The latest fortnightly (consistently so now, it seems) federal voting intention result from Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 55-45, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (up one), Labor 41% (steady), Greens 9% (up one) and One Nation 3% (steady). It also includes for the first time this term a reading for the United Australia Party, who are at 4%. The leaders’ ratings find Scott Morrison recovering a little, up three on approval to 43% and down one on disapproval to 55%, but has even more favourable movement for Anthony Albanese, who is up four on approval to 44% and down three on disapproval to 43%. Albanese has almost closed the gap on preferred prime minister, now trailing 42-40, in from 43-38 last fortnight.
Full report here from The Australian; the poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1525.
“They’re scared. Scared Putin’s nukes. Scared that if things escalate China and North Korea may jump in. Scared of another quagmire like they got in the Middle East. Scared that things will cost more and shares will crash and life will get less convenient.”
I would disagree with the word ‘scared’. Because it sounds like they’re not being rational.
It looks to me like they’re being very rational. The battles recently fought in the Middle East have been a good reminder that war is not ‘good’.
Any pilot can fly off in a storm and kill his passengers, but a great pilot will stay on the ground and not fly if the risk is too great.
Max Gillies, sadly, has lost the plot. His humour and delivery has deserted him in older age, and he should put the cue in the rack.
Having said that, I recall the glory days, going to Kinsellas in Taylor Square to see him in A Night Of National Reconciliation. Waiting at our table for the show to start, he sits down in full Menzies regalia. What a hoot.
The piece de resistance of course was his Bob Hawke. Every twitch, every mannerism, every affectation was exaggerated with spontaneous hilarity. The crowd loved it, and so did we. Did Hawke really have such a potty mouth?
https://www.pollbludger.net/2022/02/27/newspoll-55-45-to-labor-6/comment-page-24/#comment-3831566
Given the Greens and independents in power, with Libs lite in minority fed gov to 2013, even ACT Greens/ Libs lite today, I think I’d still prefer a progressive alliance, over the extreme disaster capitalists of the Coalition of Fibs/ Nats.
Be it governance, Wuflu, climate, social support before corporate welfare, powershift …
Confessions at 7:09 pm
Gillies would have been good as he would have come with years of experience as our PM already 🙂
Another view. (She goes so fast I have to listen twice.)
Astrobleme @ #1195 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 5:53 pm
So why do you think Western Nations are averse to fighting? Is it really because they ‘don’t have a pair’?
Or might there be a more considered reason?
If Europe gets involved it is a conflict between two nuclear powers. That is very scary. As it is one party is running a conventional war.
In my view the west will do their best to keep it in Ukraine and have Ukraine win.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/liberals-push-to-install-disability-campaigner-as-warringah-candidate-20220301-p5a0lq.html
You’d think they could at least find a woman alternative. Clearly there ARE no women in today’s Liberal party.
poroti:
Except the PM’s he’s portrayed are all dead!
sprocket_
Away from the camera he may well of.
.
The McGregor profile opens with great verve in 1977, with Hawke ensconced at the Australian Council of Trade Unions, …………….The Hawke of this period “drinks like a fish, swears like a trooper, works like a demon, performs like a playboy, talks like a truckie and acts like a politician”.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/16/bob-hawke-former-australian-prime-minister-dies-aged-89
The suffer in your jocks award goes to……..
Ukraine not being able to hold back Russia overwhelming convoy head on is hardly surprising, and would be an idiotic since they don’t have the capability to do it. Their best bet has always been to slow them down and use guerrilla style tactics, which is what they have done, their is plenty of evidence of it.
But I am sure this will be going on sometime and be very bloody, Putin will want some sort of “Victory” out of it whatever it is.
Yep.
Putin has underestimated Joe Biden and is paying the price politically & economically.
Biden has put major economic sanctions on Russia and has pressured other nations throughout the world to do the same.
Even Switzerland could not remain neutral.
WELL DONE JOE!
#KidVicious
Putin will win the war in the Ukraine and will be remembered in history as the great leader of the free world…
Also Scott Morrison will win the election in May and also be a great leader of the free world…..
Frednk
“In my view the west will do their best to keep it in Ukraine and have Ukraine win”
Yes, I agree. Keep providing material assistance.
