There haven’t been any new polls this week, so the headline to this post isn’t news as such – the point is that a new thread is needed, and this is it. Developments worth noting:
• We do have one new poll, but it was privately conducted and so doesn’t count as canonical so far as BludgerTrack is concerned. The poll in question was conducted by uComms/ReachTEL for Greenpeace last Wednesday from a sample of 2134, and has primary votes of Coalition 38.8%, Labor 36.7%, Greens 9.7% and One Nation 6.1%. A 53-47 two-party split is reported based on respondent-allocated preferences, but it would actually have been around 51.5-48.5 based on preferences from 2016. The poll also features attitudinal questions on carbon emissions and government priorities, which you can read all about here.
• The Greens have landed a high-profile candidate in Julian Burnside, human rights lawyer and refugee advocate, to run against Josh Frydenberg in the normally blue-ribbon Melbourne seat of Kooyong. This further complicates a contest that already featured independent hopeful Oliver Yates, former Liberal Party member and chief executive of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation.
• The Liberal preselection to choose a successor to Julie Bishop in Curtin will be determined by a vote of 60 delegates on Sunday. Initial reports suggested the front-runners were Celia Hammond, former vice-chancellor of Notre Dame University, and Erin Watson-Lynn, director of Asialink Diplomacy at the University of Melbourne, which some interpreted as a proxy battle between bitter rivals Mathias Cormann and Julie Bishop. However, both have hit heavy weather over the past week, with concerns raised over Hammond’s social conservatism and Watson-Lynn’s past tweets critical of the Liberal Party. Andrew Tillett of the Financial Review reports that some within the party believe a third nominee, Aurizon manager Anna Dartnell, could skate through the middle.
• Tom Richardson of InDaily reports moderate faction efforts to install a male candidate – James Stevens, chief-of-staff to Premier Steve Marshall – in Christopher Pyne’s seat of Sturt are prompting a slew of conservative-aligned women to nominate against him. These include Deepa Mathew, a manager at the Commonwealth Bank and state candidate for Enfield last year; Joanna Andrew, a partner with law firm Mellor Olsson; and Jocelyn Sutcliffe, a lawyer with Tindall Gask Bentley. However, Stevens remains the “overwhelming favourite”.
Replacement of Helen McLeod by Julian Burnside:
https://www.theage.com.au/national/cbd-melbourne-burnside-s-parachute-caught-on-mcleod-20190306-p5123z.html
@Player One
Maybe the women in the greens can make a female only club to make it even…
Barney:
Not that I’ve seen.
Lol @Peg
Making it a positive
“Sources” we heard about them before….
The last US Presidential candidate to promise to only serve one term was Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876. I suspect that any candidate who made such a pledge today would be laughed off the stage.
Unlike Emma Husar who was involuntarily dumped by Labor.
Confessions @ #2289 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 2:14 pm
Sad. Maybe he needs to run for a House of Representatives seat instead and get some experience and maturity?
Thanks Peggy.
So that’s a no.
— Anyway aren’t you in Burnside? —
Damn your eyes! My new rule – never correct the English of an English teacher. They are like elephants.
I was thinking about you yesterday while struggling to assist my 10yo with her English homework.
Oh dear @Peg bringing up the distractions.
Emma was dumbed because of fake news Peg, fake news by Buzzfeed.
Pegasus @ #2306 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 2:44 pm
Emma Husar wasn’t “dumped” – she resigned.
I hate, hate this fighting today. It turns me right off voting at all.
Sorry!
Peggy should be Peg.
Bloody autocorrect!
Peg is becoming a true Liberal.
Blame everyone else and then distract everyone.
Can I suggest that from 8.30pm tonight for 4 hours we have a Burnside free period so we can concentrate on expected new polling?
C@t:
Yes I think he needs a bit more experience. And someone needs to help him with his social media use. At present he has a tendency towards over-sharing which makes him look juvenile.
Liberals can’t use their own money so they steal our tax money by proping up marginal seats with grants paid by us the tax payer:
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/coalition-accused-of-pork-barrelling-grants-in-marginal-seats-20190307-p512fy.html
@JulianBurnside has been poorly advised, he would have walked into the Senate for Victoria as an independent with his name recognition and Senate voting reforms
Yeah, nah.
It’s not a DD. With Hinch contesting the space available for high name recognition independent candidates is full. And Hinch will need a lot to go his way to get the last spot (even with the Coalition doing their best to help him).
At best Burnside running as an independent Senate candidate would have cannibalised a couple of percent from the Greens PV and so increased the chances of Labor getting the third left Senate spot slightly.
https://www.hrlc.org.au/news/2019/3/9/morrison-government-missing-in-action-at-un-on-international-womens-day
The Indy-voices are the immediate competitive threat to the Gs. They articulate views on climate change and human rights that echo G lines, but because they are not G-branded, they’re unable to attract Lib-positive support. This says a lot about the G brand. It also suggests that the more success the Indies have, the less political purchase the Gs will have. They will have to share the B-o-P in the various legislatures with Indies and will become even less relevant than they now are.
No wonder the Gs are hoping to run hard against Yates in Kooyong.
They lost a lot of ground in Wentworth. They have no profile in Warringah. They have slumped in SA. Their NSW State campaigns are in dire trouble. They have no capacity to take seats away from Labor in a Change-of-Government election.
Desperate times for them.
Confessions @ #2496 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 1:14 pm
Shades of Lucian?
Was the Burnside decision a Captains pick – or was the parachute done by the usual party process ?
