Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. PR
    Those images are said to come from Wonson which is nearly 200km from Seoul.
    It is hard to believe that the NKs wouldn’t have ALL their long range artillery within shooting distance of Seoul ATM.

  2. Has KIY decided that instead of firing a missile or making an atomic bang it is worth while just firing off some large artillery and blustering some bullshit.

  3. Poroti
    Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 3:11 pm
    SirGitOfSmeg

    “Robert Fisk’s article today was about the Armenian genocide .”

    Thanks Poroti, our fantastic foreign minister also refuses to call it for what it was.

  4. The L/NP have been timing “policy” announcements to coincide with Newspoll and may or may not be getting a sugar hit from that. In the days after Newspoll the “policy” falls apart because there isn’t any substance behind it.

    At what point do the public wake up to this approach, therefore making this approach ineffective, and at what point does the approach go from ineffective to counterproductive as the disengaged public finally engage and then turn on the government’s “policy” on the run approach?

    Having the Government chase sugar hits in the polling when the next election is due a little more than 2 years away is a very disturbing development. Given what happened to the Liberals in WA the next election could be very, very bad for the L/NP.

  5. Boerwar Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 4:07 pm

    PR
    Those images are said to come from Wonson which is nearly 200km from Seoul.
    It is hard to believe that the NKs wouldn’t have ALL their long range artillery within shooting distance of Seoul ATM.

    *******************************************
    I guess, Boerwar, that it will only take ONE shell fired from NK into Seoul …….then it will be on ….

  6. Boerwar

    Not given the NK’s intention to use the threat to absolutely devastate Seoul in a bigly barrage of MLRS etc as a bit of insurance against attack.

  7. P
    I imagine they have a nuke ready to trundle through a tunnel towards Seoul as we speak.
    Saves wasting artillery shells.

  8. Boerwar Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 4:31 pm
    PR
    They will make one up if they want to.

    *********************************************
    Well the Americans have past form of False Flag incidents – Gulf Of Tonkin etc

    The two Koreas are STILL technically at war …… and the leading MORON in NK and in USA both give the impression that the smallest incident will be all they need to escalate a bullet, a shell ….. whatever ….. to a full blown conflict ……

  9. Having the Government chase sugar hits in the polling

    I think for “Government” you need to substitute “Malcolm Turnbull”.

    The Government will be looking towards the next election. Malcolm Turnbull is looking towards keeping his job for another couple of weeks, and 54/55 against him in a Newspoll is not conducive to that.

  10. PhoenixRED

    Not only but also Rupert Murdoch has a weekly chat with Donald offering advice or whatever . Nobody knows more than Rupe about how a guy like him can bigly up the popularity of a leader with a bit of warmongering in the press and Donald loves being bigly loved so what can go wrong 🙁 ?

  11. Player One @ #607 Tuesday, April 25th, 2017 – 4:16 pm

    confessions @ #593 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 3:23 pm

    Perhaps it is the device you are using to connect with PB?

    Some combinations of Windows/Chrome haven’t been able to show emojis since Crikey ‘improved’ the site a while ago. Not a big deal – just something to be aware of.

    We may be going around in circles.
    Nevertheless. What Version of Windows and Chrome are you using.
    I would like to play around with the use of emoticons.
    Thank you.
    This is take three.

  12. KayJay

    It is also a bit random. I have Win 10 and sometimes the emoji turns up as just a square and other times an actual emoji when I post

  13. poroti @ #619 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:04 pm

    KayJay
    It is also a bit random. I have Win 10 and sometimes the emoji turns up as just a square and other times an actual emoji when I post

    It’s a pain.
    My screen shows the little squares occasionally.
    My posts always show the emoji (except when I stuff up the text ones).
    I use Greasemonkey with the following scripts
    CCCP
    STFU – as a curiosity only.
    Emoji Polyfill
    and
    Twitter emoji for all sites.

