GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.
There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).
Has Oakshott called his motion yet?
The fact is Abbott was exposed today by Oakeshott and Hockey
@davidwh/1498
What makes you think that Coalition also make their promise of getting back into black?
I am surprised that Bill Gates wasn’t asked a question about high speed broadband. Well, not really.
Seattle is the latest city to go around ISPs to get a gigabit network by Stacey Higginbotham DEC. 13, 2012 – 10:35 AM PDT 24 Co
SUMMARY:
Seattle will join Chicago, Kansas City, Bruistol, Tenn. and other cities with its very own gigabit broadband network. The proposed plan would see a mix of fiber-to-the-home, mobile broadband and gigabit point-to-point wireless services. The city will partner with Gigabit Squared to make it happen.
Seattle has teamed up with Gigabit Squared, a startup that wants to invest $200 million in building gigabit broadband networks in six college towns around the country, to build a gigabit network. Seattle, which has its own city-owed dark fiber network, and Gigabit Squared have signed a Memorandum of Understanding and a Letter of Intent that will allow Gigabit Squared to begin raising the capital needed to conduct engineering work and to build out the demonstration fiber network.
There are three parts to the network, a fiber-to-home element that will reach 50,000 homes in 12 Seattle neighborhoods. The network will also take advantage of point-to-point wireless, which companies such as WebPass are using, as well as offer some kind of mobile broadband service as well. From the release:
To provide initial coverage beyond the 12 demonstration neighborhoods, Gigabit Seattle intends to build a dedicated gigabit broadband wireless umbrella to cover Seattle providing point-to-point radio access up to one gigabit per second. This will be achieved by placing fiber transmitters on top of 38 buildings across Seattle. These transmitters can beam fiber internet to multifamily housing and offices across Seattle, even those outside the twelve demonstration neighborhoods, as long as they are in a line of sight. Internet service would be delivered to individual units within a building through existing wiring. This wireless coverage can provide network and Internet services to customers that do not have immediate access to fiber in the city.
This will be Gigabit Squared’s second fiber commitment under an arrangement it has with the Gig.U project headed by Blair Levin. Levin, who led the efforts to write the National Broadband Plan, formed Gig.U to make sure the U.S. maintains a competitive edge in broadband infrastructure. His idea is to build gigabit networks in U.S. college towns so students and researchers can keep up with the broadband speeds that other countries are developing.
Gigabit Squared’s first commitment was in Chicago, which it announced in October. Chicago had already announced a plan to dig trenches for fiber-to-the-home service as part of an upgrade to the city’s utilities, so Gigabit Squared probably saw a willing municipal partner and jumped.
What’s fascinating about all of these models is that they are bypassing traditional ISPs, such as the telcos and cable firms to build out city-specific programs where the municipality and a private company work together to build out the network. Google took this same approach in Kansas City when it chose that town for its Google Fiber deployment. And lest other municipalities feel left out (ahem, Austin!!) Google said this week that it would expand Google Fiber to more cities, while Gigabit Squared still has four more towns left if it follows its original plan.
http://gigaom.com/2012/12/13/seattle-is-the-latest-city-to-go-around-isps-to-get-a-gigabit-network/
Related research
dwh
“” Simply they have lost the battle on who is perceived the best party to manage the economy.””
YOU were obviously ASLEEP during the GFC!.
lol crikey whitey
Fran
‘BW:
Fran Is there any government in the world you would ever have voted for without compromising your principles?
Oh yes. Firstly, absent compulsory preferential I could vote Green here. I do that at state level. Many jurisdictions have PR. The UK has FPtP which, though grossly undemocratic, does permit one to vote for the party of one’s choice.
If the ALP were still a party like that of Whitlam, I could give it a preference, whatever reservations I had about its policies. There are also governments in Scandinavia and Western Europe that would pass a lesser harm test.
I don’t expect governing parties to be perfect, but there are some lines that should not be crossed.’
I take it from this that the short, direct answer to my question was no?
MB I didn’t say they were falling for the Labor spin, I have no knowledge as to whether they truely believe it or not, however they are caught up in the whole Labor spin machine and have no where else to go. In gact they have been riding shotgun for the Labor cause since 2010 and completely loyal deputies.
How that turns out for them will very much be determined by Labor’s fortunes in September. I doubt Oakeshott will survive regardless of the election result and Windsor is in danger either way.
I expect if one party falls then all three will fall.
mimhoff:
Well as I said earlier today, some people are not incorrigible. People can change their values but it usually requires them to have these challenged by parties they trust. The reality is that the Greens are perhaps talking to 20% of the population whereas the ALP can pitch seriously at 55-65% (the rest probably are tribally opposed/incorrigible and will only yield when they feel under seige rather than out of conviction.) Importantly as new people join the voter pool, one can pitch at those who are not yet incorrigibly foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent, fearful or irrational. If it is true that the ALP might be out of office for 2-3 terms the process of reconfiguring so as to capture this audience would seem to be key.
davidwh
I guess Tim Nicholls over promised and under delivered as well.
The 21% electricity rise is now here, the budget is not in surplus as promised and a new levy on ratepayers for disasters are the good stuff leaked pre-budget.
It’s not about Kevin . . . much.
[What makes you think that Coalition also make their promise of getting back into black?]
I haven’t said they will zoidlord. That really depends on a lot of factors I have no confidence about at present.
davidwh
The independents have offered the coalition the chance many times , if they wanted to be in government prove to them they are alternative
we have seen is no policies to govern from the newsltd/ Abbottt coalition but personal attacks and propaganda against individual members and the pm
@davidwh/1512
Then I agree with you on that amount lol.
[NBN Co to beat its June rollout targets]
I’m in an NBN Roll-out area and I confirm this claim is complete horseshit.
Not a single house in this area has been connected and we were meant to ready-for-service by October last year.
And here comes the key quote from the article:
[Obviously these numbers are based on NBN Co’s Ready for Service expectations, rather than actual achievements.]
The author of this ITN article isn’t too bright… you can’t take projections as a “Result”, you take results as results.
Hartcher and Kelly putting Speers back in his box, very unusual.
Weatherill says the ban on live betting during sport is the most popular thing he’s done in 11 years.
The betting agencies must be filthy with Tom Waterhouse who pushed his luck too far and is getting some serious recoil.
[ He noted the SA legislation “could create a national ban” on live-odds advertising in Australian sporting telecasts before the federal politicians complete their push for self-regulation from the television networks.
Mr Weatherill said the public support for his legislation is significant.
“I have never had a stronger positive reaction to anything I have done in 11 years of politics in any topic,” he told adelaidenow.]
BW
[I take it from this that the short, direct answer to my question was no?]
On the contrary, the answer was yes. I could vote for a Green or nominally ‘socialist’ government in much of Europe. I mightn’t get one but I could certainly vote for one. I’d probably have voted for Hollande in France. I’d have supported Syriza in Greece. And while I don’t support their position on whaling I’d probably have supported the left-of-centre coalition in Norway.
@Sean/1515
You obviously don’t know how Rollouts work, So I call bullshit on your claim.
Rua no doubt QLD LNP over-promised given current economic circumstances. The main difference is they started with a lot more political capital to lose.
Tisme
I know there are big words but this explains why.
[1. An NBN rollout region or Fibre Servicing Area Module (FSAM) is an area that is passed or intended to be passed by NBN Co fibre. There may be a number of separate rollout regions or “FSAMs” within a suburb for reasons of network architecture, specific geographic features, new premises growth etc.
As a result, the NBN may not be rolled out to an entire suburb at the same time. Similarly, an NBN rollout region may cross the boundaries of adjoining suburbs.
2.The NBN rollout region Identifier relates to each FSAM. This identifier distinguishes between different NBN rollout regions located within a particular Customer Service Area. For example, your customer may live in the listed Customer Service Area but may not be in the specific NBN rollout region or FSAM that is declared “Ready for Service” on a particular date.
