Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Essential Research records no change on two-party preferred, indifference as to the Australian Building and Construction Commission, and very strong support for a royal commission into banking.

This week’s reading of the Essential Research fortnightly average finds the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 39%, with Labor, Greens and Nick Xenophon Team steady at 37%, 10% and 4%, but two-party preferred is unchanged at 52-48 in favour of Labor. Other questions record 71% saying they gave their name and address when filling out the census, 6% saying they did not do so, and 23% saying they did not fill out the census, although one wonders if the sample might be skewed towards the sort of person who doesn’t mind filling out surveys of one kind or another. Also: 32% support the re-establishment of the Australian Building and Construction Commission and 18% with 28% opting for neither, after a question which sought to explain the situation to respondents; 35% rate the issue important, and 40% not important; and 64% supporting a royal commission into banking versus only 13% opposed.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,126 comments on “Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor”

Comments Page 61 of 63
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  1. Telstra Email
    On 20th August I received an email from Telstra informing me that my email account will be moved to something or other withing the next few weeks and that I would received an email “just like this one” for each email account.
    The current “outage” may be part of this clever plan that nobody asked for and probably does not want.
    From past experience I know that there is no point trying to get information. Information will only be available after the event. Possible the outage is caused by the Labor party.

  2. Telstra is getting rid of the bigpond brand and this is part of it. I kept receiving emails from my subsidiary email, but NOT my major one. Had to fix it last week. You need to ring them the get the new mail server and probably the right port.

  4. Boerwar
    Did that when wouldn’t update, but took me around what I described above, and Julie Bishop isn’t someone I want to see especially so early in morning.
    But thank you blog seems to have righted itself again

  5. Mr Hinch made an appearance on ABC 24 (reaches to remote to turn off TV) this morning. Mr Hinch is a newly elected LNP senator. He does not appear to this keen observer to dwell with we mortals. He may pass the pub sniff test (can anybody let me know what that is ) but may not pass the latest rationality test. This latest test requires the use of one of those new very bright flashlights (torch to you). The light should be directed into one ear. Should the light be shining brightly out the other ear the test subject has failed. All parliamentarians will be required to undergo this test. Those who fail will, of course, be allowed to carry on with their normal duties. The ones who pass will be directed to a re education camp being set at club Nauru. This post has been almost entirely composed by predictive text. Time to check the freesias, daffodils and whether any of my beautiful lilies have shown themselves yet.

  6. So the ads are tailored for each individual poster….

    At the moment I have one entitled: ‘Data Governance For Self-Service Analytics – Get The Whitepaper.’

    Had I any idea what that meant I might be interested.

  7. I always leave PB open at the page I was on every night, and then restore my open tabs in the morning. Then refresh PB. No problems that way. I also have PB on my Firefox home page for a quick click when I need it. : )

  9. Crikey seems Ok. I just signed out, re signed in. Goes to Crikey. then Sections, blogs, Poll Bludger. Using Firefox set to return to wherever left off. Working OK.
    Telstra Email working here (Newcastle) again.

  10. KayJay,
    Senator Shock Jock was likely being interviewed because today is ‘Senate School’ at Parliament House, and you know you can always get a reliable quote for your media outfit from a, former, Shock Jock.

  11. c@tmomma @ #3010 Tuesday, August 23, 2016 at 9:44 am

    KayJay,
    Senator Shock Jock was likely being interviewed because today is ‘Senate School’ at Parliament House, and you know you can always get a reliable quote for your media outfit from a, former, Shock Jock.

    You will have observed that I referred to the gentleman as a LNP senator. Among my ailments is included a deterioration of neck bones. Shaking the head in disgust at the ABC coverage is aggravating this problem. Solution – hide head in the sand or, just for today – watch “Brazil” which I have with subtitles. I think BKs coverage is wonderful and, as usual, the cartoonists live in out world. Bye.

  12. sprocket_ @ #2974 Tuesday, August 23, 2016 at 12:51 am

    For Simon Katich and Barney in Saigon
    Sumatera is one of my old stomping grounds, some great memories. Like the 36 hour bus from Bukit Tinggi to Lake Toba in the wet season – plenty of time watching the bogged bus getting extracted. The pilot inviting me up to the cockpit for a DC3 flight from Palembang to Riau – not sure whether that was in standard SOPS. Going deck class from Jakarta to Padang where the crew would sell you their sleeping cabins, and you got a fish head at mealtime because you were a Westerner and they wanted to give you the best bit.
    Never got to Aceh, but just about every else including Nias, 24 hours by boat and PekanBaru, which was a real wild west town. Recently went to Bukit Lawang near Medan to the orangutan sanctuary. Highly recommended, but you need to be fit.

