The first Newspoll of the year, courtesy of The Australian, has Labor with a lead of 54-46, compared with 52-48 in the final poll last year, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (down four), Labor 36% (steady), Greens 10% (steady) – and, impliedly, One Nation rather a lot. Notwithstanding his newly elevated international profile, Malcolm Turnbull’s personal ratings are all but unchanged, with approval up one to 33% and disapproval down one to 54%, while Bill Shorten is down two to 32% and up three to 54%. Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is at 42-30, little different from the 41-32 result last time. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1734. Hat tip to the always reliable James J.
UPDATE: One Nation is said to be on 8%, and from what I can gather, this is related in The Australian’s report and not in the tables. This is important, because it suggests that Newspoll’s opening question continues to limit response options to the major parties, the Greens and others, with those opting for the latter prompted to be more specific. This would, if anything, tend to result in their support being underestimated. By contrast, the Western Australian state poll published on Friday included One Nation up front.
The big one for Australia in a changing (warming) climate is food production.
And I do believe we long ago passed the 2deg. future. It will be at least 4deg. in the not so distant future.
Plants are already flowering early and by the time the pollinating insects come out to collect and pollinate many of the flowers have wilted.
40% of our food comes from pollinated crops. Once we lose that we are in a world of stress and disruption.
There’s and eerie parallel between the media’s portrayal of climate change and of politics.
Plenty of reporting on the events of the present but nothing on what it all means even in the medium term, let alone the long term.
“It [next Liberal PM] won’t be who most think it will”
Journalist speak for I have no idea
It strikes me as rather silly to announce the abolition of the MP Gold Card, soemthing which would be quite electorally popular, on a day when one of your own members quits the party.
That’s Turnbull!
One thing Bernadi said I agree with. The LNP are in trouble. Bappealing to Hansons lot they have lost Western Sydney. Much of South Australia. You all know the results at the Federal level.
They lost Victoria and Queensland. Now it looks like they are going to lose Western Australia. They could not use the its time factor in South Australia.
I still believe Australians are at the centre and have not moved just that the meia reporting and the description of what the centre is has changged.
We are seeing the results voters are not buying extreme right is the centre
Dovey, it’s still bullshit.
The fragmentation on the right is long term good news for Labor. When lots of people vote for these splinter parties, it’s the first time in their lives they haven’t oted Liberal or National. It breaks the pattern and from then on their vote is much more contestable.
Also, having discharged their “duty” of voting for a right wing party by putting a 1 next to PHON or NXT or ALA or whatever, there’s a temptation to give the coalition candidate another spit in the eye by putting them last, effectively giving the vote to Labor.
The Labor split in the 1950s led to many life long labor supporters voting for the DLP and even as the DLP faded, they didn’t go back to Labor but became regular Liberal voters. I think the same will happen as a result of what we see going on at present.
OMG I’m watching Bernardi’s speech in the Senate and he actually said with a straight face that the Liberal party has become more about short term political ends than the values on which it was established (wtte).
Yes Cory, and you know all about that don’t you! Halal foods coming to turn us all muslim, opposing the rights of gay people, denying the scientific reality of AGW are all things that are you push for short term political ends and have nothing whatsoever to do with the values on which the Liberal party was founded.
B
While there will certainly be (already is) disruption of pollination where pollinators and pollinatees are highly-specialized, I am unaware of research that shows that the major commercial pollinators are missing major commodity crops because of changes in season, rainfall, amount of sunshine or temperature.
If you have any, I would be pleased to know about it.
(I am not talking about the major issues facing honey bees as pollinators globally for all the other reasons.)
blanket criticism @ #1095 #1095 Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 12:27 pm
Tell Player one.
Desert Qlder
Can’t agree with you politicians have the Gold Card and are very well paid.
Yep, Cory is going to suck all the news headlines away today.
“” but Mr Turnbull, a millionaire, announced he would not use it.””
He will make sure “it’s tax Deductible “.
I would have more respect for Bernardi if he said I am going to be independent senator and not form ANOTHER political party. (Actually I have no repect for him but it is not the point )
My point is if party politics is the thing that has driven you away in the first place why the eff would you go the same route again.? Stay as an individual independant or to me you are seeking to run your own dictatorship not a party.
Its starting already Greg Jennett just asked Birmingham if they were “asleep at the wheel”. Questions that Labor and Greens are all too famiar with.,
I would have more respect for Bernardi if he said I am going to be independent senator and not form ANOTHER political party. (Actually I have no repect for him but it is not the point )
My point is if party politics is the thing that has driven you away in the first place why the eff would you go the same route again.? Stay as an individual independant or to me you are seeking to run your own dictatorship not a party.
I think that Desert Qlder was referring to the timing of the announcement, which has Turnbull’s political ineptitude written all over it.
Its starting already Greg Jennett just asked Birmingham if they were “asleep at the wheel”. Questions that Labor and Greens are all too famiar with.,
Newcastle 10℃ cooler today.
Thunderstorms later, maybe. ☚
How to identify fake politicians.
Appearance: Beady eyes, narrowly set. Well fed and accoutred. Leaning to the right – to the left of your TV screen.
Hand waving in random patterns, designed to distract those unfortunate viewers who are slow in switching channels.
Vague pronouncement essentially meaningless in reply to fatuous, questions from sycophantic TV “talent”.
Slight to pronounced sneer on repeated utterings of “Shorten”, “Labor”, “Leftie” and “Unions”.
Apparent complete deafness when asked pointed questions requiring verifiable information.
Action: A regular attendee at weddings, funerals and religious ceremonies at distant luxury locations – preferably in sites requiring quality accommodation.
Special Powers: Ability to defeat the most advanced lie detectors in the land.
