Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll brings its regular Christmas present of quarterly breakdowns, combining results from its polls from October to December, allowing for state and other breakdowns with plausible large samples and tolerable margins of error. It shows Labor with leading substantially in each state with the distinct exception of Queensland: by 53-47 in New South Wales, out from 52-48 in the previous quarter, for a swing of about 5% compared with the 2019 election; 56-44 in Victoria, in from 58-42 last quarter, for a swing to Labor of about 3%; 55-45 in South Australia, a swing of about 3%; and, most remarkably, by 55-45 in Western Australia, out from 54-46 last quarter for a swing approaching 11%. The Coalition retains a lead of 54-46 in Queensland, in from 55-45 last quarter, which still amounts to a Labor swing of about 4.5%.
The gender breakdowns are unchanged on last quarter with Labor leading 54-46 among women and 52-48 among men. However, Labor’s lead among the 18-to-34 age cohort from 65-35 to 69-31, with the others little changed (54-46 to Labor among 35-to-49, 53-47 and 60-40 to the Coalition among 50-to-64 and 65-plus. Labor appeares to have gained particularly among lower income cohorts over the past year, with current leads of 55-45 among those with less than $50,000 household income and 56-44 among those with between $50,000 and $100,000. These figures compare respectively with 51-49 to Labor and 51-49 to the Coalition in the April-to-June result. Labor’s deficit among those with more than $150,000 is down over this time from 56-44 to 53-47, but its 52-48 lead among those on $100,000 to $150,000 is down from 53-47. The breakdowns combined the results of four polls conducted between September 29 to December 4 from an overall sample of 6102.
The Newspoll release provides new data for the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, which I am pleased to announce now includes its own state breakdowns that you can explored by clicking on the tabs (if it isn’t working for you, hard refreshing and trying again later seems to do the trick). Those of you who saw this before I added the Newspoll numbers will note that they have softened what was previously a double-digit swing in Queensland, which points to a disconnect between Newspoll’s numbers for the state and those of Essential Research, which have generally credited Labor with a two-party lead in the state.
Also yesterday from the Age/Herald was a piece on Resolve Strategic’s policy and political performance data, which I don’t believe adds anything to what was included with the regular monthly result, though it’s served in a form that shows how these often-ignored numbers have tracked over time. Specifically, the Coalition has weakened in its strongest areas, with leads diminishing on economic management, national security and COVID-19, while holding steady on the weaker ground of jobs and wages, health care and environment.
And, just to add, why are the deliberations of the National Cabinet commercial in confidence with the Pentecostal with the glass jaw the sole spokesperson?
The AMA has a point (noting they are a branch office of the Liberal Party)
MB. How is eureka day separate from colonisation. Very embodiment of colonisation at work disregarding indigenous Australians. No solution to national day issue without Uluru statement or similar process being implemented. No short term solution.
BW @ 5:32,
I agree that Labor offers our indigenous citizens the best/only solution as the Greens are too bound by ideology and their own superiority complex and the Right couldn’t care less about indigenous affairs. However, I disagree that offering to have a debate (that’s all) about the Uluru process and the prospect of changing Oz Day will be considered divisive. It’s just a debate! I like the old combative Albo, not this pale imitation. If indigenous circles achieve near-unanimity, then a referendum/plebiscite can be wrapped up well before the 2025 election and a National Day declared as well. Conservatives threatened hell-on-Earth when Lord Gough declared a new National Anthem in the 1974, but even Fraser realised it was popular (though AAF hasn’t aged well – like me).
Lidia Thorpe tweeted “seems like the colonial system is burning down. Happy New Year everyone”
Adam desperately trying to ‘hose it down’
National anthem and flag have the same colonialist baggage. The Uluru statement contains the wisdom to free us from a fair bit of colonial bad history. We should be very positive in pursuing it. All political parties and all Australians should get on board.
Burning old parliament house so the Greens and Liberals can have a wedge issue is going a little too far.
It will do long term damage to the indigenous cause, but then the Greens have shown they are willing to burn indigenous goals on the bonfire of politics. The Greens propable think, what the heck, anything for a good wedge.
My father’s two older brothers fought at Gallipoli. They were anything but jingoistic.
