Two new federal opinion poll results today:
• The long-awaited set of voting intention numbers from Resolve Strategic finds Labor down a point on last month to 39%, the Coalition down one to 30%, the Greens up three to 13% and One Nation steady on 5%. The Coalition gets a particularly bad set of numbers from Queensland, where they are down 11 points to 24% with Labor steady on 39%. No two-party preferred is provided, but I make it at close to 60-40 in favour of Labor. Anthony Albanese is down one on approval to 55% and up one on disapproval to 31%, while Peter Dutton is up three to 32% and down one to 44%. Albanese’s lead as preferred prime minister is in from 55-23 to 51-22. The poll was conducted Sunday to Thursday from a sample of 1600.
• The fortnightly voting intention numbers from Essential Research, which include a 5% undecided component, have Labor up two to 34%, the Coalition down one to 31%, the Greens up two to 14% and One Nation down two to 5%. Labor’s lead on the pollster’s 2PP+ measure widens from 49-44 to 52-43, the balance being undecided. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1124.
As was the case with the Resolve Strategic poll with numbers published on Saturday, the Essential Research poll featured further results on AUKUS, finding 40% agreement with contention that the submarine agreement would “make Australia more secure” (down four from November) versus 21% for less secure (up five) and 40% saying it would have no impact (up one). Respondents were also less inclined to rate that China was a threat needing to be confronted than in November, down six to 20%, and correspondingly more favourable to the alternative view that it was a “complex relationship to be managed”, up six to 67%, with an unchanged 13% considering it “a positive opportunity to be realised”. Twenty-six per cent considered the purchase worth the expense, 27% felt the submarines were necessary but the expense too great, and 28% believed the submarines were unnecessary.
An occasional series of questions on leaders’ attributes, the first such since February last year, found Anthony Albanese’s biggest strength to be that he was in control of his team (59%), while 54% felt he changed his opinions too much and 49% rated him out of touch with ordinary people. Peter Dutton scored weak results across the board, his strongest being that 47% felt him in control of his team, and his weakest being 61% for out of touch and 34% or 35% for visionary, understanding of women’s issues and more honest than other politicians.
In other poll news, JWS Research finds 42% favouring a yes vote in an Indigenous voice referendum, down one since August, with 28% for no, down five; and the latest Roy Morgan voting intention results, conducted from March 6 to 12, have Labor leading 56.5-43.5 from primary votes of Labor 37%, Coalition 34% and Greens 12.5%.
NSW election officials are being harassed, followed and nonconsensually filmed while moving pre-poll ballots by conspiracy theorists who are baselessly accusing them of committing election fraud.
Videos of NSW Election Commission (NSWEC) workers moving boxes of ballot papers are circulating among online conspiracy groups and are being promoted by some of their more prominent figures.
These videos appear to show workers following typical procedure and transporting sealed boxes of filled-out pre-poll ballot votes.
“It is usual practice for full ballot boxes to be moved during the early voting period to the election manager’s office, for secure storage when an early voting centre has taken a large amount of votes,” the NSWEC’s website says. It also includes a list of processes to ensure the integrity of votes during the process. Despite this, these videos are being used to make unsupported claims that election workers are somehow committing election fraud.
Former Liberal MP turned United Australia Party leader Craig Kelly took issue with a “bloke in shorts and a T-shirt” using his personal vehicle to transport votes.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2023/03/24/conspiracy-theorists-harassing-nsw-election-staff/
Natural gas price on NYME down to $2.173, well below price before Russian invasion.
What is going on. Time for some truth telling from Australian producers.
I woke up the last few mornings asking the world if the former POTUS had been arrested yet. If you’re like me, you might find this interesting. The investigation concerns the Mar A Lago documents. Corcoran is a lawyer for the former POTUS who stated that the missing documents had been returned. Corcoran is due to testify to a federal grand jury tomorrow.
Its pure greed that is all.
Why do it?
I think a couple of reasons.
>Trying to keep energy prices high so they can undermine the Labor government.
>They know gas usage is probably going to keep dropping, and are trying to cash in while they can.
zoomstersays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 1:40 pm
😆
I found this New York Post article from a few hours ago.
https://nypost.com/2023/03/23/utah-parent-wants-bible-removed-from-schools-its-pornographic/
so it looks like labor could form a majority government perottit has had a terible campaign
Late Riser
As posited on twitter
——–
3 really big questions:
Did Evan Corcoran record his conversations with Trump?
