Federal polls: Resolve, Essential and more (open thread)

Multiple new polls defy emerging talk of an end to the Albanese government’s honeymoon.

Two new federal opinion poll results today:

• The long-awaited set of voting intention numbers from Resolve Strategic finds Labor down a point on last month to 39%, the Coalition down one to 30%, the Greens up three to 13% and One Nation steady on 5%. The Coalition gets a particularly bad set of numbers from Queensland, where they are down 11 points to 24% with Labor steady on 39%. No two-party preferred is provided, but I make it at close to 60-40 in favour of Labor. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% and up one on disapproval to 31%, while Peter Dutton is up three to 32% and down one to 44%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 55-23 to 51-22. The poll was conducted Sunday to Thursday from a sample of 1600.

• The fortnightly voting intention numbers from Essential Research, which include a 5% undecided component, have Labor up two to 34%, the Coalition down one to 31%, the Greens up two to 14% and One Nation down two to 5%. Labor’s lead on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure widens from 49-44 to 52-43, the balance being undecided. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1124.

As was the case with the Resolve Strategic poll with numbers published on Saturday, the Essential Research poll featured further results on AUKUS, finding 40% agreement with contention that the submarine agreement would “make Australia more secure” (down four from November) versus 21% for less secure (up five) and 40% saying it would have no impact (up one). Respondents were also less inclined to rate that China was a threat needing to be confronted than in November, down six to 20%, and correspondingly more favourable to the alternative view that it was a “complex relationship to be managed”, up six to 67%, with an unchanged 13% considering it “a positive opportunity to be realised”. Twenty-six per cent considered the purchase worth the expense, 27% felt the submarines were necessary but the expense too great, and 28% believed the submarines were unnecessary.

An occasional series of questions on leaders’ attributes, the first such since February last year, found Anthony Albanese’s biggest strength to be that he was in control of his team (59%), while 54% felt he changed his opinions too much and 49% rated him out of touch with ordinary people. Peter Dutton scored weak results across the board, his strongest being that 47% felt him in control of his team, and his weakest being 61% for out of touch and 34% or 35% for visionary, understanding of women’s issues and more honest than other politicians.

In other poll news, JWS Research finds 42% favouring a yes vote in an Indigenous voice referendum, down one since August, with 28% for no, down five; and the latest Roy Morgan voting intention results, conducted from March 6 to 12, have Labor leading 56.5-43.5 from primary votes of Labor 37%, Coalition 34% and Greens 12.5%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,285 comments on “Federal polls: Resolve, Essential and more (open thread)”

Comments Page 23 of 26
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  2. ”
    Dog’s Brunchsays:
    Friday, March 24, 2023 at 10:18 pm
    Michael Moore’s latest, an interesting and disturbing read about Americans.
    https://open.substack.com/pub/michaelmoore/p/guns-dont-kill-people-americans-kill?r=1sgi1v&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
    ”

    From the article:
    Twenty years ago tonight, on March 23, 2003, our film, “Bowling for Columbine”, received the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature of the year.

    But it was also the fifth night of one of the greatest war crimes of the new century — the illegal invasion and bombing of Iraq by George W. Bush and the people of the United States of America. A whopping 72% of the American public backed Bush and the war, as did the majority of Democrats in the U.S. Senate. Bush’s cronies — Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Elliott Abrams, etc. — desperate to take control of Iraq’s oil and eliminate Saddam Hussein, concocted a lie claiming Iraq was involved in the 9/11 terrorist attack and that it now possessed weapons of mass destruction”

  3. Ven says:
    Twenty years ago tonight, on March 23, 2003, our film, “Bowling for Columbine”, received the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature of the year.

    But it was also the fifth night of one of the greatest war crimes of the new century — the illegal invasion and bombing of Iraq by George W. Bush and the people of the United States of America. A whopping 72% of the American public backed Bush and the war, as did the majority of Democrats in the U.S. Senate. Bush’s cronies — Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Elliott Abrams, etc. — desperate to take control of Iraq’s oil and eliminate Saddam Hussein, concocted a lie claiming Iraq was involved in the 9/11 terrorist attack and that it now possessed weapons of mass destruction”.
    …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
    Begs the question: Why would Putin invade Ukraine and think he could get away with it?

