BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

One Nation and the Greens’ paths cross in an otherwise uneventful reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate.

Still only the weekly Essential Research results to go on so far this year, and this week’s figures have made very little difference to this week’s reading of BludgerTrack, except that Labor gains an extra seat in Queensland. Also of note is that One Nation’s upward trend shows no signs of abating, with the party now level with the Greens. Nothing new this week on leadership ratings. The looming resumption of parliament suggests Newspoll’s end-of-year sabattical will come to an end either Sunday or Monday night.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

533 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor”

Comments Page 10 of 11
1 9 10 11
  1. Bemused
    Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 6:50 pm
    …”Can parents, on behalf of their children, sue the parents of the non-vaccinated child in cases like this?
    That would light a fire under the anti-vaccination idiots.”…


    It is 100% free to immunize your children.

    If my, very well protected children caught a disease of some deliberately ignorant, halfwitted hippy, or lazy, recalcitrant, zombie from the outer suburbs, I would sue them to the point that I owned their house, bankrupt them till they had no other option other than to move to the WAY outer suburbs and rent a two bedroom, yellow brick flat in Shittville, Australia.

    And then I would buy their house.

    And, then I would poop on their house, and I would sell their house, with a picture of me. On top of their house, pooping on their house as I sold it for $100,000.

    And, not give a shit.

    Immunize your children, for the love of for fuck’s fucking sake…

  2. #BREAKING There are reports a US appeals court has denied President Trump’s request to immediately reinstate his travel ban.

    Vic – Excellent if it holds.

    moron trump must be going even madder.

    I entertain thoughts of both Trump and Barron having a cerebral aneurysm or some such at times like this. Then I debate with the angel and the devil on both my shoulders about whether it is right or wrong to think that way. 🙂

  3. Meltdown in Fukishima – uncontrolled nuclear waste poors into the ocean means only one thing.
    (sorry in advance – I know the actual problem is very serious indeed.)

  4. Bemused
    Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 8:53 pm
    john smith @ #452 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 8:51 pm

    “I think I get your message John.

  5. Victor Charlie, Charlie…
    This is Mike… Sierra… Foxtrot…

    “We are going down by the wing… Mayday…, Mayday…, Mayday…

  6. CNN ‏@CNN 2m2 minutes ago
    Police are investigating a flurry of swastika vandalism in three major US cities.

    One of which is New York, which a was illustrated in a facebook post but with a heart warming outcome of fellow public transporters in response:

    Gregory Locke added 4 new photos.
    9 hrs · New York, NY, United States ·
    I got on the subway in Manhattan tonight and found a Swastika on every advertisement and every window. The train was silent as everyone stared at each other, uncomfortable and unsure what to do.

    One guy got up and said, “Hand sanitizer gets rid of Sharpie. We need alcohol.” He found some tissues and got to work.

    I’ve never seen so many people simultaneously reach into their bags and pockets looking for tissues and Purel. Within about two minutes, all the Nazi symbolism was gone.

    Nazi symbolism. On a public train. In New York City. In 2017.

    “I guess this is Trump’s America,” said one passenger. No sir, it’s not. Not tonight and not ever. Not as long as stubborn New Yorkers have anything to say about it.

  7. The Sudanese families I have met have been very respectable families. Black ( and I mean black), tall ( and I mean tall), well spoken and polite.

  8. Briefly,
    C@T…i know some Sudanese too….adorable

    I am sure they are within your orbit. The ones that are not as pure, likely not.

    Sorry, but I saw a story the other day whereby a woman about my age was doing her shopping in the early morning and was set upon, out of the blue, by 3 ‘very dark-skinned youths who weren’t Indigenous’, if you get my drift, and she was knocked to the ground and kicked repeatedly in the head and back and face.

    Not so ‘adorable’, don’t you think?

    And, yes, Anglos are capable of doing things just as bad. However, the point needs to be made that they are not all ‘adorable’ little angels.

    Suffice to say I have met those who are better behaved as well.

  9. Sky News Australia
    2 mins ·
    Liberal MP Craig Kelly has dismissed any division within the Liberal party over same-sex marriage. #theperrettreport MORE

    He repeatedly insisted that “nobody has put their name to it”, but didn’t I see reports yesterday and this morning of Tony Abbott hectoring Turnbull about SSM? So someone has “put their name to it”, and done it in a highly visible and public way. Kelly is full of it.

  10. Frednk

    depends what you want to know – there’s a lot of information out there down to a shire level based on ABS stats.

  11. Cat
    So you read the Sun/Herald. A shit sheet if there ever was one. I’ll take my personal experience over the shit they write.

  12. You are a smart man, Bemused.
    Not as smart as me, but you know, in reality, who the fuck is?
    Keep up the fight mate.
    They will not beat you.

