BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor

Little change as usual from the BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week, which continues to show Queensland and Western Australia as the government’s danger zones.

Next to no change on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate this week, with the weekly Essential Research being the only new poll conducted over Easter. However, Labor makes a net gain on the seat projection, making gains of one apiece on Victoria and Queensland and dropping one in Western Australia. The state-level seat measures should be a bit more volatile, now that I’m using trend measures to calculate each state’s deviation from the national total rather than the crude post-election averages I was using until last week.

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Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

547 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.8-47.2 to Labor”

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  1. Oh, and in big, big news, Molly Meldrum finally admitted publicly on the Logies telecast, for the first time, what everybody already knew. He is gay and he has a lovely Thai boyfriend. 🙂

  2. All that faffing about for 1% increase bit like all the effort on cracking down welfare for pretty much same results in unemployment lol

  4. kezza2 @ #495 Sunday, April 23rd, 2017 – 11:14 pm

    the Yanks were all over the shop looking for any means to prosecute him as well as calling for his assassination as an alternative.

    Is there any evidence in support of that claim? I mean, apart from a hacked Clinton e-mail where she quite jokingly suggests a drone strike (because “unilateral drone strike against a private citizen inside of an allied first-world nation” doesn’t have ‘international incident’ written all over it in giant flashing ALLCAPS letters, or anything like that)?

  5. What I don’t get about this whole “Sweden and the US conspired to create rape charges against Assange so Sweden could extradite him to the US” theory is what was to stop the US asking the UK to extradite him?

  7. http://www.theage.com.au/comment/it-appears-that-i-am-on-the-workforce-scrap-heap-20170420-gvowud.html

    From my personal experience, too – much TOO – true.

    I applied for jobs, with my full work experience – never got an interview. Then I chopped 10 years from my CV and I started to get interviews – and as soon as I walked into the interview room, I could see that I was wasting my time and, clearly, theirs.

    I’ve gone through the frustration, the annoyance, the anger, the desperation and the depression. Now I’m a 61-year-old house husband, a “kept man” of (by?) my wonderful bride of 16 months.

    (Sorry, but there are a few – very few – things that really seriously annoy the complete and utter crap out of me personally. Rant complete. Back to lurking.)

  9. It’s all Labor’s fault …

    The Federal Government will restore funding to the community legal sector in the May budget, abandoning cuts outlined in previous budgets after a backlash from the legal sector.

    Key points:

    The sector had been preparing for a 30 per cent funding cut commencing July 1
    The National Partnership Agreement currently provides around $42m to the community legal sector each year
    Senator Brandis sought to blame the expected funding shortfall on cuts outlined by the previous ALP government
    The sector has been preparing itself for a 30 per cent funding cut from July 1 with some services warning their ability to assist vulnerable Australians would be immediately impacted.

    Federal Labor, peak legal bodies, the community legal sector and every state attorney-general have called for cuts to the sector to be overturned in recent years.

    The Government will restore $55.7 million to the sector over three years, including $16.7 million for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander legal services.
    …
    Senator Brandis sought to blame the expected funding shortfall on cuts outlined during the previous Labor government, but the Coalition has announced its own savings in recent years.

    The 2014 budget cut $6 million from community legal centres along with $15 million from legal aid commissions.

    Less than a year later $35 million was restored to the sector over two years and an extra $25 million for domestic violence services.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-04-24/federal-government-to-reverse-community-legal-funding-cuts/8465420

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