  4. Socratessays:
    Friday, March 24, 2023 at 6:37 pm
    Sprocket

    “The well informed Denys is saying 50-70k Ukrainians soldiers killed. Maybe under counting.”

    Sadly that is consistent with a Ukrainian I heard back in September who said that Ukraine then had lost 30,000 soldiers dead and civil + military dead were 50,000. That is more than Australia lost in WWII.

    Russia has lost far more, but when your enemy fired over a million rounds of artillery into your cities sooner or later some of your people die too.

    This war is on a huge scale. It is literally mass murder.
    …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….

    Reminds me of the total number of bombs dropped on Vietnam by the US and Australian forces during our long war with the North Vietnamese, were more than the total number of bombs dropped during the Second World War.

    That war was on a huge scale. It was literally mass murder.

  5. 98.6 says:
    Begs the question: Why would Putin invade Ukraine and think he could get away with it?
    …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
    I suppose he thought, if the US, UK, Australia and Poland can illegally invade another country on concocted lies with no consequences, so can I.

  6. Why would Putin invade Ukraine and think he could get away with it?

    Crimea 2014.

    I suppose he thought, if the US, UK, Australia and Poland can illegally invade another country on concocted lies with no consequences, so can I.

    False equivalence. However immoral and misguided the West’s adventurism in the Middle East has been, there was never any intent whatsoever of using it as a territory grab.

    Russia’s illegal invasion is also predicated on lies, and a blantant land-grab besides. It’s objectively worse.

  7. Yeah, well Putin miscalculated. Just because the USA gets away with it doesn’t mean everybody gets away with it.

    I still think one of reasons that Ukraine was and is able to garner western and other support is because of Zelenskyy. This is a man for the moment, absolutely made for the 21st media landscape. Leaders of countries and others are flocking to be seen with him in Kyivv. He gets air-time at major events. He has the background and the guts to do it. We do not see him directing any military operations, he seems to be sticking to his brief, which is leading his people and ‘selling’ Ukraine as a mission for the rest of the world to protect.

    The Ukrainian military casualties are kept secret but it is easy to proffer a figure of about 50%f of Russia’s. The civilian toll must be high, but early evacuation of a lot of the women, kids and elderly must have saved thousands of Ukrainians lives.

    This is a terrible war, and can only be stopped by the defeat of Russia. That is something that could have happened by now, if the West had not dragged its feet on sending weapons and ammo to Ukraine in the early months.

    I suspect the delay was to allow the UIkrainain army to kill as many Russians as possible, destroy their weapons and neuter Russia as a global power. Also it allowed the military industrial complex to have live trials of their weapons. For example, in a move that I agree with, Australia has ordered 40 HIMARS systems. I would be happy with as many of them as we can get our hands on. In February, 2022 I had never heard of HIMARS!!!
    The same with war-drones. Every Tom, Dick and Mary’s army are going to want those!

    So cynicism is never wasted when it comes to international conflict.

    Elderly Ukrainian women giving out sunflower seeds to Russian soldiers the age of their grand-kids, saying the seeds will sprout in those soldiers’ corpses captured my heart for that country too.

  8. 98.6 @ Friday, March 24, 2023 at 11:40 pm:
    ==============

    98.6, do you think Ukraine should receive any military help from any other nation, to give them the means to resist Russia’s invasion of them?

  9. 98.6 @ Friday, March 24, 2023 at 11:40 pm

    “98.6 says:
    Begs the question: Why would Putin invade Ukraine and think he could get away with it?
    …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
    I suppose he thought, if the US, UK, Australia and Poland can illegally invade another country on concocted lies with no consequences, so can I.”
    =============

    Putin didn’t need the precedent of GWB’s 2003 ‘Operation Iraqi Freedom’ to pave the way for his invasion of Ukraine. Chechnya in 2000-2004 proves that.