  13. I would say most people know D. Trump’s son is called Barron – an unusual name.

    Knowing the name of the Bannon chap is only for the diehards. You won’t meet anyone down the street in my suburb who has ever hear of Bannon chap. Or the Spicer fellow or the lady K. Conway. But most know of D. Trump and his wife and young son.

  14. Prettyone

    So you’d rather believe a poster here was wanting a ten year old to die than accept that they mixed up two similar names? You have a very dark view of humanity.

  15. ‘dave
    boerwar @ #348 Sunday, February 5, 2017 at 5:45 pm

    At least one of the talking book readers for some of the O’Brien series is a superb reader. Unfortunately I have forgotten his name.
    I think the name was Irish.

    Patrick Tull – superb.’

    That’s the one.

  16. C@t:

    Even the American media is talking about a white supremacist being resident in the White House. It’s all very disturbing.

    The sooner Trump is impeached the better.

  17. you wrote ‘Barron’ – the name of Trump’s son – instead of ‘Bannon’.

    OMG! OMG! OMG!

    Sorry about that! I was typing in rubber gloves and in the middle of cleaning my oven! 😳

  18. My prediction for Newspoll has been upped to 55 – 45 2pp to Labor, Greens down to 7%.

    Have we been “wowed” by the usual suspect yet?

  19. Frednk,
    So you read the Sun/Herald. A shit sheet if there ever was one. I’ll take my personal experience over the shit they write.

    Nope. It was on the Fairfax website.

    Are you trying to say it never happened!?!

    To which I will reiterate that the majority are not like that.

  20. ‘Fess,
    The sooner Trump is impeached the better.

    The Red Cross Ball on Saturday at Mar A Lago and the Trump Golf Club function on Sunday that he attended, profits from which go straight to Trump Inc, have to break the Emoluments Clause of the Constitution!

    However, as someone in the US observed, Trump is intent on doing just that, breaking the Constitution!

    Which will put the ‘Originalists’ in the Republican Party in an interesting position. For so long now they have been lauding the American Constitution as the first and last word wrt the law of the land. So they will just seem like the biggest hypocrites in the world if they subsequently let Trump stomp all over it with his jackboots.

  21. C@t:

    Sensible commenters knew exactly who you were referring to. Don’t let a hyper sensitive, out to troll idiot convince you otherwise.

  22. The latest on Fukushima, as far as I can make out:
    1. 150,000 people will probably never go home. Wildlife of various sorts is enjoying the vacuum, but at a price.
    2. The cost of decommissioning Daichi is now well in excess of $100 billion and is more likely to be closer to $200 billion. These are guesses. Reading between the lines one thing seems to be clear: that very little is clear.
    3. Radiation levels inside the containment vessel are astronomically high. This is fine, as long as they stay there. The radiation levels are so high that remote equipment inserted into the chamber does not last for very long.
    4. There is some sort of hole that the engineers think may have been caused by melting fuel. It is not clear to me that the hole is not actually a hole through the wall of the containment vessel.
    5. They have some sort of remote sensing apparatus that they think has shown them where the ‘missing’ fuel rods are. They are not certain that what they are looking at is actually the rods. The rods appear to be where they are after things melted and fell through the bottom of something. It is not clear from the reports but it may be possible that some things are still molten.
    6. If you believe TEPCO, and why would you, then they are managing the huge water flows involved in cooling the debris, the rods, etc, etc, etc, such that the water that actually reaches the ocean is below ‘operational targets’.

    I feel comforted by Switowski’s assurance that there is nothing to see here folks, move along.

  23. C@t:

    The Republicans are so far from conservatives it isn’t funny. I’m actually bracing as to what President Trump tries in Week 3.

  24. Boerwar,
    Mark Willacy went back to Fukushima for Foreign Correspondent last year (or was it 4C?). It was a very long and utterly transfixing report.

    Apparently some of the older residents are moving back because they do not think that ultimately their lives will be cut too much shorter anyway and they miss their old neighbourhoods and family homes.

    There are younger ones too, such as fathers whose families were taken by the tsunami and they just want to take part in the Recovery effort and try and find the bodies, or even just the possessions of their loved ones among the debris.

    All very sad. And lots more besides. Like trips with the workers going back to the Reactor to clean it up!

  25. It’s an easy mistake to make. Trump himself accidentally appointed Bannon to the National Security Council when he clearly intended to appoint his 10 year old son.

    He (the son, that is) is very good at the cyber. And the security aspect of the cyber is very very tough.

  26. [Newspoll
    54-46 2pp to Labor
    Primaries: Coalition 35, Labor 36, Greens 10]

    Hmmm, that will agitate the Lib backbenchers and the monkey pod. But who to turn to? Morrison? Dutton? Abbott?! Bishop?, no just kidding.

Comments Page 10 of 11
1 9 10 11

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *