Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

The latest result from Newspoll lands slightly at the upper end of the government’s recent form.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest result from Newspoll records Labor with a two-party lead of 52-48, down from 53-47 in the last poll (which was three weeks ago rather than the usual two, owing to Easter). Labor and the Greens are both down a point on the primary vote, to 35% and 9%, with the Coalition and One Nation steady on 36% and 10%. Malcolm Turnbull is up two on approval to 32% and down two on disapproval to 57%, while Bill Shorten is up one to 33% and down one to 53%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 41-32 to 42-33.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,209 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

  1. Oh, and if Adrian and Markjs will permit, a little more praise for the ABC.
    A newsreader actually managed to utter the word ‘consecutive’ instead of the idiotic ‘back to back’ which seems to have largely taken hold in the media.

  2. guytaur @ #856 Wednesday, April 26th, 2017 – 8:50 am

    realDonaldTrump: Canada has made business for our dairy farmers in Wisconsin and other border states very difficult. We will not stand for this. Watch!

    I hope his supporters (and especially, his lower-income supporters) realize that this sort of “international competition is something we won’t stand for” attitude means they’re all going to end up paying more for all the things they like to buy, and thus end up worse-off overall.

  3. Bemused

    Agree or not with unbalanced attacks on the ABC in form of perception. The word Markjs is objecting to on the grounds of mental health is the word deranged.

    On that I agree with him. You have a history of attacking on basis of mental health. As I have pointed out to you before

  4. guytaur @ #904 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 10:44 am

    Bemused
    Agree or not with unbalanced attacks on the ABC in form of perception. The word Markjs is objecting to on the grounds of mental health is the word deranged.
    On that I agree with him. You have a history of attacking on basis of mental health. As I have pointed out to you before

    That is not a mental health diagnosis but a description of behaviour. Such behaviour may or may not indicate a clinical problem. In common usage, it does not.

  5. Bemused’s attempts at pedantic self serving rationalisations of his commentary are just part of his schtick.
    Everyone knows this particular pedant is revolting!

  6. Buckle Up: Maxine Waters Promises Russia Scandal “Only Going To Get Worse” For Trump

    The cloud of scandal over the Trump administration grew darker on Tuesday with the news that Michael Flynn illegally withheld information about his connections to Russia – but Democratic Congressman Maxine Waters promises the scandal is “only going to get worse” for the president.

    On MSNBC’s All In with Chris Hayes, Waters said, “More and more information is coming out about the connections of the Trump allies and some people in his cabinet and their connections to Russia, and it’s only going to get worse.”

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/buckle-up-maxine-waters-promises-russia-scandal-only-worse-trump.html

  7. Trump Son In Law Jared Kushner Was Just Told To Lawyer Up Because He Committed A Crime

    Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) told Trump son in law Jared Kushner that he better hire a lawyer because he committed a crime when he lied about having contacts with foreign governments on his security clearance form.

    Rep. Lieu’s move beyond suspension to telling Kushner to lawyer up is a sign that the Russia scandal has gone from bad to worse for the Trump family.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/trump-son-law-jared-kushner-told-lawyer-committed-crime.html

  8. Jaws Drop As Trump Admits That He Is Not Reading The Executive Orders He Is Signing

    While signing an executive order in the White House, President Donald Trump revealed his attitude towards reading the executive orders that he is signing, and it confirms reports that Trump is not reading what he is signing as president.

    If one is looking for an answer for why Republicans are floundering even though they are in total control of the federal government, the answer is that Trump is providing them with zero direction and leadership.

    A man who won’t read what he is signing shouldn’t be in charge of the country.

    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/jaws-drop-trump-admits-reading-executive-orders-signing.html

  9. I see daretotread has come out of her nuclear fallout shelter to issue forth with yet another Informationclearinghouse post. And who is the article by? Australia’s own political attention seeker par excellence, Nick Xenophon. Methinks his claims are somewhat exaggerated.

  10. I usually ignore Bemused’s gratuitous attacks, because he is never wrong and always has to have the last word. In short, responding to him is a waste of time.
    He seems to have endless free time to respond to every perceived or real attack, butt most of us don’t.
    Like a particularly irritating Year 8 or 9 pupil he continually seeks attention, be it positive or negative.

    You’d think that after the pasting he got from Yabba last night he’d pull his little head in. But no, here he is calling others ‘deranged’ with absolutely no provocation.

    I think most readers here can judge for themselves how to classify Bemused’s behaviour, though even here I’d hesitate to use the word ‘deranged’. Maybe pathetic is a better word.