Ironically could be similar to WWII in that regard, with the Lend Lease provided to the Soviets…
Land wars in Ukraine… Ugh
Wayne
“Putin will win the war in the Ukraine and will be remembered in history as the great leader of the free world…”
What? Please tell me this is a joke!
Poroti
I had the pleasure of seeing Hawke speak on the front lawn of Sydney Uni before he was PM.
Charisma is something you have or don’t.
Wayne, you’re not funny any more.
Vic:
Don’t forget the sporting sanctions!
Wayne @ #1213 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 7:22 pm
Fuck off Wayne you freakin moron.
Why does William let Wayne post such shit?
Astrobleme @ #1198 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 6:09 pm
Yes, I said the fear could be reasonable. It’s also past its use-by date, reasonable or no.
Absolutely war is a terrible idea (and thing, in general). But there’s a difference between starting a war, as in Afghanistan and Iraq v2, and responding to someone else’s (as in Iraq v1, and the current situation in Ukraine). Sitting idly by while something you recognize as a sovereign nation is violently invaded is a terrible idea too. Just on a longer timeframe.
Confessions @ #1207 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 7:16 pm
What on earth does a disability campaigner see in the Liberal party?
Mikehilliard:
For our entertainment, I’m assuming.
The latest swollen pickle video has a good take on the funding of infrastructure to mediate and mitigate the effects of climate change, probably already been shared, but when the Govt sits on billions of money to build mitigation efforts and spends ZERO:
https://youtu.be/uQ3z-ox01O8
This two part series on Australian “sovereign citizens” is well worth a look if you want to know WTF that’s all about:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ea_7jUU489g
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIrcWtuLkdA
“Putin will win the war in the Ukraine and will be remembered in history as the great leader of the free world…”
Go fuck yourself “Wayne”, you sadistic parasite.
A R
“Sitting idly by while something you recognize as a sovereign nation is violently invaded is a terrible idea too. Just on a longer timeframe.”
I would disagree that they’re ‘idle’.
I think they’re trying to make the economic sanctions work. If they drag this conflict out, I am thinking they hope to make it unwinnable and crash the Russian economy
BeaglieBoy:
His bit on gun control is both hilarious and utterly on point:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rR9IaXH1M0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a9UFyNy-rw4
Asha
Not funny (William), sorry.
Morgan Poll has Labor maintaining their commanding lead.
https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8914-federal-voting-intention-february-2022-pre-ukraine-war-202203010358
Simon Katich @ #1141 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 5:50 pm
No that’s my deceased 3rd cousin ,I’m Grime of Italian descent.
Russell Coight for PM
We already have Benny Hill as the current one, just waiting for him to do the bald head slap routine on Dutton in QT
Mike,
My view is that Wayne and Nostradamus are actually Lars’ sock puppets.
Agreed.
mundo @ #1222 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 7:34 pm
$$$$$ for ones self
How about waiting three seconds or so before posting something like this.
[‘A former elite soldier who was allegedly told by war veteran Ben Roberts-Smith to execute an unarmed Afghan man has objected to giving evidence about the incident in the Federal Court on the grounds he might incriminate himself.
Person 4, who was medically discharged from the SAS last year, started giving evidence on Monday in Mr Roberts-Smith’s defamation case against The Age, The Sydney Morning Herald and The Canberra Times.
He has already told the court he witnessed Mr Roberts-Smith kick an unarmed and handcuffed Afghan man off a cliff in Darwan in late 2012, before the man was shot dead.
But Person 4, whose name cannot be revealed for national security reasons, objected to answering a question on Monday by the newspapers’ barrister, Nicholas Owens, SC, about his recollection of events during a separate mission in Afghanistan on Easter Sunday, 2009. Justice Anthony Besanko did not compel him to answer the question.
The court has previously heard evidence from a serving SAS soldier that Mr Roberts-Smith told Person 4 during the 2009 mission to shoot a captive Afghan man who had been discovered in a tunnel in a compound known as Whiskey 108.
“RS … walked down and grabbed the Afghan male by the scruff of the shirt, picked him up, marched him a couple of metres forward [until] he was in front of Person 4,” the serving soldier, dubbed Person 41, said in early February.
