Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Newspoll comes in at 53-47 for the third time in a row, with both leaders down slightly on their net approval ratings.

The first Newspoll result in three weeks, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor’s two-party preferred lead unchanged at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 36% (steady), Labor 37% (up one), Greens 9% (down one) and One Nation 11% (up two). The two leaders have recorded identical personal ratings of 32% approval and 55% disapproval, which in Malcolm Turnbull’s case means a three point drop on approval and a one point increase on disapproval, while Bill Shorten is respectively down one and up two. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 44-31, compared with 45-33 last time. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1786.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,032 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 20 of 21
1 19 20 21
  1. I wonder if the drop in ABC appearances is deliberate

    I’ve wondered the same thing myself. Is Labor being invited to appear on these shows and declining, or not being invited at all?

  2. Doyley:

    The Gonski thing appears (to me anyways) to be another Turnbull stuff up. He gambled on rushing a budget measure through that wasn’t on an issue the govt owned in the public eye, and is now paying for it. We’ll see what the Greens do tomorrow.

  3. poroti @ #950 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:57 pm

    Oh dear. Not good for Truffles when the GG are featuring “Fraudband”.

    NBN refuses to release internet speeds

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/technology/nbn-withholds-individual-internet-speeds/news-story/a11c87cbaa56b3ff126693185baf0549

    Next year when, hopefully, we’ll get access to fixed wireless I will be asking for a contract that states the minimum speeds we will be supplied 95% of the time. This type of service level agreement is common.
    But I won’t be holding my breath!

  4. Confessions and Poroti
    Just ate the mussels can assure you lovely. I will be given dessert on the house plus a glass of ouzo shortly agree it is an acquired taste, I am still trying to acquire. A beautiful day about 28c not a cloud in the sky, overlooking milos harbour, bliss. Am feeding the fish with excess bread. Off to Serifos Friday

  5. confessions @ #951 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:57 pm

    I wonder if the drop in ABC appearances is deliberate

    I’ve wondered the same thing myself. Is Labor being invited to appear on these shows and declining, or not being invited at all?

    I’d be surprised if it was not invited at all, it would not be worth the trouble that it caused whatever very senior manager at the ABC that made the decision. My bet is a deliberate strategy.

    Bypassing the media and going direct to voters has worked extremely well for progressive politicians in the Australia, the UK and US over the last few years. I would imagine that an extension of that strategy is what is going on.

    From a big data point of view, there is enormous value in the information you can collect on people who view/comment on/like/share the content that you post. With proper analytics, the insights that you can get from this data combined with the voter interaction information that Labor enters into Campaign Central and the data logging from whatever system Labor MP’s use to track contact with their constituents gives you an enormous advantage in that you know what voters are really thinking, what they really care about and how they are likely to vote.

  6. Meanwhile, in Indonesia the peak Muslim leadership have a view..

    Jakarta. Ma’ruf Amin, chairman of the Indonesian Ulema Council, or MUI, said on Monday (19/06) while visiting the Indonesian Military headquarters in Cilangkap, East Jakarta, that Indonesia is not an Islamic country or a country of infidels, but a country founded on a mutual agreement between people of different faiths.

    According to Amin, it was the consensus of Muslim leaders in 1945 to modify the first tenet of Pancasila — which now says “Belief in One Almighty God,” removing the line “with the obligations for Muslims to carry out the Islamic Sharia.”

    For that reason, Amin said, Indonesia is not an Islamic country, but a country typified by a strong relationship between Muslims and non-Muslims who have promised to live together in peace, helping and caring for one another.

    “Ulemas had agreed to remove the line so Indonesia can become a united country. From the perspective of Islam, Indonesia is a peaceful territory, or ‘darul suluh’… not an Islamic country, ‘darul Islam.’ It’s not a country of infidels, ‘darul kufar,’ or a country in war. It’s a country founded on mutual agreements by people of different ethnics and religions,” Amin said.

    The MUI chairman expressed his concerns that some groups are now challenging Pancasila’s “unity in diversity” principle.

    Amin called on Muslims to put aside their differences and work together with people of different faiths across the country to stop the spread of radical ideologies.

    “Let’s protect this country together. Indonesia has to stay united,” Amin said.

    He added that the biggest threat to a united Indonesia comes from intolerant groups that have been hogging the spotlight recently.

    http://jglo.be/jSmT

  7. bk @ #953 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 9:08 pm

    poroti @ #950 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:57 pm

    Oh dear. Not good for Truffles when the GG are featuring “Fraudband”.

    NBN refuses to release internet speeds

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/technology/nbn-withholds-individual-internet-speeds/news-story/a11c87cbaa56b3ff126693185baf0549

    Next year when, hopefully, we’ll get access to fixed wireless I will be asking for a contract that states the minimum speeds we will be supplied 95% of the time. This type of service level agreement is common.

    You’d better be prepared to part with a lot of money for a service guarantee like that.