    🎸

  14. poroti Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 4:59 pm

    PhoenixRED

    Not only but also Rupert Murdoch has a weekly chat with Donald offering advice or whatever . Nobody knows more than Rupe about how a guy like him can bigly up the popularity of a leader with a bit of warmongering in the press and Donald loves being bigly loved so what can go wrong

    **************************************
    We’ll Donald has Sweet F**K All to show for nearly 100 days in office so far – I am sure it will not take too much of Rupert’s BS or NK’s Kim to turn loose the US ‘dogs of war’ to prop-up his so far insignificance ……..

  15. CTar1
    Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:13 pm

    *************************************************

    Your most intelligent post ever, Ctar1 …… ( no emjoi’s – BIG SMILE )

  16. CTar1
    Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:13 pm

    ***************************************

    Your non-event reminds me of something that happened recently :

    A ditzy blonde who regularly visits her dear old Mum on a property near me was trying to sell her Mercedes convertible but was having a lot of problems because the car had 250,000 Kilometres on it.

    She saw me working on my cars and stopped to ask my opinion – I said “There is a possibility to make the car easier to sell, but it’s not legal.”

    “That doesn’t matter,” replied the blonde, “if I only can sell the car.”

    “Okay,” I said “Here is the address of a friend of mine. He owns a car repair shop. Tell him I sent you and he will turn the counter in your car back to 50,000 Kilometres . Then it should not be a problem to sell your car anymore.”

    About one month later she drives up to my place, still in the Merc ” Oh what happened – still no luck in selling the car ? ”

    “No,” replied the blonde, “why should I? It only has 50,000 Kilometres on it.”

  17. Doesn’t work if you put in “ditzy blond” does it? Which is what tells you the joke is sexist.

    (Sorry, but bemused will be disappointed if I don’t point that out).

  18. zoomster Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:33 pm

    Doesn’t work if you put in “ditzy blond” does it? Which is what tells you the joke is sexist.

    (Sorry, but bemused will be disappointed if I don’t point that out).

    ***************************************

    Apologies Zoomster – it WAS sexist – but to help out I did offer to check over her car for a roadworthy – I started on the indicators and asked her to tell me if the left indicator was working

    She said , “Yes, No, Yes, No, Yes…”

  19. I have never got the thing with Mercs. My friend has one and it is more of a pile of nuts and bolts that sometimes work together to get her from A to B, than my Jap crap car is. Anyway the myth of the Merc was completely shattered when I was told that they are basically a German Holden.

    I will admit that some of the more expensive ones seem a bit better than that.

  20. poroti Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:36 pm
    PhoenixRED
    Careful with the Merc jokes. CTar1’s car is a merc aka “The Silver Goddess”

    *****************************************************************
    CTar1 – goes into Repco and asks “I’d Like a oil filter for my Silver Goddess Mercedes ”
    The guy behind the counter looks at him for a few seconds, then says ” OK, I guess that’s a fair swop”

  21. c@tmomma @ #629 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:49 pm

    I have never got the thing with Mercs. My friend has one and it is more of a pile of nuts and bolts that sometimes work together to get her from A to B, than my Jap crap car is. Anyway the myth of the Merc was completely shattered when I was told that they are basically a German Holden.
    I will admit that some of the more expensive ones seem a bit better than that.

    Nope, Opel is the General Motors subsidiary in Germany. Mercedes Benz is nothing to do with them.

  22. C@Tmomma

    They are only a German Holden in that they were as common as Holdens in Germany. Quality wise they are/were a zillion times ahead. not sure now that so much is made outside of the Fatherland.

    Been a Holden chap all my life, I was going to buy another Holden at the start of last year when my Holden seriously carked it. Would never have looked at a second hand merc in a million years if it were not for some CTar1 posts. Could not believe how cheap the second hand ones were, thought there must be a catch. Anyways up came a merc similar to CTar1’s 2 owners, diplomat and doctor,fully serviced, 142,000 km. $14k later, best car I have ever owned . Lovin’ it. Especially the gunsights on the bonnet for pedestrians 🙂

  23. c@ – At least 8 out of 10 Mercs you’ll see in Australia are ‘C’ series eg C180.