My Gallipoli hero is Hugo Throssell VC. Here’s why (from the Australian Dictionary of Biography):
Throssell, Hugo Vivian Hope (1884–1933)
by Suzanne Welborn
Hugo Vivian Hope Throssell (1884-1933), soldier and farmer, was born on 26 October 1884 at Northam, Western Australia, youngest son of George Throssell, storekeeper and later premier, and his wife Anne, née Morrell. One of fourteen children, Hugo was educated at Prince Alfred College, Adelaide, where he captained the football team and became a champion athlete and boxer. He then worked as a jackeroo on cattle stations in the north of the State. In 1912 he and his brother, Frank Erick (Ric) Cottrell (b.1881), took up land at Cowcowing in the Western Australian wheatbelt. Severe drought during the next two years strengthened the bond between them; they were later described as ‘David and Jonathan’ in their devotion to one another. Hugo was tall, with a long face and strong features.
With the outbreak of war Hugo and Ric joined the 10th Light Horse Regiment, formed in October 1914. Hugo was commissioned as second lieutenant and remained in Egypt when the 10th was sent to Gallipoli in May 1915. He landed on Gallipoli on 4 August, three days before the charge at the Nek—’that FOOL charge’ as he described it—when 9 officers and 73 men of his regiment were killed within minutes. Throssell was one of the leaders of the fourth and last line of attacking troops which was recalled after having advanced only a few yards. This experience increased his eagerness to prove himself in battle. He wanted to avenge the 10th L.H.R. which, like so many of the Anzac troops, was battle-worn, sick and depleted. His chance came later that month at Hill 60 during a postponed attempt by British and Anzac troops to widen the strip of foreshore between the two bridgeheads at Anzac and Suvla by capturing the hills near Anafarta. Hill 60, a low knoll, lay about half a mile (0.8 km) from the beach. Hampered by confusion and lack of communication between the various flanks, the battle had been raging for a week with heavy losses.
At 1 a.m. by moonlight on 29 August the 10th Light Horse was brought into action to take a long trench, 100 yards (91 m) of which was held by Turkish troops on the summit of Hill 60. As a guard, Throssell killed five Turks while his men constructed a barricade across their part of the trench. When a fierce bomb fight began, ‘a kind of tennis over the traverse and sandbags’, Throssell and his soldiers held their bombs on short fuse until the last possible moment before hurling them at the enemy on the other side of the barricade. Throughout the remainder of the night both sides threw more than 3000 bombs, the Western Australians picking up the bombs thrown at them by the Turks and hurling them back. Towards dawn the Turks made three rushes at the Australian trench, but were stopped by showers of bombs and heavy rifle-fire. Throssell, who at one stage was in sole command, was wounded twice. His face covered in blood from bomb splinters in his forehead, he repeatedly yelled encouragement to his men. For his part in the battle Hugo Throssell was awarded the Victoria Cross. It was the first V.C. to be won by a Western Australian in the war, and remains the only one awarded to a Light Horseman.
Evacuated to hospital in England, Throssell was promoted captain and rejoined his regiment in Egypt. He was wounded in April 1917 at the 2nd battle of Gaza where his brother Ric was killed. On the night that Ric disappeared, Hugo crawled across the battlefield under enemy fire, searching in vain for his brother among the dead and dying, and whistling for him with the same signal as they had used when boys. Hugo returned to his regiment for the final offensives in Palestine and led the 10th Light Horse guard of honour at the fall of Jerusalem.
On 28 January 1919 in the Collins Street registry office, Melbourne, Throssell married the Australian author Katharine Susannah Prichard whom he had met in England. They settled on a 40-acre (16 ha) mixed farm at Greenmount, near Perth. His wife wrote that those early years of marriage with Hugo, whom she called Jim, were her happiest. When she became a foundation member of the Communist Party of Australia in 1920, Hugo joined her as a speaker supporting unemployed and striking workers. He claimed that the war had made him a socialist and a pacifist. The combination of her award-winning novels and Communism, and his Victoria Cross, brought them fame and notoriety. Hugo acted as soldiers’ representative on the Returned Soldiers’ Land Settlement Board, became a real estate agent and worked temporarily in the Department of Agriculture in Western Australia.