Searching, penetrating gawp, sometime referred to as the thousand yard stare.
Sorry folks, I can’t go on.
Telstra has just increased my ADSL internet speed back up to the original 20mbps.
That gem of a man “Bruce” has done it again.
Cynthia, break out the Cheery Cheer, I feel the sound of a Telstra bundle about to be activated within an hour or so ❗
Hurrah ❗ ♡♡
Cynthia, darling, “What’s a bernardi ❓ ”
What’s that again – “a dickhead, you say”.
Newcastle 10℃ cooler today.
Thunderstorms later, maybe. ☚
How to identify fake politicians.
Appearance: Beady eyes, narrowly set. Well fed and accoutred. Leaning to the right – to the left of your TV screen.
Hand waving in random patterns, designed to distract those unfortunate viewers who are slow in switching channels.
Vague pronouncement essentially meaningless in reply to fatuous, questions from sycophantic TV “talent”.
Slight to pronounced sneer on repeated utterings of “Shorten”, “Labor”, “Leftie” and “Unions”.
Apparent complete deafness when asked pointed questions requiring verifiable information.
Action: A regular attendee at weddings, funerals and religious ceremonies at distant luxury locations – preferably in sites requiring quality accommodation.
Special Powers: Ability to defeat the most advanced lie detectors in the land.
Searching, penetrating gawp, sometime referred to as the thousand yard stare.
Sorry folks, I can’t go on.
Telstra has just increased my ADSL internet speed back up to the original 20mbps.
That gem of a man “Bruce” has done it again.
Cynthia, break out the Cheery Cheer, I feel the sound of a Telstra bundle about to be activated within an hour or so ❗
Hurrah ❗ ♡♡
Cynthia, darling, “What’s a bernardi ❓ ”
What’s that again – “a dickhead, you say”.
Creakey a bit dodgy just in time for the first QT?
mtbw @ #1161 Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 1:47 pm
His point was about the timing of the announcement.
Shorten is a much better speech writer/or has much better speech writers than the PM and many pollies of the past.
He can speak from the heart with authenticity.
Kennet –
Factually incorrect as usual.
Stuttering due to repeated attempts to post and being intercepted by the Securi Firewall.
One thousand and 32 apologies.
Kennett factually incorrect as usual.
Isn’t it wonderful that this site is forcing us to post our words of wisdom multiple times.
Isn’t it wonderful that this site is forcing us to post our words of wisdom multiple times.
Shorten writes every good speeches or has excellent speechwriters. All 3 of today’s offering were eloquent and sounded heartfelt
Hmm – my first post about Shorten’s speeches got posted even though the site timed out on me
jenauthor @ #1180 Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 2:26 pm
I doubt he has time to write them as he is out and about all the time when not in Parliament. Probably just throws a few ideas at his speechwriters and leaves them to do the rest.
don @ #1160 Tuesday, February 7, 2017 at 1:47 pm
I read it. Difference is, I also understood it …
So – less than 1% increase in the proportion of renewables per year? Hardly impressive, and certainly not enough to prevent catastrophic climate change. Yes, China (like India) is investing a heap of money in renewables, but this not likely to even cover their growth in energy needs, let alone reduce their use of fossil fuels. Only nuclear could do that – fortunately, they are investing in that as well. Even so, the vast majority of their energy needs (estimates vary, but likely to be at least 60%) will continue to come from fossil fuels till 2030 or 2040.
In other words, China (like India) is forecast burn more fossil fuels till at least 2030 than they do now, increasing their C02 emissions for decades yet.
Barnaby looking totally uninterested in proceedings.
Mr Shoten agenda setting again. Good important issue to address
Turnbull doing a good job convincing PHON voters to preerence Labor.
Sorr preference
CTar1
Don’t worry, after lunch he normally becomes more animated.
Cory’s Wiki entry has been updated.
It’s fun. He’s showing the same sort of obsession with Tones as Trumble has with Shorten.
The only thing Tones is not blamed for is the injury that stopped Cory rowing.
Of course, Turnbull, when wittering on about Power Prices in SA, does not once mention the effect on those prices that Privatisation has contributed. Not once. Iirc, it was the useless Liberal government in SA before Labor returned to power most recently that committed that crime against power prices.
I would also appreciate it if SA ALP MPs went out after every Question Time in which the Coalition said this, and I am presuming it’s going to be a lot this year, so threadbare is their policy cupboard, and called a press conference to simply hammer home the Anti Privatisation message that. It. Does. Not. Work.
The shonkey NBN in SA and the Mayo electorate, is now the fault of South Australia’s high level of Renewable Energy and the Power problems it causes!
The House just broke up laughing when Turnbull tried that one on in response to Rebecca Sharkie’s question about landline phone problems! 😀
Rebecca Sharkie just did a little eye roll while listening to Turnbull’s response. 🙂
Could the Liberal Party just put Australians out of their misery!?!
How much more of this codswallop can we take!?!
Tropical Fruits. Is Joyce getting in a Mardi Gras reference early 😉
Tudge just cost more votes
Can anybody care to speculate just who in the Coalition brains trust thinks that power prices is THE most important issue facing Australia in 2017?
There was a big storm in Sydney today and I understand the power is out in several areas. has there been any criticism of the system of power delivery in NSW?
No, thought not.
QT is still a rabble I see.
Bernadi has occupied 2 Shadow Minister positions.
I would consider that to be evidence that he has enjoyed promotion.
Centrelink brings out the um ah of Mr Turnbull
Rossmcg,
Can anybody care to speculate just who in the Coalition brains trust thinks that power prices is THE most important issue facing Australia in 2017?
Tony Abbott? 😉