Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016

Aggregated Newspoll breakdowns find nothing too remarkable going on beneath the surface of the three polls it has published since the election.

The Australian has published the regular Newspoll breakdowns by state, gender, age and capitals/non-capitals, aggregating all the polling the organisation has conducted since the election – a smaller than usual amount, since the pollster took the better part of two months to resume post-election. The results suggest a bit of slippage for the Coalition since the election in South Australia, but essentially no change in the other four mainland states. This is an opportune moment for me to apologise for not having reactivated BludgerTrack over the past week as promised, but the availability of this new data means the delay is probably for the best. It will positively definitely happen later this week.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,633 comments on “Newspoll quarterly breakdowns: August-September 2016”

Comments Page 28 of 33
1 27 28 29 33
  1. ‘You have to remember 50% of the population has an IQ less than 100%; it doesn’t mean they can’t write; but it does mean they have difficulty with cause and effect.’

    Well in Uhlmann’s case it does. Basic apostrophe error in first paragraph, and he’s supposed to be a professional journalist.

  2. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Amy Remeikis has the banks inquiry worked out – like most of us!
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/sorry-sorry-sorry-then-silence-big-four-banks-inquiry-strategy-becomes-clear-20161005-grv9de.html
    Matt Thistlethwaite lined up the ANZ CEO very nicely towards the end of yesterday’s inquiry sitting.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/cbd/rockets-and-feathers-for-anzs-shayne-elliott-20161005-grv65s.html
    David Uren says the government’s banking inquiry fails on the key tests. Google.
    /business/opinion/david-uren-economics/parliamentary-inquiry-into-the-banks-fails-on-the-key-tests/news-story/e39f0e2f7bccf3d0cd55010d6f176896
    NAB sets the scene for all the banks to cease donating to political parties.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/bank-ban-slow-build-up-of-stench-may-see-writing-on-the-wall-for-political-donations-20161005-grv99y.html
    Here’s what’s in store for NAB and Westpac at today’s sitting.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/oct/06/bank-inquiry-nab-under-scrutiny-over-staff-bans-as-greens-focus-on-westpac-rate-cuts
    This is where the banking inquiry is heading.
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2016/10/05/where-bank-hearings-headed/
    Soapy’s return to the sitting of parliament should be entertaining.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/attorneygeneral-george-brandis-urged-to-resign-amid-claims-he-misled-parliament-20161004-grv3iz.html
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/oct/05/solicitor-general-says-he-was-not-fully-consulted-on-revoking-citizenship-or-marriage-equality
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/05/did-george-brandis-mislead-parliament-over-solicitor-general-changes
    Michelle Grattan writes about the travails of Brandis.
    https://theconversation.com/bitter-row-between-george-brandis-and-solicitor-general-flares-66600

  3. Section 2 . . .

    “View from the Street” has five more subjects for a Turnbull-style inquiry announcement.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/view-from-the-street/five-more-toothless-parliamentary-inquiries-for-malcolm-turnbull-to-announce-20161005-grva2r.html
    The rank stain from the AFP dropping the Ashbygate case.
    https://independentaustralia.net/life/life-display/afp-drop-ashbygate-the-rank-stain-on-the-body-politic,9552
    Yeah – piss off and don’t come back!
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/pakistani-scholar-ordered-home-from-australian-tour-after-antisemitic-video-emerges-20161005-grvigt.html
    It looks like it might soon be time to wave goodbye to this One Nation senator.
    http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2016/10/05/rodney-culleton-creditors/
    Abbott sticks his nose into Victorian state politics.
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/tony-abbott-intervenes-in-blue-ribbon-brighton-seat-gender-wars-20161005-grvk5q.html
    Lovely stuff at this premier Liberal incubator!
    http://www.theage.com.au/victoria/child-on-child-abuse-a-scotch-victim-speaks-out-20161005-grv546.html
    I suppose many on the right would praise this “productivity”.
    http://www.smh.com.au/small-business/managing/small-business-hr-disaster-she-worked-62-hours-in-four-days-20161004-gruc1z.html
    Can we ever have full employment again.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/we-once-had-full-employment-and-we-can-do-it-again,9554
    And the nine privileged prats spent a fourth night in a Malaysian prison.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/budgie-nine-spend-fourth-night-in-jail-after-stripping-at-malaysian-grand-prix-20161005-grvvme.html

  4. Section 3 . . .

    Queensland Nickel’s liquidators are going to go after $180m from Palmer’s other companies.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/oct/05/queensland-nickel-liquidators-to-pursue-180m-from-clive-palmers-other-companies
    Here are this year’s “Shonky” awards.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/choice-shonky-awards-2016-samsung-amex-and-nestle-among-worst-of-the-worst-20161004-grv1hj.html
    And Choice referred one of the winners to the ACCC.
    http://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/choice-shonky-awards-2016-infectionfighting-camel-milk-referred-to-accc-20161005-grvap8.html
    The Australian Christian Lobby is quite a little mob.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/oct/05/marriage-equality-christian-lobby-backs-legal-help-for-businesses-refusing-gay-couples
    We must abandon the “no school will be worse off” mantra and sort out education funding properly.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/at-last-weve-exposed-the-lie-about-our-state-schools-20161005-grv68i.html
    One Nation is set to returning to the benches in the Queensland parliament.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/that-thinking-feeling/madonna-king-hold-on-to-your-seats-queensland-before-one-nation-takes-them-20161005-grvryn.html
    Paul McGeogh didn’t think much of yesterday’s vice-presidential debate.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/that-thinking-feeling/madonna-king-hold-on-to-your-seats-queensland-before-one-nation-takes-them-20161005-grvryn.html
    Jenna Price on why Trump’s attack on Bill Clinton’s affairs will backfire on him.
    http://www.smh.com.au/comment/how-hillary-clinton-handled-bill-clintons-cheating-shows-she-has-the-resilience-for-the-presidency-20161005-grv9jo.html
    Why Trump is ahead in Ohio.
    http://www.smh.com.au/world/us-election/want-to-know-why-trumps-winning-ohio-drink-a-beer-with-the-deplorables-in-john-boehners-old-district-20161004-gruzzd.html
    Trump lost a cool $800m last year.
    http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/10/04/donald-trump-forbes-ranking_n_12341180.html?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage

  5. Section 4 . . . with Cartoon Corner

    Clinton is trouncing Trump with Asian-Americans.
    http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/10/5/1578221/-Clinton-is-trouncing-Trump-among-Asian-American-voters
    Michael Gordon with some strong advice to Turnbull to ditch the SSM plebiscite.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/ditch-plebiscite-or-hate-will-spread-to-referendum-malcolm-turnbull-warned-20161005-grvh1g.html
    Things get worse for the RSL as the story unfolds.
    http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/rsl-leadership-in-turmoil-after-being-rocked-by-damaging-spending-stories-20161005-grvorb.html

    Gorgeous work from David Rowe on Abbott’s visit to London.

    Warren Brown with the budgie smugglers in Malaysia.

    Alan Moir nicely depicts the support Turnbull is getting from the right.
    http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/alan-moir-20150921-gjrcxr.html
    Jon Kudelka also goes to Malaysia.
    http://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/3ac6bf02ed2cb75adcfec1f000847ee9

  6. And for those following the Undepants 9 story, the Daily TurdBurgler is morphing them into a bunch of carefree good timers, displaying their Auusie arses all over the world. And as the Turd does with their manufactured celebrities, every titbit they can obtain from friends, facebook pages or garbage bins is revealed.

    http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/budgie-nine-f1-ace-daniel-ricciardo-reckons-aussies-malaysian-prank-was-harmless-fun/news-story/178b7088cd297f935b85f475dd123324

  7. EG Theodore,
    The problem is that the Baby Boomers have diverted an unprecedented share of the nation’s wealth from productive use into real estate.

    Coincidentally I woke up this morning to a story in the news which was speaking about a report by the IMF(?) that Australians were having a ‘Debt Binge’ on Real Estate, it was unsustainable and would not end well for the country, sooner rather than later.

    I would be so happy if Turnbull and Morrison and Cormann and Baird in NSW, had to deal with a Property Bust as a result of their not being able to lead the nation out of the problem of John Howard and Peter Costello’s making when they altered the Capital Gains Tax and Negative Gearing relationship and the binge began.

