As I ought to have reported yesterday, the Age/Herald has the first federal poll of the year from Resolve Strategic, which credits Labor with a primary vote lead of 42% (unchanged on last month) to 29% (down one), with the Greens on 11% (steady), One Nation on 6% (up two), the United Australia Party on 2% (steady) and independents on 8% (steady). Resolve Strategic does not provide two-party preferred results, but applying preference flows from last year’s election suggests a crushing Labor lead of around 60-40. Limited state breakdowns suggest Labor leads of around 60-40 in Victoria and 57.5-42.5 in New South Wales and Queensland. Anthony Albanese’s combined very good and good rating is at 60% compared with 25% for poor and very poor, while Peter Dutton is respectively at 28% and 46%, with Albanese leading 55-20 on preferred prime minister. The poll was conducted last Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1606.
The poll also has a suite of questions relevant to Australia Day, which find 47% support for the federal government’s policy of allowing councils to choose days other than Australia Day for citizenship ceremonies with 19% opposed; 40% in favour of a republic (up five since September) with 30% opposed (down seven); and a 31% positive rating for King Charles III’s performance, with 12% negative and 57% neutral or unsure.
Also from Resolve Strategic is a set of results in the Indigenous voice that combines its December and January poll for an overall sample of 3618. Following on from similar findings in YouGov’s New South Wales poll last week, the poll finds support for a constitutionally enshrined Indigenous voice has fallen from 53% to 47% since August and September, with opposition up a point to 30% and undecided up four to 23%. Support is at 72% among Greens voters, 61% among Labor voters and 27% among Coalition voters. When the uncommitted were forced to choose, the result came in at 60% for yes and 40% for no, in from 64% to 36% in August and September. Only 13% felt confident they could explain the proposal, with 63% saying they would struggle to and 23% saying they had never heard of it. The narrowest results at state level were 56% yes and 44% no in both Queensland and South Australia.
The first fortnightly Essential Research poll of the year includes federal voting intention figures if you know where to look, which alongside a 5% uncommitted component have primary votes of Labor 34% (down one on early December), Coalition 31% (up one), Greens 14% (up one) and others 16% (down one), with the pollster’s “2PP+” scores at 53% for Labor (up two), 42% for the Coalition (down two) and 5% uncommitted (steady). It nonetheless records a significant fall in Anthony Albanese’s still strong personal ratings, which are at 55% approval (down five) and 31% disapproval (up four).
Further questions found 33% support for both a separate day to recognise Indigenous Australians (down four on last year) with another 33% opposed (up four) and 26% believing such a day should replace Australia Day (up six). Eighty-two per cent rated Australia a better place to live than most other countries and 77% expressing pride in Australia, although 47% also agreed Australia needed to be a better global citizen with 16% disagreeing. Forty-two per cent agreed things were better for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in Australia than ten years ago, compared with 38% for about the same and 10% for worse. The polling was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1050.
Roy Morgan also has an SMS poll of 1231 respondents conducted Friday to Monday, which finds 64% favour the name of Australia Day being retained against 36% who would prefer that it be called “Invasion Day”, and the two-party preferred federal voting intention result in its weekly video has Labor leading 59-41, in from 59.5-40.5 last week. The BludgerTrack trend results on the sidebar and full display include the Resolve Strategic and Essential Research results, but don’t make use of Roy Morgan.
Exposing a creepy Catholic cult is a ‘hatchet job’, eh, LVT?
It’s pretty simple – your parents send you to a religious school – shock horror the school is going to propagate that particular faith.
These Four Corners stories are pretty one sided.
I reckon if you interviewed the members of a Labor /Liberal party branch you could get a similar “expose”. Don’t know what it proves.
Hilarious – they even have an extract from the Da Vinci Code.
Oliver Sutton
Its not as bad as the “hatchet job” the ABC did in “exposing” the “alleged” corruption in the Qld Nationals under Joh. The Nationals have understandably never forgiven them.
The original Lars Von Trier was infamously a proponent of Dogma.
No surprise that the wannabe follows in those footsteps.
Yeah Socrates the ABC is light years away from Chris Masters.
So, Lars, you’re fine with vulnerable teens being cajoled into whipping themselves?
(Regardless of whether their parents support such institutionalised child abuse.)
Indeed, Socrates: it was gratifying to see multiple members of Joh’s ministry subsequently serve jail time.
Not to mention the police commissioner he plucked from outback obscurity.
Of course you can teach your kids anything you like about religion, but when your religious view contradicts a state law, or might cause harm to another person, including a child in your care, you don’t get off your duty to obey the state law.
So if for example some members of a muslim ethnic group practiced female genital mutilation in their country of origin and moved here they are obliged to give up the practice if they wish to legally live in Australia.
