Labor’s lead remains steady at 52-48 in this week’s reading of the Essential Research fortnight rolling average, from primary votes of 38% for the Coalition (steady), 35% for Labor 35% (down one), 9% for Greens 9% (down one) and 9% for One Nation (up one), whose curious resurgence was the subject of an article I had in Crikey on Monday. Also featured are Essential’s monthly leadership ratings, which find Malcolm Turnbull down one on approval to 36% and down three on disapproval to 45%; Bill Shorten steady at 34% and down two to 43%; and Turnbull leading 39-26 on preferred prime minister, up from 39-31 last month. In other findings, the poll also records only 17% saying the recent budget improved their perception of the government, compared with 30% saying it made it worse; a 41-32 majority in favour of a clean energy target if it resulted in price rises of 5%, turning into a 50-21 deficit if they rose 10%; and 64% favouring investment in renewables in a no-strings-attached question compared with 18% for coal.
Also out yesterday was the Lowy Institute’s annual survey on Australian attitudes to international affairs and the direction of the country. Among many other things, the results find Australians continuing to rate the alliance with the United States highly (53% very important and 29% fairly important, recovering to near 2015 levels after a dip to 42% and 29% last year), with Donald Trump’s influence on perceptions of the US rating slightly less badly than George W. Bush in 2007 (60% said Trump contributed to an unfavourable opinion of the United States against 37% for no, compared with 69% and 27% for Bush). However, the proportion of respondents rating the US as Australia’s best friend has slumped from 35% to 17% since 2014, with the beneficiary being New Zealand, up from 32% to 53%. Only 20% now say they have a “great deal” of trust in the US to act responsibly in the world, compared with 40% in 2011.
Labor’s attempt to amend Gonski 2.0 fails
Senate now votes to move the school funding bill to a committee stage, where senators can ask direct questions of the minister about the legislation.
Perhaps, if Labor had dealt themselves into negotiations, we might be the ‘wiser’.
Yes, they should have capitulated on their principles wrt Gonski like The Greens, eh Pegasus?
Because if there was one thing you could have taken to the bank, the Coalition were NEVER going to agree to the Full Gonski package that Labor developed. Now, it seems, neither will The Greens.
Cat
Unless the Greens vote with the LNP on Gonski which does not seem likely from what we are seeing from the Senate, then by default the Greens are supporting the Gillard government already signed up to deals
Xenophon presser on Gonski
Lambie is with Xenophon at this presser
I hope the Greens get in quick to support the bill. Wouldn’t like the eventual fallout to land just on the LNP & Crossbench.
And if the L-NP had kept their “unity ticket” promise there would be no partisanship in the first place.
Briefly,
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-21/northern-territory-intervention-flawed-indigenous-nt-scullion/8637034
Lambie is voting for…
Education Minister Simon Birmingham is speaking.
He says the Greens have been “thoughtful and constructive contributors”.
The Guardian:
But now that most of the Coalition have accepted it, Labor should welcome it and promise to ramp up funding when we get there. Due to competing constituencies, Labor will find it harder to stare down Catholic and independent schools.
If Labor are worried about enshrining the 80-20 split between public and private schools, they can also fix that with Greens support when they are in government.
I guess you could also say, that as well as being pro underpaid Au Pairs, The Greens are now Anti Union. They certainly haven’t taken a blind bit of notice of the AEU.
Cat
Wow. The LNP have played Labor brilliantly. Even after the votes are clear you are still attacking the Greens who are voting with Labor not the LNP
I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of Greens voters are teachers or ex-teachers. Meg Lees moment anyone?
Which is why I said didn’t Natale would be the most relieved guy in Canberra AJM
Which is why I said didn’t Natale would be the most relieved guy in Canberra AJM
Finkel, Finkel little tsar,
How I wonder who you are.
Far above the earthly crowds,
Head forever in the clouds,
Finkel, Finkel little tsar,
How I wonder who you are.
By the way Labor has won the war even if they have lost this battle.
Its now politically accepted the criteria for Education funding is Needs Based Funding. This makes it easier for future education reforms. The LNP have conceded their old always the private first last and always.
That is a huge win for education and a lasting legacy from the last Labor government years. So Labor is to be congratulated. By shifting this they have got education debate into the same territory as Medicare.
Its accepted its who does it better now
Zoomster @11:28 The problem with voting for something on the basis that a Labor government will then fix it is that Labor might not get into government.
True, but then at least things have been pushed along in the right direction.
Gonski will pass. It will be law. The process is excruciating, but will be a big win for Turnbull. The ALP should have supported it, and said it would be offering more funding when the next election is called.
The optics now are the ALP and George Pells community are just playing ” look at moi” politics,
Overall, it’s lesson on the crap politics that’s at the core of modern life. It all about the political win, whatever the cost.
As I said this morning. Shorten will happily use any good bits out of this in their election policy, and bash Trumble with cuts to schools in the next two years all the way to the election.
The Greens will be glad not to be in the crossfire.
Trumble owns every problem with schools now.
I wonder how the NSW government are going to react?
If this is true then I retract:
That shows that some in The Greens’ party room have principles and a backbone.
“True, but then at least things have been pushed along in the right direction.”
Yes, and the Greens played a constructive role in the process during negotiations.
Al Pal – Yawn.
While it seems that the government has a deal with the crossbenchers, there are no official amendments on the chamber documents yet. But the consensus in the debate from the players is:
Faster roll out of funding from 10 years to six
Binding the states to commit their funding
Independent school funding body to oversee funding formulas and audits
For the next 12 months, a delay to changes to the Catholic system. The details on this are a bit sketchy and may mean different things to different senators so all things liable to change without notice.
Lenore Taylor (@lenoretaylor) 21/6/17, 9:01 am
Also includes:
Tony_Burke: Sky News just cut from the Press Club to cover Peter Dutton’s Presser. After one sentence they gave up and returned to Press Club. #auspol
What’s Rhiannon doing?
Guardian
It would appear the Greens were cut out, in favour of a deal with the crossbench.
Not relying on the Greens vote makes it politically easier for Turnbull and Birmingham in their own party room with the three As – Tony Abbott, Eric Abetz and Kevin Andrews.
Wow, the Greens tried to sell out and had the door shut in their faces. Tough day at the office for the black wiggle. This will have repercussions.
“Binding the states to commit their funding”
I wonder what binding method is planned. Tied grants for education?
Where does the money for states education spending come from now?
KJ
https://www.education.gov.au/funding-schools
Chief political scientist Finkel.
He got lucky Anton
So is Senator Back still talking about crossing the floor?
Peg that says “Government schools receive the majority of their public funding from their state or territory government, with the Australian Government providing supplementary funding”.
So where do the states get their funds for Government schools and how will the Commonwealth bind those funds?
No B.C.
The delay for the Catholics got him back on board
Will the States sign up?
So, when we get close to the next election, the govt will have to find money to buy off the Catholic schools. Good luck with that.
Guardian lunchtime wrap:
Early on Wednesday afternoon the government won a vote at the second reading stage of the bill with the support of One Nation, NXT, Lambie, Derryn Hinch and Lucy Gichuhi.
If those 10 crossbench senators continue to vote with the government, the bill can be passed without the Greens, who have been dealing extensively with the government but have not concluded a final position and voted against the move to bring on the second reading.
Unintended consequences? Or not.
Victoria
Ministers come to the regions to make major announcements. If we’re not seeing them in the regions, that’s because there aren’t major announcements to make.
A11
“So, when we get close to the next election, the govt will have to find money to buy off the Catholic schools. Good luck with that.”
And that’s exactly what Gillard did. She caved in to the Catholic lobby, made a special funding deal with them, as well as 20 plus other deals with most states and sectors, thereby “bastardising” the original Gonski’s intent of needs-based funding across all sectors and states.
This will portrayed as a win for Mal the magnificent, but as usual the devil will be in the detail.
The level of political debate in this country is woeful, principally caused by the media who are the ones usually complaining about how woeful the standard of political debate is in this country.
Lizzie,
You have targeted the very issue left unanswered.
Birmingham is running around doing deals that appear to include signing the states and territories up to something they have not been consulted about. Given the states have signed negotiated agreements with the Commonwealth I find it very interesting that as well as reneging on those agreements Turnbull also signs them up to investing more money into public schools. No COAG, no nothing.
It will be interesting to see what has been agreed to and how the states respond especially as most have just handed down their own budgets and would have not included the extra funding Turnbull is now demanding.
Cheers.
Zoomster
I haven’t been following closely, but there have been several policy and funding announcements over the past six months in different regional areas. Whether ministers attended personally. I do not know. The only ones that stand out for me was the rail package and some health and drug services funding.
Robo debt and denial: Ben Eltham
In sum, Alan Tudge should take responsibility for this mess and lose his position, as should Kathryn Campbell.
https://newmatilda.com/2017/06/21/robo-debt-and-denial-the-protocols-of-centrelink/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=socialnetwork
Zoomster
And the other one that comes to mind was a package for the Latrobe Valley in responses to the Hazelwood plant shutting down
As well as waiting to see how the states and territories respond to the apparent deal on the mad dog breakfast education funding policy of Turnbull I will al be interested to see how much real negotiation Birmingham has had with the Catholic sector. If he is simply offering up something to his own backbench as cover but has not reached agreement with the Catholics things may still be interesting.
ATM nothing has been finalised, no detail provided and the MSM are running around grabbing at anything.
Whatever the final landing point the education funding debate is far far from over.
Cheers.