“He then kicked him in the back of the legs behind the knees until he was kneeling down in front of Person 4. He pointed to the [Afghan man] … and said to Person 4, ‘Shoot him.’]
https://www.smh.com.au/national/former-soldier-objects-to-answering-questions-on-alleged-murder-in-ben-roberts-smith-case-20220301-p5a0kl.html
It’s been said by some that Roberts-Smith’s imperative apropos of his defamation suit is to deter the Office of the Special Prosecutor from laying war crime charges against him. In my view, based on the evidence led thus far, particularly as it relates to similar fact evidence, things aren’t going swimmingly well. But I’m only a bush lawyer. Perhaps Shellbell, for example, might provide an expert opinion?
Getting serious…
FLOOD WARNING FOR MARRICKVILLE
In anticipation of heavy rain over the next 48 hours and potential road closures, we’ve distributed A-frames, barrier boards, road closed signage and sand bags to @NSWSES ready for use.
For emergency help, call the NSW SES on 132 500.
For democrats, all theocracies and autocrats are problematic, https://www.linkedin.com/posts/clingendael-institute_the-map-of-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-activity-6902283425852604416-1IpO
After studying German, or Russian, learn Mandarin Chinese today
William
OK. It was 5 minutes actually. Why are you so up on this?
Another domino falls.
Cue Nostradamus.
sprocket_ says:
Tuesday, March 1, 2022 at 7:11 pm
Advanced age is often scary.
Grime
I’d always picked you as Scots.
sprocket_ @ #1201 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 7:11 pm
Friends saw him in Frankston Vic recently and thought he was terrific.
https://allevents.in/hobart/mono-a-three-person-one-man-show/200022091123732
A triumvirate.
The Doug Anthony All Stars.
Or… Magda.
poroti @ #1242 Tuesday, March 1st, 2022 – 8:06 pm
Damn you Russians Poroti…Exposed me again as a haggis eating windbag;-)
Grime,
Frankston is a nice place to make a movie about the world ending. But, it’s just a little off Broadway for thespians.
@Boer:
“ There were many posts blaming the West for Putin’s behaviour(s).”
Name them. Quote (or at lest summarise them) accurately.
In the same post you said that you couldn’t be bothered to go back and find them, which ids convenient because I suspect – Zerlo aside – you’d struggle to make good your assertion.
Mate: it is one thing to argue that the west blundered 25 years ago when it didn’t prioritise economic liberalisation of the former soviet republics, including Russia: that doesn’t equate to blaming the west for what Putin has done. Nor does the argument that since he came to power Biden has had a china centric foreign policy focus and hence he – and the west – may have taken their eye off the ball. Those arguments are legitimate.
These sorts of are not intended, nor should they be taken as being any sort of blame shifting from Putin: he owns this. 100%. That doesn’t mean we should not be examining ‘our’ role – if any – for the rise of Putin and the conditions that led to this point. Nobody needs your bullshit verballing or C@t’s white feathers along the way, thank-you very much.
The only one who excels Gillies is Patterson – that awful Edna finishing in fourth place, just ahead of Greer:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzYi1TkIxaY
Interesting to note what Putin has achieved so far in the Ukraine.
Still somewhat back-able odds that the Russians will take actually take and occupy Kharkiv, Kviv, and significant territories in the SE of Ukraine, but at far greater cost than they expected.
He has succeeded in bringing the EU together in an existential crisis, as well as non-EU countries like the UK and most significantly the traditionally militantly neutral Switzerland, Sweden, and Finland.
He has shit canned the Russian economy to the detriment of an awful lot of Russians.
He has gotten NATO countries all on the same page by reminding them in the most emphatic fashion of why NATO exists.
He has reminded all of the people in the old Warsaw Pact states, and the old republics of the USSR of just what a Workers Paradise the USSR was, as against the dubious “freedoms”and “opportunities” available to them as EU members.
None of which would have happened if the Ukrainians had rolled over or been rolled over in a few days.
Incentivized the Ukrainian population to get out and dare the Russians to run them over in groups while the world watches. 🙁
Given China some kind of lesson in the effectiveness of the use of force to achieve a geopolitical end which i am sure the Chinese will spend a while digesting.