Likewise if an extremist christian sect has beliefs that contradict Australian law, e.g. on the rights of persons in a same sex marriage, or practices on vaccination that might risk harm to the child, they must give them up too.
The same rule applies, whether to a Sudanese imam or a Spanish priest.
More credible religions, like the Church of the Flying Spaghetti Monster, do not hold beliefs that would deny health protection to their children.
TPOF:
Monday, January 30, 2023 at 8:17 pm
I think you’re somewat boring – no fennce. I’d recomend unoriginallty if you wish to be original & stop going with the flow.
Opus Dei students need pornography like a hole in the head …. 🙂
I think thats c@tshit Oliver.
Every School has to be accredited by NESSA. If a School has practices which are inconsistent with NESSA they will lose accreditation.
I think Perrotet referred the program to NESSA which is appropriate. I think I’ll believe NESSA over the independent impartial ABC.
Of course Lars von Trier would be fine with an institution which cajoles girls into whipping themselves. He’s even created a pathetic intellectual justification for it.
*shakeshead*
Leroy at 6.02 pm re the two similar NZ polls
No surprise that Chris “Chippy” Hipkins has a bounce after a very clean baton change. He has a combination of energy, experience and empathy.
Those are Labour’s best poll figures for a year, but note that part of their bounce has come from the Greens, which is little benefit under MMP in a close election, because the key comparison will be Lab + Gr vs Nat + ACT.
On the current figures Lab + Gr would still be behind by a couple of seats.
Legalise Cannabis are irrelevant in NZ. They won’t win an electorate seat nor get near the 5% threshold. The Maori Party will remain important.
Coincidentally or otherwise National hit the polling lead about a year ago, but they are now at their lowest level in the past year.
There may still be a significant gender gap in NZ come October, with more women supporting Lab + Gr than the Tory parties.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2023_New_Zealand_general_election
The gaping hole in your ‘argument’ (sic), Lars, is that Perrottet would not have been shamed into referring his alma mater (and its sister school) to NESSA if not for the ABC’s exposure.
(Just as the Fitzgerald inquiry was a result of a Four Corners exposé.)
Lars: “It’s pretty simple …”
You misspelt ‘simplistic’.
Why didn’t Perrottet know about the practices of the schools he is linked to intimately?
So he’s referred them to NESSA now that the crap has hit the fan about what they are like? That’s just the reaction of a politician in election mode. I bet he would have done diddly squat if it hadn’t been exposed by 4 Corners tonight.
No doubt if there’s any substance NESSA will shut the schools down.
If they dont – that should be proof that Four Corners is out of control and it should be shut down.
Snap! Oliver Sutton.
Doesn’t it just remind you of Scott Morrison sending inconvenient matters to Inquiries just to get them off the table and out of the public eye.
sprocket at 3.06 pm
Girkin is a convicted mass murderer, responsible for the 298 MH17 deaths.
See also: https://samf.substack.com/p/the-problem-with-the-donbas?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2
So, Lars: if an agency of the NSW government — headed by a Redbridge alumnus with ongoing ties to Opus Dei — squibs acting on this scandal, it’s the fault of Four Corners?
The problem with Four Corners is it doesn’t present facts objectively or put both sides of the story. It’s more like a very one sided indictment to play to prejudices.
The fact that Four Corners has paid out defo damages over these type of stories is telling.
NESSA wont do anything.
I doubt this story will go very far.
I do hope that those featured are going to be OK and are able to get the help and support they need moving forward. I also hope that, to the extent that bad shit is happening, it is addressed but I doubt it.
Usman Khawaja has won the inaugural Shane Warne Test Player of the Year award following a superb 12 months in Australian whites. Adelaide Strikers opener Matt Short has been announced as player of this summer’s Big Bash League after smacking 458 runs at 35.23 with a strike rate of 144.47. All-rounder Marcus Stoinis has been named Men’s T20I Player of the Year after a phenomenal 12 months in the 20-over format.
David Warner has been announced Men’s ODI Player of the Year, receiving the award for a third time.
West Australian paceman Lance Morris has been awarded Bradman Young Cricketer of the Year following a breakthrough summer in the Sheffield Shield.
“The problem with Four Corners is it doesn’t present facts objectively or put both sides of the story.”
Let’s all switch over to Sky After Dark for balanced coverage. 🙂
So its a NESSA conspiracy now Oliver?
If you want to believe you will believe. Seriously the program even had a clip from Da Vinci Code.
“The fact that Four Corners has paid out defo damages over these type of stories is telling.”
Specifics please, LVT.
Waiting …
Fair post Wranslide.
Player One @ Monday, January 30, 2023 at 3:01 pm
According to the Political Compass you posted even the Greens are barely left of centre! There’s a huge yawning gulf to the left of where the Greens are.
That is the stuff of standup comedy, not credible political analysis.
Important to remember Four Corners couldn’t even do the business properly on News Corporation. It’s own internal complaints mechanism found against it.