  10. “ Why would Putin invade Ukraine and think he could get away with it?”

    Obviously the Abbott shirt-fronting didn’t stop him.

  11. Thanks, Dog’s Brunch, for the link to the SBS Report:

    ‘Senator Henderson later said Senator Watt had “pointed directly towards me” and uttered “words that I will not repeat, and that no other person should repeat”.

    ‘“They were abhorrent and offensive … The precise words uttered by Senator Watt will be seared into my memory for a very long time,” she said.’

    Translation: I know exactly what Watt said — but I’m not going to tell you. So project your own worst-case speculation on what he might have said.

  12. Oliver Sutton says:
    Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 6:45 am
    Thanks, Dog’s Brunch, for the link to the SBS Report:

    ‘Senator Henderson later said Senator Watt had “pointed directly towards me” and uttered “words that I will not repeat, and that no other person should repeat”.

    ‘“They were abhorrent and offensive … The precise words uttered by Senator Watt will be seared into my memory for a very long time,” she said.’

    Translation: I know exactly what Watt said — but I’m not going to tell you. So project your own worst-case speculation on what he might have said.
    ——————————————————————————————

    So if I understand the situation, we don’t know what Watt said because Henderson won’t repeat it? It’s an absolute beat-up.

    If there was anything to it then Henderson would be shouting it from the rooftops and taking Watt to the cleaners. It’s a total beat-up.

  13. Cronus, it’s such a rare thing ,a female or male LNP member crying, that it must be played for all its worth. Sarah probably last cried when The Rodent lost his seat!

  15. Yass Valley Council voted last night to make a submission to the enquirery into branch closures in rural areas after Westpac recently closed, and the NAB open only 3 hours a day. Comm bank still open normal hours being the only other bank. This in a town set to grow significantly in the next decade.

  16. I’ve said all along Dutton and the Liberals will outright oppose the Voice. I agree with Hartcher.

    This week saw a new groundswell of determined resistance against the Voice inside the Liberals. Dutton would be putting his leadership on the line to defy it. And he’s not about to do that. His first imperative is to try to hold his job until the next election.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/dutton-walked-out-of-the-apology-now-he-ll-walk-out-on-the-voice-20230323-p5cun8.html

