A quiet week looms on the opinion poll front, but Perth’s Sunday Times newspaper entered the breach yesterday with a WA-only poll of federal voting intention conducted by Galaxy, tailored to coincide with cabinet’s visit to the state this week. The results delivered the paper the hard-hitting headline it was presumably angling for, recording Labor with a 52-48 two-party lead that amounts to a 6% swing compared with last year’s election. The primary vote results were Coalition 39% (down from 48.7%), Labor 37% (up from 32.4%) and Greens 11% (down from 12.1%), with One Nation on 5%. Malcolm Turnbull nonetheless recorded a 43-33 lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister. The poll also found 59% saying they would vote yes at a same-sex marrige plebiscite, compared with 32% for no; and 61% saying they did not trust the government to “change the distribution of GST revenue to ensure WA receives a fairer share”, with 21% saying they did. It was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 850.
⚽ 😢
Zoid:
That sounds like good news…? I certainly hope it is.
[BK
Barney in Go Dau @ #1270 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 5:21 pm
[lizzie
Alan JonesVerified account
@AlanJones
Shorten yesterday bowled a stack of bouncers at the Government and Turnbull had no idea how to play them. Time to change the batsman #auspol]
As I read it, I was expecting him to throw in a bodyline reference and accuse Labor of not playing fair.
Bouncers are not bodyline. Bodyline was a deliberate method to aim a rising ball into the armpit area thereby making scoring to a packed legside field almost impossible.
Bouncers are there to intimidate within the laws of the game and to tempt the batsman into a false shot.
So it was a good analogy from Jones in this case.]
Yes, but the critical element to bodyline was the field placement where the batsman could protect their themselves and get out or let it hit them and stay in whilst risking serious injury.
Addition
And I think Bill and Labor have a number of fielders behind square.
🙂
zoidlord @ #500 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:09 pm
I am so happy for you zoidy! Centrelink is a hard animal to tame!
Murdoch doesn’t own the WashPo. It’s the greatest paper in the world after the NYT. Murdoch owns the WSJ and NY Post.
Jeff Bezos, founder of Amazon.com bought Washington Post some time back. He thinks Trump is a doofus
Talking of football, having beaten Japan the Matilda’s are now top ranking in the world. Wonder if they still fly cattle class,
Turnbull under pressure:
http://www.theage.com.au/world/moscow-washington-take-down-guard-rails-in-bilateral-relationship-20170731-gxm63b.html
[But Moscow’s weekend confirmation that the US must cut its embassy staff by 755 comes as the two powers butt heads in the Middle East, as tension mount on the Korean Peninsula and the Ukraine crisis festers. All are unfolding with none of the guard-rail certainty that endured for more than four decades after World War II – and with both countries led by unpredictable, headstrong presidents.
As Vladimir Putin warned of possible further Russian measures against the US, the Trump administration was flexing is military muscle over the Koreas – flying two supersonic B-1 bombers over the peninsula with Japanese and South Korean aircraft along for the ride, at the same time as the US responded to a new North Korean missile test with its own missile defence test over the Pacific – which it claimed was a success. ]
sprocket_ @ #506 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:25 pm
And he has done the right thing with it. Contrary to my expectations.
A small glitch. I just downloaded duplicates of 140 posts, in reverse order, back to 3:35.
Dio
Fair point. Not sure that being owned by Amazon is much better – especially given the tie up with the CIA. Conflict of interest eh what. How can a paper whose owner has a $600 mill contract with the CIA seriously claim to be independent of government. Probably even more “owned by the US government than Pravda.
OK, OK a little extremo but you get my drift.
I think right are going to push the non compulsory, non binding postal vote for all it is worth.
They want to frame the question. They probably think if done the right way it won’t pass and so the put the issue off indefinitely.
Citizen I get that fairly regularly especially after I have just posted.
The best solution it to completely reload the page.
