Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

  1. c@tmomma @ #646 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 6:31 pm

    Give me a French car any day. A Peugeot, Renault or Citroen will do me just fine.

    My first car was a 1949 Renault 750 – “The Flea”. Next was a Simca Aronde followed by a Renault 10, great little car whose 4 wheel disc breaks whose already stunning performance I enhanced with a 3.5:1 vacuum booster from a Valiant. It would stop on a zac!

  2. PeeBee

    The depreciation is what made me think there had to be something wrong. But it seems it is normal , As you say the rich who can afford a new one just offload for the next model. Hate to be seen in an old model dahling 🙂 . From the dates the original diplomat owner ditched it a whole month after the next model came out .

    So far maintenance, last week , was a battery $259 !! but given the battery was 7+ years old I can’t complain. I also do not mind as my current job means my petrol bill is $60 a week less so that will pay for a whole lot of maintenance. It is a joy to drive.

    That said I am scared by all the horror stories re maintenance but until then i shall enjoy. I think as long as the car was made in the Fatherland and cared for as per Gruppenfuhrer Mercedes’ specs you cannot go wrong.

  3. It is a little confusing how a character as robust and powerful as Peter Dutton could, plausibly, become a victim, but the immigration minister is aggrieved enough to demand an apology from media outlets intent on pursuing the who, what, when, where of a violent disturbance on Manus Island two weeks ago.

    Dutton fears some media outlets have “morphed into advocates” and “lost control of any dispassionate view of this circumstance” – apparently gripped by some mass outbreak of hysteria.

    We have become prisoners of our brimming feelings, and having indulged something akin to a collective tantrum, we (or some of us, in any case) now owe him an apology.

    I’ve been a journalist these past 20 years. If journalists are prisoners of anything, it’s not feelings. In fact, as a group, we are often accused with some justification of being pitiless hacks, lacking human feeling.

    We do, as a group, have a persistent fact orientation.

    Dutton likes to characterise the conflicting account as being some kind of culture war salvo – the invention of the ABC, or Guardian Australia, or Fairfax Media, “or some of these fringe dwellers out in the internet”.

    But it isn’t, not unless the minister thinks the top cop on Manus Island is a separatist and shadowy resident of the world wide web.

    I have not, as yet, seen a convincing explanation from the minister as to why his account is quantifiably different from Yapu’s, apart from Dutton’s mildly coy reference to being in possession of facts that not everyone has.

    Dutton is very fortunate to be in possession of facts that not everybody has. Let’s call it one of the perks of his job.

    Unfortunately for the minister, the perks of the job also carry with them an immutable obligation in a functional democracy: that ministers are accountable for what they say.

    I don’t care if we are currently in the middle of a long slide into #alternativefacts and post-truth, accountability in public life is a constant, and Dutton isn’t an exception to the rule.

    If these facts exist, there’s one way to clear up the whole mess.

    Don’t infer you have them.

    Release them.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/apr/25/if-peter-dutton-has-alternative-facts-about-manus-violence-he-should-release-them?CMP=share_btn_tw

  4. Poroti

    a battery $259

    Yep. They want the small truck one for the main battery.

    There’s a second one in the E class. Motorbike size hidden away under the bonnet.

  5. If Trump had any sense, maturity or restraint then he would let Kim & the rest of his leadership group in North Korea continue to stew in their own juices while others continued to work quietly on a solution to the problem.

    I can only see the NK situation ending in tragedy as Kim likes to yell at clouds and Donnie is so immature and precious that he can be baited on Twitter. Unfortunately, they both have their hands on triggers attached to nuclear bombs.

  6. CTar1
    The good news was that the 23kg battery !! was so bloody easy to change. A surprise. Thank dog it was not one of the models that put it under the rear passenger seat !!

  7. CANBERRA, Australia—Australia’s government is considering a multibillion-dollar privatization of public health and welfare payments, as conservatives look for new ways to refill budget coffers emptied by an economic slowdown and collapsing prices of the country’s resource exports.

    Um perhaps not giving a tax cut to businesses would be a good start?

  8. player one @ #640 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 6:15 pm

    kayjay @ #618 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 5:00 pm

    What Version of Windows and Chrome are you using.

    The problem occurs with Windows 7 and any recent Chrome (I am using version 58, but it also occurred on 57). But it does not occur if I use Firefox as my browser or Linux as my operating system.
    The problem only seems to occur on Crikey. I see emoticons on other sites I visit. I think it could be something to do with the font Crikey uses.

    I’ll have a play around with my Windows 7 computer tomorrow and see what happens.
    Probably you have already done the various combinations.
    Now, mes amis.
    It’s goodnight from him and Brown Bear 🐻 .

  9. lizzie @ #656 Tuesday, April 25th, 2017 – 6:38 pm

    It is a little confusing how a character as robust and powerful as Peter Dutton could, plausibly, become a victim, but the immigration minister is aggrieved enough to demand an apology from media outlets intent on pursuing the who, what, when, where of a violent disturbance on Manus Island two weeks ago.

    And he’s also playing a very amateurish game of ‘shoot the messenger’. It doesn’t matter if the politician who called Dutton out was corrupt. The politician was just reiterating facts stated by the local chief of police. Those facts aren’t invalidated just because one person who repeated them has character flaws.

    Though you wouldn’t think so, listening to Dutton rant about it.