  18. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    In a long and detailed contribution, George Megalogenis says that there is an AUKUS truth which is that flawed allies may not always see the world as we do.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-aukus-truth-flawed-allies-may-not-always-see-the-world-as-we-do-20230323-p5cun2.html
    Paul Keating’s verbal torpedoes aimed at the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal have begun hitting their targets in the Labor Party, writes Paul Bongiorno.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2023/03/25/labor-rift-over-submarine-deal
    And John Hewson reckons Paul Keating has a point on AUKUS.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2023/03/25/paul-keating-has-point-aukus
    Greg Sheridan tells us how the Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping summit changed the geo-strategic reality.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/how-the-vladimir-putin-xi-jinping-summit-changed-the-geostrategic-reality/news-story/de8d072d63ecd460f4df1ca7ccd6ec19?amp
    Doing a “Smethurst”, Alexandra Smith writes that it’s down to the wire with Minns and Perrottet to face judgement today , but a last-minute revival from the Coalition is possible.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/down-to-the-wire-minns-and-perrottet-to-face-judgment-20230322-p5cug9.html
    Michael Pascoe says, “Integrity – the lack of it – is at heart of voters’ NSW election dilemma”.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2023/03/25/michael-pascoe-nsw-election-integrity/
    As voters head to the polls in NSW, the cost of living crisis looms large as a defining electoral issue. Households across the state have been feeling the crunch. In the final instalment of our series highlighting the similarities and differences in Labor and Coalition policies, Callum Foote looks at which party will do the most to address everyday expenses.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/cost-of-living-rental-crisis-soaring-tolls-loom-large-as-nsw-voters-head-to-the-polls/
    Liberal Party officials in NSW are bracing for significant swings in crucial marginal electorates on Saturday, a result which would mean the Coalition is out of government in every mainland state in the country and Labor’s untested leader Chris Minns takes the helm of the nation’s biggest state.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/nsw-liberals-fear-revolt-in-key-marginal-seats-20230324-p5cv2c
    The presence of neo-Nazis at a transphobic rally in Melbourne last weekend is evidence of how fringe groups operate to find common purpose, focusing on the most vulnerable, posits Sam Elkin.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/2023/03/25/terf-wars-and-neo-nazis
    Dutton walked out of the apology. Now he’ll walk out on the Voice, predicts Peter Hartcher.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/dutton-walked-out-of-the-apology-now-he-ll-walk-out-on-the-voice-20230323-p5cun8.html
    Peter Dutton is stuck in no-man’s land on the voice – and he risks cementing his reputation as a wrecker, opines Paul Karp.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/25/peter-dutton-is-stuck-in-no-mans-land-on-the-voice-and-he-risks-cementing-his-reputation-as-a-wrecker
    Ken Wyatt has warned Liberals that opposing Indigenous voice could add to ‘perceptions’ that the party is ‘racist’.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/24/ken-wyatt-warns-opposing-indigenous-voice-could-add-to-perceptions-liberals-are-a-racist-party
    As the wording of the Voice referendum question is released, the Murdoch media’s “news” drives resentment with propaganda as constant as drums of war. The pounding message for its audience is that every development is a zero sum game, one that only defrauds this “conservative” base, writes Lucy Hamilton.
    https://johnmenadue.com/the-voice-newscorps-dangerous-zero-sum-games/
    Paul Sakkal and James Massola write that Anthony Albanese has ramped up pressure on Peter Dutton to declare his party’s position on the Voice to parliament, but moderate Liberals and conservative Voice supporters say the final wording of the referendum has failed to alleviate their concerns about the way the Indigenous body would operate.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/final-voice-wording-fails-to-alleviate-moderate-liberals-concerns-20230324-p5cuwz.html
    The Voice debate turned a corner this week, but it’s splintered into so many shards that confuse and dazzle, says Laura Tingle.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-25/wording-voice-referendum-question-unsure-how-make-a-difference/102142918
    The editorial in The Saturday Paper on Albanese’s Voice announcement is a good one to read.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/editorial/2023/03/25/the-truth-burns
    After days of late-night negotiations, the Albanese government has a referendum question for the Voice and the machinery to implement it, but the Coalition remains split, writes Karen Middleton.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2023/03/25/inside-the-voice-negotiations-i-want-it-done-all-australians
    The Australian tragedy of 2023 is about to unfold. In the most important decision of his prime ministership and of his career, Anthony Albanese has finalised his proposed constitutional referendum for an Indigenous voice declaring his mission is to change this country, pontificates Paul Kelly.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/anthony-albaneses-flawed-indigenous-voice-to-parliament-fails-the-test/news-story/d96cd012a35919935dd0847d65c86f76?amp
    Moira Deeming was given three options, and that’s when the quarrel began, say Michael Bachelard and Sumeyya Ilanbey.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/moira-deeming-was-given-three-options-that-s-when-the-quarrel-began-20230323-p5cuk9.html
