Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no

And the winner is …

So there you have it. Below is a tool for exploring the results at divisional level according to a range of electoral and demographic criteria. Take your pick from the drop down menu, and you will get divisional “yes” votes recorded on the vertical axis, and their results for the relevant indicator on the vertical axis. Most of these are self-explanatory, with the exception of “One Nation support index”. This equals the division’s 2016 Senate vote for One Nation divided by the party’s overall Senate vote in that state, multiplied by 100. So an electorate will score 100 if its One Nation vote is exactly equal to the state average; it will score 200 if it’s double; 50 if it’s half; and so forth. This is to prevent the party’s across-the-board high results in Queensland from spoiling the effect. “Finished school” is measured as a percent of the 15-plus population.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,326 comments on “Same-sex marriage survey: 61.6 yes, 38.4 no”

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  1. “While disappointed by the result, I am heartened by the strong “no” vote in the face of such a relentless campaign from the “yes” campaign by the media, political elites and celebrities..”

    – Eric Abetz

    Cretin.

  2. C@t

    Speech by the guy who couldn’t bring himself to campaign for the ‘Yes’ vote on SSM, trying to take credit and put the boot into Labor for simply wanting parliament to do it’s job!

    Smug bastard.

  4. Every single electorate in WA voted Yes.

    My electorate O’Connor had the lowest Yes vote, but it’s still a Yes vote. I shall be expecting my local member to vote in accordance with the wishes of his constituents.

  6. It is interesting to note that every country and regional electorate in NSW voted yes. The Nationals are enormously out of step with their electorates.

  11. Michael Pascoe‏ @MichaelPascoe01 · 19m19 minutes ago

    Breaking news: ABS about as accurate as numerous much cheaper opinion polls. Confirms @TurnbullMalcolm blew $100 million.

  12. Spruiking a free vote after spruiking the fabulousness of his letting the people have their say is exactly the hypocrisy Turnbull is the master of.

  13. Western Sydney seems worse than I would have thought possible – Parramatta 61.6% No – Blaxland 73.9% No?

    Howard’s White Picket Fence battlers! FFS

  16. It turns out the No vote did best in electorates with high percentages of migrants.

    From this it must follow that as a predictor the longer you live in Australia (and absorb Australian values?) the more likely you are to vote Yes.

  23. Ante Meridian @ #51 Wednesday, November 15th, 2017 – 10:21 am

    “While disappointed by the result, I am heartened by the strong “no” vote in the face of such a relentless campaign from the “yes” campaign by the media, political elites and celebrities..”

    – Eric Abetz

    Cretin.

    What Erica was really saying:

    “While disappointed by the result, I am heartened by the strong response to prejudice, dishonesty and ignorance and outright hatred.”

  26. From this it must follow that as a predictor the longer you live in Australia (and absorb Australian values?) the more likely you are to vote Yes.

    No they are the true defenders of Australian values, the rest of us have strayed from the light.

    Or something.

  28. ‘Bill Shorten didn’t want Australians to have their say!’

    Petulant and petty riposte by Turnbull.

    Yeah terrible how Bill just wanted parliament just to do it’s job.

  29. Religious = no obviously strongest correlation.

    No English speaking also pretty strong correlation.

    Religious migration communities bulk of no votes.

    Expect Libs to want to cuddle a muzzie.

  30. We just squeaked through in Berowra with low 50s result, but next door in Bennelong just under.

    I’m glad I’m leaving the area (although where I’m going isn’t much better).

  32. My guess is that immigrant communities responded strongly to the no campaign’s scare tactics around children and religious freedom.

    It’s worth noting that a small number of metropolitan Melbourne electorates also voted no. They also happen to be the most culturally diverse electorates.

  34. Paramatta has a high Indian Sikh, and South Sudanese and Muslim demographic generally.

    Bennelong: lots of Chinese voters.
    Blaxland: lots of Middle Eastern voters.

    Berowra: going the way of Bennelong.

  35. My guess is that immigrant communities responded strongly to the no campaign’s scare tactics around children and religious freedom.

    I would have thought just socially and morally conservative.

  38. Speaking as a migrant, but I think the high NO vote in western Sydney is a combination of a high migrant population and also a high conservative religious population.

  45. Muslims versus Hanson: Right v. Right, and they meet in the middle.

    It will be fascinating to watch the psephological boffins in the various parties working this one out.

  46. Howard’s White Picket Fence battlers! FFS

    Nope, Muslims, Hindus, Sikhs, and evangelical Christians (esp Islanders, Philippinos, and Chinese).

    Windhover has the right of it. Older immigrant communities like European Catholics and Orthodox aren’t showing up. More like the general population and more dispersed than when they first arrived.

    Same thing will happen to the newer immigrants.

  47. It’s a well known phenomena that the children of migrants adopt ‘Australian values’, almost regardless of how orthodox their parents are.

  49. Wonderful result. During the height of the campaign, I did get a bit worried that the No campaigns scummy tactics might actually have an impact, but very heartening to see that the majority of Australians recognised it for the nonsense it was.

  50. Listening to the gloating Turnbull (“I did it all by myself in spite of Bill”) I still had a feeling that he was preparing to give in to RWNJ protests in the legislation.

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