Hard times came in the Depression. Katharine believed that her political activities lost Hugo his job with the settlement board, and that his passion to own land led him to borrow recklessly from the banks. He joined the search for gold at Larkinville in the early 1930s. When that proved unsuccessful, he devised a scheme which he hoped would prove a money-spinner. While Katharine was on a six-month visit to Russia, he organized a rodeo on his Greenmount property on a Sunday, not knowing that it was illegal to charge entry fees on the sabbath. The only money Hugo raised from the 2000 people who attended was a meagre silver collection for charity. The episode plunged him further into debt and shattered his optimism.
Imagining that he could better provide for his wife and 11-year-old son if he left them a war service pension, he shot himself on 19 November 1933 at Greenmount. Friends blamed his melancholy on an attack of meningitis at Gallipoli and saw it as the cause of his suicide. He was buried with full military honours in the Anglican section of Karrakatta cemetery, Perth.
In 1954 a memorial to him was unveiled at Greenmount, opposite his home. In 1983 his son Ric presented Hugo’s Victoria Cross to the People for Nuclear Disarmament. The Returned Services League of Australia bought the medal and presented it to the Australian War Memorial, Canberra. A pencil portrait of Hugo Throssell by the Australian war artist, George Lambert, is also held there.
Spence
It was a political dispute between a group of miners and a colonial government and the Wadawurrung people were involved in the gold fields around Ballarat so the gold rush is a part of their history.
I don’t like National Days because I don’t like nationalism. If there must be something, then I’d barrack for Republic Day, and the sooner the better, and preferably before I cark it. As for when, any day except Jan 26.
I like the solstices. I like the whole contemplation of spinning around the Sun, which is spinning around the Big Black Hole, and we are all corkscrewing our way to some liminality, preoccupied by the neighbours cribbing a few cms of land by misplacing the fence line.
The summer solstice is too close to Christmas, so that means winter. It’d be fun. Bonfires and leaping sparks into black night skies, while everyone dances naked around the flames, pissed or stoned or whatever happens to be legal at that stage of our fabulous ongoing maturation.
My grandfather was killed in action in PNG (not during the Kokoda campaign) in WW2.
My family never participated in ANZAC Day events as my grandmother was too devastated for the rest of her life. My Dad (only child) honoured her wishes.
It was only when I hit my 30’s that I attended my first Dawn Service at my local RSL when someone I met invited me along. I’ve attended ever since because it was a solemn honouring of ordinary men and women that have served in the forces.
You can focus on the jingoistic approach of politicians and media or take the day as it was originally envisaged. I prefer to take the later and ignore all the outside rubbish. I would never lump ANZAC Day in with the ill fitting ‘Australia Day’.
Player One @ #1983 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 2:32 pm
You really should think before you post.
The Qld Government introduce a new method that more accurately identifies land that has been cleared and somehow it’s a failure because it identified cleared land that had previously been missed.
😆
Player One @ #1983 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 2:32 pm
You do realise that Independents are do nothing doll bludgers.
Zerlo @ #2009 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 3:27 pm
That’s probably your stupidest comment ever.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #2011 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 6:25 pm
I’m guessing you didn’t actually read what was posted. No surprises there.
Player One @ #2011 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 3:29 pm
What part of this don’t you understand.
Bad news Barney. The Adani rail line is completed and shipments are ready to roll. I thought you said it wouldn’t happen?
The first coal shipment from central Queensland Carmichael Mine is about to leave Australian shores after years of controversy, international media coverage and environmental campaigning against the facility.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2021-12-29/adani-ships-first-coal/100729834
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #2015 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 6:33 pm
Ummm. That would probably be the part where the Queensland Labor government admits on New Years Eve Eve and in the midst of a worsening pandemic crises that they have been massively under reporting land clearing for years, hoping that no-one will notice.
Still, it’s a Labor government, so we’re all good, eh?
The “problem” (if you could call it that) with any date of any holiday in Australia is that Australia’s history is evolutionary, rather than revolutionary. Which means key dates for important events are often decided by lawyers and politicians via carefully crafted legislation, than by the terms set by a victorious General or the declaration of a Revolutionary. There are lots of 1 January/1 July dates in our history, so we scrape for any other meaningful date that falls on an irregular day of the year.
Heck, most holidays are just the Xth Monday of whichever month, rather than a particular date.
P1 will be happy with a LNP that tears up all environmental standards, just so they can feel good inside voting for a Independent.