    Liberal MPs who back Moira Deeming say the case has opened a “can of worms” and argue her expulsion from the party room would set an unrealistically high threshold for the future.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/liberal-mps-argue-deeming-s-expulsion-would-raise-behaviour-bar-too-high-20230324-p5cv1y.html
    John Pesutto is trying to rebuild the Victorian Liberals, but a ‘seismic’ moment could be his undoing, writes Richard Willington.
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-25/john-pesutto-leadership-test-moira-deeming-rally-expulsion/102142642
    Julia Banks tells us why the modern Liberal Party seems unable to ‘do the right thing’.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/politics/australian-politics/2023/03/24/julia-banks-why-the-modern-liberal-party-seems-unable-to-do-the-right-thing/
    Nyadol Nyuon tells us how News Corp captured the Liberal Party. He says News Corp has done to the Liberals what it has done to journalism.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2023/03/25/how-news-corp-captured-the-liberal-party
    Despite the warning from the just-released Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Synthesis Report that a liveable future may be slipping through our fingers, in Australia we find ourselves once again spectators to “climate wars”, say Penny Sackett and Chris Barrie.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/while-you-fight-climate-wars-we-lose-the-climate-battle-20230323-p5cune.html
    The Greens are facing one of the biggest decisions of their political lives as Labor’s climate policy hangs in the balance, says Adam Morton.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/24/the-greens-face-one-of-the-biggest-decisions-of-their-political-lives-as-labors-climate-policy-hangs-in-the-balance
    As Labor continues to pursue its flawed and inadequate safeguard mechanism, the IPCC says the world has one last chance to avoid climate catastrophe, writes Mike Seccombe.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/politics/2023/03/25/ipcc-this-the-last-chance-avoid-catastrophe
    In this week’s media round-up, Amanda Reade talks about News Corp columnists opting for bothsidesism on Nazis at the anti-trans rally.
    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2023/mar/24/news-corp-columnists-opt-for-bothsidesism-on-nazis-at-anti-trans-rally
    Michaela Whitbourn writes about the revelations seen in court yesterday on the Bruce Lehmann defamation hearing.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/think-about-what-you-did-anonymous-email-to-bruce-lehrmann-revealed-20230324-p5cuz3.html
    Numerous text messages are being used to debate why Bruce Lehrmann chose not to initially sue for defamation over stories about Brittany Higgins’ alleged rape. Karen Middleton takes us through the court hearing so far.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/media/2023/03/25/the-bruce-lehrmann-defamation-suit
    On April 1, the aged care interest rate will see its sixth consecutive increase, taking the rate from 4.01 per cent in October 2021 to 7.46 per cent. This is a marked increase, and will likely affect how people choose to pay for their aged care accommodation. It’s a real minefield.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/super-and-retirement/aged-care-interest-rate-increase-sees-daily-payments-almost-double-20230324-p5cuz2.html
    Unsurprisingly, Gerard Henderson says that the solution to the ABC’s slump is less bias, not more money.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/solution-to-abc-slump-less-bias-not-more-money/news-story/8c583962a76b2072a66ef66fbdfc090f?amp
    An announcement by the Victorian Government of a new mental health commission is worthless when mental health laws are being routinely broken, writes Simon Katterl.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/mental-health-reforms-dying-at-the-altar-of-politics,17361
    As a teacher of 40 years, Garry Warren tells us that boys need boundaries now more than ever.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/as-a-teacher-of-40-years-i-know-that-boys-need-boundaries-now-more-than-ever-20230323-p5cumk.html
    Years of NAPLAN data reveal a decline in Australian students’ writing skills and one researcher argues the test itself is contributing to the problem.
    https://www.theage.com.au/education/literacy-researcher-blames-naplan-for-poor-student-writing-skills-20230324-p5cuxq.html
    Tony Wright tells us about the night president Lyndon Baines Johnson, drunk as a skunk, was conveyed through Canberra’s late-night streets while lying in the rear footwell of a police car.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/when-a-visiting-us-president-got-drunk-as-a-skunk-at-the-lodge-20230323-p5cunh.html
    The collapse of Credit Suisse and the problems with America’s smaller banks may seem part of a broader malaise. But they’re also the victims of their own poor decisions, explains Sarah Danckert who says they were exposed as idiots.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/banking-badly-what-went-wrong-at-credit-suisse-20230323-p5cum4.html
    The bank failures that have forced the US government to step in again with emergency support highlight the dangers of weak regulation, and raise concerns about how far this contagion could spread, explains Martin McKenzie-Murray.
    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/news/economy/2023/03/25/what-the-us-bank-crisis-means-australia
    Beware of dangerous disinformation. Taiwan is not part of China, says international security advisor, Benjamin Herscovitch.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/beware-of-dangerous-disinformation-taiwan-is-not-part-of-china-20230324-p5cuxu.html
    China became an economic powerhouse by opening itself up to the world. But Xi Jinping’s decision to align with Russia could have damaging consequences, suggests Li Yuan.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/china-s-economy-at-risk-as-xi-plays-the-isolation-game-20230324-p5cuuv.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    Alan Moir

