The latest monthly ReachTEL result for Sky News records Labor’s two-party lead at 52-48, down from 54-46 a month ago. The Coalition are up two on the primary vote to 36%, Labor is down one to 35%, the Greens are steady on 10% and One Nation are down one to 6%. On the forced response preferred prime minister question, Malcolm Turnbull now leads 54.5-45.5, out from 52.3-47.7 last time.
Stay tuned for a post on the by-election that now looms in the seat of Perth, following Tim Hammond’s surprise retirement announcement.
Climate sceptic group IPA suggested as co-host of Australian visit by Trump’s environment chief. Scott Pruitt’s cancelled trip would have promoted ‘innovation deregulation’, emails released under FoI show. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/may/04/climate-sceptic-group-ipa-suggested-as-co-host-of-australian-visit-by-trumps-environment-chief by @adamlmorton #auspol
New Label for Chyron on the ABC. Climate Sceptic IPA (insert name)
The Tories and Labor same same: +14, +16.
This is unequivocally good news for May and bad news for Corbyn.
Blaming Jeremy Corbyn for Labour not taking a clean sweep of local elections, is the same level of stupid as Rex Douglas attributing the ALP’s failure to maintain a 70/30 lead in the polls, to Bill Shorten not being the messiah.
Bummer, the drop in excise tax won’t drop the price on beer!
Zoomster, I briefly worked with a fire ecologist who was trying to correlate fuel loads and biodiversity with history of burn offs and bushfires. There was some disquiet about this from the CFS.
But the main problem was the inadequacy of fuel load risk matrix. It seemed to me at the time that unless all the tree trunks were charred to an inch of their life the risk was high – regardless of the height/density of the understory and the depth and dryness of the floor litter. Perhaps it has improved.
But with climate change one wonders if conditions will get (are already) so bad such deliberations could be meaningless.
Oh dear, taking the tax off beer and not off tampons….. Morrison is getting narky.
Lab +20, Con + 10
Abysmal news for Corbyn indeed. 🙄
“Oh dear, taking the tax off beer and not off tampons….. Morrison is getting narky.”
man drink beer, not use tampons
Didnt he do this last year?
Albo supports the drop in tax on beer, tweeted that it would create more jobs.
Blair-led Labour got 35% of the popular vote in 2005. Corbyn-led Labour got 40% of the vote in 2017.
Which number is bigger?
Corbyn is Labour’s strongest asset at the moment. The party would be utterly screwed if it were led by a Blair-type creature.
Of the 60 councils yet to declare, only 19 will report tonight
The rest start counting tomorrow
Albanese and Joel Fitzgibbon campaigned for the excise reduction since the middle of last year at least. They both worked with the industry very closely to get this over the line. Morrison and co have claimed the headlines but the industry knows who drove the change.
lizzie @ #709 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 1:58 pm
I think part of our problem is having too many rail manufacturers for the size of the market. We don’t get the economy of scale. And this is driven in part by the desire State Govts used to have the desire for manufacture in their state. So we got a very fragmented industry and now State Govts will often go to overseas manufacturers.
doyley
“Albanese and Joel Fitzgibbon campaigned for the excise reduction since the middle of last year at least. They both worked with the industry very closely to get this over the line. Morrison and co have claimed the headlines but the industry knows who drove the change.”
on the face of it is a funny one, the small craft brewers payed a higher tax that has now been brought level. would have thought that it would be the lnp championing small businesses.
maybe put off by the boutique nature of it and equated to latte sipping chardonnay swilling stuff that only leftists do?
Abysmal news for Corbyn indeed.
he got smashed in Liverpool where the lib democrats made a strong challenge nearly doubling their representation.
Libertarian Unionist @ #649 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 10:28 am
Mr Musk doesn’t want to answer “boring” questions from the people (“day traders”) who are financing his endeavour?
I agree with LU that there is not long left in it for Mr Musk if he keeps that attitude up.
I’d have ordered some Tesla stuff, but I’m seriously concerned that the company will be bankrupt before any of it actually arrives.
Lab +21, Con +7
This should be looked at nationally!
NSW Auditor General raises questions about how non-government schools use funding.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/may/04/detail-missing-on-12bn-spent-on-non-government-schools-nsw-auditor-says
Not sure why we should be praising Downer’s ability to build railcars. Prior NSW experiemce shows a littany of errors.
Friend bought a new Tesla a couple of months ago.
Lemon.
Dealer fobs it off as a manufacturer problem.
Tesla fobs it off as a dealer problem.
Propeller cap boy – 2:04pm
Still can’t see the forrest for the trees.
By the metric you used Teresa May is a political genius because the Tory share of the national vote was about 10 points higher in 2017 than 2005. Higher even than Cameron achieved in 2015… anyone believe that? because I’ve got a Bridge for sale if you do …
Yep. He will be on the first boat to Mars.
Boris says:
Friday, May 4, 2018 at 1:58 pm
…”man drink beer, not use tampon”…
…
Very funny shit.
Thanks.
Andrew
Blair was a creature of last century. The world has moved on. Times are tougher and the social divide more obvious.
Blair was a creature of the peaceful, booming 90s. Greed is good, unipolar world order, capitalism has won convincingly, trickle down works, governments are stuffy, business people are benevolent, internet is super, progressive morality is the goal. None of those assumptions holds any longer hence to failure of the Blair types to resonate and the search for something from the earlier era – grandads Corbyn and Bernie or way out oddities (Trump, Duterte) or dictators.
We are in a time of flux and it is pointless to hark back to an earlier era. Maybe in 30 years if all the economies are booming then another Blair will emerge and resonate, but it is not gong to be soon.
Fissure eruption starts in Leilani Estates, Hawai`i:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNa3Vkj1KkI
Has anyone mentioned the big Telstra outage, allegedly caused by lightning striking a pit with a major Fibre Optic cable between Orange and Bowral?
Seems mighty strange to me.
Firstly, Fibre Optic cable is non-conducting. For lightning to strike the pit, there would need to have been something to attract the lightning. Why would the cable be exposed to such a risk? What metal structure did the lightning actually hit?
Secondly, how can a break in a cable between Bowral and Orange disrupt services in 3 east coast states? This is bizarre! 000 disrupted in Victoria, traffic lights disrupted, eftpos machines disrupted.
The 000 disruption is particularly concerning.
I know where the money went:
http://www.kings.edu.au/facilities/senior-school-facilities.php
Boris,
Re the craft beer decision.
I think it is more of a reality that the Libs cannot lift their heads out of their arse until their probability of election defeat approaches ” one minute to midnight “.
They then look for anything and everything at which to throw money.
Anyway, I am sure Morrison thought the ” boutique ” craft beer industry had more to do with eating cheese than brewing.
Cheers.
bemused,
The Telstra problem hit South Australia as well and apparently all 1300 numbers.
I am the full time carer for my Mum and needed to get in touch with her home care provider which is based in Adelaide. No chance at all until this afternoon.
BTW, the fire caused by lightning excuse is very very unlikely.
Cheers.
doyley @ #732 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 2:50 pm
Yes, I thought I was clearly sceptical in my remarks.
On the news it mentioned 3 states, so it must have been NSW, Vic and SA.
Who can conduct an independent investigation?
Fissure eruption starts in Leilani Estates, Hawai`i:
Wow.
Showed it to my (Honolulu-born) Dad. Yep, that happens, he said.
Sabotage springs to mind.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/triple-zero-emergency-number-outage-across-the-country-20180504-p4zd9y.html
I’ve often wondered why it hasn’t been tried before.
On the same subject I was once parked in a back-street cul-de-sac in Auburn, Sydney, waiting for a friend to complete some business at a nearby house. At the end of the street was a cyclone wire fence. On the other side of the fence were two bloody great water main pipelines, a couple of metres in diameter each. It would have been so easy (given the inclination) to affix some plastique to each of them and blow them to smithereens, causing obvious damage and mayhem on a disastrous scale.
Likewise, simply driving a car or a truck at speed through a pedestrian precinct is easy, and incredibly damaging to human life. The only thing that amazes me is that it’s not tried as a terrorist tactic more often.
Cutting the main communications cables between the states falls into that category.
Re Telstra Outage:
https://www.itnews.com.au/news/telstra-fibre-cut-blamed-on-lightning-strike-490272?eid=3&edate=20180504&utm_source=20180504_PM&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=daily_newsletter
Curious indeed. A photo shows a demolished pit with burnt grass around it.
Bit the burnt area stops neatly at a fence line?
Why would lightning strike a pit? Why not a nearby metallic object? Why not a raised object like a metal fence post?
bemused @ #733 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 11:53 am
Seems to have impacted right across Australia.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-05-04/telstra-triple-zero-outages-several-states-cable-damaged/9725860
SK
Fuel reduction burns, at best, reduce the understory. At worst, they create more fuel.
Any major fires quickly get up into the crowns of the trees, so unless you’ve burnt the trees down to the ground, it’s hard to see that fuel reduction burns do much at all.
They might slow down the time a fire takes to get hold.
I’m telling y’all it’s sabotage!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5rRZdiu1UE
The Greens Jason Ball has announced he will again run in Higgins in the coming election this morning.
I think its good to see the Greens targetting LNP seats like this.
I guess it’s possible that the damaged cable is designated “for urgent use”.
This could include 000 numbers, and other emergency or high-priority traffic.
On which case damage to it is a National Security concern.
Bit the burnt area stops neatly at a fence line?
Ooh, that stands out like the proverbial. It’s very suss.
I just love headlines like this:
“NSW health system could be fully digital in next decade”
And the bullshit story that follows it.
https://www.itnews.com.au/news/nsw-health-system-could-be-fully-digital-in-next-decade-490240?eid=3&edate=20180504&utm_source=20180504_PM&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=daily_newsletter
WTF is a digital health system?
It is simply Information Technology applied to the capture, storage and transmission of data, like has been happening for decades elsewhere. Good to see it happening, but nothing to hyperventilate about.
bemused @ #743 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:07 pm
No, it’s for the robots! 🙂
Libertarian Unionist @ #742 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 12:07 pm
doG’s work!!! 🙂
On which case damage to it is a National Security concern.
Damn right.
I used to know someone very high up in the national emergency administration. He went to many meetings where disaster scenarios were discussed and plans made to combat them.
Before he died he let me in on a few of the scarier scenarios he’d seen discussed in secret meetings. You only have to be as paranoid as some of the real crazies out there to realise how vulnerable our society is to sabotage and dirty deeds.
There were plans for natural disasters too, of course. The one that made me laugh was his strategy for when an asteroid collided with Earth: “Try to be right underneath it.”
Perhaps the other side of the fence has been mown while the other side was overgrown.
Barney in Go Dau @ #744 Friday, May 4th, 2018 – 3:08 pm
It really shows how resistant to change the health system has been. They are only now catching up. But there have been a series of disastrous projects that wasted millions.
Barney and Bemused
Yeah no privacy concerns about sharing medical data.
Its all peoples paranoia. Similar lines used for the CBA managing client data.
The tech people know what they are talking about
Note I am in favour of digitised health records. I just want proper safeguards in place.
With recent revelations about private details released online to the dark web from both government and private organisations I think its fair to demand proper security on those records.
That means EU style regulation on privacy. We can have privacy and digitised health records.