But hey if an Independent gets in thats all that matters to P1, who care if its an LNP government that would removal all the logging laws like they did last time.
Player One @ #2014 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 3:37 pm
It’s a better method of monitoring the problem which means illegal clearing is more likely to be caught when it happens.
What’s not to like about that?
I am trying to find a reliable source for the Lidia Thorpe tweet? If it is true that she tweeted that the media is going to have an absolute field day and she is going to continue to be a headache for the Greens. They will never get any near being a mainstream party if they can’t get their Senators to think before tweeting.
Ok, that time of year for Australia / Invasion day arguments. 🙁 sure as the seasons i guess.
I thin the ALP’s best way to deal with this is to support the Uluru Statement and the Voice to Parliament. Leave proposals for any change to Australia Day to come from that. Don’t let the noisy buggers drive change of that nature or you end up with people like the SovCit idiots trying to take credit and turning it into another topic to divide people on. Its what they do. 🙁
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #2020 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 6:43 pm
Right. That’s the take away from this story, not the fact that the government has been knowingly lying about it for years.
Still, Labor lies are better than COALition lies, right?
“Heck, most holidays are just the Xth Monday of whichever month, rather than a particular date.”
Hallowed be the Long Weekend!! 🙂
B.S. Fairman @ #2018 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 3:48 pm
The last tweet on her account is 1/12.
Nicko @ #2019 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 6:41 pm
What makes me feel good inside is voting for climate action. What does it for you?
Lidia Thorpe’s now-deleted tweet can be seen here:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FH1wEuAVUAMdVsj?format=jpg&name=large
Zerlo says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 6:27 pm
Player One @ #1983 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 2:32 pm
You do realise that Independents are do nothing doll bludgers.
Doll bludgers do not make $187,000 a year.
Lidea Thorpe doesn’t have much going for her. Nasty, really.
Elon Musk’s Starlink global internet creeps onto NBN’s turf
Until the 2019 bushfires tore through the Wollondilly Shire, Guzowski and his family had used the NBN’s Sky Muster satellites to receive internet access to their rural property.
“But we basically didn’t have internet on the farm because the connection was so patchy,” Guzowski says.
After signing up to Starlink’s beta rollout and forking out $809, a Starlink satellite pack arrived at Guzowski’s property in November, in the form of a medium-sized box, a dish, and a set of pictorial instructions.
“It took less than thirty seconds to install,” Guzowski says. “I just unpacked it and plugged it into the power.”
Once electricity reached the dish, it swivelled itself to find the closest Starlink satellite, and suddenly, he had internet speeds of roughly 320 Mbps.
Regional properties such as the Guzowski’s have been snapping up the $809 dish and signing up to the $139 a month ongoing subscription fee for the advertised speeds between 50Mbps and 150Mbps.
But thanks to relatively little traffic on the network, speeds are reaching a healthy 320Mbps, which are likely to fall as more people join the network.
https://www.afr.com/companies/telecommunications/elon-musk-s-starlink-global-internet-creeps-onto-nbn-s-turf-20211221-p59j87
Player One @ #2020 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 3:53 pm
You can only report the data presented and you are reliant on the methodology being used.
If a methodology is flawed then you should look for a better one.
Why would the Qld Government change the methodology if they were happy with the results the previous flawed one was giving?
Your conspiracy theory doesn’t hold much water.
Below is a very recent tweet by Greens Senator Thorpe.
Make of it what you will:
Deleted By Australian MPs
@DeletedByAusMPs
DT Senator Lidia Thorpe: Seems like the colonial system is burning down. Happy New Year everyone. #AlwayswasAlwayswillBeAboriginalLand
politwoops.com
Deleted tweet from Senator Lidia Thorpe (australia)
Politwoops is the only comprehensive collection of deleted tweets by politicians that offers a window into what they hoped you didn’t see.
2:18 PM · Dec 30, 2021·Politwoops
I think this is backgrounding. Discuss.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/i-work-at-a-covid-testing-lab-please-think-before-joining-that-pcr-traffic-jam-20211230-p59kv3.html
Always ten minutes late am I.
BK says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 6:57 pm
Lidea Thorpe doesn’t have much going for her. Nasty, really.