    Matt Golding



    Jon Kudelka

    John Shakespeare


    Andrew Dyson

    Peter Broelman

    Glen Le Lievre


    Dionne Gain

    Joe Benke

    Leak

    From the US


















  20. Thanks BK. My god, an absolute howler from Tingle.

    Former Western Australian Indigenous Liberal treasurer and Aboriginal affairs minister Ben Wyatt summed up one of those moments well when he wrote in The Australian on Friday of the emotion showed by the Prime Minister and Indigenous leaders at Thursday’s press conference in Canberra to announce the agreed wording on the referendum question on the Voice, and the proposed new chapter in the Constitution.

    Ben Wyatt was Treasurer in McGowan’s Labor government before he retired at the last state election.

  21. Insiders Sunday, 26 Mar

    David Speers joins Dan Bourchier, Jennifer Hewett and David Crowe to discuss the NSW Election results, the final wording for a constitutional amendment that would create an Indigenous Voice to Parliament, plus climate policy

    Guest : Mark Dreyfus – Attorney-general

  24. ‘I’m going to kill you’: White powder in envelope marked for ‘Alvin’ discovered at Manhattan DA’s office

    A white powder was found in an envelope addressed to “Alvin” in the mailroom at 80 Centre Street, where a grand jury has been hearing evidence in the case of former President Donald Trump, according to ABC News.

    The powder was determined to be non-hazardous, but the intent behind sending it is unclear, sources told ABC News.

    According to NBC News, the envelope also contained a letter with the message: “ALVIN: I AM GOING TO KILL YOU!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

    Republicans have accused Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg of waging a “politically motivated prosecution” of former President Donald Trump.

    Trump insists he is innocent, and has escalated his attacks on Bragg in recent days. Early Friday morning, the former president warned of “death & destruction” if he were to be charged with a crime.

  25. Thanks BK, since stopping my FauxFax subscription and keeping The Saturday Paper one I note the quality and emphasis from the Costello rag has declined and become more fearmongerish (actually a word?).

    You said:
    Liberal MPs who back Moira Deeming say the case has opened a “can of worms” and argue her expulsion from the party room would set an unrealistically high threshold for the future.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/liberal-mps-argue-deeming-s-expulsion-would-raise-behaviour-bar-too-high-20230324-p5cv1y.html

    I’m thinking threasholds and Liberal MPs should not appear in the same sentence unless describing a lib map entering a jail cell.

  26. Jon Cooper @joncooper- Finance Chair of Draft Biden

    In the last 48 hours, Trump has called Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg “human scum” and “a degenerate psychopath who truely [sic] hates the USA.” He also warned of “death & destruction” if he’s charged with a crime. Trump is clearly terrified of his upcoming indictment and he’s unraveling before our very eyes

    Trump posted THIS :

  27. Thanks so much BK

    “ Dutton walked out of the apology. Now he’ll walk out on the Voice, predicts Peter Hartcher.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/dutton-walked-out-of-the-apology-now-he-ll-walk-out-on-the-voice-20230323-p5cun8.html”
    ———————————————————————————

    I’ve always thought it’s important to be consistent though the preference is to be consistently correct and not forever on the wrong side of history. A successful Yes vote in the referendum will signal the death knell for Dutton with only the timing in doubt. I’m sure Albo will be blamed for Dutton’s demise which, oddly enough, might to some extent be true.

  29. Reuters reports commanders of the air forces of Sweden, Norway, Finland and Denmark signed a letter of intent to create unified Nordic air defence to counter the threat from Russia.