Lizzie
We are living in dangerous times. It feels very much like the 60s with large displays of military might in China, Russia and USA.
I predict that we will see a joint China Russia invasion of Nth Korea some time soon. It is the only way to cool the ardour of the yankees to blow the place up.
A sino-russian invasion of Korea….ohhhhh…that is loooodicrous….so glad that dtt is back
confessions @ #488 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 5:47 pm
Jeff Bezos, being the richest man in the world for a few hours last week until Bill Gates overtook him again, can afford to subsidise subscriptions to the WashPo in the same way Murdoch subsidises The Australian here, I imagine.
Lizzie:
Imagine if the US had an adult like Clinton in the presidency instead of the man baby whiny little bitch Trump and his team of incompetents. The world would be a way more safer and secure place. That the US Congress has to legislate in order to clip the pro-Russia wings of its president is unbelievable in the modern era and says it all about the incumbent POTUS.
briefly @ #516 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:46 pm
Have you always been a masochist, Briefly?
John Reidy
I think right are going to push the non compulsory, non binding postal vote for all it is worth.
Opponents of same sex marriage (SSM) see the plebiscite as the best way to kill SSM as an issue for a decade or more:
– It allows them to frame the question
– include limitations and exceptions in the event that it passes
– ‘hopefully’ the last point will divide supporters of SSM and cause many to stay at home or vote against it
– gives opponents an excuse and sufficient time to mount a scare / disinformation campaign
– hate groups will do their thing, officially deplored by the Government but the Right will appreciate their help
– being non-compulsory is even better. The Right has probably calculated that opponents are more likely to vote
– may provide opportunities for voter suppression
Labor can and should feel perfectly free to disregard the result when they get in and do it properly.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/voters-in-scott-morrisons-own-electorate-believe-hes-wrong-on-inequality-20170729-gxlk82.html
[Polling of voters in Mr Morrison’s southern Sydney seat of Cook has found nearly 85 per cent believe it is important for the government’s policies to reduce inequality.
The ReachTEL poll was conducted last Thursday, three days after Mr Morrison claimed inequality was reducing in Australia and accused Labor of prosecuting a dishonest “politics of envy” campaign on the issue.
But just 8 per cent of Mr Morrison’s constituents agree that inequality has improved.
]
C@t:
Well if the paper continues to get the goods on Team Trump then I figure it will have been a USD 99c well worth outlaying.
briefly @ #516 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:46 pm
At least quote her accurately, North Korea.
It is not entirely beyond the bounds of possibility although I think it would more likely be just the Chinese. They do not want to see the North collapse in chaos. If that threatens as the result of the NK nutters starting a war, the Chinese might move in to ‘restore stability’.
I predict that whoever it is that does whatever, the blame for it will lie entirely with the United States.
I’m still not happy that Amazon treats it’s warehouse workers abominably though. Just to save a few dollars more. I couldn’t behave that way towards my employees. Maybe that’s why I’ll never be the richest person in the world, I guess. Even if I could do something else that was good with my ill-gotten gains.
Reality bites (I’m fairly sure that the cost of security checking people and luggage is passed on to the airlines and ultimately their passengers):
confessions @ #522 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:49 pm
You betcha!
William Bowe @ #524 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:50 pm
Not the Australian Labor party?
kezza2 @ #296 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 2:06 pm
kezza2
I can’t say I’ve lived there, but have been going for decades, up to twice a year with some long stays, for work and fun, plus MOH had an office in NYC and LA, and Memphis for a while, so friends aplenty. GWB and the criminal Iraq war finally put the kybosh on it for me, and the last was during the London Olympics, so … 2012.
lizzie @ #521 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:48 pm
I feel sad for Scott Morrison. I mean, he thinks, nay believes, that he can just smirk at the nation like Peter Costello used to, and that they will be entranced enough to swallow any old cobblers that he puts in front of them. Just. Because. He. Says. So.
I cannot work out what depths of wisdom in TA’s mind have given rise to this belief.
