Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Newspoll caps a weekend of status quo by-election results with a status quo poll result.

I’d have thought Newspoll might have had the week off, but The Australian reports that the latest instalment has Labor maintaining its 51-49 lead, with the Coalition up a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 36%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation steady on 7%. On personal ratings, Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval to 48%, Bill Shoten is steady on 32% and up one to 57%, and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged at 48-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1704.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,024 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

  1. Sally Neighbour
    ‏Verified account @neighbour_s
    1m1 minute ago

    Foreign minister @JulieBishopMP would not be interviewed for ‘Champagne with Dictators’ on #4Corners

  2. Steve777 – You’re probably right. But I can’t help thinking that there is a lot still be be uncovered about this scam. Further, Malcolm put himself IN THE ROOM when the money was thrown at the foundation. That means he won’t be able to duck and weave when Labor asks questions about it in QT.

  3. Kristina Keneally finishes a long day of Senate hearings, and a long thread on twitter with this outrageous finding..

    ‘The Govt gave 6 years of funding – $444m – in one hit to the GBRF on 30 June 2018 without a final agreement with all KPIs in place. The $ is now sitting in term deposits in different banks – several of whom are members of the GBRF Chairman’s Panel.’

    ‘This an extraordinary situation – a private charity financially supported by mining firms, big banks and the BCA has been handed nearly half-a-billion dollars of taxpayer money in a private meeting by the Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull.’

  4. KayJay: I was suddenly struck by your comment earlier that you prefer bed these days. In a belated response (my moniker says much) I am sending you my bestest encouraging, though diluted-by-distance thoughts, that you soon feel vertical again. I enjoy your presence. 🙂 Many elephant stamps!!

  5. Good evening all,

    If some within the government think ” it’s time ” for Turnbull to go then the GBR decision would be a prime opportunity for a drop or two to the MSM to damage Turnbull and weaken his position.

    Cheers.

  6. Late Riser:

    It’s just me guessing, but I can’t think of who else in the partyroom would have the numbers if the unlikely happened and Abbott was elected leader.

  7. Back to that $443,800,000.00 you just gave me. One of the first things I would do is increase my benefits package commensurate with my increased responsibilities.

    But seriously how, as a small organization, do you even spend that much money in 6 years? It’s gonna be sloppy. Follow the money. Then nail the bastards who stole it.

    EDIT: comma in wrong place

  8. Zoidlord @ #498 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 8:56 pm

    Sally Neighbour
    ‏Verified account @neighbour_s
    1m1 minute ago

    Foreign minister @JulieBishopMP would not be interviewed for ‘Champagne with Dictators’ on #4Corners

    And I know what Jewellery Bishop would be saying from pursed lips if that had been a Labor FM. She’d probably think of something more catty, but ‘running away from scrutiny’ would be the gist of it. And, ‘what have they got to hide?’ 🙂

    This government is starting to get the last days of the Roman Empire feel about it.

  9. Turnbull by now must be wishing he was sipping a martini at a Caymans beachfront bar. But he’s still confronting:

    Ruddock’s ‘inquiry’ into religious protections
    Report of the banking RC
    GST carve up among the states

    and of course, the forthcoming election.

    In his own words “What a time to be alive!”

  10. Late Riser @ #506 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 9:06 pm

    KayJay: I was suddenly struck by your comment earlier that you prefer bed these days. In a belated response (my moniker says much) I am sending you my bestest encouraging, though diluted-by-distance thoughts, that you soon feel vertical again. I enjoy your presence. 🙂 Many elephant stamps!!

    Thank you for your good wishes.
    I am reasonably well although the weather has diminished my exercise program which consists mostly of lawn mowing.
    I still manage a kilometre or so about the garden. It has taken me nearly 80 years to indulge myself with the pleasures of being a layabout.
    And it’s goodnight from him.

  11. “This government is starting to get the last days of the Roman Empire feel about it.”

    For that comparison to be valid there would have to some actual past glories to remember.

    The government has been more F-Troop from the get go.

  12. ‘This an extraordinary situation – a private charity financially supported by mining firms, big banks and the BCA has been handed nearly half-a-billion dollars of taxpayer money in a private meeting by the Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull.’

    As others have said it does look as though the PM was currying favour with his corporate mates who are members of the so-called chairman’s panel. If that’s true then he really is a goose.

  13. Confessions: I’m a neophyte. I don’t know numbers. I follow my heart in these things. For me Dutton is simply the most frightening thing in our politics today. Power exudes from his every pore. He is in thrall to it. PM Dutton is possible and terrible.

  14. As others have said it does look as though the PM was currying favour with his corporate mates who are members of the so-called chairman’s panel. If that’s true then he really is a goose.

    And I think that goose is cooked.

  15. Andrew-Earlwood,
    I was thinking of the very last days only. Malcolm fiddling about with the NEG, while the planet burned, sort of thing. 🙂

  16. Zoidlord @ #488 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 8:34 pm

    Has the AFP finally had enough of being Yes man of the Liberal/Mafia/Media/Big Corporations ?

    After last weekend they’ve figured out that Labor are probably going to win the next federal election, so it’s time to drag their findings against certain Coalition MPs out of the bottom drawer.

  17. C@tmomma @ #517 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 9:25 pm

    So, what should Malcolm Turnbull’s epitaph be?

    Australia’s biggest kleptocrat Prime Minister?

    The first word that springs to mind is “F-F-Fool”, followed by selfish, shallow, vain, cheap, pompous, etc. But in the same way the US ‘celebrates’ Benedict Arnold, or even the UK remembers ‘Guy Fawkes’, I’d just go with “Malcolm Turnbull”.

  18. “Back to that $443,800,000.00 you just gave me. One of the first things I would do is increase my benefits package commensurate with my increased responsibilities.”

    I was pondering how the tax payer could get that money back.

    I suggest the following bill:

    The “Fuck You Tory Grasping Bastards Appropriation Bill, 2019” (Cth) – a bill to level the playing field. The effect of the bill would be to tax corporations who are members of the GBRF a flat once off tax equivalent to 10% of gross revenues for the 2019FY.

  19. booleanbach
    If the grid is labelled 1-25 in a square
    14, 2, 17, 9, 24, 21, 6, 18, 10, 25, 22, 7, 19, 16, 1, 4, 12, 15, 3, 11, 23, 8, 20, 5, 13

  20. “With any luck Dutton will lose his seat at the election.”

    How juicy would it be for Dutton to roll Turnbull, become PM, and then lose his seat as part of a Liberal defeat?? 🙂 Are the doGs above that good to us?? 🙂

  21. It’s not just the AFP leadership that are anticipating new political masters after the next election.

    Various L/NP appointments to government authorities will be feeling nervous about a change of government. The new head of Treasury has already been told he’ll likely get the chop.

  22. How juicy would it be for Dutton to roll Turnbull, become PM, and then lose his seat as part of a Liberal defeat?? Are the doGs above that good to us??

    I love it.

  23. Woohoooo!! Yay Labor!

    Watched yesterday’s Insiders (iview), today

    All I can say is that I couldn’t concentrate on what Pinocchio Pyne had to say because I had access to a 3G/or is that4G telly?, and all I could see was (oh, the horror) the extreme wrinkles in his neck; like Dorian had been garrotted.

    Dead man walking.

    Ah, but, seriously, wouldn’t you like to light a fire under Tanya the Plib. C’mon, girl; get a bit of oomph.

    And isn’t it so nice to see the CPG get a bit of comeuppance! Dickheads/Twats (just for you, William).

    Oh, and the update

    Ginnie’s doing fine, the old dowager, but has decided my bedroom is the place to pee. Uggghhh.

    On the Ice front, 3 months, and going steady (X-fingers) without a drop. Yippeee.

  24. I’m off now, but one more for c@t re MT epitaphs: “Who?”
    (And if you say the initials MT you hear it all over again.)

  25. Who in their right mind would ever vote for Dutton?

    Seriously.

    I would really love to see Dutton topple Turnbull, then lose in a landslide – cos, that’s what would happen.

    Australians are a lot of things, but they’re not that stoopid.

  26. but they’re not that stoopid.

    I wish I shared your confidence, but Longman hasn’t completely made me forget that Abbott and Trumble have both won elections.

    As for Trumble epitaths I’d like to really push the beyond the bounds of reasonable to hope he shares the same epitath as any other pauper’s grave.

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