    Be it on all their heads that they preferred to politicise the issue of policy reform in this area to having a mature conversation with Labor about how to make the necessary changes in order to take the heat out of severely overheated markets. People will get burnt because the Coalition refuse to challenge their base with a bit of the Tough Love that they are oh so willing and ready to dish out to the most vulnerable in Australia.

    Time hasn’t run out to deal with the issue and I hope they do before it’s too late, such as in the run-up to the next Budget. However, considering the craven way the Turnbull government operates wrt it’s Backbench and it’s supporters, and it’s supercilious attempts to be against everything Labor is for, I won’t hold my breath.

    In which case I hope that karma bites the Coalition on the bum. Hard. They will have well and truly deserved it because a lot of innocent people will have to suffer because they toadied to a vocal minority. Again.

  8. CTaR1
    He has over 90% popularity but that sort of number did not stop the boyos from topping Aquino.
    If he follows the Uncle Sam bashing with a tilt to the Dragon my view is that he will last about as long as a drug pusher in downtown Olongapo.

  9. Morning bludgers

    Just had a quick look at Sky news channel, and they were spruiking Paul Murray show tonight which is going to take place at the Greyhound racing location. I gleaned from this, that Paul Murray is behind the push to save this industry in NSW. This issue is biting Baird on the arse

  10. BB

    I saw your post re the ABC nightlife radio program. I occasionally listen to it to get me to sleep. You are so right about the whingers getting on complaining about the retirement of their longtime host. I actually think this guy on now is heaps better anyway!!!

  11. Meanwhile here in Victoria, at last election, State Labor had promised 400 more police by 2018. It will now bring it forward in light of the increase in crimes needing to be dealt with. Carjackings and burglaries are on the rise. All attributed to the scourge of drugs

  12. Sprocket
    I will give you odds of Bronwyn Bishop’s expenses to an honest person’s tax return that the Underpants Nine will be given a wristslap, made to apologise, then deported without jail time. No nasty criminal convictions to sully the CVs of future coalition candidates.

  13. Bw

    He has over 90% popularity but that sort of number did not stop the boyos from topping Aquino.
    If he follows the Uncle Sam bashing with a tilt to the Dragon my view is that he will last about as long as a drug pusher in downtown Olongapo.

    Agree.

    If he keeps going the way he is the 90% popularity won’t last long.

  14. S
    A few favours will be being pulled in as we speak. Ms Bishop has been both circumspect and willing to apply a mild slap on the wrist. In public. Step one: tick.
    The MSM has been an irony-free zone on this one. Step two.

    Conservative Malaysians would regard all the to-do in Australia about hijabs, niqabs and burkahs as being an affront to decency and decorum.
    Then the Aussie cream de la creme goes to KL and drinks alcohol out of shoes while dressed in underpants made from Malaysian flags.
    Aussie Aussie Aussie Oi Oi Oi.
    The Ugly Australian writ large.
    Naturally the DT springs to the defence of the idiot class.

  15. Bushfire Bill

    You’re still on a 100% hit rate for personal niggling me every time you comment on me. I do find it touching that you find it so wrong that I did ask PB bludgers for donations that went to a cancer charity whilst a close friend, who was 24, had a 6 month child, was dying from terminal cancer. He is now dead and has been for three and a half years and yet, you still go on about it. Sad.

  16. “EG Theodore,
    The problem is that the Baby Boomers have diverted an unprecedented share of the nation’s wealth from productive use into real estate.”
    Agreed. And that ignores the other harm it has done, in terms of social equity and denying half a generation the chance to own their own home.

    I have highlighted this problem, caused by Peter Costello’s disastrous changes to capital gains and tax treatment of negative geared property in 2001, for almost ten years on this blog now. Yet while Costello caused it, none of the later Howard, Rudd, Gillard, Abbott or Turnbull governments have made any genuine attempt to fix it. They will all go down in history as among Australia’s worst governments in terms of economic management, Rudd’s handling of the GFC aside.

    Labor needs to realise that, just because a tax rort may benefit tradesmen, it is still a rort. The Liberals plainly don’t care, as long as the soivs in real estate and banking keep paying them off. Have a good day all.

  17. C@t

    I heard something too re the IMF earlier. It is no surprise that Australians are carrying too much personal debt, and cost of housing is unsustainable.