  30. UK Cartoons:
    Peter Schrank on #EmmanuelMacron #FranceProtests #GiletsJaunes

    Henny Beaumont on the contrasting fortunes of Johnson and Sunak

    Ben Jennings on #KingCharles #FranceProtests #GiletsJaunes

    Matt on #FranceProtests #GiletsJaunes

    Graeme Keyes on #clocksgoforward #ClimateEmergency

    Andy Davey: Those Frenchies! Boy, they know how to throw a riot! Even about pension age! Hats off to ’em #FranceProtests #GiletsJaunes

    Graeme Bandeira: ALL HOT AIR! Rishi under pressure as Johnson deflates! #inflation #partygatehearing

    Dave Simonds on #inflation #BankofEngland #interestrates

    Finally, Dave Brown’s #RoguesGallery cartoon, after #HawesCraven #BorisJohnson #NadineDorries #JacobReesMogg #MadNads #Mogg #PrivilegesCommittee #Partygate

    The original Passing of Arthur by Hawes Craven:

  31. Flying in the face of my comments about FauxFax above, here is an exception worth burning one of my free articles on.
    My 43 years backs this teacher to the hilt, boys need firm boundaries. I would only add that they also need humour. If you can deliver the boundaries with a dose of laughter, you’re on easy street with difficult boys.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/as-a-teacher-of-40-years-i-know-that-boys-need-boundaries-now-more-than-ever-20230323-p5cumk.html

  32. Good line in this article …

    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/while-you-fight-climate-wars-we-lose-the-climate-battle-20230323-p5cune.html

    Peace in the real climate war requires reconciliation with nature. She only accepts emission reductions in the atmosphere, not offset increases on paper. It is her timeline that must be met.

    There is also this …

    Prodigal spending of our shared carbon budget combined with instabilities in Earth’s systems, some of which could irreversibly tip even in a world of 1.5 to 2 degrees of global heating, means that the time for course correction is alarmingly short. The brilliant Australian Earth System scientist Will Steffen put it this way: “It is highly likely that by 2030 we’ll know what pathway we’ve taken: the one towards sustainability, or the current pathway towards likely collapse.”

    We don’t have to wait till 2030. We know already that Australia is on the wrong path.

    We are in fact tiptoeing through a minefield of tipping points.

  34. ”Unsurprisingly, Gerard Henderson says that the solution to the ABC’s slump is less bias, not more money.”

    Says a columnist for a media outlet that is pretty much indistinguishable from a Liberal Right faction house journal.

  35. Love them or loathe them, it is the Greens that will determine Australia’s policy on climate change. But this is not because of anything the Greens themselves have done – it is because both our major parties have been so woeful on the issue. They have played politics on this issue for years, and pursued the interests of their backers rather than listen to the electorate.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/mar/24/the-greens-face-one-of-the-biggest-decisions-of-their-political-lives-as-labors-climate-policy-hangs-in-the-balance

    At the heart of the disagreement are different views about what will bring a more rapid economic transformation. Is it better to push hard, claim wins achieved through compromise and then push again, or to oppose, risk blowing it up and hope for a rethink?

    Those who would prefer the safeguard changes not be supported have not set out their alternative. They think it would put Labor in the spotlight and force it to come back with something more to the Greens’ liking to meet its UN-submitted 43% emissions target for 2030. Which is possible, but by no means guaranteed.

    They point to the introduction of a carbon price scheme in 2011, two years after talks collapsed over the CPRS in 2009, as proof of how something better can arise after failure. But there is another part to that story – the carbon price system was abolished and the messiness of those years contributed to an implosion in progressive politics and nine years of Coalition government. There has been no climate policy of substance since.

    It is also possible Labor would refuse to deal with the Greens any more and instead back a messy mix of funding and regulation until the election. Its position on fossil fuel developments would not change, but the politics could become brutal, and there would be a risk that voters who both parties need – the climate-sympathetic but largely disengaged – would be turned off by what is perceived as another collective failure.