Do Evan Corcoran’s notes and transcripts have smoking-gun evidence that Trump intentionally hid the records?
Does Evan Corcoran know where the other missing classified records are?
Nickosays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 3:51 pm
What is going on. Time for some truth telling from Australian producers.
Its pure greed that is all.
Why do it?
I think a couple of reasons.
>Trying to keep energy prices high so they can undermine the Labor government.
>They know gas usage is probably going to keep dropping, and are trying to cash in while they can.
=================================================
Another example of “market” failure. Cartel behaviour yes, free market no.
While swimming was making its panic-stricken rush to ban transgender athletes, Ian Thorpe pointed out that there had been transgender women at the Olympics before. Its just because they placed nowhere nobody cared. Additionally while certain elements were panicking at Lia Thomas winning an NCAA event her time was nothing special – its just the field she was competing against was weak. If she had been competing while Katie Ledecky was still at college nobody would have cared about her.
The athletics decision wasn’t much of a surprise, they have been fiddling with the rules to nobble African runners for a while, and Coe himself is a notorious transphobe, in line with the UKs bizarre backward march culturally.
Victoria
The interesting bit is Corcoran’s not taking the 5th. That makes him a witness, and the answers to your questions might sink the former POTUS.
– Did Evan Corcoran record his conversations with Trump? (Do lawyers usually do this?)
– Do Evan Corcoran’s notes and transcripts have smoking-gun evidence that Trump intentionally hid the records? (Why would the former POTUS tell Corcoran?)
– Does Evan Corcoran know where the other missing classified records are? (Same question. How dumb is the former POTUS?)
But, since Corcoran will be compelled to tell the truth at risk of perjury (there is a second potential witness, ex-lawyer Jennifer Little, still fighting her subpoena) at the very least we should find out whether the former POTUS instructed Corcoran to lie or merely lied to Corcoran. Either way, that’s not good for the ex-Pres.
late Riser
And further to the classified documents saga, Trump and co need to keep an eye on this as well.
In light of Hunter Biden’s latest lawsuit in regards to the laptop. Lev Parnas has lots to say about this conspiracy.
https://krassenstein.news/p/hunter-bidens-laptop-bombshell-accusations
Victoria @ #1011 Friday, March 24th, 2023 – 3:07 pm
Ta. I’ll take a look.
Simonsays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 3:58 pm
While swimming was making its panic-stricken rush to ban transgender athletes, Ian Thorpe pointed out that there had been transgender women at the Olympics before. Its just because they placed nowhere nobody cared. Additionally while certain elements were panicking at Lia Thomas winning an NCAA event her time was nothing special – its just the field she was competing against was weak. If she had been competing while Katie Ledecky was still at college nobody would have cared about her.
—————————-
This is where the media don’t do their job because transwomen were not banned from swimming when swimming decided it would develop a standalone category for transwomen and it’s now up to swimming to develop that category and the pipeline of talent to compete.
I just saw the video. What on earth did Murray Watt say to Sarah Henderson to bring on that reaction ..??
Aaron newton @ #1005 Friday, March 24th, 2023 – 3:54 pm
I think NSW needs a Teal/Greens balance of power to control the fossil fuel cartel.
This information is extremely concerning. We need answers ..!
Victoria
Thanks for the link.
https://krassenstein.news/p/hunter-bidens-laptop-bombshell-accusations
I can see the similarities between Lev Parnas’s and Michael Cohen’s situations, both suffering incarceration after working for the former POTUS. Perhaps Corcoran and Little have picked up on this.
A large coronal hole ‘thirty times the size of Earth’ that opened up on the surface of the sun is expected to cause large geomagnetic storms which have the ability to affect the operations of communication and GPS satellites, power systems and spacecraft.
The Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre has issued an alert for a “geomagnetic storm in progress”. It’s forecast that the Aurora Australis, or southern lights, will be visible on Friday evening at high latitudes in Australia and New Zealand, with the Bureau of Meteorology increasing the K index, which measures geomagnetic activity over a three-hour period, to a level seven on Friday afternoon.
Re: Moving Ballot boxes
I witnessed the offical in charge of our polling place coming and asking one of the Labor HTV guys (who has been a past candidate) who is a scrutineer, to witness moving of ballots from the hall.