    4 cylinder 1.8lt – made in Brazil or South Africa.

    An ‘E’ series in a vastly different thing.

  24. Bemused

    Several life times ago in a galaxy far far away I worked in a vehicle assessing depot of the NZ government insurance company State Insurance. At the time the Holden commodore was the new bright star. Anyway one day an Opel which had been written off came in. FMD the Commodore was just a rebadged Opel.

    Actually such “rebadging” was quite common back then. The Isuzu (?) ‘Sunny” was some Holden car in Australia

  25. kayjay @ #618 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:00 pm

    What Version of Windows and Chrome are you using.

    The problem occurs with Windows 7 and any recent Chrome (I am using version 58, but it also occurred on 57). But it does not occur if I use Firefox as my browser or Linux as my operating system.

    The problem only seems to occur on Crikey. I see emoticons on other sites I visit. I think it could be something to do with the font Crikey uses.

  26. Poroti, I had the same experience, but didn’t purchase as I was worried about the maintenance costs later on. I found a lovely red two door coupe, three years old with 75,000km on the clock. One owner and $22,000 was the asking price. Hell of depreciation but the original owner didn’t seem to be too fussed and bought a new one. I am guessing the ash tray had filled up and it was time to do something about it.

    Let us know if you have surprises regarding maintenance costs along the way.

  27. poroti @ #639 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 6:14 pm

    Bemused
    Several life times ago in a galaxy far far away I worked in a vehicle assessing depot of the NZ government insurance company State Insurance. At the time the Holden commodore was the new bright star. Anyway one day an Opel which had been written off came in. FMD the Commodore was just a rebadged Opel.
    Actually such “rebadging” was quite common back then. The Isuzu (?) ‘Sunny” was some Holden car in Australia

    Yep! I have a Holden Vectra. It is an Australian manufactured version of the Opel. In the UK it is a Vauxhall. Not sure how much is made in each country, hard to tell these days with global supply chains.

  28. O.K. This is to distract me from whether North Korea or Trump are going to do something disastrous. It doesn’t have to be deliberate, could be just stupid.
    Also to distract me from the hideous cost of the last major service of the car, the pride and joy of HI.
    What’s the difference between a blond and a supermarket trolley?
    The supermarket trolley has a mind of its own.

  29. PeeBee

    Mine is an E500.

    I’d done my research in advance so that the air suspension (which makes the thing ‘sing’) would need some work at 130k was no surprise.

    But spark plugs caught me out. Mine wants Platinum Iridium ones. 16 of them. The cheapest price I could find a reasonable brand of were $28.50 each …

  30. Bemused,
    Nope, Opel is the General Motors subsidiary in Germany. Mercedes Benz is nothing to do with them.

    Nope. I meant it in the way of, as common as a Holden. 🙂

  31. Poroti

    The only change to the Opel for the original Commodore was a different front end chassis and guards / bonnet – to fit the 6 & 8 cylinder engines in.

  32. ctar1 @ #644 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 6:27 pm

    PeeBee
    Mine is an E500.
    I’d done my research in advance so that the air suspension (which makes the thing ‘sing’) would need some work at 130k was no surprise.
    But spark plugs caught me out. Mine wants Platinum Iridium ones. 16 of them. The cheapest price I could find a reasonable brand of were $28.50 each …

    Bosch USD 6.99 ea on ebay.

  33. John Reidy

    My parents had one of those and drove it for miles for annual holidays in Australia. Unfortunately when they settled in rural Queensland (in the eighties) my father felt unable to drive it to Brisbane for service, so they traded it in. My mother never forgave him. No car could ever match it in her eyes.

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