The latest fortnightly rolling average of federal voting intention for Essential Research returns Labor’s two-party lead to 53-47, after walking a point at a time from 53-47 four weeks ago to 51-49 a fortnight ago and now back again. Both major parties are now at 37% on the primary vote, with the Coalition down one and Labor up one, while One Nation comes off a point from last week’s high to 7%, with the Greens and Nick Xenophon Team steady at 9% and 3%. The poll also features its monthly leadership ratings, which have Malcolm Turnbull down two on approval to 34% and up two on disapproval to 46%, while Bill Shorten is respectively up one to 35% and, oddly, down five to 38%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is now at 39-28, down from 40-28, leaving for a remarkably high “don’t know” remainder. The most interesting of the survey’s remaining findings is the overwhelming support recorded for an increase in the minimum wage, with 80% approving and 11% disapproving. Another question canvases whether respondents would be “likely” to vote for a new conservative party formed around the likes of Tony Abbott, for which 23% answered in the affirmative, although polling exercises of this kind have shown themselves to be of very little value in the past.
Jackol @ 1.51
How often do you get one or more $100 notes in your wallet?
@ Anton – I don’t think the point is to catch criminals. It’s about encouraging them to obey the law by making tax fraud take more effort.
It’s also mostly aimed at people who enable the tax fraud, such as Lizzie. If cash is a less convenient option, Lizzie may choose to go with a company that allows electronic payments, even if that means the price goes up a little because this gardener pays tax on his entire income. People will always choose cheap over moral, but they might choose convenient over cheap.
Summer in Australia …
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-12-13/search-for-missing-boat-off-cape-jaffa/8116222
I had to look up Cape Jaffa on Google Maps. It’s interesting to look at in the satellite view.
Some developer has spent a serious amount of money on a marina (with housing blocks and their own piers) and it looks like an airstrip 1klm long is being built just to the east of the marina.
One of the saddest admissions I have ever seen on PB.
How bloody sick is this!
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-12-14/scientists-backing-up-climate-data-over-trump-fears/8119234
So, if the Russians are hacking the UK, Germany and the USA, do they have an “Australia desk”?
Is someone like Corey Bernardi our very own “Balalaika Boofhead”?
The confluence between the desires of the Russians and the right wing nut jobs is an interesting phenomenon
“Divide et impera.”
Not to mention in confusion profit
If i want a lengthy, in-depth, informed and quality analysis of what is happening in the world; the last place to go is the ABC. Al Jazeera English is far better, as is Deutsche Welle. The ABC is well down the list sad to say. Most of these other sites aslo cover much more of the world than the ABC – it rarely gets beyond the US, the Middle East, UK and Home.
Boolean
As long as you know their limitations both are good.
Don’t expect AJ to say anything critical of the UAE states and keep in mind that DW is a division of the German Department of Communications tasked with promoting German Culture.
Video of Rachel Maddow outlines the report in Newsweek Re Trump. Very interesting…….
http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show
If you are concerned about power prices, you should also be concerned if the regulators have no idea about relative costs , and use bullshit information in their recommendations to government.
http://reneweconomy.com.au/australias-energy-rule-maker-hasnt-a-clue-about-renewable-energy-48728/
Booleanbach
No, but you can find out if Virginia Trioli likes carrots. Instead of news you get inane banter.
After the recent POTUS election campaign this statistic reveals a tremendous level of under diagnosis
1 in 6 Americans Takes a Psychiatric Drug
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/1-in-6-americans-takes-a-psychiatric-drug/
‘In the case of wind and solar, it is becoming increasingly obvious that it has no idea. Over the last few days, the AEMC has released important and influential reports that simply take the breath away for the depth of its ignorance.’
This is what gets me about the MSM – they glibly report whatever bullshit emanates from a Statutory Authority/Government report/right wing think tank/ideological zealot etc etc. without scutiny.
Nothing that should be questioned is ever questioned with this mob.
Yes. I recall a Lateline segment a few months ago about corporate tax avoidance and whether it was a problem in Australia. Alberici interviewed not one, but TWO, high leveled corporate sector representatives who insisted there was no problem. They were not challenged on those assertions, and no one else, say from the non-profit sector or politics, was interviewed.
I’ve since given up on Lateline.
Good old Malcolm and Scott, sweating the small stuff. So, getting rid of $100 notes is the distraction du jour today? That is if you can get them from the bank. Whenever I’ve asked for them, to pay for a 2nd hand car or whatever, they never have them.
Nevertheless my focus is still elsewhere and I won’t be distracted by this and will take them seriously when they start coming out with policies, other than making it easier for companies to make fat profits by giving them a $50 Billion tax cut, which chase down the ‘Black Hole Economy’ where multinational companies taxes are disappearing to, then I might take this other stuff, like hounding Lizzie’s gardener over 2 bits they should be collecting in tax, as indicative of a comprehensive approach to collecting unpaid tax.
Honestly, this chasing of a bit of money that should be paid as tax but which gets diverted into the ‘Black Economy’, is just one step up the ladder from hounding ‘Welfare Cheats’ for ‘Overpayments’. It would mainly be targeting pensioners who make a little bit of money on the side doing gardening or cleaning. Well, big deal!
Sure, if you enter into a deal with a tradesman to do a job for an under the counter payment, then that’s a different kettle of fish. But the Tradie demographic votes Liberal these days and so I expect they’ll be the last cab off the rank for investigation. If at all. More like there won’t be enough Investigators to go around to ping them, strangely and conveniently.
Busywork, that’s all it is. Just another example of the Turnbull/Morrison government engaging in pointless busywork to make it seem like they are actually doing something. Anything.
Apparently ACTU robo calling people to talk about pension changes. While I don’t have a problem with the changes, it is nice to see ACTU is becoming more of an activist organisation that takes action to influence public debate. This is one issue Libs will suffer from as it targets their base.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/malcolm-turnbull-the-victim-of-mediscarestyle-robocall-campaign-on-pensions-20161213-gtap8c.html
Trog Sorrenson,
No, but you can find out if Virginia Trioli likes carrots. Instead of news you get inane banter.
Obviously, you were watching. 🙂
The fact MYEFO hasn’t been released yet or even to my knowledge announced just what date it will be released is pretty telling. Distractions aplenty required the camouflage that shower of shit.
The thing about the $100 notes is.
When you bring them in for your fifties or a change to your bank balance, you have to explain how you got them.
Any discrepancies between what you told the ATO and your squillions in $100 notes goes straight to the AT0. Maybe you go to jail for stealing from Australia.
If someone ‘gave’ them to you then THEY have to explain any discrepancies between what they told the ATO and the millions in $100 notes they have.
There are around $300 million in $100 notes in circulation.
This may not sound a lot but once they go out, the banks never ever see them come back in.
And that $300 million might change hands ten times a year and never taxed in any one of those transactions.
Whoops.
Very Wrong fact alert for mine of 4.05
There are 300 million $100 notes in circulation, not $300 million worth of $100 notes in circulation.
That comes to thirty billion dollars worth of black market economy which may be turned over many times a year.
In any case, my view is that if you can’t properly explain $30 billion in notes it should be considered to be the proceeds of crime and confiscated.
I don’t have an issue with getting rid of $100 but the article I read mentioned $50 may also get the chop and I think that’s a step too far.
ratsak @ #121 Wednesday, December 14, 2016 at 4:03 pm
…………………………………………………….
Its due out Monday 19th I believe.
………………………………………………………………………………………
But very ‘considerate’ of authorities to give ample notice to drug dealers/ tax cheats etc to consider money laundering, buying gold or property or shoving it off to tax havens etc.
India just did it and caught many shonks out.
I’ve yet to have a $100 note come out of an ATM for me.
Ta Dave. That’s about the last day possible isn’t it? And hardly surprising. I wonder if they will announce something outrageous that day as a distraction, or if MYEFO will be used as the distraction for something even more obnoxious (Probably involving Brandis).
trog sorrenson @ #114 Wednesday, December 14, 2016 at 3:23 pm
That is by no stretch a news program or current affairs program.
There are $32 billion in fifties in circulation.
Ratsak – Just going from the article linked below – it looks like last years came out on 22 December – but most people wouldn’t know what it is or be interested – plus of course getting organised for Christmas etc.
That said said those interested will no doubt be watching it very closely, morrison seems to be talking a mini budget (maybe not using those exact words) as well ? Anxious about the AAA rating no doubt.
Maybe he will just put up a load of stuff stuff which will never pass the Senate – then blame Labor again. Still ?
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/myefo-the-truth-will-be-ugly-but-its-what-we-need-20151213-glml8d.html
A bad sign when the cartoonists are turning against you. Today’s deadwood Worst Australian editorial page Alston cartoon is titled “Renewables” . A guy coming home from work, asks what’s for dinner. He’told there’s no wind no sun and the batteries have gone flat. To which he replies ” I am not renewing Turnbull at the next election”
Maybe he will just put up a load of stuff stuff which will never pass the Senate – then blame Labor again. Still ?
Why not? It worked so well for Hockey after all.
Boerwar – I work in higher end hospitality and I almost never see $100 notes but always see $50 notes, so if there’s $30 billion worth of $100 notes and $32 billion worth of $50 in circulation, it does have to asked where those $100 notes hiding?
My father collects them. He gives them to younger relatives for Christmas and birthdays.
My brother-in-law has early onset Alzheimers.
When he went into care he had $9,000 in cash on him either in his bag or wallet.
Yes probably quite a bit stuffed under mattresses.
I imagine – I have seen them- quite a lot of the $100 are handed out at airport ATMs-
Dtt
Yep.
Boerwar
This is pretty poor commentary, suggesting something is a fact when the relevant committee hasn’t even met yet, let alone make recommendations.
“When you bring them in for your fifties or a change to your bank balance, you have to explain how you got them.”
Says who?
Think you’re quite a few steps ahead of yourself here, not to mention your outright speculation in the last 8 words.
You need quite a few “if”s and possibly a “might” or too.
What with waving the plastic at anything that moves, I hardly use money any more.
P
Good point. I was extrapolating from what happened in India.
TPOF –
Never, which is why I said nuking the $100 note wouldn’t affect me personally at the moment.
It just strikes me that this is how you would go about eliminating cash entirely, if that was a goal of yours, and I listed 1 small reason and 2 big reasons why that would be a problem for me.
I mean inflation is still a thing. Cash is still being actively devalued as time goes by, and in a world where there was any future for cash you would expect that higher denominations would be phased in over time and lowest denominations phased out as inflation results in shifts of where the typical dynamic range of physical currency needs to be to support the cash economy going forward.
Now, sure, the rise of the internet and electronic transactions has changed the way people make payments, and the role of cash in that mix necessarily is changing, and if there needs to be a one-off adjustment now because the $100 turns out not to be needed now and for the medium term future, and there are good reasons to crack down on organized crime, then I can accept that.
Just saying, though, that I don’t want to see cash go extinct and I’m suspicious that there are a fair few in government and business that would like to see this for reasons that have nothing to do with cracking down on organized crime.
daretotread @ #136 Wednesday, December 14, 2016 at 4:45 pm
You need the larger denominations to pay the parking fees.
I have walked up High Street with $35,000 in my handbag in $100 notes – the bank wanted me to pay for a bank cheque so I asked for cash.
Like Lizzie I pay cash for groceries and when money is tight and I need to budget I only use cash. E`xcept I pay for petrol on the credit card to keep the credit card active.
I have given a friend a cash debit card so if they run out of money I can top it up without the money going through their bank account. The danger is losing that emergency plastic card.
I notice that Tony is helping the team by bashing Newstart recipients for not taking harvest jobs. Is this to deflect from Acoss complaints that Centrelink are asking people to justify their Centrelink payments from upto 6 years ago. The new matching software identifies people who received Centrelink benefits at the same time they were working, obviously the software isn’t nuanced enough to identify casual workers with no employment in the fortnights they collected benefits. The software just identifies welfare recipients who had group certificates spanning the period.
With software fuck ups like that people are less likely to undertake precarious work in the tax economy unless they think the work will lead to a well paid permanent job.
P1
😆
gorkay king @ #119 Wednesday, December 14, 2016 at 3:54 pm
Actually, I do have a problem with the changes, although they don’t affect me personally. They impact people who have a fixed income that is a bit above the pension, but leaves people who can hide their income or available wealth in other ways and are eligible for the pension AND for all the extra benefits. I’ll be interested to see how many of these people will vote Labor at the next election. I suspect there will be more than a few.
Richard Ackland is no fool:
‘It’s baffling why an organisation stuffed to the brim with journalists should have such a dimwitted view of news. Maybe it’s the fault of managers many of who, in my former experience as an ABC presenter (Late Night Live, Radio National Breakfast and Media Watch), only have a slender grasp of what they are doing.
These serried ranks of bureaucrats on fat salaries with undistinguished achievements have floated into positions where they could tirelessly tinker and interfere with talented people trying to make programs.
This is not a universal complaint, but there are enough managers who would be better suited as footpath spruikers outside strip clubs than running important parts of a public broadcaster.’
Indeed Australian airport ATM’s give $100 notes – very annoying.
The tax refund on departure also give $100 notes (if you ask for cash, I no longer do).
In my happy bag of currencies I keep with my passport, I have several Australian $100 notes (when living expat, always have access to several well accepted currencies…)
Adrian
We all get it that you hate the ABC but do you have to repeat is all the time.
“it”
‘Adrian
We all get it that you hate the ABC but do you have to repeat is all the time.’
Maybe I’ll stop when you start posting something that isn’t a dig at another poster, without contributing anything of your own.
And it’s a puerile oversimplification to call it ‘hate’.