    These are some of the permutations the Greens are weighing as they make what some in the party have described as one of the biggest decisions of their political lives.

    Chickens. Roost.

  36. Dog’s Brunch
    “If you can deliver the boundaries with a dose of laughter, you’re on easy street with difficult boys.”
    —
    That’s the best advice I’ve read in a long time. And I suspect there’s a rule of life inside that sentiment for setting one’s own boundaries. Thanks!

  37. Late Riser says
    “That’s the best advice I’ve read in a long time. And I suspect there’s a rule of life inside that sentiment for setting one’s own boundaries. Thanks!”

    Worked for me. Thanks also.

  38. Dog’s Brunchsays:
    Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:11 am

    Flying in the face of my comments about FauxFax above, here is an exception worth burning one of my free articles on.
    My 43 years backs this teacher to the hilt, boys need firm boundaries. I would only add that they also need humour. If you can deliver the boundaries with a dose of laughter, you’re on easy street with difficult boys.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/as-a-teacher-of-40-years-i-know-that-boys-need-boundaries-now-more-than-ever-20230323-p5cumk.html

    In my experience I would stress consistency rather than boundaries.

    Every teacher is different in their style, personality and what behaviours they will tolerate in their classroom.

    Some behaviours might be acceptable at certain times and unacceptable at others.

    The important element is being consistent, so they can learn and understand them and gender should have no bearing in how this occurs.

  39. The Greens….they are tactical kin of the Lying Reactionaries. They will be sorely tempted to vote against Labor, whom they despise.

  40. It wasn’t so long ago we had Lars, nath and their fellow travellers chortling about Labor losing the 2019 election.

    Truth and Reconciliation Commission to identify blame, followed in short order by a wind up of the party as it stood for nothing anymore – and has been rejected by the people.

    And yet, tomorrow morning they may wake up to this….

  46. The Green’s raison d’être is to oppose Labor. It really doesn’t matter what Labor do or don’t do, the Greens will contrive a case to oppose them. As with so much in life, the Greens are defined by their phobias. Their hatreds determine their actions. In this, the Lying Reactionaries, ON and the Greens are cut from the same cloth.

  47. Thanks BK for todays reports.

    I know you are well versed in aged care protocols. Can you help me clarify the report about the aged care interest payment increases.
    Thanks in advance.

  48. Muscovites and their collaborators in Crimea can very clearly see the writing on the wall, and it is showing:

    “Akhtem Chyihoz, Deputy Head of the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People, Russian business owners are temporarily halting their business operations in Crimea and Russian property owners are putting their houses and apartments up for sale at discounted prices.

    Source: Akhtem Chyihoz on Radio Liberty’s Liberty LIVE

    Quote: “They have no faith that Crimea will remain [under Russian control – ed.]. Prices have dropped. Crucially, there are no Russian investors, they are abandoning their firms and their construction projects. There’s no demand for apartments…

    These moods [of panic and despair – ed.] have endured since last September, but our latest ‘gifts’ to Crimea [i.e. the damage done by Ukraine’s resistance forces to the Russian military infrastructure in Crimea – ed.]…My compatriots are saying that we need to give [the Russians] these ‘gifts’ more often, because it speeds up these processes. And it doesn’t matter whether we hit exactly the target we aimed for or somewhere in its vicinity, or our attack got intercepted – all of this demoralises them.

    There will definitely be no May barbecues in Crimea. Crimea was such a homey place for them: there is sun, sea, and warmth here. Now they don’t feel that way anymore. The most important thing is that we destroyed their intentions to enjoy themselves in Crimea. The Russians don’t like going to places that they deem dangerous. So there’ll be no barbecues.”

    https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/03/24/7395003/

    They should leave while the leaving is still good.

  50. PhoenixRed

    If a citizen was making public threats against the judiciary who was handling their case, there is no way they would be getting away with it.
    Trump on the other hand. Meh

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