ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

The ReachTEL poll for October comes in not a lot different from the ReachTEL poll for September.

The latest ReachTEL poll for Sky News, conducted last night from a sample of 2399, has Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47, unchanged from the last poll on September 28. So far the only primary vote numbers we have are inclusive of a 9% undecided rating: at first blush, they suggest the Coalition on around 37.5%, Labor on 38.5% and the Greens on One Nation on 10% apiece, although forced responses of the undecided would probably bring the major parties back a little. Those figures should be forthcoming soon-ish.

The poll also finds Malcolm Turnbull leading Bill Shorten 51-49 as preferred prime minister, down from 52-48. Malcolm Turnbull’s performance is rated good or very good by 25%, poor or very poor by 40%; for Bill Shorten, the corresponding numbers are 28% and 38.5%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,128 comments on “ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor”

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  5. mikehilliard

    Cartoon of a beached as Barnaby I tried to post.

    Add https to this if the above did not work

    ://i1.wp.com/i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2017/08/14/07/433DD9E900000578-0-image-m-3_1502690485372.jpg

  7. If Turnbull was thinking about being a real creep he would suggest an audit of all MPs to try and catch some Labor MPs out.

  9. There’ll be plenty more happening this afternoon. We’ve also got Governor-General Sir Peter Cosgrove swearing in new ministers at Government House at 4:30pm (AEDT). The Prime Minister is yet to announce those new portfolio arrangements, but perhaps we’ll hear what they are when he steps up in a few minutes.

    Quick with the reshuffle.

    At a guess, Cash will be dropped using the reshuffle as cover.

  11. StephenJonesMP: Surely Turnbull can’t reappoint Barnaby before a bi-election. His 3 mths grace under s.64 of the Constitution has expired #Auspol

  13. theage: This byelection is a hammer blow to the Turnbull government

    In real terms it means ‘jack’.

    The Govt looks no more useless right now than it did yesterday.

    Talk about ‘beating up’ a story …

    Who ever authorised that should be sacked.

  15. poroti

    No worries, I saw your post.

    Just meant wow that was quick because I’d just post the utube cartoon back a bit.

  16. The problem is not whether the X benchers guarantee confidence and supply. Enough of them have held that position since last year. The problem for the government is that on questions like banking royal commissions they could go down

  19. VE

    So yeah, nothing to do with state of mind or whatever, just the HC believing that his signature was forged.

    Have we seen a copy of this ‘form’ with some sort of squiggle on it that purports to be Canavan’s signature?

  20. @ FalconWA – not exactly, right?

    The Coalition now have 74/148.

    So neither coalition by themselves, nor everyone else can pass anything, the best they can get is a tie.

    The speaker has indicated that in the event of a tie, he will vote “for the status quo” Because unlike his predecessor, he is actually a good speaker.

    So no chance of a RC into banking, because the speaker would vote against it.

    But the government cannot get anything through the HoR unless one member of the x-bench supports it.

  22. Turnbull ‘disappointed’ with the High Court decision re Barnaby Joyce.
    FMD! The HC simply followed the letter of the law. As Barnaby Joyce should have.

  26. Fiona Nash, an ‘outstanding Minister’!?!
    She nobbled the Health Star Rating system for the Sugar and Grocery Industry!

  29. BK

    Richo and Beatie have just declared Turnbull to be GORN!

    They should let Dan Gulberry know what date they’re predicting.

  46. Is there a decent Independent candidate in New England…? As much as I would like the ALP to win the seat I doubt that would happen.

  49. briefly @ #897 Friday, October 27th, 2017 – 3:28 pm

    Go out and ask around. You will find that around 3/5 common-or-garden voters think the prohibition on dual citizens is ridiculous. This is because they themselves or their spouses or other members of their families are dual citizens.

    Don’t be ridiculous. Start a campaign to change the constitution by all means, but don’t expect to succeed. Most Australians would oppose such a change.

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