    If you’re short on time or like your comforts, definitely don’t go to Sumatra.

    3 – 4 hours standard to go 100 km.

    The local chicken buses are a joy, (trial) sharing the trip with not only the locals but also a wide variety of their livestock and when it rains you sometimes think you might be drier on the back tray of the truck you just passed.

    Bukit Lawang was amazing. It’s easy to understand the name, orangutan (tree man), they do seem to have so many human qualities. They also highlight one of the main problems in developing countries, where the rich and powerful do what they like and say f*$& the consequences I can make money here.

  14. Barney in Saigon
    Thank you. Extremely interesting.
    On an aside to those who think they get information from local TV. Why not try SBS. Currently SBS 3 Greek news from Cyprus. I have no idea what the front people or voiceovers are saying but they are not showing Ms Cash, Ms Bishop, Mr Fifield, Mr Corman, so the talking heads are gorgeous people and not knowing the language is an advantage so that I don’t get p**sed off at the sheer stupidity. Song for the day “They’re Hanging me Tonight” sung by the LNP choir. 😀

  15. One of my most memorable travel experiences was climbing Mt Ijen in Eastern Java, an active volcano housing a sulphur mine. Miners carrying baskets on their shoulders take the lengthy climb before descending into the steaming crater, with huge lumps of yellow rock weighing up to 90 kgs, day in, day out.
    Meeting these men was something I will never forget.

  16. I’m on an iMac using Chrome.

    I have no Musrum gear installed.

    Last night I shut down Chrome and this morning re-opened from History tab. It opened up already in PB, showing last night’s final page. Refreshed and all systems AOK.

  18. Good Morning

    There are a lot of jokes on twitter this morning about Mike Baird banning socks or stairs after he broke a vertebrae coming down the stairs in socks.

  19. Have any of the media thought to interview a Labor MP today re their position on the Budget Savings that the Coalition are demanding they pass through the parliament with a wave of the hand, whilst holding a hankie to their noses?

    It might be nice to get an alternative pov.

  24. Guytaur,
    After watching performances, for my sins, from the Coalition for many a year now, Senator Car Crash and Senator Blockhead just being the latest two in a very long line, I am now convinced that all Coalition MPs are sent to Clown School upon entering parliament!

  27. I like living in a house with the absolute minimum number of stairs for that very reason! They can be lethal! I have 4 in to the front door and 2 out to the back yard. Although, I will admit, I did fall on the grass and fracture my leg in 3 places around my ankle area once when it was raining and I was running to the car! Suffice to say that I got a lot wetter than if I had simply walked instead and not left the umbrella in the car. : )

  29. ‘No, I haven’t.
    Life’s short, but there’s still time.’

    Ok, thinking of going and thought you might have some advice…

  30. Catmomma

    Most accidents happen around the home. Mainly due to familiarity breeding contempt.

    As your post shows that ends up in careless actions through taking skills to manage being overestimated

  31. uniaus: .@AusHumanRights Commisoner @GillianTriggs speaking at the launch of #respectnowalways uni student survey pic.twitter.com/OqAljE42Ks

  32. The GITS (formerly known as the ABC) seemed to have the whole of Cormann’s wibble-wobble speech on AM this morning. That’s how it seemed anyway, but of course we’re told how he and the rest of them are ‘putting pressure’ on Labor.

    Not much point in putting pressure on a plate of jelly, Cormann.

  33. Sigh. This could have been Australia:

    ‘America’s First Offshore
    Wind Farm May Power
    Up a New Industry’

    BLOCK ISLAND, R.I. — The towering machines stand a few miles from shore, in a precise line across the seafloor, as rigid in the ocean breeze as sailors reporting for duty.

    The blades are locked in place for now, but sometime in October, they will be turned loose to capture the power of the wind. And then, after weeks of testing and fine-tuning, America’s first offshore wind farm will begin pumping power into the New England electric grid.

    By global standards, the Block Island Wind Farm is a tiny project, just five turbines capable of powering about 17,000 homes. Yet many people are hoping its completion, with the final blade bolted into place at the end of last week, will mark the start of a new American industry, one that could eventually make a huge contribution to reducing the nation’s climate-changing pollution.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/23/science/americas-first-offshore-wind-farm-may-power-up-a-new-industry.html?smid=tw-share

  35. ‘Most accidents happen around the home. Mainly due to familiarity breeding contempt.’

    Baird’s lucky he’s still got a home to be familiar with, and it wasn’t demolished to make way for WestConnnex.

