First up, note that there are new posts below this one the near-finalisation of the Queensland election result, and the Tasmanian state poll from EMRS.
With three new polls added this week, the latest reading of BludgerTrack suggests last week’s surge to Labor to have been an aberration. However, the seat tally has wigged out this week, with both Ipsos and Essential recording particularly bad results for the Coalition from highly sensitive Queensland, and Ipsos producing a profoundly off-trend 57-43 lead to the Coalition in Western Australia. These results respectively cause Labor to gain four seats, and lose five – maybe the Queensland result reflects the impact of the state election, but I think you can take it for granted that the Liberal gain in Western Australia will wash out over the coming weeks.
Newspoll and Ipsos both produced new data on leadership ratings, but the trend measures here haven’t changed much. A further footnote from the Ipsos poll: the respondent-allocated two-party preferred result was 52-48, compared with a headline figure of 53-47, which is the best result the Coalition has had from anyone other than YouGov for a while.
As always, full results on the sidebar.
Nicholas @ #2047 Monday, December 11th, 2017 – 10:09 pm
You have a ‘professional life’?
And here I was thinking you were a 14 yo schoolboy with a lot of growing up to do.
Zeh,
You can tell ESJ is a floppy disc program.
I guess that the question is C@t which NSW Secretary General’s career didn’t end as I listed?
Watching QandA on delay. Fuck, Brian made a complete cockup over that question about the Julie Bishop Glorious Foundation.
Cat – Uluru Statement
Nicholas @ #2047 Monday, December 11th, 2017 – 9:09 pm
I’m pretty sure your criteria make virtually all career politicians dead-weight. I don’t necessarily disagree, except with the part where you imply that status is unique or semi-unique to Dastyari.
C@t, those old programs were actually quite efficiently written, having to fit on such a small amount of storage. ESJ typifies bloaty modern cookie cutter wastefulness.
Reposting: Tony Kevin tweeting there is more in play than Libs poor polling, Sam D, and a by-election for the balance of power :
Turnbull sitting on Uncle Sam’s lap, again.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/chinas-foreign-influencers-are-causing-alarm-in-washington/2017/12/10/98227264-dc58-11e7-b859-fb0995360725_story.html?utm_term=.5b8cd4eaaa1f
Nicholas. Thank you for posting. I have different views from yours on many issues but I welcome your thoughtful contributions and the fact that you don’t descend into the childish name calling that sometimes afflicts this forum.
Zeh says:
Yonks back I read an article which dealt with how Russkiy programs were so efficient for that very reason where as US ones had no worries with bloatware .
Trufiles is showing great political skill (Bullshit ability) but no humanity.
On Uluru statement he completely misses the point.
I am not enjoying this performance.
GhostWhoVotes @GhostWhoVotes
19s
#Newspoll Seat of #Bennelong 2 Party Preferred: LIB 50 (-9.7 since election) ALP 50 (+9.7) #auspol
Wow!
#Newspoll Seat of #Bennelong 2 Party Preferred: LIB 50 (-9.7 since election) ALP 50 (+9.7) #auspol
I hope the 50% LIBERAL voters in Bennelong are watching qanda
And you’d all written off Bennelong ….
Newspoll Seat of #Bennelong Primary Votes: LIB 39 (-11.4 since election) ALP 39 (+10.5) GRN 9 (-0.1) CON 7 (+7) CDP 2 (-4.4) #auspol
Trioli clearing up a few points for Turnbull on people smugglers.
Not me ESJ
Blame Labor never answer the question.
This Malcolm guy just screams empathy and understanding…
This Malcolm guy just screams
And now we know why the Libs are going full dog whistle, it’s about Bennelong..50-50 Newspoll….Go KK…!
Oakeshott Country,
I guess that the question is C@t which NSW Secretary General’s career didn’t end as I listed?
Well, that’s the problem with your list. You have defined the rubric. A very low bar with quite a wide circumference so you can use it as a catch-all.
Now, despite your broad terms of reference, and let’s see those who are without sin, in life in general, cast the first stone,eh? But I don’t remember Geoff Cahill being caught up in any dramas. Nor was Matt Thistlethwaite, as was said previously, and I dare you to say a bad word about Kaila Murnain.
I also don’t remember any of the NSW ALP general secretaries being jailed for embezzlement of party monies, to the tune of $1.5 Million, like one of the recent Liberal Party federal directors.
As a purported Labor man, I would expect you to be at least fair and balanced about the sort of brush you are tarring Labor general secretaries with.
C@tmomma, thanks for your help. I think I’ll be ok now, especially since I now know this is still WordPress.
And thanks everyone else too.
Did the Bennelong Newspoll get a ‘Wow!’ from Peter van Onselen on Twitter? 🙂
Wow seconded. If the poll is correct at 50 -50.
Imagine what will happen between now and the election date if the word gets out that Alexander confirms that he is not going to stand for re-election at the next election.
(Has that comment been confirmed as yet?)
You must admit that Trioli is not afraid to argue with Mal.
sonar,
But the Libs have got the dog whistle around the wrong way and it’s actually playing the wrong tune to the Bennelong electorate!
So that’s it?
The NBN is fantastic, world’s best practice, and everybody loves it. Sure there are a couple of problems,but nothing to do with Turnbull.
Anyway, Labor’s NBN will always cost more than Malcolm’s.
So there!
Lizzie
Shes not needling him. Someone needs to nail him on his crap.
jeffemu,
Imagine what will happen between now and the election date if the word gets out that Alexander confirms that he is not going to stand for re-election at the next election.
(Has that comment been confirmed as yet?)
James Massola on Twitter said that Gareth Hutchens asked JA today about that and he said the rumour of his retirement at the next full federal election isn’t true.
Who to believe?
Has ESJ raced back to Menzies house for instructions after the Newspoll came out?
Thanks Cat
So will Turnbull be calling ABC management after Q&A to demand Trioli lose her job, a la Bolt? 🙂
Here comes “Lucy and I”.
There was soo many shit questions and time wasting waffle. Trioli did nothing to get him to answer the questions.
C@tmomma @ #2083 Monday, December 11th, 2017 – 10:41 pm
With a bit of luck he’ll be calling ABC management to demand Guthrie lose her job!
jenauthor,
The main reason I want KK to win on Saturday is so that ESJ can disappear back from whence she came! 😀
Trioli winning a few points with me, standing up to Malky.
Ooh. Very nice.
Just a seat poll, of course, so should be taken with a large helping of salt, but still… very nice.
I’m suddenly feeling rather less pessimistic.
Wow what a Train wreck. On QandA
Ghost Who votes reporting Bennelong Newspoll is 50 to 50.
Someone at sportsbet might want to check out the polling – currently still offering 4 dollars for KK
Geoff Cahill was famously picked up at the airport after a flight from London and driven to Sussex St where Bruver Ducker told him he was sacked and replaced by Richardson
It could be argued that this was the moment that institutionalised corruption was introduced into NSW ALP
Maybe Murnain will be the moment it ends
My underlying attitude is that all politics is inherently corrupting and occurs in all parties but ESJs specific question was on the fate of NSW secretary generals, which is not an inspiring story.
FINALLY some polling in Bennelong!
Stephen KoukoulasVerified account
@TheKouk
Turnbull – wow. Showing what a cranky prick everyone who has worked with him says he is #qanda
heh heh. 🙂
C@tmomma
Got a WOW de WOW from me……………………..if accurate.Oi Oi Oi
“#Newspoll Seat of #Bennelong 2 Party Preferred: LIB 50 (-9.7 since election) ALP 50 (+9.7) #auspol”
Oh dear poor Twuffles. 🙂 If they lose Bennelong he is burnt toast. If they win Bennelong by a small margin then he’s damp and soggy toast.
Switched off Q&A halfway through. Had about my full of listening to Malcolm’s spin, and he had stopped being quite as entertainingly hostile towards the audience and Trioli as he was at the start. Did I miss anything of worth?
Oakeshott Country,
Kaila is working very, very hard to turn the ship around.
Who is the CON in this polling?