Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016

Aggregated Newspoll breakdowns find nothing too remarkable going on beneath the surface of the three polls it has published since the election.

The Australian has published the regular Newspoll breakdowns by state, gender, age and capitals/non-capitals, aggregating all the polling the organisation has conducted since the election – a smaller than usual amount, since the pollster took the better part of two months to resume post-election. The results suggest a bit of slippage for the Coalition since the election in South Australia, but essentially no change in the other four mainland states. This is an opportune moment for me to apologise for not having reactivated BludgerTrack over the past week as promised, but the availability of this new data means the delay is probably for the best. It will positively definitely happen later this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,633 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016”

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  1. Baird has given the big digit to Jones and Hadley and the other shockjock piss boys. No one has ever done that before. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.

  4. OMG the state govt’s ‘solution’ to the freeway traffic congestion is opening up stopping lanes. More short termism that does nothing! And they can’t even guarantee they will take this to the election.

    Where’s the vision? Where’s the long term policy? Pretty piss weak given they’ve been in govt nearly 10 years.

  5. I would be so happy to see the odious toad Brandis walk out the door of parliament, never to return, never to get his longed-for position on the High Court, and for Truth, Justice and the Australian way to prevail over underhanded dealings and power grabs by an egotistical prig. : )

  8. Victoria:

    Brandis has never been convincing when left to his own explanations. I note from reading today’s Crikey that Brandis has mislead parliament, and by that standard alone he should go.

    Difficult not to agree but the standards under the coalition govt were thrown to the wolves long ago.

  10. C@t:

    Barnett’s mob were clearly unprepared to win govt back in the day. They’ve struggled with the policy thing ever since.

  12. Shellbell

    Baird has given the big digit to Jones and Hadley and the other shockjock piss boys.

    A very brave move. Have no time for Bambi but well done that chap for taking on the hate preachers of the airwaves. With luck both Baird and the scumcasters will go down for the count.

  15. Poroti
    Shockjocks abhor a vacuum. Another interesting issue will be the extent that NSW ALP will be prepared to nurture a relationship with the shockjocks

  16. Lets see, George Brandis, SC, DH, Attorney General, says one thing, the Solicitor General says the opposite.

    Who to believe? Well, I apply the rule of thumb that the content any statement by a member of the Turnbull Government is determined by the political exigencies of the day. Maybe to save their job, as in this case. Maybe to prosecute the War on Renewables, as we heard from several government frontnenchers, including the PM himself, last week. Any relationship to truth, logic, common sense or previously held positions is a happy coincidence.

  19. Vic:

    Maybe he can. This ultimately comes down to a test of Turnbull’s leadership.

    Brandis has always been dud as AG and ripe for replacement. Will Turnbull with his reduced HoR majority dare to sacrifice yet another of Abbott’s choices?

  20. Fess

    Dreyfus is not letting go of this, and it seems the staffers are not willing to cover up for him. Turnbull is as useless as tits on a bull. Who knows where this will land.

  21. Victoria @ 10.08 pm: It would be very interesting to know what issues to do with the plebiscite gave rise to a need for advice from the current and then the former Solicitor-General. Things which come to mind include (i) does the Commonwealth Parliament have the power to legislate for a plebiscite? (ii) does the Commonwealth have the power to spend money on a plebiscite? (iii) is there a constitutional problem with the self-executing model of an amendment to the Marriage Act which the ALP has discussed, as was asserted by Senator Brandis? On (iii), Professor Anne Twomey, a distinguished constitutional scholar, floated the idea of a self-executing amendment in a parliamentary submission last year, and it would seem eminently likely that if the Solicitor-General agreed with Professor Twomey that there wouldn’t be a problem with that, Senator Brandis would have gone snuffling around for an opinion from elsewhere to buttress the public position on the point which he ultimately took.

  22. What’s the fuss about?
    Brandis is a member of a LNP government.
    LNP government members lie.
    Brandis lies.
    End of that story.
    Will our ABC support Mr Brandis tomorrow?
    What will BK be able to arrange regarding the bookshelf sale?
    The most exciting time to be an Uhlmann or Brissenden. These highly reputable “journalists” have ambitions in the fiction world that will not be denied. With any luck we may learn how Labor has been muddying the waters in the “Brandis Affair” and should be held to account. With just a little more luck the story could include mysterious muslim identities or greyhound trainers.
    Good night to all. I must away to my police/detective/murder story. 🙂

  23. Pedant

    It would be good to know what specific advice Brandis went looking for from Former SG. Surely this information should be forthcoming

  24. Let us hope the shock jocks and Baird go down together.

    But what I really cannot understand is the attribution of Biard’s unpopularity to the greyhound issue.

    Everyone I talk to is furious with him, on the apartments issue. Everywhere you look in Sydney there are new apartments going up. Literally tens of thousands of them on every vacant block (and some blocs not vacant, that once had perfectly good houses on them, some of them beautiful old Federation dwellings, lovingly renovated). It’s the land grabs and Baird’s blighting of the landscape that the people I talk to are up in arms about.

  26. ‘The most exciting time to be an Uhlmann or Brissenden. These highly reputable “journalists” have ambitions in the fiction world that will not be denied. With any luck we may learn how Labor has been muddying the waters in the “Brandis Affair” and should be held to account.’

    Yes, I await with interest, Brissenden’s forensic analysis of the situation.

  27. Before I call it a night

    has suggested this week’s grilling of bank bosses by a parliamentary committee was established to help the government ward off calls for a royal commission.

    Mr Hartzer told the House Economics Committee on Thursday that when he met Scott Morrison and Malcolm Turnbull in April, Labor’s demands for a royal commission were raised.

    Read more: http://www.afr.com/news/politics/committee-hearings-helped-avoid-royal-commission-20161005-grvxwf#ixzz4MJ7Mdtxv
    Follow us: @FinancialReview on Twitter | financialreview on Facebook

  28. ‘But what I really cannot understand is the attribution of Biard’s unpopularity to the greyhound issue.

    Everyone I talk to is furious with him, on the apartments issue.’

    Got it in one. That and council amalgamations.

    It’s only useless journalists that attribute his unpopularity to bloody greyhounds.

  29. Dutton is a more revolting human being than Brandis but the AG is a worse minister. Dutton is an ugly man doing an ugly job on an ugly fashion but hes not a liability like Brandis, who is detested by all sides. Dutton is a necessary evil for Turnbull; Brandis is expendable.

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