Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016

Aggregated Newspoll breakdowns find nothing too remarkable going on beneath the surface of the three polls it has published since the election.

The Australian has published the regular Newspoll breakdowns by state, gender, age and capitals/non-capitals, aggregating all the polling the organisation has conducted since the election – a smaller than usual amount, since the pollster took the better part of two months to resume post-election. The results suggest a bit of slippage for the Coalition since the election in South Australia, but essentially no change in the other four mainland states. This is an opportune moment for me to apologise for not having reactivated BludgerTrack over the past week as promised, but the availability of this new data means the delay is probably for the best. It will positively definitely happen later this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,633 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016”

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  1. Boerwar

    I suggest you watch the game again. Anyhoo, I reckon it was a great game and the Doggies deserved their win. You can believe whatever you want

  2. ‘I guess foreign owners will soon own the bulk of the land…’

    What’s your definition of ‘soon’? We basically have about the same percentage of foreign ownership of land as we’ve had for the last century (and the owners are much the same, too).

  3. But then, there are probably lots and lots of issues Pat Conroy would like to ask Mr Narev about, that only a Royal Commission into Bank behaviour would get to the bottom of.

  4. zoomster @ #204 Monday, October 3, 2016 at 4:48 pm

    ‘I guess foreign owners will soon own the bulk of the land…’
    What’s your definition of ‘soon’? We basically have about the same percentage of foreign ownership of land as we’ve had for the last century (and the owners are much the same, too).

    Not in Sydney. The RBA says the Sydney market bubble is pretty much due to increasing levels of foreign ownership …

    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/rba-foreign-buyers-will-be-propping-up-australias-housing-market-2016-2

    Without this, Sydney prices would tumble as the bizarre apartment glut continues apace.

  5. Good afternoon all,

    The admission by Frydenberg re the SA power blackout may have been lost in the noise but you can be assured that will not be the end of it.

    He may be back tracking and trying to hide the facts but Shorten, federal labor and the labor premiers will not let this lie.

    Plenty of opportunity in coming days and weeks as more unfolds.

    There was no need for Turnbull to make this such a issue. He could have simply offered his support to SA and raised any debate surrounding renewerables and power security for a later but he rushed in.

    He therefore has lost control of the narrative that will unfold.

    Cheers.

    Cheers.

  6. Blackoutgate is just starting to get interesting. I’m glad SA residents are the test gunnie pigs for renewable energy on this scale.

  7. Diogs,

    The only problem with Buddy’s first goal is that there was not a second, third, fourth and fifth.

  8. ABC ‘Banner headline’:

    Energy policy worsened blackout, Greg Hunt says

    I think most people know that the facts of anything are the opposite to what ‘Greg Hunt says’.

  9. Energy policy worsened blackout, Greg Hunt says

    Any of the journalistic corps, so esteemed across the land, thought to ask Greg the Lying Hunt, “How?”

  10. anyone ever heard of the water hydrogen oxygen with electricity cycle maybe a pollution free base supply of the future. unfortunately expensive but it can be done.

  11. Buddy only scored 1 goal and it wasn’t the shot he had in the first quarter when he pushed his opponent in the back.

  12. bemused @ #190 Monday, October 3, 2016 at 4:22 pm

    ctar1 @ #184 Monday, October 3, 2016 at 4:12 pm

    Royal Commission NOW!

    CommInsure ignores findings of police and coroner, refuses life insurance payout

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-03/comminsure-ignored-coroner-findings-refused-life-insurance-pay/7898024

    Even the exclusion for suicide is improper and discriminates against people who may take out a policy when well and later succumb to a mental illness and take their life. They are at the time ‘not of sound mind’ through no fault of their own any more than if they had any other physical illness that killed them.

    Bemused, I have some sympathy with your view here, but it is quite possible that if a life insurance policy covered suicide it might encourage a small group of people, already convinced they are a burden on their family, to kill themselves in the belief that they can ‘right wrongs’ by leaving them the financial benefit of the insurance policy.

    That view is off the top of my head but it seems to me it could be a factor in some cases.

  13. “Blackoutgate is just starting to get interesting. I’m glad SA residents are the test gunnie pigs for renewable energy on this scale.”

    We’re all guinea pigs for the scale of fossil-fuel energy.

  14. if a life insurance policy covered suicide it might encourage a small group of people, already convinced they are a burden on their family, to kill themselves in the belief that they can ‘right wrongs’ by leaving them the financial benefit of the insurance policy.

    This is a valid point, however I’d support an exception for people who choose to commit suicide (or have themselves euthanized) after being diagnosed with a terminal illness that would have otherwise been covered by the policy.

  15. One of the most persistent whines from those against using renewables is “What about at night?! What about when the wind doesn’t blow?!”, as if these are some sort of game-ending moves.
    It is important to develop methods of storing energy, however, this doesn’t necessarily involve storing electrical energy. A simple, elegant method of energy storage is to use wind power to pump water to a higher level, then release this water in a controlled way to drive turbines to generate electricity. There is a good article here from a couple of years ago:

    https://theconversation.com/how-pushing-water-uphill-can-solve-our-renewable-energy-issues-28196

    Unfortunately, it seems as though most political reporters understand less about science that a reasonably bright 15 year-old.

  16. Listening to people commenting on umpiring in general and specific umpiring decisions in particular never fails to reinforce my view that however bad umpires may be* they are far, far better than spectators, players and commentators at the job. They actually know the rules for a start.

    *Umpires in general do a tough job well.

  17. EG

    Even with the late four frees to the Swans, when it was too late to make a difference, the final free kick count differential was the greatest in GF history.

    It is not much use the umpires knowing the rules if they ignore them.

  18. El Goapo,

    Rubbish! Umpires are all refugee Muslim boat people who despise our way of life.
    You know it makes sense.

  19. ctar1 @ #220 Monday, October 3, 2016 at 5:35 pm

    TPOF – Some years of exclusion might be reasonable.

    It would not deal with the problem I outlined, because the problem is not that a suicidal person takes out the insurance, but that pre-existing insurance might influence someone who is already not thinking straight to carry out killing themselves.

  20. a r @ #222 Monday, October 3, 2016 at 5:36 pm

    if a life insurance policy covered suicide it might encourage a small group of people, already convinced they are a burden on their family, to kill themselves in the belief that they can ‘right wrongs’ by leaving them the financial benefit of the insurance policy.

    This is a valid point, however I’d support an exception for people who choose to commit suicide (or have themselves euthanized) after being diagnosed with a terminal illness that would have otherwise been covered by the policy.

    I’d agree with that.

  21. Honestly, I think the point needs to be made here that whenever the Coalition are in government, every utterance of theirs when it comes to Energy policy, is taken as gospel, often with little to no supporting evidence.

    Contrast this with Labor in power, who whenever they propose a policy to deal with Renewables or Climate Change, are treated with the utmost scepticism by the media. Even when they come bearing reams of evidence to support their propositions.

    It truly makes me despair.

  22. BW, the Crows received 5 frees in the first three quarters in round 7 and two of those were actually marks which they didn’t pay to begin with. It was against the Bulldogs.

  23. All avenues of renewable energy generation and storage have to be explored and improved, the only way to do this is to make sure we have a well funded body like the CSRIO .
    Those who oppose this are either stupid or greedy.

  24. EG
    Have just heard from someone who was at the final.

    From midway through the second quarter the crowd was chanting ‘bullshit, bullshit’ every time the umps blew the whistle.
    At the closing ceremony when the umpires were being thanked there was a deafening crowd boo.
    Those present knew that the umpires were stuffing up good and proper.
    Tainted Flag.

  25. William this site has technical issues that could be ironed out.

    I am using Chrome on an iPad and Pollbludger can’t load pages properly.
    I generally stop the page loading when I have read the 50 comments on the page so that I can hit the NEXT button to load the next page

    Other WordPress sites load fast as does The Guardian and The Age inside the Chrome browser

  26. EG,
    Umpires are the ultimate mono-culturists. Little men blowing a whistle and not allowing to more talented and interesting individuals to express themselves.

  27. William this site has technical issues that could be ironed out.

    One of these technical difficulties is an endless Escher like loop discussing umpiring at the AFL Grand Final. Someone needs to go in and stop the posting loop endlessly repeating.

  28. “blowing a whistle and not allowing more talented and interesting individuals to express themselves”

    BW’s doing OK 🙂

  29. El Guapo why don’t you describe the problems you encounter in a polite tone so the techies know where to start looking

  30. My comment was’t directed to those who support renewable energy but argue on the finer points but to those who oppose the need for it.

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