  11. BUSTED: Ivanka Trump pays sweatshop workers near minimum wage for 57-hour workweeks

    The Washington Post reports that inspectors with the Fair Labor Association found dozens of violations of international labor standards during an audit of a factory in China owned by the G-III Apparel Group — which owns the rights to manufacture and distribute Ivanka’s fashion line.

    The newspaper noted the timing of the inspectors’ report, “comes as the president’s daughter has sought to cast herself as both a champion of workplace issues and a defender of her father’s “buy American, hire American” agenda.”

    Just yesterday, G-III was busted for rebranding Ivanka’s clothing line and dumping it on the discount retailer Stein Mart.

    http://www.rawstory.com/2017/04/busted-ivanka-trump-pays-sweatshop-workers-near-minimum-wage-for-57-hour-workweeks/

  12. When Howard did his children overboard stunt it was the Australian defense force that knew the truth; the defense force options for expressing contempt were limited. Dutton has the problem that people who know what is what are not so constrained. Dutton is a fool.
    Where is he at now; I have secret voodoo that proves I don’t lie.

  13. PhoenixRed

    maxine Waters would have a fair idea of how much is to come out of this shit show.

    There are so many parts to this imbroglio, that I am doubting the most obvious connections such as Carter Page!
    I can see why it is going to take the time it does to get all the ducks in a row.

  14. I have filled our security clearance forms for work on defense contracts and it was very clear these were to be filled out completely and truthfully or else. Only a complete muppet or someone deliberately trying to hide something would have failed to do so.

  15. Phoenix Red,
    I wait with baited breath to see what Trump’s much-heralded Big Tax Announcement for Wednesday their time is. Just more of the same self-serving tax cuts for the mega rich, with their marginal increase in economic activity, which will get Trumpeted as so amazing!

  16. Deranged meanings & synonyms (https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english-thesaurus/deranged#deranged__1) = mad, crazy, insane

    A deranged man shot and killed 14 people in the main square.
    mad: the mad old lady down the street
    crazy: If I think about it too much, I’ll go crazy.
    insane: Some people simply can’t take it and they go insane.
    distracted: My father was distracted by grief.
    frantic: A bird had been locked in and was now quite frantic.
    frenzied
    irrational: They behaved in such a bizarre and irrational manner.
    maddened
    crazed: A crazed gunman slaughtered five people last night.
    lunatic: the operation of the market taken to lunatic extremes
    demented: Her warnings were dismissed as the ramblings of a demented old woman.
    unbalanced: He was shown to be mentally unbalanced.
    berserk: When I saw him I went berserk.
    delirious: I was delirious and blacked out several times.
    unhinged: Tell him I’m menopausal and unhinged.
    loopy (informal)
    crackpot (informal)
    out to lunch (informal)
    barking mad (slang)
    barking (slang)
    gonzo (slang)
    doolally (slang)
    off your trolley (slang)
    up the pole (informal)
    not the full shilling (informal)
    wacko or whacko (slang)
    berko (Australian , slang)
    off the air (Australian , slang)
    porangi (New Zealand)

  17. The smartest move The Greens made after the least federal election was switching Sarah Hanson-Young out of Immigration and putting Nick McKim into the slot. I can’t see the Security Services on Manus getting away with blue murder the way they did when SH-Y visited the camps. Nor the government, especially Dutton and Turnbull, if they try and vilify him and denigrate his character the way they routinely did with Hanson-Young.

  18. Always was a great song, but it’s actually improved and become more relevant with age.

    Who woulda thought!

    “Well, I went home with the waitress
    The way I always do
    How was I to know
    She was with the Russians, too…”

  19. Roger Miller,
    I am not surprised that Trump does not read the executive orders he signs. Someone always has to show him where to sign.

    I think it’s because he’s too vain to wear glasses.

  20. greensborough growler @ #910 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 10:53 am

    Bemused’s attempts at pedantic self serving rationalisations of his commentary are just part of his schtick.
    Everyone knows this particular pedant is revolting!

    phoenixred @ #913 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 11:04 am

    Jaws Drop As Trump Admits That He Is Not Reading The Executive Orders He Is Signing
    While signing an executive order in the White House, President Donald Trump revealed his attitude towards reading the executive orders that he is signing, and it confirms reports that Trump is not reading what he is signing as president.
    If one is looking for an answer for why Republicans are floundering even though they are in total control of the federal government, the answer is that Trump is providing them with zero direction and leadership.
    A man who won’t read what he is signing shouldn’t be in charge of the country.
    http://www.politicususa.com/2017/04/25/jaws-drop-trump-admits-reading-executive-orders-signing.html

    Should it even have effect if he admits he is unaware of the contents as he hasn’t read it?
    Like signing a blank cheque.

