The latest poll from Ipsos, the week’s only fresh result, has caused the BludgerTrack poll aggregate to take a 0.6% turn in Labor’s favour. About half of this is down to the poll recording reasonably strong primary vote numbers for Labor, but the other half is down to Labor’s particularly good result on respondent-allocated preferences. This helps BludgerTrack determine the wild card in the electoral deck, namely the flow of One Nation preferences. Since data of this kind is only provided by Ipsos and ReachTEL, results have a fairly substantial impact when they do come along, which might be thought a shortcoming of the model. In any case, the BludgerTrack seat projection now has Labor up one apiece in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. Ipsos also produced leadership ratings which, after adjustment for Ipsos’s pronounced peculiarities on this score (i.e. how favourable they tend to be for both leaders, but especially for Turnbull), landed right on trend and hence made next to no difference to the existing result.
As always, full results from the link below. And while you’re here, take note of the dedicated post on the Super Saturday by-elections below, and my bi-monthly grovel for money in the post above. Thank you!
Finally, one more polling nugget for good measure: four days ago, GhostWhoVotes related that ReachTEL conducted a poll of the Bundaberg-based seat of Hinkler, which Labor hasn’t held since Paul Keating was Prime Minister, back on May 17. This had the Liberal National Party leading 54-46, down from 58.4-41.6 at the election, from primary votes of LNP 40.8%, Labor 27.3%, One Nation 14.3% and Greens 4.2%. For whom this poll was conducted and why, I can only speculate. Perhaps the Ghost can fill us in in comments, if he or she is about.
Ah haa, so that’s where it all went!
Despite the ubiquitous “Got Milk?” ads, milks sales have been falling for decades. The low-fat craze only made things worse—-all that unused fat had to go somewhere, said the documentary Fed Up narrated by Katie Couric, and it ended up in the dairy industry’s cheese operations.
https://www.opednews.com/articles/Please-Eat-Our-Cheese-Plea-by-Martha-Rosenberg-Animals_Cheese_Dairy_Food-180630-698.html
Well wwp pvo didn’t seem to mind when he was on the program. He sort of had a reverse conscience journey, he found it in leaving sky news and gg lost it in staying in the labor party.
And in regards the Murdoch FOX Network in Australia, it is such a success that Murdoch has drastically written down its value on the Balance Sheet
Mind you the write down gives Murdoch a tax holiday for the next number of years
WWP:
True. Besides, if SHY decides to sue it could be a moot point regardless.
Rex Douglas @ #1286 Sunday, July 1st, 2018 – 7:17 pm
Much more reasonable than you. 🙂
Pegasus’ online id is a stallion. She seems to have missed the group photo.
It looks to me as if L might be suspended but I would have thought that there might have been higher levels of punishment. Happy to be enlightened.
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Senate/Powers_practice_n_procedures/aso/so203
S777
That hairy thing with horns behind ESJ and next to Rex is the Greens Socialist Party notion of a horse: a hoarse that generates bullshit.
“Well wwp pvo didn’t seem to mind when he was on the program. ”
I don’t know, I’ve always written him off as a bit of idiot who sprouts LNP talking points no matter how stupid they are, with rare ‘pox on both your houses’ type comments for ‘balance’. Maybe I was always too harsh, maybe he was constrained by the evil that is Murdoch’s fox, the blight on democracy that it is. Maybe I was on the button and he found redemption one long cold dark night of the soul.
Hey ESJ, if you are still about, you’d love ‘Hysteria’ by Crooked Media, strikes me as right up your alley.
Confessions says:
What ‘angle’ are they taking to appeal to voters ? Tax, boats, ‘bludging’ welfare recipients, immigrants ‘Dey took er jerbs!” ?
Steve777 @ #1305 Sunday, July 1st, 2018 – 5:33 pm
No it’s a unicorn, but apparently llamas are the new unicorn, so Pegasus isn’t left out from GG’s group photo.
https://www.theguardian.com/fashion/shortcuts/2017/nov/05/why-llamas-are-the-new-unicorns-just-dont-mention-the-spitting
“It looks to me as if L might be suspended but I would have thought that there might have been higher levels of punishment. ”
With this government isn’t he more likely to be given a knighthood and promoted into the Ministry?
poroti:
The candidate being spruiked is Peter Georgiou a current Senator. The issues listed are:
– Fair share of GST
– Kalgoorlie MRI
– Moora College
– More gas royalties
Confessions
Llamas do have a great trick though. This guy was just asking for a demo 🙂
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vIh99vGbhMQ
The calm before Newspoll sets in!
Confessions
Thanks. The list of issues seems pretty reasonable. Of course how they propose to fix them might be another matter 🙂
“The calm before Newspoll sets in!”
Go on ESJ listen to the first 10 minutes of Hysteria podcast episode one, you’ll love it.
”
jenauthor says:
Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 7:18 pm
Ven,
That could be put another way — the more ALP says it will save the ABC, the more the ABC cosies up to their captors … I call it Stockholm Syndrome
”
Jenauthor
Po-ta-to Po-t-a-to
WeWantPaul @ #1313 Sunday, July 1st, 2018 – 7:42 pm
Not really! He’s a bloke and knighthoods and cabinet promotions comes as part of his political entitlements.
Confessions says:
Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 7:19 pm
Greensborough Growler @ #1280 Sunday, July 1st, 2018 – 5:14 pm
I see the Labor haters on this blog got together for a group photo.
” rel=”nofollow”>
I reckon ESJ is the feather duster at the front
”
And Rex?
ESJ after you’ve loved Hysteria check out a bit of Lovett or Leave It, a bit more centrist when compared to Hysteria, but I’ve often thought of you as an older Jon Lovett type.
poroti:
They obviously don’t think he’ll be re-elected if they’re spruiking him when there’s not even an election in the midst.
Confessions
Doing it just before the end of the financial year I wonder if there is some tax angle to it ?
When it comes to the merch ESJ I’m pretty sure you’d be a ‘straight shooter – respected on both sides’ type character?
poroti:
Could be. I hadn’t thought of that.
Ok wwp I’ll give it a listen and let u know my take on it.
”
WeWantPaul says:
Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 7:36 pm
“Well wwp pvo didn’t seem to mind when he was on the program. ”
I don’t know, I’ve always written him off as a bit of idiot who sprouts LNP talking points no matter how stupid they are, with rare ‘pox on both your houses’ type comments for ‘balance’.
”
WW
Like Rex
“Like Rex”
Perhaps not as enlightened as Rex, but in that fine mould.
”
WeWantPaul says:
Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 7:42 pm
“It looks to me as if L might be suspended but I would have thought that there might have been higher levels of punishment. ”
With this government isn’t he more likely to be given a knighthood and promoted into the Ministry?
”
Possible and probable
“Ok wwp I’ll give it a listen and let u know my take on it.”
I look forward to your take.
I’ll be interested in if you liked the NY crew or the LA crew better?
Greensborough Growler @ #1285 Sunday, July 1st, 2018 – 5:17 pm
You’d need to look at them from the other end to determine that.
”
WeWantPaul says:
Sunday, July 1, 2018 at 8:02 pm
“Like Rex”
Perhaps not as enlightened as Rex, but in that fine mould.
”
WWP
“enlightened”
Is it because of posting what Di Natali tweets and repeatedly posting how pathetic Shorten is?
this change.org petition to have Qantas ban SkyNews from its lounges is going balistic
vote early, vote often
https://www.change.org/p/alan-joyce-qantas-get-sky-news-off-your-screens?recruiter=13201733&utm_source=share_petition&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=psf_combo_share_initial.Id4ZfyDYQ0uwbYK0A6x_gg.1&utm_term=psf_combo_share_initial
“Is it because of posting what Di Natali tweets and repeatedly posting how pathetic Shorten is?’
No more because it is a Sunday night and I’m full of love and goodwill to the world.
Looked I’ve hooked up ESJ and Crooked Media, it is a match made in heaven, I’m all about good works.
You may not find me my usual punctual self in reporting the Newspoll results this evening. I’m sure you’ll get by.
“You may not find me my usual punctual self in reporting the Newspoll results this evening. I’m sure you’ll get by.”
Party on!
I meant you, not us at all.
ESJ is gonna come back and talk to us about the difficulties of WoC in colonial Africa over the last 300 years, and how that might inform the political activism of a Nigerian American woman facing the dangers of Rowe v Wade being overturned.
Roe v wade WWP. Not Rowe. The SC gave her a pseudonym.
I guessed, badly as it turns out.
Ironically she later became an opponent of abortion notwithstanding her central and personal role in the debate and judgement .
Has anybody heard how Georgina Downer has done at the Logies ❓
How did pvo come to public attention in the first place?
Then you might get your answers including in regards to who employs him or has employed him
He wrote a bio of johnwinstonhoward observer.
“Ironically she later became an opponent of abortion notwithstanding her central and personal role in the debate and judgement .”
I’m an opponent of abortion, it is just I support a woman’s right to choose and our duty to support her in that decision, more. Much more.
KayJay
Best interpretation of a pumpkin on a recent River Cottage program.
Well I would agree with your sentiments wwp.
“Well I would agree with your sentiments wwp.”
Wow the Hysteria has got to you already … I could tell they were good, but that good is impressive.