  10. BK

    This is the Simca I remember from way back in the day. Your mention of Simca must be the first time I have heard the name in decades

  11. I thought so. The 457 Visa changes smelled fishy from the get-go, and that is now being proved to be true.

    Big fanfare with the announcement of the changes, now shown to be smoke and mirrors disguising some very nasty fine print:

    The minimum wage for temporary work visa holders has not been revised to ensure it will keep up with inflation as part of federal government reforms to the visa system.

    The federal government’s decision to not implement a key recommendation from an expert review of the scheme has raised fears that the temporary work visa system will become a low-skilled visa for workers paid low wages.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace-relations/minimum-wage-for-temporary-visa-holders-falls-behind-inflation-20170425-gvrs0c.html

    You can’t trust the Coalition as far as you can throw them!

  12. I saw a Citroen DS station wagon in Newtown (where else), the body colour was black and white zebra stripes, very cool.

    That WSJ article dates back to February 2016.

  13. The Americans are accusing the Russians of supplying the Taliban with weapons.

    Now I wonder where the Russians got that idea from?

  14. CatMom A lady after my own heart. I have 2 Citroens, both C5 diesels with the proper gas suspension. Have owned seven over the years, from Goddess to CX to BX to Xantia to C5’s, with two Peugeot 504 wagons interpolated. Simply the best in terms of comfort and capability, and if bought second hand with lowish mileage, also the absolute best value out there. I gather I live about 20 kms nor nor east of you.

  15. Poroti
    Somehow what I typed disappeared.
    I said that it may interest you that I spray painted the full sized clay styling model for the Charger in about 1971.

  16. I once owned a Fiat 124 Sports Coupe that tried to kill me on a number of occasions, including spraying petrol all over me when I filled up. That smarted when it penetrated my nether regions, I can tell you.
    The final straw came when driving home one night, the passenger side front axle snapped off and I just barely managed to steer it into the gutter.
    The bastard had it in for me and had to go. The bloke who tried to accost me on my way home on foot, got threatened with a stiletto heel, and backed off quick smart.

  17. ‘My dream car is a Citroën DS Goddess.
    Wonderful 1950s styling.
    Hydro suspension, 4 wheel drive.’

    My parents had a series of Citroens, but the DS was the star. My father was an engineer, so the whole concept appealed to him.
    Except when the hydraulics failed in a particularly mountainous region of France. When this happens, not only does the suspension fail, but also the brakes!

    Later I had a Peugeot 505 station wagon, which was a great family car with 7 seats. Loved that car, until one day on a country road, the entire tailgate decided to fall off.

  18. yabba88 @ #681 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 7:18 pm

    CatMom A lady after my own heart. I have 2 Citroens, both C5 diesels with the proper gas suspension. Have owned seven over the years, from Goddess to CX to BX to Xantia to C5’s, with two Peugeot 504 wagons interpolated. Simply the best in terms of comfort and capability, and if bought second hand with lowish mileage, also the absolute best value out there. I gather I live about 20 kms nor nor east of you.

    In the ocean?

  19. grimace
    Mal the Magnificent’s brilliant plans inevitably turn to ash in under 24 hours.
    It’s a special gift.
    Mind you that report was from back Feb. 2016.

  20. As a junior worked in an office in ’84 where the get around was a Pug 205GTi.

    “Anyone want to run some drawings over to N. Sydney? YES PLEASE!”

  21. BK

    I spray painted the full sized clay styling model for the Charger in about 1971.

    What colour, burnt orange or lime green ? 🙂

  22. Adrian
    So there are other killer cars out there.
    Dog, I’m glad Anzac Day is over. It’s so bloody depressing listening to how unutterably cruel and inhumane we can be to others.

  23. grimace @ #683 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 7:19 pm

    monica lynagh @ #669 Tuesday, April 25, 2017 at 6:56 pm

    Privatising public health and welfare?
    They have a death wish.

    Perhaps Mal has a brilliant plan to use the privatisation bills as a DD trigger. It worked so well last time.

    I was outside playing with my nearly 4 year old and I’ve worked out Mal’s Brilliant Plan.

    He knows the Medicare and Welfare privatisation bills won’t pass the Senate so he’s going to use them as a DD trigger. The brilliance of the plan is that it’s going to overcome the Labor/Union/GetUp! advantage in field campaigning because they won’t know which campaign to put on steriods, Mediscare Mk2 or Your Rights at Work Mk 2.

    At the moment the pesky left, who don’t know their place or that they should just shut up and take the medicine their betters say is good for them, are unified behind Your Rights at Work Mk2. Once Mal drives a giant wedge between them, the resultant indecision will neuter the effectiveness of their campaigning.

    The plan is brilliant. What could possibly go wrong?

  24. Absolutely loathe Peugeots – we’ve had a few.

    Had a yellow Renault 16 once which obviously had a ‘hit me’ sign on it, visible to other drivers but not ourselves. One incident involved a totally clear four lane road – the only other visible car, which we had seen from the second we entered the road, did a U turn straight into us.

    We made a lot of money claiming damage from various incidents on our insurance but just letting the dents accumulate. Finally, it was written off after being T-boned by a truck (again, the only other vehicle in sight on a lonely country road…)

    Our default position is to have an Alfasud and a Kombi. We don’t feel quite right otherwise.

  25. ML

    I always call my mum on Anzac Day, her dad was killed in PNG ’43. The day means many things but to her now 80 she still just wants her dad home. Always a sad event.

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