_____________________________
Bit of an ask to expect Indigenous people to revere that building considering, well…everything.
The obvious question is if they were covering up for years, why an Inquiry highlighting that there has been under reporting?
Noting the technology improvements so more accurate reporting
You really speculate on what some contributors to this site did or do for a living
Simply, across life you question everything
Because no one is always right
Just as no one is always wrong
Re Australia Day. I reckon that we should simply dispense with the idea of a national day – they’re not compulsory – and just have a day for reconciliation between settlers and the Indigenous (it could be NAIDOC or some other day: it would be a matter for consultation). And this day could be a public holiday. And Anzac Day would of course continue to be marked.
26 Jan could also continue to be marked in a low-key way (no public holiday) in NSW as the day the colony was founded. It’s quite a significant date, being also the date of the Rum Rebellion and, over more than half a century from around 1800, a day of celebration for emancipated convicts and free settlers.
Ok, so it is true. Expect that to become more of an issue once the Sky News Crowd is back from holidays.
nath: “Bit of an ask to expect Indigenous people to revere that building considering, well…everything.”
Well, yes. But the political discourse in Australia would be all the better for Ms Thorpe’s non-participation.
Wishful thinking that ScuMo & Domicon will ride this one out. Never seen so may pissed off people.
Frednk says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 6:56 pm
The doll bludgers who helped ruined the last coalition government backed off and chickened out.
Holidays are a drag on economic activity
They should all be cancelled with the requirement being working 24/7 for 365 days each year (and an extra day in Leap Years)
Productivity would improve
The economy will be the beneficiary
Along with Company Balance Sheets because the Wages and Salaries expenditure item will remain static
Dividends will increase so Shareholders will be happy (including those enjoying Franking credits despite having no taxable income)
What do these dolls look like after they’ve been bludged?
William Bowe @ #2044 Thursday, December 30th, 2021 – 7:24 pm
Barbie
Of the numerous poor decisions the NSW Liberal Party leaders have made arguably the worst was December 15th 2021 – a date that will go down in infamy.
Displaying zero situational awareness, Morrison and Perottet :
– abolished mask wearing
– abolished QR codes
– abolished any limitation on gatherings
– allowed unvaccinated to mingle freely with the 95% who had done their patriotic duty
– lifted restrictions on incoming student and working visa holders
– ignored the warnings of a new super infectious Covid variant
– did not coordinate between NSW and the other States which had been pressured to re-open, but on the condition that incoming people from NSW had tested negative
All on the one day. Two weeks later, with testing queues up the wazoo, pathology labs melting down, positive cases accelerating, flights cancelled, hospitals overwhelmed, people cancelling Xmas and New Year functions, fear and dread mixed with frustration dominating the media, the Health Minister saying blandly ‘everyone will get it’, they act.
And what do they do? Change the definition of close contact and swap PCR for the RAT tests (which they had neglected to order).
A big call, but this is the worst example of public health management ever.
Across one cohort there are bio security protocols in place to keep PEOPLE safe
For the rest of us, courtesy of the current pm, bio security measures to keep us safe are secondary to the economy
Fulvio Sammut says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 7:04 pm
Below is a very recent tweet by Greens Senator Thorpe.
Make of it what you will:
Deleted By Australian MPs
@DeletedByAusMPs
DT Senator Lidia Thorpe: Seems like the colonial system is burning down. Happy New Year everyone. #AlwayswasAlwayswillBeAboriginalLand…’
———————-
…always will be rather politically thick, IMO. Up there with Bandt’s exhortion to smoke dope and Bob Brown’s concern about the fate of the Earthians. The real problem here seems to be that Thorpe has leadership for the Greens’ Indigenous policies and that she is an outlier when it comes to Statement from the Heart.
‘imacca says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 6:52 pm
Ok, that time of year for Australia / Invasion day arguments. sure as the seasons i guess.
I thin the ALP’s best way to deal with this is to support the Uluru Statement and the Voice to Parliament.
….’
——————
Already done. Simple as that.
In Zerlo’s case they’ll end up something like this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dl0RetIpxi8
Zerlo says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 7:23 pm
Frednk says:
Thursday, December 30, 2021 at 6:56 pm
The doll bludgers who helped ruined the last coalition government backed off and chickened out.
Not sure what your saying here?