BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

One Nation and the Greens’ paths cross in an otherwise uneventful reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

Still only the weekly Essential Research results to go on so far this year, and this week’s figures have made very little difference to this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, except that Labor gains an extra seat in Queensland. Also of note is that One Nation’s upward trend shows no signs of abating, with the party now level with the Greens. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings. The looming resumption of parliament suggests Newspoll’s end-of-year sabattical will come to an end either Sunday or Monday night.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

533 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor”

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  1. Australia maintains a Current Account Deficit with the United States of on average $17 Billion per annum.
    In the broad scheme of things, this is not a lot of money, yet it is highly significant…
    In the years since John Howard signed the Free Trade Agreement, this equates to about $118 billion (adjusted) in losses our country has accepted to import juice-less lemons, overtly processed cheese and loud mouthed tourists.
    I love the United States, and I enjoy visiting the place.
    Los Angeles smells like dog urine, but that is because it don’t rain there.
    New York smells like a septic tank, because 16 million people all poopin the same hole.
    A REAL Aussie Prime Minister would tell Trump to go and get STUFFED.
    They cannot run a war without us…
    Re-take Pine Gap.
    Re-take Darwin from the Chinese
    Re-take Sydney, Brisbane, Perth And Adelaide.
    Tell the Yanks to stick the F-22 Raptor they won’t sell uss right up it’s arse.

  2. Meanwhile Trump doing his best to incite trouble

    Donald J. Trump
    Donald J. Trump – Verified account ‏@realDonaldTrump

    The judge opens up our country to potential terrorists and others that do not have our best interests at heart. Bad people are very happy!
    4:48 PM – 4 Feb 2017

  3. Turnbull: Satisfied 33, Dissatisfied 54
    Shorten Satisfied 32, Dissatisfied 54
    Better PM: Turnbull 42, Shorten 30
    1734 sample. Feb 2-5

  4. And, for the record, I don’t actually, in reality, wish ill of Donald Trump. At the end of the day he is a father to that 10 year old little boy. 🙂

  5. C
    I was talking to some people and the gist of it is that they don’t think he has any principles to which he sticks consistently.

  6. I’m sure Trump views his Tweets as akin to writing a fairy story for the American people.

    Pity there is a glaring inconsistency in his logic about where the ‘bad people’ are coming from who wish to do harm to the United States. Eg. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan…

  7. C@Tmomma……….Because the Libs in conjunction with their media mates want to do a job on him.They have tried since he took over. You know what I mean…faceless man,blah,blah union hack,blah blah,the thing is it hasn’t affected the polls and won’t. Turbull had a chance to change the rhetoric and direction of the Libs but has failed.He will get rolled and soon I think.

  8. BW,
    There’s an element of Liberal typecasting in there. He’s the guy who came up with the NDIS, FOFA, and got Labor to agree to a binding SSM vote!

  9. I make that around 19% on the primaries for PHON, Xteam and assorteds. I suspect that that means we can assume that we are looking at primary vote of 10-15% plus for PHON.

  10. The consolation for Shorten is that the voters view Turnbull (or is that Trumbull) as being equally as bad and are prepared to rid themselves of this useless government.

  11. Greg McAuliffe,
    ‘Tis true. Bill could wear his underpants on the outside and leap tall buildings in a single bound and The Daily Telegraph would still Photoshop a ‘H’ for Hack where the ‘S’ should be! 😀

  12. Bemused: Yes, lots of thorium about, about as much as lead, and fairly widely spread about the place.

    Just the small matter of handling molten fluoride salts to overcome.

  13. C
    I am constantly surprised that intelligent people get Shorten fundamentally wrong.
    They have just swallowed the MSM Kool Aid.
    Shorten is flawed, no doubt about it.
    But his achievements as minister and as LOTO are significant.

  14. My mother-in-law has been critical of Shorten with the ‘faceless man, backstabber’ routine. I have taken her opinion seriously as she is a staunch Labor voter, teacher and self made woman.

    However, on her last visit she said during one of Shorten’s PCs, “he is very calm!” The exclamation point was valid in this case.

    This demonstrated to me that even Labor people who were not Shorten supporters have noted his qualities regarding stability.

    I refuse to be concerned by PPM.

  15. For those not happy with Shorten’s netsat numbers just remember that Abbott was elected PM in a landslide in 2013 with figures similar to that.

  16. William 8:20 A bit hard on the Greens. Anti vaxxing, in my opinion, is more a right wing phenomenon, which doesnt, of course, disqualify all Greens.

  17. player one @ #390 #390 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 6:59 pm

    don @ #385 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 6:41 pm

    There are 13 sites on the US coast at risk of rising sea levels:

    Kind of ironic that if we had more nuclear reactors, we would not need to be so worried about sea level rise.
    Also, interesting point in that article …

    Nuclear could be part of the solution, because it can deliver large, steady amounts of carbon-free electricity. That’s why China, the world’s largest carbon emitter, aims to expand its nuclear capacity by spending $78 billion to add six to eight nuclear reactors each year for five years.

    The Chinese seem to get it, so there is some hope, at least.

    The nuclear option is more likely to be to mask weapons production.

    They are spending a much greater amount on renewables per year.

    China intends to spend more than $360 billion through 2020 on renewable power sources like solar and wind, the government’s energy agency said on Thursday.

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