Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Labor in WA

As cabinet assembles in Western Australia, more evidence that the state looms as a big problem for the Turnbull government.

A quiet week looms on the opinion poll front, but Perth’s Sunday Times newspaper entered the breach yesterday with a WA-only poll of federal voting intention conducted by Galaxy, tailored to coincide with cabinet’s visit to the state this week. The results delivered the paper the hard-hitting headline it was presumably angling for, recording Labor with a 52-48 two-party lead that amounts to a 6% swing compared with last year’s election. The primary vote results were Coalition 39% (down from 48.7%), Labor 37% (up from 32.4%) and Greens 11% (down from 12.1%), with One Nation on 5%. Malcolm Turnbull nonetheless recorded a 43-33 lead over Bill Shorten as preferred prime minister. The poll also found 59% saying they would vote yes at a same-sex marrige plebiscite, compared with 32% for no; and 61% saying they did not trust the government to “change the distribution of GST revenue to ensure WA receives a fairer share”, with 21% saying they did. It was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 850.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

714 comments on “Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Labor in WA”

Comments Page 4 of 15
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  1. daretotread
    Briefly

    I regard you as a serial apologist for the USA and its warmongering, so we are square

    Oh, lulz me more and more dtt. You will look high and low for such apologies from me and you will not find them.

    The difference between you and me (and, I suspect, most others) is I have not been so gullible as to be taken in by either Putin or Trump. You are their dupe.

  2. Australia mirrors that Mimhoff … in that the conservative side of politics can be a creeping evil yet ALP always gets the blame.

  3. [Urban Wronski‏ @UrbanWronski · 28m28 minutes ago

    Sensational Daily Tele page with pix if you love terror but need reminding what a mincer or iPhone look like. And a map. Bugger the law.]

  5. To be pro Russian you have to favour dictatorship over democracy. Russia has only had a very brief period of freedom for its people before Putin took that freedom away.

    Putin is a weak leader who cannot stand free speech and critique let alone a true opposition party.

  6. The Russia of 50 years ago was vastly different from the Russia of the Putin era.

    We now have a kleptocratic Oligarchy of extreme proportions – a far cry from the socialist ideology-based totalitarian state that many western watchers seemed to view it back in the day.

  7. jenauthor

    Interesting short piece from Maddow on Friday asking whether Trump might have already served his purpose to the Russians

    i.e. He has given the entire world a perception that US is in chaos and no longer the power it once was.

    This makes Putin ‘feel’ more powerful on the world stage.

    *****************************************************

    I have said repeatedly on here that Putin has achieved more in 6 months to ‘destabilise’ the US than all the Russian efforts in the last 70+ years ……………..

  8. mimhoff:

    The latest excuses from Republicans is that you can’t blame Trump because he’s new to this governing stuff. It’s actually the people he has in his team which is letting the President down.

  11. lizzie @ #149 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:00 am

    I am puzzled. How does a child become pro-Russian? By inheritance, perhaps? I could understand that.

    Well I was brought up with a clear understanding of the enormous suffering of the Soviet people in WWII when they were out ‘gallant allies’ and I could never understand the hatred with which some people viewed Russians.
    I also knew they had a totalitarian government and one I would not like to live under.
    So even in childhood, I harboured no malice toward Russians and I admired their achievements like Sputnik, Yuri Gagarin etc. In that sense, I suppose you could say I was pro-Russian.
    But I also admired much about the USA, had no malice toward the USA and in many ways was pro-American.
    Does one really have to pick a side and demonise the other or can one be a bit more nuanced?

  13. As an ancient Egyptophile I always smile when I see the papal regalia, ItzaDream.

    The depictions of the vizier’s vestments in the 18th dynasty Egypt are startlingly similar. Also the Jewish vestments.

    Justsayin

  15. bemused

    There is a difference between being pro Russian in the sense you are saying and being Pro Russia when discussing actions of world powers.

    Putin’s Russia has very little to recommend it. I am hoping that true democracy returns for the Russian people. Thats my pro Russian view.

  16. Tank9999: #auspol You know Malcolm Turnbull is in trouble when Twitter is all over #water #DualCitizens
    & #MSM is all Security & Terror Terror Terror

  17. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-07-31/discrimination-against-refugees-arriving-in-australia-report/8757968?WT.mc_id=newsmail&WT.tsrc=Newsmail
    [Refugees settled in Australia are being treated with disrespect by federal service providers and having their welfare payments unfairly docked, according to a new report by the Refugee Council of Australia.
    …
    The report includes several examples of hostile treatment from staff at government service provider Jobactive, such as a case where a refugee was told they had only come to Australia to get “easy money”.

    Another, 32-year-old Karen, who did not want to be identified, said he was routinely treated with disrespect.
    “They once told me that my clothes and shoes are very dirty and that I looked shabby,” he said.

    “I felt ashamed… but I could not do anything due to my dependence on Centrelink payment and my limited English.”

    In some cases, refugees reported having their welfare payments docked for missing appointments with employment services — even if they had a valid excuse.]

  18. Hi guytaur, When you see what supposedly ‘true democracy’ has served up in the USA, it is hard to see how that can be said to be working. I am not at all optimistic about the world we are bequeathing to our children and grandchildren.

  19. dtt’s world: false accusations are seriously damaging to a politician, but factual ones are nothing to worry about.

  20. I still think China is the big long term winner from the US’s self inflicted trump disaster, although of course Russia and Europe benefit massively from the depth of dumb the US is giving to the world.

    Speaking of stupid lovely to have Turnbull in WA, what a fine leader he is.

    Finally does anyone know who many terror suspects are being held without yet being convicted and of those 13 plots they are talking about have foiled how many convictions have followed?

    I could be wrong but I feel if the plots were a little more scarry we’d have more details of them. Given the AFP can’t change a light bulb without inviting the press to it I’m working on the assumption the ‘plots’ are pretty weak, and are being prepared by largely stupid young men.

    Just heard someone say the latest plot has being ‘foiled’ so early they can’t charge anyone but want to detain them anyway *rolls eyes* can’t help but think of the statement or idea that those who give up liberty for security deserve neither.

  22. AH OK so some head of some Australian Govt security body has just effectively admitted this terrorism stunt is all about encryption … so explicitly a partisan stunt to support the govt agend. I give up.

  23. To say Clinton was hawkish but Obama wasn’t suggests that Obama wasn’t in control of his own Presidency. You can’t blame one and absolve the other; he was in charge. If Clinton was acting without his approval, she would have been sacked.

  24. Yabba

    The US system has a lot of flaws. Russia copied US system with some flaws and thats what allowed Putin’s rise. Of course all systems have flaws.

    To me the best democracies are places like Iceland which even have the accountability to jail the business people responsible for the GFC.

  25. jenna

    [He has given the entire world a perception that US is in chaos and no longer the power it once was.]

    Yep. The first thing Trump did was to undermine most of the alliances the US has had since the 50’s. Once allies start to lose faith that the US will help them the the ability of the US push its power in the UN and the like because they can’t say look at all our allies.

  26. Ahhh now a plug for the discredited home office idea … if the AFP raid wasn’t a political stunt, they wont be thanking this kind of stuff

  27. WWP

    “head of some Australian Govt security body has just effectively admitted this terrorism stunt is all about encryption”

    Link, or did you hear it?

  28. Itza

    According to clairvoyants/mediums everyone was an ancient Egyptian. Or a slave girl at Nero’s court.

    I suspect that – like the bulk of humanity – if I had past lives, I mainly spent them as a peasant.

  29. guytaur @ #165 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:12 am

    bemused

    There is a difference between being pro Russian in the sense you are saying and being Pro Russia when discussing actions of world powers.

