Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition in New South Wales

Mike Baird’s personal ratings have crashed in the first New South Wales state Newspoll result since the start of the year.

The Australian has published the first Newspoll result of New South Wales state voting intention to emerge since the start of the year, in which will hopefully be the first of many state results over the week to come. This one finds the Coalition government retaining a 51-49 lead over the August-September period, compared with 56-44 in November-December last year. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down six points to 42%, Labor is up three to 36% and the Greens are up one to 11%. Mike Baird’s personal standing looks to have crashed over the course of this year, with his approval rating down 22% to 39% and disapproval up 24% to 46%. Luke Foley is little changed at 32% (up one) and 39% (steady), but his deficit as preferred premier has narrowed from 58-15 to 42-24. The sample for the poll was 1487. Hat tip: James J.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

11 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Coalition in New South Wales”


    Newspoll: Dogs ban sends Mike Baird ratings into freefall
    The Australian 12:00AM September 29, 2016
    MARK COULTAN State political correspondent Sydney

    Premier Mike Baird has suffered a record fall in satisfaction ratings as a majority of voters judge the NSW greyhound racing ban ­unfair and deliver a dramatic polit­ical rebuke to his government.

    The poll identifies deep disenchantment with the greyhound ban in country areas, a finding that will pile pressure on Deputy Premier and Nationals leader Troy Grant, who took the ban to cabinet.

    After ranking as the most popular political leader in the country in December, Mr Baird has seen his approval ratings collapse into negative territory and the Coalition’s election-winning, two-party-preferred lead of 56 per cent to 44 shrink to a 51-49 lead over Labor.
    Newspoll table
    Biggest falls for a Premier in net satisfaction in Newspoll history
    NSW premier Mike Baird’s popularity plummets in poll after greyhound ban

    Baird’s approval rating has fallen from 61% to 39% and his dissatisfaction rate has more than doubled, according to Newspoll
    Guardian staff and agencies
    Thursday 29 September 2016 08.41 AEST

  2. That biggest netsat fall stat would be on a poll to poll basis rather than over a fixed amount of time, which is a pretty dodgy comparison because of the spotty schedule of state Newspolls. All the same, to lose so many points so quickly is almost Turnbullesque.

  3. Hi All

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    However, the black/white mindset of haters of TA will not understand. Never mind.
    Lol. unless they are rescued by a Surf Lifesaver wearing budgie smugglers. Life / near death experiences helps us to understand things better !

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