  8. On NBN.

    In my area the “cutover” to FTTN fraudband was supposed to happen on the 13th. Turned out to be the “cuttoff” date instead. No ADSL, No FTTN. And i have a 13 year old inthe house!!!!!
    Techs turned up yesterday and reckon there is a fault on the line just over 200m from my house. Apparently i have a run of just over 800m to the node……..not good in an area with old copper.
    Positive is that techs are booked to fix it tomorrow.
    NBN FTTN is crap. The “system” sucks and is NOT what was promised at the election which was a minimum of 25 Mbps for all by the end of 2016. I’ll be luck if i get somewhere near that if i upgrade my line to the pit (at my expense)……not holding my breath.
    The techs who turned up last night were great. They had said between 1 and 5pm. After 5 no sign of them and i had given up. 6:15 they turn up to try and get the last job on their card for the day (me) done. Late, dark and cold….probably not the highest paid people in the state, and they turned up and did what they could. Seems that the people at NBN are doing their best. Frankly, our Govt and their planning are not worthy of the people on the ground trying to make it all work.

  9. Mari:

    Actually I should’ve noted that if anything could kill the taste of mussels it’d be ouzo! Enjoy your travels.

  10. Grimace:

    I agree Facebook analytics is wonderful. My staff use it to analyse our organisation’s social media reach and engagement. Once you know how to use it properly you’re on your way.

  11. Don’t know why the ALP is so under represented on 7:30 these days?

    Probyn has used interviewees rather obviously to push Turnbull talking points this week. The arguments against those points have been cast as dark shadowy things with no reason and certainly no voice that he would allow.

    Having said that, the political takeaway from the NBN story that followed was that FTTN is crap.

  12. Don’t know why the ALP is so under represented on 7:30 these days?

    Probyn has used interviewees rather obviously to push Turnbull talking points this week. The arguments against those points have been cast as dark shadowy things with no reason and certainly no voice that he would allow.

    Having said that, the political takeaway from the NBN story that followed was that FTTN is crap.

  13. barney in go dau @ #922 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:05 pm

    citizen @ #921 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:00 pm

    British speed limit signs can be confusing for foreigners. The Brits use the same style as in Europe and Australia but in mph rather than km/h. I wonder how many Brits driving on the continent see “60” and travel at nearly 100km/h rather than 60km/h?

    And on the wrong side of the road too.

    The big problem is car parks, and especially car parks which are just big lumps of dirt, such as at caves etc which I frequent when in France.

    When entering, no problem. But when leaving, there are no clues, and I have no clues anyhow, and you drift automatically to the left on the dirt.

    Then somebody comes in to the car park from the road, and you are on the wrong side. Caught me more than once.

    Then you are looking for a turnoff, realise you have passed it, pull in, chuck a youie, and inevitably find yourself on the wrong side.

    And going around roundabouts messes with your mind.

  14. C@

    The ACCC should take Malcolm Turnbull to court over the NBN.

    It’s a example of Turnbull’s expediency. The environment and education are others.

    He’s quite prepared to sacrifice things that are for the long term good of the country to keep him in govt/power just for now..

  15. On an unrelated topic, the Winter Solstice for 2017 will be at 2:24 pm tomorrow Wednesday, 21 June Eastern Australia Time. Then the long climb back up to Summer starts.

  16. confessions @ #962 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 9:29 pm

    Grimace:
    I agree Facebook analytics is wonderful. My staff use it to analyse our organisation’s social media reach and engagement. Once you know how to use it properly you’re on your way.

    It took me a while to warm up to the potential of big data. My next door neighbour is a senior IT manager in a very large organisation, during the 2017 WA election campaign we got to talking about the use of big data and its application to election campaigns. He showed me a big data analytics social media software package that he was responsible for managing, for which his organisation paid a 6 figure licence fee.

    Part of what is did was scour the internet for “mentions” of the organisation that he worked for, and then worked out who had said it and produced a report on them. I was stunned at the information he was able to get on the people who had posted a comment on the organisation.

  17. confessions @ #951 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:57 pm

    “I wonder if the drop in ABC appearances is deliberate

    I’ve wondered the same thing myself. Is Labor being invited to appear on these shows and declining, or not being invited at all?”

    I’ve wondered about this also, but the general antagonism to anyone or anything outside the government agenda, and lack of dissenting voices, suggest ABC policy.

    Any ALP members with insider knowledge?

  18. I find it hard to imagine a strategy that involves declining media appearances on network TV.

    Certainly I think other media, e.g. social media is now very important, I suspect voters are more open to change – if you can identify the right channels/forums compared to TV.

    Also if they offered an interview and it was turned down more than once, the presenter would make the comment ‘we asked the opposition spokesman for an interview on this subject but they declined’.

  19. I made a recipe from the Fat Duck which was salmon poached in aniseed jelly and vanilla mayonnaise. The flavours went well but it wasn’t worth the effort. Mussels and absinthe sounds better although you could just use fennel and tarragon for something less exotic.