  36. adrian @ #3032 Tuesday, August 23, 2016 at 10:38 am

    The GITS (formerly known as the ABC) seemed to have the whole of Cormann’s wibble-wobble speech on AM this morning. That’s how it seemed anyway, but of course we’re told how he and the rest of them are ‘putting pressure’ on Labor.
    Not much point in putting pressure on a plate of jelly, Cormann.

    The above is simply second grade BS. BS now being graded according to horses ass in question. Yes, I know, contradiction.
    Please forgive my appalling ignorance. You have previously mentioned GITS. What is this. Are we at war? Should I be alarmed? I am cleverly avoiding the ABC today. There will be peace on this homestead. Bye.

  37. Good morning all,

    Jim Chalmers was on AM this morning and referred to the rubbish being sprouted by Mathias C. as ” dribble”.

    Labor had repeatedly said it would honor its election commitments but wants to see the legislation. Simple.

    The liberals are simply trying to drag labor into a fight over the state of the budget and demanding this and that. Just as labor refused to be dragged into fights and arguments when Abbott was ramping up the terror/ national security angle Bill Shorten is again refusing to play the Turnbull budget game. It drove Abbott mad and he went harder and harder trying to get a bite from labor to such an extent he ended up looking like a fool. Remember the ” shirt fronting ” threat.

    Turnbull is now trying the same thing and once again Bill is refusing to bite. The Libs are frustrated and as a result are pumping harder and harder as labor just sits back and calmly waits for the legislation. The noise and rubbish being sprouted by the Libs is a sure sign Shorten is again frustrating them and making them look desperate.

    I just love it. Bill is playing with them. He is not biting re the budget demands, he did not bite after the announcement by Turnbull yesterday re the CFA and the Libs are running around looking for the next issue to throw out in a attempt to ” set the agenda “.

    Nothing is working and labor are simply playing with them.

    Cheers.

  39. trog sorrenson @ #2983 Tuesday, August 23, 2016 at 7:31 am

    WTF
    According to GetUp, Turnbull is about to privatise the ASIC database. This is probably more significant than the privacy issues around the census.

    Investigative journalists are on the front lines to expose shady corporate dealings – but Malcolm Turnbull is about to deal them a devastating blow.
    The Turnbull Government has been working behind closed doors to sell off Australia’s corporate ownership database. If he gets his way, Big Business will take control of over ten million corporate financial records.
    This Orwellian move could shut down scrutiny from journalists, academics and advocacy groups – all but eradicating corporate accountability. It’s a bitter recipe for rampant tax dodging and shady shell companies.
    So far the PM has managed to sneak this all under the radar. But now, with just one more week until the tender deadline, GetUp members are getting ready to blow the lid off Turnbull’s scheme with a massive public outcry – before it’s too late.

    https://www.getup.org.au/campaigns/asic-privatisation/asic-petition/turnbull-s-attack-on-transparency?t=y0gL3HK0y

    I asked about this yesterday. I have signed and shared too on FB. $60 Million revenue a year it brings in too. While we think this govt are doing nothing, they are making some very sneaky and significant moves under the radar. Was this yet another thing on the IPA’s Be Like Gough top 40 list or another recommendation by the National Commission of Audit? Anyone know offhand?

  41. Adrian

    You can put pressure on a jelly though I do agree with your point politically.

    Putting pressure on a jelly just ends up with an awful mess. As we are seeing with the actions of Mr Turnbull. His jelly behaviour over SSM is getting his party nowhere.

  42. Derryn Hinch is taking the reasonable approach to being a Senator.

    It will not take long for him to find out as Senators have done before him that being reasonable with the LNP does not work. I don’t agree with some Hinch positions on issues but see him as a potential Glen Lazarus or Ricky Muir in this Senate.

  43. ‘Please forgive my appalling ignorance. You have previously mentioned GITS. What is this. Are we at war? Should I be alarmed?’

    Not ignorance, appalling or otherwise, just me being a smart arse:

    Government Information & Transcription Service = GITS

  45. In a government full of embarrassing duds and failures Michaelia Cash stands out as the worst by a country mile.

    I would rather set my head on fire and then extinguish the fire with a hammer and bottle of acid than have to listen to her shrieking and bile filled nastiness.

  46. Michael West also has an article on the ASIC privatisation.
    Another thing it will do is remind everyone of the government’s plans for Medicare.

  49. The problem is that it’s not difficult (even for this bunch) to do things under the radar when you have such a hopeless bunch of journos in the CPG, particularly those who work for the GITS.

  50. Ms Crabbe did her best to humanise the inhumane on Kitchen Cabinet (streaming on GITS iView) I am sure.
    Can’t comment on her success or otherwise as the combination of Crabbe and Cash is just about the worst combination of anything that I can imagine.

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