Kelly is a shit-stirrer.
David Shoebridge parroting the Chinese government line on nuclear proliferation is not a good look for the Greens nor a convincing basis to fight anything.
From a legal perspective, it’s less convincing than the Coalition’s FUD claims about the Voice being a 3rd chamber or the government being obliged to comply with the Voice’s positions, and those are rubbish.
The Human Rights Commission (HRC) is investigating a complaint by a high-profile Chinese-Australian, who claims the New South Wales Liberal Party rejected his nomination to run in tomorrow’s state election on racial grounds.
In the complaint, five respondents are listed, including Premier Dominic Perrottet, and the issue has become a hot topic in the Chinese community, which may direct votes away from the Liberals in protest.
“I was told by many persons close to the respondents that my candidature was rejected because I have been accused, variously, of being a ‘Chinese spy’ and/or a candidate of Chinese heritage was not to the benefit of the party in Strathfield,” Mr Yin alleges in his complaint to the HRC. He believes his vetting interview was “harsh” and the panel had a pre-determined idea of who he was.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-24/nsw-election-andy-lin-rejected-strathfield-candidate/102141222
Barney in Cherating says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 3:52 pm
zoomstersays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 1:40 pm
‘A Utah parent has utilized a new law that permits the removal of “pornographic” books from school libraries and requested the removal of the Bible, which they referred to as “one of the most sex-ridden books around.”
The parent, who has chosen to remain anonymous for privacy reasons, submitted an appeal on December 11th along with an eight-page list of Bible passages that they found objectionable and deemed worthy of review.
The parent argued that the Bible contained topics such as incest, bestiality, genital mutilation, and infanticide, making it pornographic under the new definition set forth in Utah Code Ann. § 76-10-1227 and therefore without serious value for minors. ‘
Lifted from twitter, so unsourced – but I hope it’s true!
I found this New York Post article from a few hours ago.
https://nypost.com/2023/03/23/utah-parent-wants-bible-removed-from-schools-its-pornographic/
####
HI was a school librarian and faithfully put the bible under Dewey No. 298 (Myths and legends ) where it belongs. Says that in 30 years, no one ever looked at or borrowed it.
Late Riser
Yes indeed.
Rex Douglas says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:17 pm
I just saw the video. What on earth did Murray Watt say to Sarah Henderson to bring on that reaction ..??
——————————–
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-22/sarah-henderson-intervenes-over-moira-deeming/102129408
The ABC understands Senator Henderson has personally sent Mr Pesutto messages urging him not to take action against Ms Deeming.
The ABC has not seen the messages but has been briefed by sources who have been told by Mr Pesutto about Ms Henderson’s intervention.
May have actually sent the text, crying she had been caught out ?
“This is where the media don’t do their job because transwomen were not banned from swimming when swimming decided it would develop a standalone category for transwomen and it’s now up to swimming to develop that category and the pipeline of talent to compete.”
I don’t understand your point. The point is that there isn’t and hasn’t been a need for a different class and that if there is it would in fact be a slower class, not the super fast class that everyone is so irrationally terrified of.
Bernie was right in 2010 & he is still right… TAX THE BASTARDS
Former Reserve Bank Governor Bernie Fraser has come out in support of the Federal Government’s Super Profits Tax on mining, calling it “long overdue.”
Fraser told ABC Radio’s program this morning that the mining industry had been “crying wolf” over the threat of new taxes.
“I am amazed that there has been such vocal opposition; not from the miners, one has to expect that kind of reaction,” he said.
“But it is very disappointing to hear the Coalition expressing such views so strongly too because I think it is very much in the national interest for a greater share.
“Even under the present arrangement the Government is talking about leaving 60% of the super profits with the mining companies.
“But to get 40% of the super profits for the community from the development of their non-renewable resources is all to the good in my view.”
https://www.australianmining.com.au/mining-tax-overhaul-long-overdue-bernie-fraser/
From the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the pre-offensive psy-ops softening up of enemy morale has begun in earnest:
“Ukraine’s top ground forces commander Oleksandr Syrskyi said his forces would soon begin a counter offensive after withstanding Russia’s brutal winter campaign.
He said Russia’s Wagner mercenaries, who have been at the front line of Moscow’s assault on eastern and southern Ukraine, “are losing considerable strength and are running out of steam”.