“Unlike Emma Husar who was involuntarily dumped by Labor.”
Nice historical rewrite. Husar announced she wasn’t recontesting. Labor then went through the process of identifying a replacement candidate, only for Emma to indicate that she’d changed her mind at the heal of the hunt. I’m not disputing that the Husar saga want messy, but it serves to get one’s facts right. Least you damage one’s own argument in the process.
Liberal roasted on air backflip:
https://10daily.com.au/news/politics/a190310njc/liberal-minister-roasted-for-embarrassing-on-air-backflip-20190310
Simon² Katich® says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 2:45 pm
😆
One of the hardest things when teaching/tutoring is remembering what they have been taught .
How you would answer it and what the answer is are often two very different things. 🙂
lizzie:
Who is fighting??
Davidwh says:
Sunday, March 10, 2019 at 2:49 pm
Can I suggest that from 8.30pm tonight for 4 hours we have a Burnside free period so we can concentrate on expected new polling?
———————————————————————————-
Like Brexit can we have a Burnside thread????
I hate being verballed and my views being misrepresented, including those who believe they are mind readers..
I do not resile from occasionally pushing back in a comparatively civil manner.
I don’t indulge in pathetic name-calling, but then, it seems to be okay for me to be called an “idiot”, etc without anyone objecting.
Outrage is so selectively applied.
“I hate being verballed and my views being misrepresented, including those who believe they are mind readers..
I do not resile from occasionally pushing back in a comparatively civil manner.
I don’t indulge in pathetic name-calling, but then, it seems to be okay for me to be called an “idiot”, etc without anyone objecting.
Outrage is so selectively applied.”
Insight is something other people do. Am I right Peg?
@Peg
And yet you included Emma Husar because？why bring up something which has nothing to do with a member or being a member of a club.
As for living wage – I disagreed thatglobalisation, automation, offshoring and digitalisation (was that it) are the reason workers in the western world are being forced to work poverty wages.
Briefly,
In the past Workers have been underpaid without these factors.
In the past Workers have been underpaid and with terrible conditions with v similar factors and the pay and conditions rectified without disrupting the economy or progress.
Failure to pay a living wage is mostly a result of power imbalance. Greed and corruption
“And yet you included Emma Husar because？why bring up something which has nothing to do with a member or being a member of a club.”
Not to mention getting the basic facts completely wrong …
dave @ #2322 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 11:54 am
You can listen to RDN explain how it all came about. It sounds like Burnside approached the Greens, even though they already had a preselected candidate for Kooyong.
https://www.3aw.com.au/why-julian-burnside-joined-the-greens/
Peg just because someone doesn’t comment does not mean they agree. Some people just don’t want to get involved in disputes that become personal and leave it up to William to moderate.
I for one completely support the Greens in assuming that they don’t need to vet their candidates ruthlessly, get professional about such matters even if the job is being done by volunteers, and demanding their political opponents to stop being so nasty to their candidates who really are beyond reproach simply by virtue of joining the Greens.
I can’t see any downside for Labor if the Greens hold onto such delusions.
AE
Have you heard if EH will be running as an independent?
Burnside!
https://goo.gl/images/D6s7LU
“Have you heard if EH will be running as an independent?”
No. Shall I volunteer your services, and those of Rex, if she does?
Davidwh @ #2335 Sunday, March 10th, 2019 – 3:00 pm
Hear! Hear! The voice of cool wisdom. Would that the hotheads listened to his sage advice.
Like a Pavlovian response, Labor partisans can’t help themselves, obsessed with the Greens more than anything else. Jabba, jabba, jabba, lets gang up on them…
Must be a problem having such a uncontrollable response to such an everyday word and colour of the natural world, or perhaps to the idea of a sustainable human culture on a living planet.
Nevertheless the fossil parties are having to bring forward some policies to address the public concern about climate change and the degradation of the environment, as much as some in there might be retching at acknowledging the problems we face. This election is already more about climate change and environment than either of the majors entertained in their plans it seems.
In terms of the Kooyong electorate, I wouldn’t be surprised to find that every single MP for that electorate has been a member of one of Melbourne’s gentleman’s club since federation.
Julian could be just the break they want and the parliament needs now
There are many capable and great other Greens candidates as well you could try and smear. No doubt some will. The Greens are more diverse and representative in backgrounds overall as candidates than either Labor or LNP. These latter where there’s professional politicians and lobbyists galore.
Still amazed that some really seem to think that the relative abundance of their comments here means anything in the real world.
AE
I hope she does.
As I always do, I will be campaigning for the Greens candidate in my electorate of Chisholm.
Burnside got burrrnnned simple as that….
It is getting very hard to post with my 4s. Lag and aging eyes and big thumbs.
New phone suggestions? Or a tablet linked to my trusty and robust and small and… (I love my phone) iPhone.
The irony. If I had a dollar for every time this same line has been and continues to be run against me..
Simon² Katich®
Damned right. Decades of reducing organised Labor’s options has made negotiations more like…………………….
Labor: We want a pay rise.
Bosses: Feck Off. (note to selves “Extra $300,000 bonus this year for sacking some more workers and reducing pay and conditions”)
.
Like a Pavlovian response, Labor partisans can’t help themselves, obsessed with the Greens more than anything else.
I dare you to add up the number of contributions by yourself, Pegasus, Rex Douglas and nath and compare them to the Labor supporters’ responses.
Fess – Ta
S2K,
I went the tablet plus old school style super cheap mobile route.
Works great for me. 🙂