  20. So was the senate filibustering today? Apparently there was no time for the 7-Eleven bill:
    “The Turnbull government has put its bill to prevent worker exploitation on the backburner, delaying a vote until at least August – a full two years after the 7-Eleven wage scandal was exposed.

    The move comes amid an extensive behind-the-scenes lobbying campaign by the Franchise Council of Australia, led by former Liberal minister Bruce Billson, aimed at watering down the legislation.

    The government originally said it wanted to pass the bill in May, shortly after a Senate inquiry report.”.

  21. CTar1,

    The ACCC should take Malcolm Turnbull to court over the NBN.

    It’s a example of Turnbull’s expediency. The environment and education are others.

    He’s quite prepared to sacrifice things that are for the long term good of the country to keep him in govt/power just for now..

    Never a truer word was spoken about Malcolm Turnbull!

  22. adrian @ #973 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:02 pm

    confessions @ #951 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 8:57 pm
    “I wonder if the drop in ABC appearances is deliberate
    I’ve wondered the same thing myself. Is Labor being invited to appear on these shows and declining, or not being invited at all?”
    I’ve wondered about this also, but the general antagonism to anyone or anything outside the government agenda, and lack of dissenting voices, suggest ABC policy.
    Any ALP members with insider knowledge?

    If there were, they would be foolish to disclose it on a public forum.

  23. Ides
    I have to say the worst meal I ever had was mussels cooked over an open fire. Charcoal got into all the mussels which were raw. I got so drunk to erase the flavour I burnt my hand on the coals and still have the mark to this day.

  24. Grimace:

    Facebook is much better for connecting with actual people than twitter. Someone once said twitter is the butthole of the internet, which I agree with.

  25. I find it hard to imagine a strategy that involves declining media appearances on network TV.

    Me too for the reasons you’ve outlined.

  26. “The Turnbull government has put its bill to prevent worker exploitation on the backburner, delaying a vote until at least August – a full two years after the 7-Eleven wage scandal was exposed.

    Malcolm! Wakey! Wakey! Who are you pandering too? Bruce Billson and the Exploiters Association of Australia!?!

    Well, if you do, Labor will thank you from the bottom of their hearts for gifting them another issue to campaign hard on up to the next election!

    Malcolm and the 1%, which includes Bruce ‘Happy Chappy’ Billson and the Exploiters Association V the rest of us!

  27. Facebook is much better for connecting with actual people than twitter. Someone once said twitter is the butthole of the internet, which I agree with.

    facebook is the shit that goes through it.

    I only engage with it when absolutely necessary.

  28. Kudos to Christensen today for crossing the floor on penalty rates. There should be a lot more of it like in the US where the bill needs support from more individually minded people than the sheeple we have.

  29. Although there was that trip to the montebello islands years ago. Lge cray tails, bbq, with butter, lemon pepper and honey……accompanied by shark mackerel cutlets done bbq with a little soy. doGs but we ate well that trip,

  30. diogenes @ #983 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:26 pm

    Ides
    I have to say the worst meal I ever had was mussels cooked over an open fire. Charcoal got into all the mussels which were raw. I got so drunk to erase the flavour I burnt my hand on the coals and still have the mark to this day.

    You need a good plastic surgeon. 😐

  31. diogenes @ #990 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:35 pm

    Kudos to Christensen today for crossing the floor on penalty rates. There should be a lot more of it like in the US where the bill needs support from more individually minded people than the sheeple we have.

    I am a firm believer in party discipline. That does not make people ‘sheeple’, it just means they take part in forming a collective view and support it.

  32. Well, we had home made whole wheat pizza with Chilli Prawns, Caramelised Onion Relish, Red Onions, Birdseye Chillis and Green Capsicum. Double plus yum! Especially as my son made the pizza dough 🙂

  33. Bemused
    I think I was at medical school when it happened. We were throwing red hot coals to each other and one stuck to my hand. Who would have thought that could have gone wrong? I’m pretty sure Ive never drank port again after that night either.

  34. Bemused
    It’s a bit different in the US but I think you should represent the people who chose you and that means the New York senator may well vote differently to the Wisconsin one. We are more homogeneous that the US but I prefer people to make their own minds up, hence I would never join a political party.

  35. diogenes @ #995 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:45 pm

    Bemused
    I think I was at medical school when it happened. We were throwing red hot coals to each other and one stuck to my hand. Who would have thought that could have gone wrong? I’m pretty sure Ive never drank port again after that night either.

    I have my fair share of scars and marks from my youth.
    So the port done it?

  36. diogenes @ #996 Tuesday, June 20, 2017 at 10:50 pm

    Bemused
    It’s a bit different in the US but I think you should represent the people who chose you and that means the New York senator may well vote differently to the Wisconsin one. We are more homogeneous that the US but I prefer people to make their own minds up, hence I would never join a political party.

    If they choose you as an ALP candidate representing the ALP then they have a right to expect you to support party policy and the collective decisions of caucus.
    Otherwise what do you stand for? Whoever shouts loudest? You own whims? What exactly?

Comments Page 20 of 21
1 19 20 21

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *