BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor

Last week’s poll aggregate spike to Labor washes out after some better results for the Coalition.

First up, note that there are new posts below this one the near-finalisation of the Queensland election result, and the Tasmanian state poll from EMRS.

With three new polls added this week, the latest reading of BludgerTrack suggests last week’s surge to Labor to have been an aberration. However, the seat tally has wigged out this week, with both Ipsos and Essential recording particularly bad results for the Coalition from highly sensitive Queensland, and Ipsos producing a profoundly off-trend 57-43 lead to the Coalition in Western Australia. These results respectively cause Labor to gain four seats, and lose five – maybe the Queensland result reflects the impact of the state election, but I think you can take it for granted that the Liberal gain in Western Australia will wash out over the coming weeks.

Newspoll and Ipsos both produced new data on leadership ratings, but the trend measures here haven’t changed much. A further footnote from the Ipsos poll: the respondent-allocated two-party preferred result was 52-48, compared with a headline figure of 53-47, which is the best result the Coalition has had from anyone other than YouGov for a while.

As always, full results on the sidebar.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,194 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.7-46.3 to Labor”

Comments Page 41 of 44
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  1. Oakeshott Country,
    I see you’ve left out former federal director of the Liberal Party, Andrew Robb. And the present imbroglio between the Liberal Party and the Cormack Foundation.

    Or do you just have an unhealthy fixation with NSW Labor?

  5. poroti,
    I just can’t get over how the ‘Greed is good!’ bunch of daylight robbers can hoodwink so many of the plebs into supporting their agenda!

  9. People who’ve come from Commo countries , know what the comms are like. I think you’ll find the Australian chinese will be more concerned than the average folk about Dastyari’s activities.

    They’d probably be more worried about denunciations to Beijing from Dastyari and his ilk.

  12. Lol, Truffles has his talking points and a platform to do an ever so slightly desperate sounding appeal to the already converted.

    Uh oh….glorious Julie comes up as a chinese connection. 🙂

  13. So, is Virginia Trioli letting Turnbull get away with Blue Tie murder? Saying any old thing he wants? What about the questions?

  14. C@t – Andrew Robb didn’t try to destroy my career but Roosendahl certainly did, even while I was his endorsed candidate.

  18. C@tmomma

    They didn’t need to hoodwink the plebs they just bought the politicians. The pollies changed the rules tilting the playing field and the money naturally flowed to that end of the swamp.

  19. C@tmomma:

    So, is Virginia Trioli letting Turnbull get away with Blue Tie murder? Saying any old thing he wants? What about the questions?

    Missed some of the start, but she did a pretty good job of pulling him up on dodging his the question on Julie Bishop’s Chinese connections.

    Turnbull starting to get pretty flustered and defensive. We’re only 10 minutes in.

  20. This is hilarious. Truffles is in full “avoid any uncomfortable question” mode. And he’s too fwarking clumsy to do it in anything but a really obvious mode.

  22. PM Turnbull looking strong and giving it back with both barrels to Trioli. Good.

    Now for a further ABC budget cut to help the ABC focus on core responsibilities.

  24. ” but she’s did a pretty good job of pulling him up on dodging his the question ”

    I dont like her, but she is trying to pin him to questions as much as she can i think.

  26. “PM Turnbull looking strong and giving it back with both barrels to Trioli. ”

    Teh quality of reality denial comedy on PB just ratcheted up a notch. 🙂

  28. ESJ
    Jamie is the one I feel sorry for. All the others got parliamentary pensions, executive jobs with corporations or government boards and Swiss bank accounts but Jamie was just shown the door.
    I guess you should expect that if you try to insert your tongue in your staffers throat

  30. Keep up the blow-by-blow, saves me from watching.

    I can see ESJ’s fantasy strongman, and the reality from the rest of you 🙂

  32. How about Tony Burke flying his now wife first class to Europe on the taxpayer dime

    The Distemper is strong in you tonight, ESJ.

    Have you forgotten this guy and his missus, Hyacinth Bouquet?

    Ex-PM John Howard costs taxpayers more in retirement | The Courier …
    http://www.couriermail.com.au/…john-howard-costs-taxpayers…/story-e6freooo-12257571...
    Aug 1, 2009 – JOHN Howard is costing taxpayers more in retirement than he did while running the country. Australia’s second longest-serving prime minister commanded an annual salary of about $330,000 in the job. But in his first year of retirement he has racked up a $1 million bill at taxpayers’ expense.

    ‘We pay nearly $6000/week for John Howard’s expenses’

    FORMER Liberal prime minister John Howard accounted for almost a third of the taxpayer-funded entitlements received by our former leaders in the first six months of the year.

    Mr Howard spent $151,833 – or almost $6000 a week – on domestic flights, car travel, office costs, telecommunications and family travel.
    https://www.sunshinecoastdaily.com.au/news/we-pay-nearly-6000week-john-howards-expenses/1645163/

  34. Now OC – how many Federal Labor Leaders retired at a time of their own choosing ?

    One would have to go back to Arthur Calwell I think.

  39. poor cot, you really don’t understand the point oc was making.

    Oh, yes I did! However, I wasn’t going to let him get away with his usual smear of the NSW ALP. Unlike you. I just broadened the terms of reference.

  42. Interesting Dastyari (as NSW ALP GenSec) funded the Thomson/Dobell settlement cash when he had his hooker problem. Was it China money? One has to wonder?

  43. Edwina StJohn says:

    PM Turnbull very sound on indigenous affairs too!

    Damned right boyo. Just look at what he has done in Point Piper. Not a single Aborigine living in poverty there these days. Wunnerfull man.

  44. Sams main problem is that it is so easy for people to think the worst of NSW Labor “machine” pollies. Can’t think why though 😉

  46. ESJ
    a little unfair, I think a taste of power makes it difficult to give it away.
    Of all Australian PMs, it could be argued that none have chosen their time of going. Some argue Barton but Deakin bribed him with the High Court after he had got into the Turps again, Fisher was knifed by Hughes but went quietly when the High Commission was offered. Menzies maybe but his colleagues were getting very frustrated and would have moved sooner rather than later- within 12 months Holt had got rid of White Australia and removed Aborigines from the constitution.
    Calwell was knifed after the 66 debacle and only stayed in parliament till 72 to act as a spoiler against Whitlam and to fill in the day.

  48. What have you done? You’re an armchair expert with a dictionary stuck up your arse.

    Sam is 34 and has heaps of potential.

    There is a direct and obvious social benefit from what I do in my professional life. Sam D? Not so much. His focus has been almost entirely on his own advancement, not the advancement of society. He is a dead-weight to his colleagues, some of whom have actually done things that are socially useful, unlike him.

  49. Turnbull did well when he was able to babble on and sound Prime Ministerial in response to easy dixers.

    Less so with the tough questions. Jesus.

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