“Very soon, we will take advantage of this opportunity, as we did in the past near Kyiv, Kharkiv, Balakliya and Kupiansk,” he said, listing Ukrainian counteroffensives last year that recaptured swathes of land.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/mar/24/russia-ukraine-war-live-counteroffensive-starts-soon-says-ukrainian-ground-forces-commander
Straight up? Bluff? Double bluff? None of us know, least of all Moscow’s soon-to-be-quivering-wreck forces. 🙂
EDIT: I should have made it clear: I mean to query whether the implication that the counteroffensive will be directed at Wagner’s weakening forces around Bakhmut is a bluff or not.
The former Liberal staffer Bruce Lehrmann told the tobacco giant he lobbied for that the public revelation of rape allegations against him had “not hindered the relations within my political network” and said he was still able to influence federal policy to “further the business financially”, documents show. (Guardian blog)
________
It seems like this loudmouth is his own worst enemy.
“Sceptic says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 5:03 pm”
I am sure that time will come to revisit the whole concept of super-profit taxes… but I guess that the receptive environment must be right, the Coalition bashed a bit more, the media further discredited… By the look of it, all that may happen during the second term of this government…. when the issue of the republic will be also likely to be revisited…
“Enough Already says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 5:04 pm”
I can’t wait for the counteroffensive… I am truly fed up not only with the human tragedy in Ukraine, but also with the international mess that results from the usual suspects using this conflict as a real or imaginary excuse to destabilise the international economy and maximise their profits.
Let’s not forget that for Neoliberals our pain…. is their opportunity.
Dog’s Brunch says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:59 pm
Both Vice & Utah Times carry it
https://www.vice.com/en/article/jg5xng/parent-calls-bible-porn-and-demands-utah-school-district-remove-it-from-libraries
“Rex Douglas says:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:20 pm
I think NSW needs a Teal/Greens balance of power to control the fossil fuel cartel.”
ALP/Greens seem to be working well in a small, highly educated, reasonably well-off place such as the ACT. For the far more diverse and complex NSW, I would prefer a stable ALP government.
Alpo @ Friday, March 24, 2023 at 5:13 pm:
“I can’t wait for the counteroffensive… I am truly fed up not only with the human tragedy in Ukraine, but also with the international mess that results from the usual suspects using this conflict as a real or imaginary excuse to destabilise the international economy and maximise their profits.
Let’s not forget that for Neoliberals our pain…. is their opportunity.”
====================
Yep. I can’t wait for them to be denied one more pretext to jack up petrol prices, and the price of everything that is affected by petrol prices. 😐
Timing is everything …
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-03-24/ex-nsw-labor-mnister-ian-macdonald-jailed-again/102142928
NSW Labor. Back to the Future.
WeWantPaulsays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 5:02 pm
“This is where the media don’t do their job because transwomen were not banned from swimming when swimming decided it would develop a standalone category for transwomen and it’s now up to swimming to develop that category and the pipeline of talent to compete.”
I don’t understand your point. The point is that there isn’t and hasn’t been a need for a different class and that if there is it would in fact be a slower class, not the super fast class that everyone is so irrationally terrified of.
————
Transwomen are not banned from elite swimming because swimming has said they will set up a standalone category and transwomen have always had barriers to elite and professional competition because of sport’s rules on hormones which are sex not gender related.
Drug-addled delusion 101:
“Russian forces may have to advance as far as Kyiv or Lviv in Ukraine, Russia’s former president Dmitry Medvedev said in an interview to Russian news agencies.
“Nothing can be ruled out here. If you need to get to Kyiv, then you need to go to Kyiv, if to Lviv, then you need to go to Lviv in order to destroy this infection,” RIA Novosti quoted Medvedev as saying on Friday.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/mar/24/russia-ukraine-war-live-counteroffensive-starts-soon-says-ukrainian-ground-forces-commander
Dmitry, remember this?
😆 😆 😆
soso henderson is gtargeting watt as he is one of labors strongist performers in senate its ashame he is not in house of reps he would be good in a lower house seatin brisbaine or a margginal so Henderson is under mining pessuto but wasnt she a modderit at some stage does dutton think he can use this ishue to save ghis leadership if pessuto backs down and does not wexbell deaming givenhe is finished
If Moscow’s forces are letting go of their objective to capture Bakhmut, that would be a sensational development in what has been a static battlefront this winter just gone:
“A slowdown by Russia in Bakhmut could mean it is diverting its troops and resources to other areas. …
Ukrainian military analyst Oleh Zhdanov agreed with that assessment. He said on YouTube that Russia’s attacks on Bakhmut were decreasing, and it was shifting its efforts south to the town of Avdiivka. …
Any shift in momentum in Bakhmut, if confirmed, would be remarkable given the city’s symbolic importance as the focus of Russia’s offensive, and the scale of the losses on both sides there in Europe’s bloodiest infantry battle since World War Two.
On the ground in Ukraine, front lines have largely been frozen since November. Ukraine had looked likely to pull out of Bakhmut weeks ago but decided to fight on.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/mar/24/russia-ukraine-war-live-counteroffensive-starts-soon-says-ukrainian-ground-forces-commander
Many commentators, both inside and outside of Ukraine (myself among them), seriously questioned Kyiv’s decision to stick it out in the defence of Bakhmut. However, if the invaders do indeed give up now on capturing Bakhmut, Ukraine will have inflicted upon them one of the all-time great defensive ass-kickings: denying them even a superficial propaganda victory, to go with their catastrophic losses of men and munitions.
Craig Kelly is … increasingly irrelevant.
>swimming has said they will set up a standalone category
A category for 1% of the population simply isn’t happening, it simply wouldn’t be scheduled at regular meets, and would be hopelessly uncompetitive. Its a figleaf for people to pretend the policy isn’t an effective ban.
Goodness me, I thought Murray Watt had accused Sarah Henderson of palling around with Neo Nazis. 😉
An interesting discussion on why America has lost it’s mind. I would argue the conclusion was, for the same reason kids spray graffiti on trains.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iUH6x6rjJ0M
Okay I get it now. And I think that Sarah Henderson may have been willfully obtuse about what Murray Watt was inferring by his remarks, however, according to the SMH website, Sarah Henderson thought that by Murray Watt referring to her support for Moira Deeming, Murray Watt was inferring that Sarah Henderson was a supporter of the Neo Nazis who crashed the Deeming demo. A long bow by Sarah Henderson which must have hit her in the eye as she was drawing it and it made her cry. 😉
Ukrainian soldiers have killed more than 1,000 of Moscow’s soldiers in a day, yet again:
Russians KIA Mar 23: 1,020
Total Russians KIA: 169,170
Daily average Russians KIA: 430.5
Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/03/24/7394859/
For those following the Ukraine war, the pending counterattack- said to be the most massive since WW2 – will be supported by the donated Western equipment. Bradleys, EU artillery and Leopards, and aviation – both traditional and UAV.
This Ukrainian allied YouTuber Denys is well informed, perhaps doing psyops, but he has access to some interesting stuff.
https://youtu.be/tTv0Io4FymU
The whole video is worth watching, as he explains the strategy around Bakhmut, but at around 24 min in, there is detailed video of the Wagner thinking of the (very long) front line. Perhaps Prigozhin has leaked this for psyops purposes.
Simonsays:
Friday, March 24, 2023 at 5:57 pm
>swimming has said they will set up a standalone category
A category for 1% of the population simply isn’t happening, it simply wouldn’t be scheduled at regular meets, and would be hopelessly uncompetitive. Its a figleaf for people to pretend the policy isn’t an effective ban.
——————–
Give it a few years and it can happen so by Brisbane it should be competitive.
Enough Already
The well informed Denys is saying 50-70k Ukrainians soldiers killed. Maybe under counting.
Been off grid somewhat today
Can someone link the latest Bruce Lehrman revelations?
sprocket_ @ Friday, March 24, 2023 at 6:16 pm:
“The well informed Denys is saying 50-70k Ukrainians soldiers killed. Maybe under counting.”
=================
Sprocket, thank you. I always take the view that “more data is better data” – as long as you know how much weight to give to each data point! Assuming the AFU estimate of Russian losses is also not a case of under counting, and we take the upper end of Davydov’s intel, this gives a ratio of Russians KIA to Ukrainians KIA of about 2.5 to 1; taking the lower end, 3.4 to 1; splitting the differene, about 3 to 1.
Taking the total of both sides’ losses, we have 220k to 240k KIA. A massive demographic tragedy for both countries, you’d have to say. Putin has a lot to answer for. 😡
sprocket,
SMH website top story re Lehrmann.