ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor

ReachTEL becomes the latest pollster to record movement in favour of the Coalition.

The latest monthly ReachTEL result for Sky News records Labor’s two-party lead at 52-48, down from 54-46 a month ago. The Coalition are up two on the primary vote to 36%, Labor is down one to 35%, the Greens are steady on 10% and One Nation are down one to 6%. On the forced response preferred prime minister question, Malcolm Turnbull now leads 54.5-45.5, out from 52.3-47.7 last time.

Stay tuned for a post on the by-election that now looms in the seat of Perth, following Tim Hammond’s surprise retirement announcement.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

953 comments on “ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. guytaur @ #750 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:18 pm

    Barney and Bemused

    Yeah no privacy concerns about sharing medical data.

    Its all peoples paranoia. Similar lines used for the CBA managing client data.

    The tech people know what they are talking about

    Note I am in favour of digitised health records. I just want proper safeguards in place.

    With recent revelations about private details released online to the dark web from both government and private organisations I think its fair to demand proper security on those records.

    That means EU style regulation on privacy. We can have privacy and digitised health records.

    What’s that got to do with it?

  2. bemused @ #749 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:14 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #744 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:08 pm

    bemused @ #743 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:07 pm

    I just love headlines like this:
    NSW health system could be fully digital in next decade

    And the bullshit story that follows it.

    https://www.itnews.com.au/news/nsw-health-system-could-be-fully-digital-in-next-decade-490240?eid=3&edate=20180504&utm_source=20180504_PM&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=daily_newsletter

    WTF is a digital health system?

    It is simply Information Technology applied to the capture, storage and transmission of data, like has been happening for decades elsewhere. Good to see it happening, but nothing to hyperventilate about.

    No, it’s for the robots! 🙂

    It really shows how resistant to change the health system has been. They are only now catching up. But there have been a series of disastrous projects that wasted millions.

    I was just about to start typing when I saw guytaur’s post pop up.

    My post was going to be;

    But the privacy advocates have been having kittens over this for ever. 🙂

  3. bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 2:53 pm

    …”Yes, I thought I was clearly sceptical in my remarks.
    On the news it mentioned 3 states, so it must have been NSW, Vic and SA.
    Who can conduct an independent investigation?”…


    You should have a look at the Guardian article on this.
    The picture attached, seems to show this vital price if infrastructure has been fenced off with chook wire.

  4. poroti,

    What’s with you doing the captain sensible routine? It’s way out of character…

    What do you know!?

  5. Absence of Empathy @ #754 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:23 pm

    bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 2:53 pm

    …”Yes, I thought I was clearly sceptical in my remarks.
    On the news it mentioned 3 states, so it must have been NSW, Vic and SA.
    Who can conduct an independent investigation?”…


    You should have a look at the Guardian article on this.
    The picture attached, seems to show this vital price if infrastructure has been fenced off with chook wire.

    Found a Guardian article, but no such picture. Do you have a link?

  6. Bemused

    The opposition to take up of digitised health records has always been the privacy and accuracy of those records.

    I thought that was what you were talking about.

    Sorry if that was wrong.

  7. Barney in Go Dau @ #753 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:22 pm

    bemused @ #749 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:14 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #744 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:08 pm

    bemused @ #743 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:07 pm

    I just love headlines like this:
    NSW health system could be fully digital in next decade

    And the bullshit story that follows it.

    https://www.itnews.com.au/news/nsw-health-system-could-be-fully-digital-in-next-decade-490240?eid=3&edate=20180504&utm_source=20180504_PM&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=daily_newsletter

    WTF is a digital health system?

    It is simply Information Technology applied to the capture, storage and transmission of data, like has been happening for decades elsewhere. Good to see it happening, but nothing to hyperventilate about.

    No, it’s for the robots! 🙂

    It really shows how resistant to change the health system has been. They are only now catching up. But there have been a series of disastrous projects that wasted millions.

    I was just about to start typing when I saw guytaur’s post pop up.

    My post was going to be;

    But the privacy advocates have been having kittens over this for ever. 🙂

    Yeah, paper records are so secure.
    And immune to being tampered with.

  8. Bemused, a digital health system is a system design to ensure all Australians have healthy digits.

    You know it makes sense.

  9. bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 2:59 pm

    …”Bit the burnt area stops neatly at a fence line?”…


    The person living on the other side of the chook wire fence is KayJay??? And he mows his lawn down to bowling green height 3 times a week.

  10. guytaur @ #757 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:31 pm

    Bemused

    The opposition to take up of digitised health records has always been the privacy and accuracy of those records.

    I thought that was what you were talking about.

    Sorry if that was wrong.

    I was having a go at all the hype that surrounds their adoption, but you have a point.

    So what are the inherent properties that ensure the accuracy and security of paper records?

  11. Bemused

    Just the lock and key on filing cabinets.

    I am for digitised l health records because they can be encrypted and who accesses those records logged.

  12. Lynchpin @ #759 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:31 pm

    Bemused, a digital health system is a system design to ensure all Australians have healthy digits.

    You know it makes sense.

    I love the humour on this site. 😀

    I have decades of experience in IT and there just seems to be an excess of hype, jargon, techno-babble and gibberish these days.

    Prominent among it is ‘digital’. Suddenly everything is digital.

    Well FMD, computers and data transmission has all been digital for over 70 years! And some twerps seem to think it arrived yesterday.

  13. Absence of Empathy @ #760 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:31 pm

    bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 2:59 pm

    …”Bit the burnt area stops neatly at a fence line?”…


    The person living on the other side of the chook wire fence is KayJay??? And he mows his lawn down to bowling green height 3 times a week.

    More great PB humour. 😀

  14. bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 3:29 pm

    …”Found a Guardian article, but no such picture. Do you have a link?”…


    Don’t know how to do links on a tablet from an app, but the article title is:

    “Triple zero emergency number fails after cable severed in NSW”.

    The picture looks like it came from Twitter.

    Edit: The picture is from Telstra’s Twitter account.

  15. Nasty little tuber.

    TSUNAMI of Homelessness and Poverty set to hit on JUNE 4

    ………..This Dutton designed program of poverty is underway. Key dates for implementation cascade through May and the Tsunami is designed to hit on June 4 when families will be told that they have four weeks to “transition off SRSS”. This is Home Affairs speak for get out of your house and live on nothing. Please read briefing note from the Refugee council which provides the detail of this heinous policy.

    http://www.julianburnside.com.au/tsunami-of-homelessness-and-poverty-set-to-hit-on-june-4/

  16. I see that that the two trick pony Di Natale, fresh from promising to send $5 trillion that does not exist, is back to his second old trick: attacking Shorten.
    Sleaze bag.

  17. Good on the Greens – the person to attack is the one who’s actually promising to do something. We’ll just ignore the fact that the government could do something about this tomorrow.

    …and if the Greens’ argument is that they know the government won’t, they should be helping the guy who will get elected.

  18. Absence of Empathy @ #766 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:38 pm

    bemused says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 3:29 pm

    …”Found a Guardian article, but no such picture. Do you have a link?”…


    Don’t know how to do links on a tablet from an app, but the article title is:

    “Triple zero emergency number fails after cable severed in NSW”.

    The picture looks like it came from Twitter.

    Edit: The picture is from Telstra’s Twitter account.

    Thanks.
    That was the one I looked at. Went back and now the picture is there. Must not have opened before.

    Telstra’s twitter account was even more illuminating, particularly this comment:

    Skillsy
    ‏ @SkillsyOz
    7h7 hours ago
    Replying to @Telstra_news @Telstra

    A map showing lightning strikes in the last 24 hrs that appear to show strikes at least 122km from the pit. Probably more chance of a Spinal Tap drummer spontaneously combusting @telstra.
    How does one pit stop triple zero emergency phone calls being made is more the question?

  19. Rex Douglas says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 3:43 pm

    ..”Get off the fence, Bill. pic.twitter.com/KRtwx2XEoG— Richard Di Natale (@RichardDiNatale) May 4, 2018″…


    The Rex Douglas, Di Natale dynamic duo are Labor’s best weapon?

  20. Bludger’s Corbyn fanbois need to stump up rather than flail away in their little quagmire.

    They need to indicate how many seats Labour needed to gain in order to claim a great victory for Corbyn.

    At the moment they are ecstatic about peanuts so I imagine the threshold will be low.

  21. So Murray, with his Liberal Party affiliations, to the Chair of AMP

    This is the former CEO of the CBA who presided over the “grow the book regardless” regime replicated at other banks – and was remunerated accordingly

    The matters self reported by Financial Services providers including banks did not “just appear”

    The culture has been in place since deregulation and not addressed – so implicating Murray and the term of his watch

    And I repeat – we are only seeing self reporting NOT public submissions including public submissions which identify practices excluded and deliberately excluded from the Terms of Reference by the 4 Banks and their government

    What the Murray appointment confirms is the paucity of those being appointed to Boards and that appointments are an old boy’s Network who do not bring credibility to the position or the Company

  22. Bill Shorten

    1 hour ago

    New trains should be built at home: Shorten

    What was the context for this?

  23. Boerwar says:
    Friday, May 4, 2018 at 3:58 pm

    …”Dartmoor: a grand old-growth forest totally destroyed by humans”…


    Corbyn?

  24. Stupendous yuuuuge best ever achievement by Corbyn!!!!!
    UK Labour wins an extra 24 seats out of 4371 seats!!!!!!
    That is not FAKE news!

  25. AoE

    No. (Apparently the english do not regard Corbyn as moorish).

    All english moors were grand old growth forests before they were destroyed by humans.

  26. Just to add on AMP, the Adninistration have every right to respond to the Board deferring from positions identified in an independent report on practices

    It is the weight of any such presentation by Adninistration that is considered

    Simply, no one is always correct just as no one is always wrong

    So any Independent Review is not the be all and end all – it is a start point

    In regards Murray, what appointments has he obtained since retiring as CEO of CBA?

    There comes a time when you need a fresh set of eyes – because we all have a use by date

  27. Observer @ #790 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 4:06 pm

    Just to add on AMP, the Adninistration have every right to respond to the Board deferring from positions identified in an independent report on practices

    It is the weight of any such presentation by Adninistration that is considered

    Simply, no one is always correct just as no one is always wrong

    So any Independent Review is not the be all and end all – it is a start point

    In regards Murray, what appointments has he obtained since retiring as CEO of CBA?

    There comes a time when you need a fresh set of eyes – because we all have a use by date

    Some worker elected board representatives might go a long way to fixing things or at least lead to exposure.

  28. Boerwar @ #779 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:51 pm

    They need to indicate how many seats Labour needed to gain in order to claim a great victory for Corbyn.

    Start with the number of seats that the Cons gain. Labour gaining anything north of 65% of that value is an acceptable performance. Not “great victory”, but certainly not the sort of abject failure some people are asserting.

    At 65% of the Cons performance, Labour will be pretty much on a level pegging with them after factoring in their larger initial base (which is where the 65% comes from). It’s harder to gain seats when you already control most of them.

    And current numbers are Lab +24, Con+7 (Left+72, Right-84). Which puts Labor at +240% of the Cons. Which is certainly more than adequate.

  29. ar

    What on earth are you talking about? Labour gained just 24 out of seats out of 4371 seats and you manage to turn that into a 34% victory for Corbyn!

    Back to the psepho sum factory for you, IMO.

  30. The incestuous pool of ‘talent’ among those born to rule:

    Company boards are stacked with friends of friends. So how can we expect change?
    The Conversation By Sherene Smith
    Updated 38 minutes ago

    Social connections drive board appointments and more than two-thirds of directors in the 200 largest public companies are on the board of multiple companies. So whoever replaces ex-AMP chairwoman Catherine Brenner will likely be drawn from a small pool of people.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-04/company-boards-nepotism-boys-club-banking-royal-commission/9726856

  31. There was a puff piece about Murray on 7.30 last night.
    Seems he had a daughter with an eating disorder and now chairs a charity.
    Poor chap almost shed a tear. 😥

    I used to love Mike Carlton referring to him as the “Head Teller at CBA”.

  32. Dartmoor: a grand old-growth forest totally destroyed by humans.

    To be fair, that description fits most of Europe.

  33. citizen @ #795 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 4:14 pm

    The incestuous pool of ‘talent’ among those born to rule:

    Company boards are stacked with friends of friends. So how can we expect change?
    The Conversation By Sherene Smith
    Updated 38 minutes ago

    Social connections drive board appointments and more than two-thirds of directors in the 200 largest public companies are on the board of multiple companies. So whoever replaces ex-AMP chairwoman Catherine Brenner will likely be drawn from a small pool of people.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-04/company-boards-nepotism-boys-club-banking-royal-commission/9726856

    The social links for those board appointments are forged mainly at Private Schools.
    That is the reason certain parents are so keen to see their offspring attend such schools, nothing to do with education.
    I see lots of interviews of company CEOs and Board Chairmen and most are quite banal.

  34. Presumably those “independent” directors that the LNP and the banks want to impose on Industry Super Funds would come from the same born to rule types who infest company boards.

    Fortunately the revelations at the RC suggest that it’s less likely this will happen.

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