentence Gladys says, as in ‘this govt is comitted to stability’ as she announces the reversal of a half completed completely ballsedup council merger pear.
Player One @ #170 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 10:00 am
If it wasn’t for the dead weight of Bill Shorten this would never have happened.
Hottest July on record for Australia.
Locally, we smashed the hottest July day by nearly 2°
BOM must be making it up. There is no other illogical right wing ideological red neck explanation for it.
Trump In Free Fall As His Favorite Poll Shows Approval Rating In The 30s For The First Time
According to a Rasmussen Reports survey released today, Trump’s approval rating stands at a dismal 39 percent – the first time it’s fallen below 40 in this Trump-leaning poll.
Rasmussen has long shown the president’s approval numbers higher than other polling firms, but it now appears that not even the right-leaning pollster can mask the unmitigated disaster that Donald Trump has been.
http://www.politicususa.com/2017/07/31/trump-free-fall-favorite-poll-shows-approval-rating-30s-time.html
H.B.Woe
Simon Katich @ #175 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 12:15 pm
Fake weather!
I don’t intend to restart the energy wars, but this article today got me thinking …
[ http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-08-01/poor-feel-power-price-pain-because-solar-panels-out-of-reach/8761422 ]
The article (wrongly, I believe) blames the high cost of SA electricity on the high feed-in tariff given to solar panel owners. I’d like to do a quick straw-poll here on PB of those who have solar panels. Three simple questions:
1. How many kW of panels you have.
2. How many kWh of batteries you have (if any).
3. Your feed-in tariff
Just to kick things off, here’s my numbers:
1. 10 kW panels
2. 24 kWh batteries
3. zero tariff (I’m off grid)
1. 5 kW panels
2. no batteries
3. 11c feedin tariff
PhoenixRed
And yet Cannabis is still a Schedule 1 drug.
Big pharma has a lot To answer for
Player One @ #180 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 10:22 am
1. 6.25kW of panels overloaded on a 5kW inverter
2. No batteries
3. No REBS ($0.40 per kWh in WA) and FIT of ~$0.07 per kWh
FFS I’m sick of the media talking about only one small component, the wholesale price, of the total cost of electricity, as if it is what is driving our electricity prices. Why are we not talking about network charges (~50%) or the capacity charge (~20%). We may as well talk about how the LFAS charge (~2%) drives up electricity prices.
P1
No panels. Cant afford a house in Sydney.
1. 4.5 kW panels (4kW inverter)
2. no batteries
3. 11c feed-in tariff
I didn’t see/hear it, but
Bevan ShieldsVerified account
@BevanShields
This is one of Malcolm Turnbull’s worst press conferences in months #auspol
3.2KV of rooftop solar
no batteries
8 cents feed in tariff
(once upon a time we got 32 cents…….)
Player One @ #180 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 12:22 pm
I think the SACOSS fellow has been verballed.
Prices have risen because of all of the following: the price and market power of gas, excessive network charges, and the market power of the large retailers, the LRET and SRET subsidies, and the residential PV FiT cross-subsidy. They are separate components, and all add up.
The residential PV cross-subsidy has had a significant effect of bill (not large, but noticeable), but as PV is not accessible to low income households due to their financial constraints, neither has the PV FiT. Therefore, the PV FiT benefit is skewed to higher income and wealth homes. This is Ross Womersley’s key point.
The ABC has focussed on the cost/price side, rather than the benefit/equity side of his statement.
FWIW, I rent and do not have PV or batteries.
ps loving the ‘block’ feature……
Am still getting annoying emails saying someone has posted on Crikey. I can work that out without being bombarded by email.
Can someone please repost the C+ add on link?
Thanks folks. Did anyone ever get (or know of anyone who got) the 44 cent feed-in tariff mentioned in that article?
11 cents per kWh seems to be the current highest, which would not push up power prices significantly at all.
confessions @ #191 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 12:43 pm
Here is the firefox one: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/pb-comments-plugin/
Player One @ #192 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 10:47 am
Was only ever $0.40 in WA.
I heard Malcolm interviewed while driving earlier. He’s fully on board with the ‘need’ for a plebiscite on same sex marriage. It’s all Bill Shorten’s fault that the issue wasn’t resolved yesterday. Labor are playing politics with same sex marriage…
Blah blah blah…..
I arrived at my destination and missed the rest. But it seems pretty clear, Malcolm has taken on board the instructions of his party’s dominant far right wing. There will be no free vote on same sex marriage.
grimace @ #194 Tuesday, August 1st, 2017 – 10:50 am
Sorry to expand on that, $0.40 REBS and ~$0.07 FIT, so before mid 2012 anyone with solar got and are still getting a total of ~$0.47 per exported kWh. Anyone installing solar after mid 2012 just gets the ~$0.07.
P1
Beware, when you start the FiT war I go with Nukes.
A few years ago they estimated the FiT would add $100 per year, every year (to 2028) to everyones bill.
Meanwhile, those fortunate enough to be on 40c feed in were making money OR not concerned about reducing their energy use because they knew they could compensate it with the excessive FiT.
I heard the figure of $1.5+ billion+ to pay for the SA FiT. Now I am sure that would have had to have been spent anyway somewhere in the generation mix. But, in my opinion, it should have gone to utility scale renewables and other utility costs that encouraged smooth transition away from fossil fuel generation. That would have been more equitable and efficient use of the funds.
3 kw panels
28 cents
Kato,
Honestly man, why are you so sensible and reasonable?
So if it comes to a vote and the Catholic Labor wing defeat it on the floor of the HOR that could potentially be very damaging for Labor no? And if it does come up with a slim minority of Liberals vowing to cross the floor to support it, surely that’s quite a likely outcome?