Tony AbbottVerified account @TonyAbbottMHR · 7h7 hours ago
Sure we can make the country more equal but only by making it less prosperous. Get real, @billshortenmp
lizzie @ #531 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:57 pm
That is a common neo-Liberal meme.
“I predict that whoever it is that does whatever, the blame for it will lie entirely with the United States.
Not the Australian Labor party?”
In this case no, surely it would be the fault of Hillary Rodham Clinton.
lizzie @ #531 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 6:57 pm
Because Tony Abbott is an evil man and servant at the knee of the great men and women who run the IPA, of course!
C@t
I thought he was admired by his fans as a deep thinker. (Heavy sarcasm here)
Lizzie I cannot work out what depths of wisdom in TA’s mind have given rise to this belief.
That’s just Abbott being Abbott. As a right-winger, he sees life and society in terms of hierarchies of dominance. The basis of the hierarchy might be wealth, family background, race / ethnicity, religion or a combination of these. He believes the wealthy are wealthy because of merit. He fundamentally doesn’t believe in the equality of humanity, although he apparently feels he has to give it lip service.
Steve777
Blows the mind to think he ever imagined himself as a humble priest, doesn’t it?
Worst PM effa.
This has had a bit of circle work on twitter lately:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JhvmsV9bnxQ
And while those opposed to the equating of Menzies with promoting racist policies need to remember…..indigenous Australians.
mikehilliard
Worst PM effa.
Amen to that 🙂
[lizzie
I cannot work out what depths of wisdom in TA’s mind have given rise to this belief.
Tony AbbottVerified account @TonyAbbottMHR · 7h7 hours ago
Sure we can make the country more equal but only by making it less prosperous. Get real, @billshortenmp]
I think he’s just expressing basic Conservative belief that money is best with the wealthy and any given to the masses or spent on social programs is wasted and of no economic benefit.
Katrina Hodgkinson, a NSW Nat in the seat of Cootamundra has quit the sinking NSW government, leading to a by election.
20% margin to the Nats, but after Orange, the baseball bats may be out
“Ms Hodgkinson has been in the Parliament for 18 years, including as the minister for small business and the first female minister for primary industries.
Last year she was an outspoken opponent of the government’s aborted bid to ban greyhound racing.
Ms Hodgkinson’s seat of Cootamundra is held on a margin of 20.4 per cent, but the Nationals will be nervous about a challenge from the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, which took the seat of Orange from the party in a byelection last year.
“It’s been a really challenging couple of years,” Ms Hodgkinson told Fairfax Media.
Testing paragraphs..
Ms Hodgkinson has been in the Parliament for 18 years, including as the minister for small business and the first female minister for primary industries.
Last year she was an outspoken opponent of the government’s aborted bid to ban greyhound racing.
Ms Hodgkinson’s seat of Cootamundra is held on a margin of 20.4 per cent, but the Nationals will be nervous about a challenge from the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, which took the seat of Orange from the party in a byelection last year.
“It’s been a really challenging couple of years,” Ms Hodgkinson told Fairfax Media.
Ok, so anyone copy/pasting, or pasting a link, use 2 (two) carriage returns
To get the desired para result
Abbott’s thinking:
Good investment – $200m on a SSM plebiscite that RWMPs can ignore.
Bad investment – proper spending on education, health and NBN.
Pay disputes in QLD continues:
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/queensland/more-bus-strikes-planned-for-wednesday-20170731-gxmf77.html
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/video/2016/aug/27/dear-australia-les-murray-the-tv-legend-saved-by-a-people-smuggler
sprocket:
Interesting. I can’t remember why Baird resigned but it is looking prescient and much like the big rat deserting the sinking ship after what’s transpired.
Re: SSM LNP are shit scared of this SSM continues they will most likely loose.
Mike Baird simply did a runner. Now working for NAB on double the salary.
Very much an It’s Time feeling here in the Premier State