Four Corners doesn’t present both sides of the story?
I’d wager the school officials were offered an interview.
Did they decline?
Was Noel McCoy a devotee (or follower I am not sure of the terminology) of Opus Dei?
At least 17 people have been killed in an explosion at a mosque in the Pakistani city of Peshawar.
The blast happened when the mosque was packed with worshippers and more than 90 people were injured.
A section of the building was destroyed, and officials say people are buried under the rubble. Several others are being taken to local hospitals. The cause of the explosion is unclear.
Two years ago, Chinese businessman Chau Chak Wing was awarded $590,000 in a defamation case against Four Corners.
Any others in the past decade, Lars? Don’t keep us in suspenders …
Enough Already at 12.44 pm
It was more complex. Read the book Overreach by Owen Matthews:
https://www.google.com.au/books/edition/Overreach_The_Inside_Story_of_Putin_s_Wa/UPp8EAAAQBAJ?hl=en&gbpv=1&printsec=frontcover
E.g. p 197: “CIA Director William Burns had served as US ambassador to Russia and had had the most direct interactions with Putin of anyone in the Biden administration. Burns knew and understood Russia and its leader extremely well … Putin’s chief character traits were ‘a mixture of insecurity and grievance’, Burns told me [Matthews] soon after the Georgian war. ‘He holds grudges.'”
So fortunate to have Lars to help one understand such matters.
wranslide says:
“Was Noel McCoy a devotee (or follower I am not sure of the terminology) of Opus Dei?”
Supernumerary’ seems to be the favoured term … oddly.
https://www.theguardian.com/media/2022/dec/21/four-corners-fox-news-documentary-breached-abc-editorial-code-but-did-not-violate-impartiality-standards
They couldn’t even take down News Corp properly.
Who else is looking forward to Stan Grant telling us what he thinks in the QA.
>Paul The Avenger
>Monday, January 30, 2023 at 9:18 pm
>According to the Political Compass you posted even the Greens are barely left of centre! There’s a huge yawning gulf to the left of where the Greens are.
Of course. That is where you have the goverment owning everything and the population owning nothing
Four Corners did not “[pay] out defo damages” to News Corp.
#Fail. Have any try, Lars.
ACMA’s ridiculous finding on the Four Corners piece on Fox’s support for Trump’s big lie doesn’t mean squat.
They made silly nitpicks on two small things. Even if accepted they did not affect the validity of the story. All they did was allow Fox and you to deceptively claim validation if people looked at nothing more than a headline of a finding against Four Corners. But what could you expect of an ACMA stacked by the previous government with ex News and Liberal people.
Yeah sorry Oliver – dont perform on demand for numpties.
Maybe do your own research? Try Laming and Milligan in your google search.
Wealthy and powerful individuals have been using Defamation cases to intimidate the powerless for too long now. Just purchase the most expensive barrister and you, too can win ‘defo’ cases
Lars, what is it that drives you to bullshit in favour of right wing causes, any right wing causes, even Christian cultists far from the mainstream, Fox News and Trump election stealing lies, and anti-Indigenous bigotry?
Do you just delight that much in human misery or did a pro-democracy Indigenous atheist steal your high school girlfriend?
“Arky says:
Monday, January 30, 2023 at 9:34 pm
Lars, what is it that drives you to bullshit in favour of right wing causes, any right wing causes, even Christian cultists far from the mainstream, Fox News and Trump election stealing lies, and anti-Indigenous bigotry?
Do you just delight that much in human misery or did a pro-democracy Indigenous atheist steal your high school girlfriend?”
Arky, methink that Lars is paid to do this job…. Hey, Lars, are you with IPA?
BREAKING: Death toll from mosque bombing in Peshawar, Pakistan, has risen to 28
Lol Arky.
I dont hold any truck with Fox/Sky.
I just dont think playing to the gallery is journalism. Sadly most of our journalism is playing to the gallery now. Not much objective reporting left.
I think you find more of it in newsletters and very selected people on twitter.
L’arse doesn’t know his loose from his lose. That’s the level of intellect you are dealing with.
He also has no acquaintance with the notion of sincerity. Any interaction with him is completely pointless and will lead precisely nowhere.
Henry, Frednk and Wranslide all are happy to see 7.30’s Sarah Ferguson back in the chair…..not.
Henry also claims Sarah tirelessly dwelled on Bill Gates’ links to pedo Jeffrey Epstein. With Daylight Saving I read Henry’s post before I watched the program expecting to see some fireworks but it turned out to be a fizzer. I thought Sarah could have asked more on the subject and she let him off lightly.
I see no fault in this anchor woman.
The rich and powerful are entitled to the truth – nothing more, nothing less – like every one else. Anyone who bangs on about free speech and doesn’t embrace defamation law reform is just bullshitting.