Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Newspoll comes in at 53-47 for the third time in a row, with both leaders down slightly on their net approval ratings.

The first Newspoll result in three weeks, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor’s two-party preferred lead unchanged at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 36% (steady), Labor 37% (up one), Greens 9% (down one) and One Nation 11% (up two). The two leaders have recorded identical personal ratings of 32% approval and 55% disapproval, which in Malcolm Turnbull’s case means a three point drop on approval and a one point increase on disapproval, while Bill Shorten is respectively down one and up two. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 44-31, compared with 45-33 last time. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1786.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,032 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. diogenes @ #1000 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:53 pm

    Yes it was Chateau Reynella port. Worst hangover I’ve ever had. Can’t go near the stuff now.

    I know what you mean. I have an aversion to a couple of food items that I associate with upset stomachs I had as a child. They may have been entirely innocent, but I cannot break the association and just can’t touch them.

  2. In the US senators don’t campaign from a party songbook: they definitely back some bits and not others as each state has different needs. If every senator had the same platform without tailoring it to their state, they’d lose.

  4. Dio,
    I got some Carolina Reaper chillies today. Oooooohhh baby were they hot.

    I put them in my 5 Alarm Chilli Con Carne.! 🙂

  5. Bemused
    It’s to do with a very strong emotion burning into your limbic system the association between a bad food experience and a situation. It’s like Prousts madeleine cakes in reverse.

  6. C@T
    You’re one sick puppy. About a 2mm nibble which was about a twentieth of one reaper chilli exploded in my mouth.

  8. I thought that the Lateline interview of Tony Burke was appalling. Unnecessarily aggressive and constant repetition without the chance to complete the answer.

  9. john reidy @ #979 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:23 pm

    Link to the SMH article http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/turnbull-governments-worker-exploitation-crackdown-delayed-20170620-gwulij.html?btis
    Turnbull’s worker exploitation crackdown delayed
    The government says the Senate is too busy to deal with the bill, even though the Senate has run out of work to do.

    The appropriate word is “shelved”, not “delayed”. The sentence should read:
    “Turnbull’s worker exploitation crackdown shelved“

  10. You’re one sick puppy.

    😀

    Little secret. I let them dry out before I use them. It seems to take a lot of the sting out of them. Then they only become ‘mouth-watering and eye-watering’. 🙂

  11. I thought that the Lateline interview of Tony Burke was appalling. Unnecessarily aggressive and constant repetition without the chance to complete the answer.

    For the life of me I can’t understand why the ABC persists in doing this to Labor interviewees. All the Coalition voters are watching Sky and the Labor voters just become angry and eventually can take no more and switch off!

  12. kop @ #1008 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 11:08 pm

    I thought that the Lateline interview of Tony Burke was appalling. Unnecessarily aggressive and constant repetition without the chance to complete the answer.

    She had her script she wanted to get through in the available time.
    He handled her well and played to his agenda, not hers.
    Good interview.

  13. Yes, he did, Bemused. She on the other hand was egging KG on a few minutes earlier and then puts on a different mask a few minutes later – doesn’t make her look like a fair and balanced jourmo.

  15. kop @ #1013 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 11:20 pm

    Yes, he did, Bemused. She on the other hand was egging KG on a few minutes earlier and then puts on a different mask a few minutes later – doesn’t make her look like a fair and balanced jourmo.

    Those interviews are done hours earlier and may be separated by some time.
    A good interviewee will always get their message across.

  17. I thought that the Lateline interview of Tony Burke was appalling. Unnecessarily aggressive and constant repetition without the chance to complete the answer.

    The ABC is a shadow of its former self these days, so this kinda stuff doesn’t surprise me at all.

  18. It’s Election Day in the Atlanta suburbs, so let’s start today’s newsletter with an extremely short political quiz: What percentage of American citizens between the ages of 18 and 24 voted in the last Congressional midterm elections in 2014?

    (Seriously, look away from your screen for a few seconds and take a guess.)

    The 2014 elections, as you may recall, gave Senate control to the Republican Party. With that control, Republicans prevented Barack Obama from filling an open Supreme Court seat. President Trump instead chose the very conservative Neil Gorsuch to fill that seat.
    So it’s fair to say that the 2014 elections will affect this country — and its policies on climate change, inequality, civil rights, gun control and many other issues — for decades to come.

    Now here’s the answer to the quiz: 17 percent of American citizens between the ages of 18 and 24 voted in that 2014 election that will cast a long shadow over their adult lives.

    17 percent.

    By comparison, 59 percent of citizens aged 65 and older voted in that election.

    From the NY Times Dawn Patrol. Seriously, it would seem young voters in the US need to catch a clue.

  20. diogenes @ #1002 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:56 pm

    In the US senators don’t campaign from a party songbook: they definitely back some bits and not others as each state has different needs. If every senator had the same platform without tailoring it to their state, they’d lose.

    No they just pander to special interest and lobbyist money.

  22. grimace Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:23 pm

    To be fair to FPMJG she was a woman, an atheist and a progressive. In the eyes of the shock jocks and L/NP it could only have been worse if she was a woman of colour.

    Maybe, with her red hair, they thought she was.

  23. citizen Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:25 pm

    I know this is somewhat off topic, but I am intrigued by the various rules and customs dictating what side of the escalator to stand, so that others in a hurry may pass. When visiting a foreign place for the first time I try to check what is the rule/custom to avoid upsetting some shopper or commuter in a hurry.

    I was recently in Japan. In most of the places we visited, including Tokyo and Kyoto people stood on the left. However, in Osaka and Kobe (both close to Kyoto) people stood on the right. I’ve searched the Internet and can’t find a reason for this. Although many people have commented on it, no one seems to know why it’s the case.

  24. CNN Politics
    26 mins ·
    Donald Trump’s nominee to be the director of the FBI, Christopher Wray, represented an American energy executive in 2006 who was being criminally investigated by the Russian government.

    It doesn’t matter how far removed, all roads lead to Russia when it comes to Trump.

  28. The Lowy Institute has just released their 13th yearly survey. There is always a ‘environment’ segment. This years –

    Energy security

    Australians clearly prioritise government investment in renewables over traditional energy sources. Most of them (81%) want the government to ‘focus on renewables, even if this means we may need to invest more in infrastructure to make the system more reliable’. Only 17% say ‘the government should focus on traditional energy sources such as coal and gas, even if this means the environment may suffer to some extent’.

    The full results here: https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/2017-lowy-institute-poll

  30. US:

    Georgia election: Trump faces knife-edge congressional vote

    The US state of Georgia holds a congressional election on Tuesday, with the Democrats seeking to deliver their first major blow to Donald Trump’s presidency.

    Polls suggest the race for the seat in suburban Atlanta between Jon Ossoff and Republican Karen Handel is very close.

    Spending on all candidates has been put at $56m (£44m), making it the costliest congressional election in US history.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40340081

  32. Earlier this morning –

    The Federal Government could be on the brink of getting enough votes to pass its multi-billion dollar school funding package.

    The Greens are expected to make a decision on whether they will back the bill this morning, while the Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) said it has had encouraging discussions with the Coalition and is waiting for a written guarantee its demands will be met.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-21/education-funding-bill-to-face-senate-as-deal-nears/8636532

    ( /sarcasm/ Sen Small Separate Liberal will ‘win’ 35 cents for each student starting 6 years after the start and claim a great victory.)

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