  18. Whilst I disagree a hell of a lot with 98% of people hear, I don’t hate any of you. Not even Bushfire Bill. But I do have a special place in my heart for those here who did give very generously a few years ago. Labor or Green, most are very good people at heart.

  19. Meanwhile in Florida, they are recommending evacuations due to the Hurricane that has battered Haiti. The authorities are saying that it could be a catastrophic storm. Gulp…….

  20. Ullmann’s ABC article today – he seems to be pursuing a personal crusade using the resources of the ABC and financed by us taxpayers. One never knew he was an expert on all things electrical. The sooner he joins redneck radio the better.

    Finally, we know that the energy market is in transition to cleaner forms of power and that is unstoppable. In time the engineering difficulties posed by wind will be overcome.

    Or they will be as long as people aren’t burned as heretics for daring to point out the real and well documented problems with integrating new forms of energy into an old grid.

    And, if those who claim to be friends of renewables continue to respond to any criticism with hysterics, then they will be responsible for ensuring the budding renewable industry suffers irreparable reputational damage.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-06/uhlmann-on-power-blackout-in-south-australia/7906844

  21. Mark Dreyfus was on Lateline last night.

    Shadow Attorney General @markdreyfusQCMP: “Senator Brandis should resign. It’s a disgraceful act that he’s engaged in here”
    11 hours ago – Twitter

  22. BB
    I appreciate Rummel and DWH, because they ARE from the other side of the fence, but both are decent sane people, not crazed racists like CC and the other occasional troll.

    Rumell makes no secret of being a liberal leaning voter, but likes Rudd – Well surprise surprise – it was the Rummels of this world who elected Rudd in 2007. Labor needs to win over people like Rummel if they wish to form government. You can never expect them to agree 100% but Labor’s challenge is to get people like Rummel to at least agree that they are better than the alternative, that some of their programs are good and that they will be a safe bet for 3-6 years.

    Those like DWH are having it particularly hard. Having been in the Turnbull camp, they are now sadly disappointed. The Liberal Party they thought they knew has disappeared and they are left with a party that resembles the DLP more than the Liberal Party. They thought they were voting for Menzies and instead got Vince Gair.

  23. Uhlmann is still pursuing wind power as the cause of the blackout without being in posession of all the facts.
    http://reneweconomy.com.au/2016/aemo-report-into-sa-blackout-raises-questions-answers-none-55986
    The big issue is the grid. Maybe Uhlmann could comment on how the privatisation of the grid by the Libs, aided and abetted by Xenophon, is going to complicate its required upgrade, without the SA power consumer being taken to the cleaners by the offshore private owners.

  24. Uhlmann has progressed from misleading, to outright lying. There is no feasible way for him to keep his job now.

    His claim:
    “it was the sudden loss of wind power that tripped the interconnector with Victoria and that loss of generation is yet to be explained.”

    The loss of generation is explained by the fact that it was on one side of a broken transmission line, and the rest of SA was on the other side. No generator, regardless of fuel type, can generate power and deliver it to mains when it is not connected to the mains.

    It is like blaming Windows for not being able to use Ctrl+alt+esc when your computer is not plugged in.

  25. socrates @ #1360 Thursday, October 6, 2016 at 7:45 am

    Regarding this Pakistani Muslim “preacher” I agree he should be ordered to leave for such obvious hate speech.
    http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/pakistani-scholar-ordered-home-from-australian-tour-after-antisemitic-video-emerges-20161005-grvigt.html
    But by the same logic, other christian hate speech “preachers” like Sri Lankan immigrant Danny Nalliah could easily face the same argument.

    I think Danny Nutbags is from Pakistan originally.

  26. Good posts re property.
    Re. Karma coming back to bit the Coalition, why do I get the feeling any downturn will be when Labor is in government which will of course get the blame.
    As far as Uhlmann is concerned, he refers to issues with the ‘grid’ but then blames renewables.
    Doesn’t the grid specifically refer to the distribution network?
    I think media watch will look into it, they just needed more time do do a story, last Monday was too soon.

  27. Jay Wetherill was very impressive on AM this morning, putting Brissenden politely but firmly in his place regarding renewables.
    You could tell he was getting increasingly impatient with the gormless line of questioning that Brissenden was pursuing, but responded calmly and with authority.