  21. Good to see you back DTT.

    Because people like me can’t wait to start being abused all over again. weary face

    How quickly some people choose to forget.

  22. adrian @ #915 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 11:05 am

    I usually ignore Bemused’s gratuitous attacks, because he is never wrong and always has to have the last word. In short, responding to him is a waste of time.
    He seems to have endless free time to respond to every perceived or real attack, butt most of us don’t.
    Like a particularly irritating Year 8 or 9 pupil he continually seeks attention, be it positive or negative.
    You’d think that after the pasting he got from Yabba last night he’d pull his little head in. But no, here he is calling others ‘deranged’ with absolutely no provocation.
    I think most readers here can judge for themselves how to classify Bemused’s behaviour, though even here I’d hesitate to use the word ‘deranged’. Maybe pathetic is a better word.

    Hehehe.. hilarious stuff.
    What was on display last night was a massive overreaction to very little on the part of Yabba.
    Poor Adrian.

  23. Roger Miller,
    I think it is because he is functionally illiterate.

    Which is why Twitter is so ideally-suited to Trump. Rat cunning thoughts in short sentences that don’t even have to be grammatical.

  24. ‘We are faced today with a question that has never before arisen in our history. From January 1788, when the First Fleet sailed into Botany Bay, to 2008, during the Global Financial Crisis, we’ve had first Britain and then the USA as both trading partner and strategic ally.’

    Well, this is bollocks to start with – between 1974 and 2005 Japan was our largest trading partner.

    If we’re purely talking exports —

    ‘Australia’s largest merchandise export market remained the United Kingdom up to 1965-66. Japan became the largest market in 1966-67, and remained so until the late 2000s when it was overtaken by China.’

    The USA was our most important market for one year only, 1941-2.

    http://dfat.gov.au/about-us/publications/Documents/australias-trade-since-federation.pdf

    The rest of the article seems to be a series of ‘what ifs’ with very little real evidence to back any of them – e.g ‘China may decide to “kill the chicken to scare the monkey” – sink an Australian vessel to warn off the United States Navy’.

    Australia seems to be doing what Australia has done best throughout its history – gradually switching its alliance from one major to another without upsetting either.

  25. The big thing about Flynn is that it raises questions on the competency of VP Pence. He was in charge of the Transition team when Flynn was appointed as NSC advisor. Thus the buck stops with him on getting security clearance and vetting candidates as well as Trump.

    So not only should Trump go but so should Pence. A Paul Ryan Presidency won’t be popular but at least it would be competent.

  26. C@t **The smartest move The Greens made…**
    I like SHY but I also agree with you. She was quite young when she was elected (26?) and still only 35. She has become a mother and had a divorce in that time. Prior to politics she was a bank teller and with Amnesty.

    I hope she takes this as an opportunity to reassess and improve her performance.

  27. Vic,
    Scrolling on by is a great strategy.

    It becomes hard when it morphs into great screeds of alarmist non sense which is just crying out for correction.

    😺

  28. “While signing an executive order in the White House, President Donald Trump revealed his attitude towards reading the executive orders that he is signing, and it confirms reports that Trump is not reading what he is signing as president.”

    Surely we can’t miss this opportunity?

    I was elected to lead, not to read

  29. SAK,
    I hope she takes this as an opportunity to reassess and improve her performance.

    I definitely think she has. When I hear her speaking publicly now in her new portfolio I am impressed that the whiny tone and hand-wringing have gone.

  30. lizzie @ #898 Wednesday, April 26, 2017 at 10:37 am

    Andrew Leigh‏Verified account @ALeighMP · 8m8 minutes ago
    In past 10yrs, Aust population is up 15.8% & federal public service down 0.2%. Yet Libs want more job cuts. #auspol http://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/public-service/federal-budget-could-see-up-to-4500-more-public-service-jobs-cut-union-warns-20170418-gvmtv4.html

    While I’m not too keen to see public service jobs being cut, I’m not sure if single liners with statistics like this helps. Is that 0.2% against the total number of jobs, or compared against increase / decrease of job numbers? Population numbers increase due to population growth, but is the total pie chart of jobs increasing with the population pie?

  31. Guytaur,
    If you are thinking that Lucy Ghichui, an Intern at Family First from the Australian Christian Lobby, is going to ‘come to support’ marriage equality then I think you have disappointment coming your way.

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