The Australian today reports Newspoll findings on COVID-19 and leadership approval from Victoria and Queensland, which were targeted with expanded samples (608 and 603 respectively) in the poll whose main results were published yesterday:
• Daniel Andrews is up five points on approval from late July to 62% and down two on approval to 35%, whereas Scott Morrison is down six on approval to 62% and up seven on disapproval to 33%. Andrews is reckoned to be doing very well in handling COVID-19 by 31% (up four), fairly well by 31% (down three), fairly badly by 13% (down five) and very badly by 22% (up four), while Morrison is on 26% for very well (down five), 45% for fairly well (down one), 15% for fairly badly (up three) and 10% for very badly (up one).
• Annastacia Palaszczuk’s ratings are only modestly changed, with approval down one to 63% and disapproval up four to 33% as compared with the poll in late July, while Scott Morrison is down five to 67% and up four to 28% as compared with the poll in late June. Both leaders’ COVID-19 ratings are a little weaker than they were in late July: Palaszczuk records 32% for very well (down five), 36% for fairly well (down eight), 16% for fairly badly (up eight) and 13% for very badly (up seven), while Morrison has 34% for very well (down six), 43% for fairly well (up three), 13% for fairly badly (up two) and 7% for very badly (up one).
• The national sample was asked about the restrictions in Victoria and Queensland, which naturally required lengthy explanation (the framing of which seems reasonable enough). For Victoria, the results were 25% too strict, 61% about right and 10% too lenient; for Queensland, 37% too strict, 53% about right and 7% too lenient.
• The balance of concern is nonetheless moving away from “moving too quickly to relax restrictions”, down 20 points since mid-July to 56%, to “moving too slowly to relax restrictions and harming economy, jobs and mental wellbeing”, up 19 points to 39%.
Today also brings the fortnightly Essential Research poll, as related by The Guardian with the full report to follow later today:
• Respondents were in favour of both Scott Morrison’s handling of COVID-19 (a 61% approval rating, up two on a fortnight ago) and Queensland state border closures he wants lifted (66% support, including 70% among Queensland respondents). Forty-seven per cent of Victorian respondents approved of the state government’s COVID-19 management, unchanged from a fortnight ago, while the rating for the New South Wales government was up seven to 67%.
• Thirty-three per cent of respondents felt tax cuts for high income earners should be brought forward from 2022, as the government has signalled it will do, while 38% believe they should be scrapped and 29% believe the government should stick to the original timetable. Twenty-one per cent believe they would be an effective economic stimulus, compared with 41% for moderately effective and 38% for not effective.
• Asked which technology they preferred for future energy generation, 70% favoured renewables and 15% gas and coal.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1081.
UPDATE: Full Essential Research poll here.
There might finally be an end in sight….
http://www.noongar.org.au/news-and-events
Shellbell @ #1198 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 9:10 pm
Yeah, dropped to keep Mark Waugh in the side who had made five ducks in a row.
Greensborough Growler @ #1161 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 8:06 pm
Gosh, you could knock me down with a feather!
Player One @ #1204 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 9:33 pm
And?
Greensborough Growler @ #1204 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 9:36 pm
I mean, who could have predicted that?
The Age Editorial
“What has been so shocking is the apparent hands-off role played by the government’s most senior ministers when it comes to critical decisions with real consequence. If you take the ministers’ responses at face value, major decisions are being left in the hands of departmental heads and senior staff with minimal to no oversight from elected officials. That is not how the system is meant to work”
________________
The missing ministers in our hour of need. Pakula,Neville and Mikakos.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ReHlM8KECp8
SMH
“Close friends of Jones said he had gone for a run on Thursday morning and had the heart attack at lunch-time in his hotel room at the Trident. Former Australian fast bowler Brett Lee attempted to revive him.”
I basically agree with Mundo’s narrative that federal Labor is looking a bit piss weak. The problem, as I see it is that too many of them are comfortable having their arses on parliamentary seats, even better if they have an opposition portfolio. There is no visceral hatred of the other lot. Labor used to have some great haters and that goes a long way. It seems to me they are more worried about their rivals within the party, than those sitting opposite. Of course this is nothing new. the unions voiced these concerns when it was proposed that they run endorsed candidates back in the 1890’s. History has shown that those concerns were merited.
Stand by your Dan…
https://www.youtube.com/embed/jTgMWQLx7HI
RIP Deano. A memorable cricketer.
Shellbell @ #1208 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 9:42 pm
Apologies for the earlier snark.
Had not caught up with the news.
Thank you for that tribute.
!
Bzzt – thanks for playing.
489 patriots write an open letter..
‘We are former public servants who have devoted our careers, and in many cases risked our lives, for the United States. We are generals, admirals, senior noncommissioned officers, ambassadors, and senior civilian national security leaders. We are Republicans, Democrats, and Independents. We love our country. Unfortunately, we also fear for it. The COVID-19 pandemic has proven America needs principled, wise, and responsible leadership. America needs a President who understands, as President Harry S. Truman said, that “the buck stops here.”
We the undersigned endorse Joe Biden to be the next President of the United States. He is the leader our nation needs.
https://www.nationalsecurityleaders4biden.com/
As a Victorian acquainted with its public service, my take on hotel quarantines.
Mid March the scale of the pandemic emerged, Vic public servants and other workers required to work from home from 23 March, cases doubling, first deaths.
Hotels for heroes, a first in Oz, for Covid infected workers set up.
27 March. Sudden announcement of hotel quarantine with first of 1000s international arrivals in next 36 hrs.
The public service was essentially required to go on a war footing with massive logistical challenges to establish from scratch a hotel quarantine system.
The ‘fog of war’ metaphor comes to mind. Of course mistakes were made. Having worked through several natural disasters in Victoria inc Black Saturday you essentially make it up as you go along. There was no playbook for a covid pandemic requiring the quaranteening of 1000s of people in hotel quarantine. As for infection control, back in March there was no to limited understanding of the importance of masks and infection control.
So why Victoria and no where else in Oz. Who knows? Even with months of experience the best medical minds have been unable to arrest the spread of Covid in hospitals and other health (aged care) settings. So not sure how a hastily established hotel quarantine system was expected to do better.
The search for a scapegoat is understandable. This Minister, that bureaucrat, this security guard, that infected person. Most Victorians have moved on and have a healthy scepticism for the blame game. Despite best efforts, shit happened, let’s as a community fix it. And I suspect there but for the grace of god went every other jurisdiction in Oz.
That’s why most Victorians accept the punitive restrictions and most still stand with Dan. And if you disagree, then go piss in the wind. Thank you.
Adrian Beaumont post on the US:
https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/09/24/us-election-minus-six-weeks/
sprocket_ says:
Thursday, September 24, 2020 at 10:21 pm
489 patriots write an open letter..
And yet the faux left refuse to rank Biden ahead of Trump. In their toying with the facts and their choices that are to be made, in their disdain and their moral cowardice, they are as disgraceful as Trump himself.
Rossmore
Thank you. Cheers!
At 1.43.50 Dean Jones plays my favourite shot of his to acclaim from Richie Benaud and (I think) Fred Trueman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wmv2jBAGaxk
Don’t think it’s Fred, Shellbell, but I can’t put my finger on who it is. Great shot though.
Jones did the unthinkable by switching from Collingwood to Carlton and the rest is history as they say.
clem attlee @ #1226 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 1:15 am
Get your facts straight dickehead.
The voice of Fred Trueman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dX-T1Mqt77U
Rossmore
Sounds like a cop out because the health system has well developed rules for managing a pandemic and the Victorian government has a clear line of command. The problem isn’t whether a mistake was made but no one is owning that decision with ministers and departmental heads claiming they were in the dark which just smalls like B.S
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-state-polls-can-tell-us-about-the-national-race/
Great psephing
Scratch that in fact he played for Carlton for most of his career and had a few games at Melbourne right at the end. i must have confused him with someone else. Stackpole I think.
While in NSW the pandemic plan was followed with a clear governance structure.
Under the Public Health Act the Minister for Health directed the Police Commissioner to place all returnees into either a health or quarantine facility.
https://legacy.legislation.nsw.gov.au/_emergency/Public%20Health%20(COVID-19%20Air%20Transportation%20Quarantine)%20Order%20(No%202)%202020_as%20amended_200807.pdf
It then became the responsibility of the police, who had been included in the state pandemic planning and could use appropriate force.
At one stage There was a report that Victorian police said “Yeah, not our job”
Tim Lane from Feb 2017
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/amp.smh.com.au/sport/cricket/was-dean-jones-the-most-baffling-axing-in-australian-cricket-history-20170211-guanmb.html
Doesn’t explain the rationale for Jones’ dropping and the emphasis on the Waugh brothers overlooks the fact that by the end of that particular series both Martyn and Langer were in the Australian team as well.
At that time, Border reigned supreme so he must’ve been instrumental in the decision.
The money quote from Rossmore @10.21pm:
So why Victoria and no where else in Oz. Who knows? Even with months of experience the best medical minds have been unable to arrest the spread of Covid in hospitals and other health (aged care) settings. So not sure how a hastily established hotel quarantine system was expected to do better.
Yep, freaking amazing how Labor in any positions of power were expected to get things 100% right but the Coalition governments in power in the states like NSW, who got the Ruby Princess treatment so wrong, or the federal government, who still won’t even admit their culpability for Aged Care deaths in Private institutions, are given a hospital pass, to use an appropriate metaphor. Most especially by the media, who they are just too cosy with.
clem attlee whines that there aren’t any haters in the Labor Party anymore, well maybe they should focus on the media instead. Where are the ‘haters’ of the federal government in the media? Michael Pascoe and Paul Bongiorno are some of the best journalists going around and that’s simply because they provide the proper scrutiny of this government of crooks and spinning spivs.
Kakuru @ #1196 Thursday, September 24th, 2020 – 9:08 pm
Which as I recall are slightly better odds than for Rudd’s return?
Blitzortung.org is the “crowd science” project behind the real-time LightningMaps.org website.
How the ABC located the tree which started the Gospers Mountain bushfire and the Sydney ‘mega-blaze’
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-08-02/how-we-found-tree-which-sparked-the-sydney-mega-blaze-bushfire/12510960
Man dies after eating bag of licorice every day for a few weeks
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/sep/24/man-licorice-dies-massachusetts
From The Economist
Good morning Dawn Patrollers
David Crowe reports that customers will be promised faster access to loans under simpler rules that aim to free up credit and lift the economy by ending confusion over lending obligations.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/simpler-lending-rules-for-home-loans-and-credit-to-free-up-the-economy-20200924-p55yz9.html
Crowe explains how a court case over steak and red wine is at the heart of Josh Frydenberg’s changes to the way customers get a bank loan.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-steak-and-wine-court-case-behind-new-bank-lending-rules-20200924-p55yzi.html
Business mouthpieces are saying that the budget needs to get people working again with tax reform and open borders. Well they would say that, wouldn’t they?
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/tax-reform-and-open-borders-the-budget-needs-to-get-people-working-again-20200924-p55yx2.html
Katina Curtis and David Crowe tell us that a new investigation has been launched into a federal land deal that handed $32.8 million to billionaire political donors, after the officials who made the purchase cleared themselves of any wrongdoing last year. There’s a bit of a smell hanging around this.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/they-reviewed-themselves-new-investigation-into-33-million-land-deal-20200924-p55yyu.html
According to David Crowe, the Sydney airport land deal makes ministers look like dunderheads and officials look like fools. He concludes that this government proves a federal integrity commission is needed more than ever.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/sydney-airport-land-deal-makes-ministers-look-like-dunderheads-and-officials-look-like-fools-20200924-p55yy5.html
The SMH editorial says that the airport land deal raises doubts on federal infrastructure spending. It also calls for the establishment of a decent federal ICAC.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/airport-land-deal-raises-doubts-on-federal-infrastructure-spending-20200924-p55yxz.html
New insolvency laws that will give business owners time to restructure and stave off collapse are likely to save 2000 small businesses, experts in the field believe.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/time-to-apply-cpr-bankruptcy-changes-to-save-2000-businesses-20200924-p55yup.html
Phil Coorey writes about Frydenberg saying the federal budget will remain in deficit for the foreseeable future and the government will not focus on a return to surplus and stabilising debt until the unemployment rate is “comfortably” below 6 per cent.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/smaller-economy-will-prolong-deficits-frydenberg-20200923-p55yl8
Michelle Grattan wonders if Morrison can use his ‘bully pulpit’ to inspire the confidence vital for economic recovery.
https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-can-morrison-use-his-bully-pulpit-to-inspire-the-confidence-vital-for-economic-recovery-146871
Daniel Andrews will be the final person to take the stand at the state’s hotel quarantine inquiry on Friday after Health Minister Jenny Mikakos became the third minister this week to deny responsibility for key elements of the botched program.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/premier-set-to-take-the-stand-as-health-minister-jenny-mikakos-denies-responsibility-20200924-p55yzm.html
According to The Guardian, the Victorian government could be indemnified against legal action relating to failures in the hotel quarantine program and may be able to pursue a security company for costs incurred in scrapping the scheme.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/sep/25/victoria-may-be-able-to-pursue-security-company-for-cost-of-hotel-quarantine-failures
Shane Wright and Jennifer Duke report that the number of Australians employed in manufacturing jobs has collapsed to its lowest level on record as economists urge the Morrison government to extend support programs like the welfare coronavirus supplement to help the growing army of unemployed.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/manufacturing-jobs-collapse-as-economists-back-more-jobseeker-support-20200924-p55yuq.html
Michael Pascoe tells us hoe the RBA has urged the government to borrow big today in order to save a mint later.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/news-federal-budget/2020/09/25/michael-pascoe-rba-urges-government-to-borrow-big-today-in-order-to-save-a-mint-later/
A day of financial reckoning has arrived for 1.6 million Australians as JobSeeker rates are slashed, and many risk being penalised further due to confusing new rules which people are struggling to decipher writes Josh Butler who says that Australia’s jobless are on the abyss.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2020/09/25/jobseeker-changes-begin/
In the wake of the huge fine levied on Westpac, Sarah Danckert tells us how AUSTRAC became the toughest cop on the beat.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/hardening-up-how-austrac-became-the-toughest-cop-on-the-beat-20200924-p55yw8.html
Dana McCauley explains how the Australian Medical Association and the Australian Nursing and Midwifery Federation have written to Scott Morrison, warning the government’s “reactive” approach would not prevent another Covid-19 aged care disaster.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/pm-warned-reactive-approach-leaving-aged-care-vulnerable-20200924-p55yty.html
The AWU’s Daniel Walton says that Labor’s failure to back workers on gas is not just morally indefensible, it’s strategically moronic, he says.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/labor-s-failure-to-back-workers-on-gas-is-not-just-morally-indefensible-it-s-strategically-moronic-20200924-p55ywc.html
In the meantime, Mark Dreyfus has branded his fellow shadow cabinet member Joel Fitzgibbon “the idiot for Hunter” in a heated caucus meeting that has exposed a growing divide within the ALP over its energy policy.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/dreyfus-labels-frontbench-colleague-idiot-for-hunter-in-heated-energy-debate-20200924-p55ywq.html
The Coalition will continue to devote taxpayer dollars to deny the science until they are voted out, or until climate change finally wins, writes Michelle Pini.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/angus-taylors-coal-and-gas-roadmap-to-nowhere,14341
Brandon Jack has some words of advice for the students, parents and educators at the Shore School.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/shore-challenges-won-t-earn-you-entry-to-adult-world-20200924-p55yz0.html
Isabelle Lane reports that Australia Post has been accused of letting down small businesses as the coronavirus pandemic-induced online shopping boom reaches new heights.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/consumer/2020/09/25/australia-post-online-shopping/
Koalagate continues.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nationals-mp-at-centre-of-fresh-koala-policy-controversy-20200924-p55yw4.html
Phil Coorey says that the Morrison government is cleaning up Tony Abbott’s energy and NBN mess while borrowing budget ideas from Paul Keating.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/a-tale-of-two-legacies-looms-large-as-ex-pms-surface-20200921-p55xls
The Australian Government has finally admitted that the nation is in desperate need of a broadband overhaul with a new plan announced, writes Paul Budde. He points out that a key question will be how access to the fibre optic service will be made affordable for residential users.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/government-announces-reversal-of-broadband-fibre-policies,14340
The $3.5 billion investment in the NBN is not an upgrade, explains the AIMN’s Laurie Patton.
https://theaimn.com/the-3-5-billion-investment-in-the-nbn-is-not-an-upgrade/
Google shouldn’t subsidise journalism, but the government could, urges Richard Holden.
https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-google-shouldnt-subsidise-journalism-but-the-government-could-146746
Testamentary trusts are one of the last truly outrageous means of avoiding tax, explains taxation professor Dale Boccabella.
https://theconversation.com/testamentary-trusts-are-one-of-the-last-truly-outrageous-means-of-avoiding-tax-142035
As a second wave of COVID looms in the UK, Australia is watching closely, writes Ben Wellings.
https://theconversation.com/as-a-second-wave-of-covid-looms-in-the-uk-australia-is-watching-closely-146744
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard writes that Europe’s economy is in fundamental crisis and is in a slow death spiral.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/slow-death-spiral-europe-could-be-left-behind-as-the-us-economy-finds-its-feet-20200924-p55yms.html
Britain has launched a “radical intervention” to head off a looming surge in unemployment, hoping to sandbag the labour market while still allowing the economy to “undergo a more permanent adjustment”.
https://www.afr.com/world/europe/britain-kicks-off-radical-intervention-in-jobs-market-20200925-p55z24
Waleed Aly posits that the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg means Donald Trump will win November’s US election. He provides a very interesting contrast between the judicial systems in the US and here.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/winning-isn-t-everything-how-you-win-matters-too-20200924-p55ysv.html
James Massola writes that Malaysian leadership on the brink of a new crisis.
https://www.theage.com.au/world/asia/malaysian-leadership-on-the-brink-of-a-new-crisis-20200924-p55yxm.html
Mourners for Ginsburg have given Trump a hostile reception.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/crowd-boos-as-trump-pays-his-respects-ruth-bader-ginsburg-20200925-p55z27.html
Congressional leaders from both parties have swiftly pushed back after Donald Trump declined to commit to a peaceful transfer of power if he loses the election. Even Mitch McConnell!
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/mcconnell-disputes-trump-vows-peaceful-power-transfer-20200925-p55z2a.html
Defeating Trump is too important to leave to the Biden campaign. People at the grass roots can help, write Peter Hogness and Emily Lee.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/24/defeating-trump-is-too-important-to-leave-to-the-biden-campaign-we-can-help
Trump’s UN speech was a bizarre feat of gaslighting and fantasy says Michael H Fuchs.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/sep/24/trumps-un-speech-was-a-bizarre-feat-of-gaslighting-and-fantasy
Meanwhile, Mary Trump, the niece of Donald Trump, has sued the US President, accusing him and other family members of cheating her out of tens of millions of dollars from an inheritance.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/donald-trump-s-niece-mary-sues-him-and-family-for-fraud-20200925-p55z26.html
Cartoon Corner
David Pope
Cathy Wilcox
David Rowe
Jim Pavlidis
Matt Golding
Mark David
Peter Broelman
Andrew Dyson
Simon Letch
Johannes Leak
Mark Knight
From the US
An interesting comparison.
Stand the witness list of the Ruby Princess Inquiry up against the witnesses that have appeared at the Victorian Hotel Quarantine Inquiry.
Not one NSW State or Federal MP, Minister or NSW Premier appeared at the Ruby Princess Inquiry.
lizzie @ #1236 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 7:35 am
And so they got to wash their hands of responsibility. It’s the Coalition way, they’ve perfected the art.
Thanks BK. Today’s Rowe as always is so good!
C@tmomma
“The money quote from Rossmore @10.21pm:
So why Victoria and no where else in Oz. Who knows? Even with months of experience the best medical minds have been unable to arrest the spread of Covid in hospitals and other health (aged care) settings. So not sure how a hastily established hotel quarantine system was expected to do better.”
Not a money quote but a declaration that Victorian government responsibility is unpalatable so there must be some unknown unknown. If the report follows the evidence which reveals prolonged (several months) confusion and mismanagement, then Justice Coate won’t be saying “Who knows?”.
Could Mark David be opposition leader?
mundo
Who?
zoomster @ #1240 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 7:57 am
Mark David.
Pay attention Zoomer.
Thanks BK for the Dawn Patrol.
Yesterday – somebody posted photos of Mr. Whatsisname – prolly designed to frighten the horses and small children…. in retaliation … the following.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/24/science/tarantulas-blue-colors.html
Apparently many Victorians are immune to the bullshit, lies, mis and disinformation current in the political arena. However as one travels North – or “up” as the dimwits say – this immunity fades so that when reaches the
one would expect that conspiracy theories would hold sway for many, maybe most citizens.
True of false – I dunno. What I do know is that I need to water my pot plants.
Therefore – toodles mes amis. 👋 ☕
That AWU chappie must have had Tony Abbott as his chemistry teacher.
I wish Plibersek had turned Hamish whatsisnames questioning back on him say isn’t Labor allowed to be a broad church Hamish?
Will you be asking the government about the divisions in their ranks over energy policy soon Hamish?
Gloves off Tanya, time to get narky.
Seriously narky.
poroti @ #1244 Friday, September 25th, 2020 – 8:15 am
At last! Labor’s gonna fight!
Itself.
Brilliant.
At least they know they’re beatable.
So there’s that.
Ohio could be a Rust Belt state coming back to the Democrats. New A+ Foxnews poll has:
Biden 50
Dotard 45
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Fox_September-20-23-2020_Complete_Ohio_Topline_September-24-Release.pdf
With Ruby Princess the processes and governance were in place and it came down to a single error by one very senior doctor. The good thing is that he is still in place as he has otherwise had an exemplary career.
With the Victorian enquiry the main message so far is that there appears to have been no governance. I haven’t looked at the Victorian pandemic plan but The commandeering of accommodation is a fairly basic emergency action and the ability of the Minister of Health to direct quarantine is certainly in the Victorian public health act
No point getting bitter with Zoomster because she didn’t get your little joke, Mundo.
It was fairly trite after all.