    Putin’s Russia has very little to recommend it. I am hoping that true democracy returns for the Russian people. Thats my pro Russian view.

    The west must take some of the credit for the Russia of today.
    Instead of seizing the opportunity offered when the Soviet Union collapsed and embracing Russia as a now friendly country, the hostility was continued and the way opened for the Kleptocrats.
    The Russians feared NATO extending to their border and understood they had an agreement that this would not happen and yet it has come to pass.
    And so we have the current situation in Ukraine.
    Made in the USA as much as Russia.

  33. Trump administration doubles down on elimination of transgender military personnel

    Top national security aide Sebastian Gorka and Energy Secretary Rick Perry both spoke in favor of President Donald Trump’s decision

    “The military is not a microcosm of civilian society,” Gorka said on BBC Radio 4. “They are not there to reflect America. They are there to kill people and blow stuff up. They are not there to be socially engineered.”

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/07/trump-administration-doubles-down-on-elimination-of-transgender-military-personnel/

  37. WeWantPaul @ #172 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:21 am

    AH OK so some head of some Australian Govt security body has just effectively admitted this terrorism stunt is all about encryption … so explicitly a partisan stunt to support the govt agend. I give up.

    But..but, all the vox pops at the airport that the highly trained ABC journo managed to gather as a substitute for doing any actual investigation, seemed very pleased that the authorities were doing everything that they could to keep us safe.

  38. zoomster @ #178 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:26 am

    Itza

    According to clairvoyants/mediums everyone was an ancient Egyptian. Or a slave girl at Nero’s court.

    I suspect that – like the bulk of humanity – if I had past lives, I mainly spent them as a peasant.

    Fun isn’t it. I tell people what I was in a future life – that throws them off balance for a while.

  39. Bemused

    Agreed. No clean hands. However when the West is being weakened by a dictator and we have an apologist on the blog for that I don’t think thats any too nuanced. Thats just supporting a dictator.

  40. a r @ #186 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:34 am

    phoenixRED @ #183 Monday, July 31st, 2017 – 11:32 am

    They are there to kill people and blow stuff up.

    I wonder how members of the military feel about having their purpose summed up so maladroitly?

    Certainly not why I joined up.
    Those are the unfortunate consequences if military force ever has to be employed after diplomacy has failed.
    I would suggest anyone joining to satisfy some urge to kill is probably entirely unsuited.

  44. a r

    “They are there to kill people and blow stuff up.”

    I wonder how members of the military feel about having their purpose summed up so maladroitly

    *****************************************************

    I’ve read his Secretary of Defense, General ‘Mad Dog’ Mattis ( who did say – “Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everybody you meet.” ) has gone on “vacation” …….. and rumours are now flying that National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster is on verge of being fired ……. so some of Trumps Generals are not falling into line with the Gorka doctrine ??????

  46. OaaSvc: What are our rights in this case? ping @apf_oz @DrMoniqueMann twitter.com/warkolm/status…

    warkolm: apparently after this weekend and their events, airport security may ask for access to your electronic devices?

  47. Thanks Barney

    I did not know that. Only 7.5 years of Pence. of course impeachment processes take a long long time so we could be looking at definitely 1 yr 11 months Pence plus four plus four ie 10 years. Indeed if I were Pence I would be holding the Republicans back a while so that he would meet this two year rule.

    Oh and Jen I am assuming the bit you did not follow is the order of succession in the USA. It is very clear. Pence first then Ryan then this Hatch fellow then Secretary of state – ie Tillerson. All the key secretaries are on the list – it goes to 18 but one is excluded as of now because not born in USA. – It is all in Wikipedia.

  49. A R

    Donation done. I didn’t realize it was in US dollars, so I actually ended up donating A$130.

    Still a bargain!

  50. I love how DTT thinks that after having a President jailed or executed for treason, the Republicans might win the next two elections.

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