  28. Trog

    There are so many wild cards!!!
    At the risk of being classed with the crazed conspiracy nutters (what is new) I am convinced that Clinton is seriously ill. There is way too much video evidence to ignore.

    What I do not know is if her illness would affect her ability to be president ie her mental awareness and how likely it is that it would kill or disable her in the first two years of her term. If the answer to both of those is No and Unlikely then I think she should be applauded for bravery and very good luck to her.

    However when a candidate for high office travels with a hospital gurney and this is taken back stage before a rally, I think there is something up. Happy to have a president who cannot walk, and even one with sight problems. Cancer or a bad heart would not bother me too much either, assuming not expected to pass on within two years. However if you need a hospital gurney before a rally I think that if you vote for Hillary then you MUST assume it is a vote for Tim Kaine (or maybe Bill – which is great but he is looking a bit grey and old too).

    So unless the video are total fakes, then there are issues.

  29. Adrian

    I liked the bit where Weatherill said very firmly that something Brissendon was putting to him was completely wrong. Brissendon said something like “Is that true?” and Weatherill said very firmly that it was…followed by silence.

  30. Scott Bales, the current management of the ABC would see the complaints against Uhlmann as a badge of honour.
    There is no evidence that they give a shit what the people who pay their wages think.
    The fact that they published a follow-up article says it all.

  31. Rummel,

    You are very thin skinned. You can dish it out mate, but you can’t take a little questioning of your motives.

    Be happy that you’ve fooled a lot of punters here into thinking you’re “the acceptable face of Liberalism”, or whatever. You haven’t fooled me.

    You are quite opportunistic. You go all “Sweetness and Light”, and “Mr Reasonable” for a while, but at the first sign of a potential opportunity to sink the boot in, you dust off the hobnails.

    Some of the stuff you post here appears to be reasonable, even conciliatory on occasion, but it’s when your inner Andrew Bolt comes to the fore that you give the game away with pedestrian Right Wing talking points, and rabid lunatic fringe declarations.

  32. Yes Zoomster. As usual Brissenden does no homework apart from receiving (and regurgitating) the latest talking points from the government spin machine.

  33. The NAB boss is talking a load of crap about the overall 15% of salary being based on incentives. Incentives have a big part to play in behaviour. Get rid of them!

  34. The fact that they published a follow-up article says it all.

    That follow-up article by Uhlmann states categorically, “Why it happened is still a mystery.”

    Uhlmann gives this statement its own paragraph, to emphasize its importance. This will be used by the editorial gnomes at the ABC to justify the rest of the speculation and innuendo in Uhlmann’s article.

    All he really manages to establish is that there is a case for an inquiry into a better, more adaptable network in South Australia. He does not make a case for wind turbine electricity generation being either the cause of the shut-down, or a bad thing in itself. He also doesn’t explain why the wind turbines were switched out of the grid. It’s all suggestion drizzled with a tasty FUD sauce.

  35. es Zoomster. As usual Brissenden does no homework apart from receiving (and regurgitating) the latest talking points from the government spin machine.

    This is precisely his job. I don’t mean in some surreptitious sort of way. It’ll be there in his contract and the ABC Charter.

    His job is not to contradict the government’s official line. It is to present it, as unaltered and unedited as possible.

    If he does not do this then government minders will badger the ABC until either he corrects the record, or is sacked. Brissenden’s been doing this for so long he probably doesn’t even realize he’s doing it. It’d be second nature to him by now.

    The government – a Liberal government, that is – dresses up talking points as “press releases” or “ministerial statements”. As such they become “news”. Brissenden’s job is to report the news. The simplest way to report government talking points as news is to parrot them as accurately as possible. That way there need be no confusion.

  36. ‘Or they will be as long as people aren’t burned as heretics for daring to point out the real and well documented problems with integrating new forms of energy into an old grid.

    And, if those who claim to be friends of renewables continue to respond to any criticism with hysterics, then they will be responsible for ensuring the budding renewable industry suffers irreparable reputational damage.’

    Uhlmann’s having a lend surely:
    ‘Burnt at the stake’, ‘heretics’, ‘irreparable’
    I know he’s an ex-seminarian, but he really needs to calm down a bit.

Comments Page 28 of 33
1 27 28 29 33

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *