The one brand new poll for the week, from Essential Research, made so little change to the BludgerTrack voting intention numbers that I had to double check the result. There was also an infusion of new state breakdown data courtesy of Newspoll’s quarterly state-level results, but the only difference this has made is to add one to the Coalition tally in New South Wales and subtract one in Queensland. There’s big movement in Malcolm Turnbull’s favour on the leadership trend rating following new numbers from Essential Research, but this measure is over-sensitive to the vagaries of particular pollsters, which I’ve long been meaning to correct for. Full results at the bottom of the post.
Essential Research has also released its quarterly state voting intention results this week, which are accumulated from all of its polling over the past three months. In New South Wales, the Coalition has a steady lead of 51-49; in Victoria, Labor’s lead narrows from 53-47 to 52-48; in Queensland, Labor holds a steady lead of 54-46, which is better than they have been doing from other pollsters lately, with One Nation’s primary vote at a relatively modest 13%; in Western Australia, Labor’s lead is down from 55-45 to 54-46; and in South Australia, Labor has a steady lead of 52-48, with the Nick Xenophon Team’s primary vote at 18%. Read all about it here.
Fargo
Those “canny” Scots were not the whole population. They just encouraged the inevitable. That is King James the Sixth becoming King James the Ist of England.
He created the Union by decree as a means to stop war. A smart move for the times.
It however does not change it was a decree not a vote.
dtt.
Polish plumbers and Rumanian sex workers have taken the jobs.
This surely can not be one of the defining issues of brexit. I am really interested in the with the Romanian sex workers issue if you can elaborate.
Guytaur
The union of the crowns is not what the SNP is campaigning to leave (though most members are republican). Its the 1707 treaty of union of the nations and parliaments.
The SNP conference just voted to stop funding the Queen and her family. Purely symbolic as of course that is controlled by Westminster.
However, the Scot Gov is getting control of the Scottish Crown Estates next year. The Gov has already foreshadowed that parts will be diverted for support of local communities.
As a result of the clearances and the industrial revolution, Scotland has the most unequal land distribution in Europe bar none. Large swaths of the country are owned by a small group of large landlords. Many large estates are just used for hunting.
Swamp
I was talking history. Not what the SNP campaign is doing now.
The role of Monarchy has changed in the centuries
dtt
Apparently their is a companionship aspect to the escort business and the Romanian girls lack of english may have limited conversation. But I can not see the blokes heading home and saying that it I want these Romanian hookers gone, ok so they are drop dead gorgeous, great in bed, and wonderful at giving cuddles but their lack English is terrible. So what they know all the naughty words but they just can’t connect on emotional level. Poor blokes I feel sorry for them.
Good interview by Butler.
I watched Mark Butler on Insiders and Richard DiNatali on Sky News Agenda this morning.
Butler was OK, DiNatali was hopeless.
Tip: never believe a word said by Greg Hunt.
Fargo
That is a farrago if ever i saw it.
Yes the Scottish Darien colony was a disaster. But you do realise that the English effectivlt blockaded it and forbad any trader from trading with it.
You do realise that the English Parliament threatened to ban all trade between Scotland and England unless the Scots Parliament ( made up of the aristocracy only) voted to unite.
And that the Scots aristocrates would not only get their debts paid but guaranteed protection of their privelges, titles and seats in the Lords.
You. Also realise when the people of Scotland found out rioting broke out and popular oppostion was militarily repressed.
The Scots did not beg for union at all. Sold out by the weaknes of their ruling class and English blackmail.
Come on people
Can you not see a bit of a joke.
Polish plumbers is a catch cry (or was) and Rumanian sex workers was me having a bit of a lend of you.Thought it was obvious but clearly you lack the UK brand of subtle humour.
The obvious issue is that some Brits feel that people from Europe were taking their jobs. Plumbers and sex workers seemed to me amusing choices with a touch of contrast and avoided me have to gosearch data to find the % of Europeans working in UK and their jobs..
Ho hum.
Gerard throwing bouquets at Abbott for his ‘brilliant speech’.
Fair enough dtt however not sure it was European immigration that scares the Brits.
dfblokes: If the churches are allowed so much say in our secular society Gerard, then I choose the environment as my religion. kthx #insiders
Wow Gerard
Gee Henderson is a misery guts!
For once I agree with Henderson. The media should ignore the humble backbencher
OMG Gerard made a joke!
lizzie
I distrust Frydenberg as much as Hunt.
Swamprat
Add to that the fact that most of the Scottish aristocracy were in essence English anyway, having intermarried so freely with the English. It stated way back with that king who gave all his sons Saxon names – Edward, Edmund, Edgar etc. Malcolm III it was (another turncoat odd ball with this name).
CTar1
Agree. Frydenberg is a weasel and currently he has more power than Hunt.
Wow Henderson follows up calling Catholics going to confession idiots!!
Steely
I think there is a bit of a North South divide re Europe. I think in the South they had more or less accepted the Polish plumbers possibly less so in the North.
The burning issue was the flood of refugees from Syria and Africa.
Middleton excellent this morning.
How hypocritical that Peta Credlin, who played such a prominent roll in the bastardisation of Australian politics, now presents herself as someone who fears for the political future of the country. She even has the gall to suggest that Julia Gillard’s alleged broken promise over the carbon tax was a major factor in her demise, when she (Credlin) has openly admitted that there was no such thing as a carbon tax. She just made it up to get Abbott elected and then boasted later how clever she was.
If Peta Credlin wants to reflect on what is ailing the Australian political system she can start by looking in her own mirror and then taking a good look at the piece of shit she somehow managed to shoe horn into the Prime Ministership and all the chaos he has caused – and is still causing.
Darn +100
BK:
Di Natale reminds me of a used car salesman.
swamprat @ #953 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 9:17 am
Eco Man, George Monbiot, on the gross disparity in ownership and the devastation of the uplands ~ about 30 mins pretty riveting viewing IMO ~ in the context of the failure of UK National Parks to do much anything other than accomodate the rent seekers. Lessons to be learnt here.
For those like me unable to stomach Henderson:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=427&v=SYdm6k1tg3Y
Henderson has jumped the Shark. Defending Trump
di Natale’s the sort of politician who will chose to say ‘They’ve stolen our policy’ rather than ‘We’re happy they are trying to do what we want’ with the implicit ‘They are all the same’.
The Scottish Parliament has been fulminating about a land re-distribution. I am not sure if it has changed but it used to be that no-one actually knew who owned vast swathes of Scotland.
CTar1 @ #817 Saturday, October 14th, 2017 – 7:34 pm
Yep Butibum is the pigeon spelling.
The Yanks did a attack parachute at Nadzab which is west of Lae and now the main Lae airport. The old airport in Lae (on the coast) itself now redeveloped.
Plenty of Aussies as well in the overall Lae/Markham Valley/Nadzab campaign.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landing_at_Nadzab
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Markham_and_Ramu_Valley_%E2%80%93_Finisterre_Range_campaign
Thanks Itzadream. I was not aware of that.
There is a village outside Lae in PNG called BeautiBum – Yank soldiers in WW2 ‘admired’ the shape of the local women apparently – and the name stuck.
Wouldn’t our American friends have called the place Beautibutt or Greatass? Looks apocryphal.
dave – An uncle described it as alternatively wading in water up to your neck, holding your rifle above your head and then scrambling over mangrove roots for hours.
I don’t think he ‘enjoyed’ that bit.
BW
A cousin of mine was an estates manager for a large landed estate in Scotland. When I asked him about the titles, he said it was incredibly complicated as you had to take account of a multitude of royal grants and revocations of land over the years as the “lairds” fell in and out of favour.
CTaR1
There is a boardwalk through some of the Singapore mangroves which would probably be similar to the PNG north coast mangroves.
It was bad enough on the board walk – steaming hot, insect throbbing, miasmic…
This doesn’t sound like random breath testing anymore.
Ms Ronan said after blowing a reading of 0.00 the officers did a background computer check on her and told her she was under suspicion of driving with a suspended licence, something she disputes.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-15/mother-claims-police-harrassment-over-unpaid-fines/9050214
Land reform
Sturgeon has given the Ulva community thr right to buy theirr island.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-41569184
CTar1 @ #984 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 10:17 am
Yes the Japanese tried to pull back to Madang to the North from Lae via the coast and exactly the conditions you describe. Few Japanese made it to Madang – killed or starved on the way – even if they had made it, Madang was taken by the Allies shortly thereafter.
Australian Patrol Officers (ie Kiaps) – even in the 1970’s used to reckon that area had vertical swamps as well as horizontal ones ( Tim Bowden’s excellent ABC audio series Time Bilong Masta – The Australian involvement in PNG).
The Markham valley area though large open flat areas which were used for cattle grazing and Sugar Cane growing in the 1970’s. But the imposing Finisterre Ranges to the North as you head for Madang.
BK
Peta Credlin grits her teeth and declares that axing Turnbull will not fix things. Google.
Credlin has implicitly conceded that Abbott has no chance, at least at present. Her response is to oppose everyone else that could conceivably challenge Turnbull.
Police ordinarily can do a number of checks concerning a licence and rego as part of a random breath test. There should be a strict formula of words said by a police officer to a driver if some irregularity appears so that needless argy bargy is avoided.
In NSW you can be pulled over by a moving police car for the administration of a random breath test and have those checks done.
Welcome to the club!
There’s a couple of other members close to me. Cambodia and Laos. 🙁
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-15/bosnia-may-never-be-clear-of-land-mines/9029692
don @ #921 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 5:30 am
She’s a lightweight and has it all wrong.
Far too many words and no pictures. Nobody will read that.
dave – yes. I heard many stories as a child about campaigns the Silent Seventh were involved in from my uncle. He was my fathers farming partner, lived with us, and a bit talkative at times (with suitable censorship).. He loved to tell funny stories about his time in the M-E and about other bits he’d only say ‘hard work’.
A Laverack man through and through.
Uncle’s name was John, known to one and all as Jack. He got no end of ribbing when George Johnston’s book ‘My Brother Jack’ was published.
[shellbell
Police ordinarily can do a number of checks concerning a licence and rego as part of a random breath test. There should be a strict formula of words said by a police officer to a driver if some irregularity appears so that needless argy bargy is avoided.
In NSW you can be pulled over by a moving police car for the administration of a random breath test and have those checks done.]
That seems to be muddying the waters regarding word “random”,
What would motivate a moving police car to “randomly” stop another vehicle?
To me that leaves it open for “targeted” tests based on stereotypes the officer’s personal prejudice.
The disintegration of the Right continues. Excellent situation.
[grimace
don @ #921 Sunday, October 15th, 2017 – 5:30 am
guytaur
latikambourke: Either the LNP is branching into offering some unusual services or candidate Belinda Kippen needs a better subbie. pic.twitter.com/I3AcWNYPk5
comment image
See, spelling is important!
She’s a lightweight and has it all wrong.
Far too many words and no pictures. Nobody will read that.]
… including the people responsible for issuing the release.
Something for the LNP holdouts to read:
https://www.alternet.org/environment/coal-going-down-even-without-clean-power-plan
Where did Scott Morrison put that piece of coal again?
CTar1 – I had some contact with 9th Division blokes. As school cadets we provided the Guard at the Cenotaph for their reunions in the late 1960’s and were invited to join them after for lunch etc.
Decent blokes who had been through a lot, with some good, modest yarns.
How wide is our galaxy?
More than 66,000 light years.
http://www.iflscience.com/space/the-far-side-of-our-galaxy-has-been-seen-for-the-first-time/