For further details on rollout regions and whether a premise is ready for connection to the NBN, please visit NBN Co’s website.
3.The Ready for Service Date is the date when NBN Co expects the NBN to pass at least 90% of homes and businesses within the relevant NBN rollout region or FSAM. For areas where the rollout of the NBN commenced before 7 March 2012 or networks acquired by NBN Co, services can be connected to the NBN prior to the Ready For Service Date. For areas where the rollout of the NBN commenced on or after 7 March 2012 services (other than trial or test services) can only be connected to the NBN after the Ready For Service Date. ]
MB #1513 with all due respect that is complete rubbish.
[You obviously don’t know how Rollouts work, So I call bullshit on your claim.]
NBN are going to miss their end of June roll out target by a country mile and when they do I expect you to apologise to me when it happens.
[NBN are going to miss their end of June roll out target by a country mile and when they do I expect you to apologise to me when it happens.]
And if they don’t you will change the criteria. 😛
@Sean/1523
Back to FUD/FEAR now that you been called on it.
I expect you to do the same after June.
[1500
Fran Barlow
briefly @1475
In marketing terms, the generic left is cannibalising its own support.
More precisely, there is competition between two brands pitching for overlapping consumers.]
So there we are…there is competition between Labor and the Greens. This is the game. Labor has made no progress at all trying to compete in the LNP’s territory. And it cannot compete by decorating itself with Green badges (in the way that Ford rebadges Mazda products). So Labor will have to re-think its strategy. Well, that’s been done before too.
truth will prevail and Abbott’s carbon price lie will be exposed
The Australian newspaper reports that only one in five undecided voters want the carbon tax repealed and only one in three people still support a repeal once given basic information.
ONLY one in five undecided voters want the government’s carbon pricing scheme repealed, according to new national polling which suggests attitudes to the policy can still be swayed.
The polling shows only 19 per cent of the 20 per cent of respondents who nominated themselves as undecided voters wanted the carbon price repealed.
The results indicate that abolishing the carbon tax may not be the vote-changer among those yet to make up their minds on who to support on September 14.
The polling also shows that while 42 per cent of voters want the carbon pricing regime repealed, when they are given a message suggesting it would make renewable energy cheaper, that number falls to 35 per cent.
The polling, commissioned by environmental group WWF and conducted by AMR research, shows the proportion of voters who think carbon pricing should be given a chance to work rose from 39 per cent to 45 per cent when they were given the positive message.
Of Labor voters, 76 per cent think the carbon price should be given a chance and 77 per cent of Greens voters think the same. But 11 per cent of Greens think it should be repealed, as did 9 per cent of Labor voters. Sixty-five per cent of Liberal voters want the carbon price repealed.
The Australian, p4 – ”Few swing against carbon price” – 28 May 2013
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/few-swing-against-carbon-price/story-e6frg6xf-1226651698190
fran
thanks
davidwh
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 4:46 pm | PERMALINK
MB #1513 with all due respect that is complete rubbish.
———–
disagree
what has the coalition shown that is the alternative
Nothing but incompetence
and guess who gets Abbott out of trouble due to media driven biased opinion polls
Is this screwy, or is it just me?
——————————
Essential Report says:
27% want to: “Keep the carbon and mining taxes
(A combined 59% want to dump it, either keeping or not keeping the compensation.)
then later, in response to the question:
43% answer “YES”
——————————-
So 27% want to keep it in one question, and 43% in another.
Maybe this is just me, as I said, but if it’s not, how WEIRD are those numbers?
http://essentialvision.com.au/category/essentialreport
Speers gets slapped by by NSW ed Minister, bad day for Speers believing The Australian.
Re. #1530…
Does the public not recognize that “the Carbon Tax” and “the government’s carbon pricing scheme” are one and the same thing?
briefly
The Greens polling is collapsing by the hundreds of thousands as erstwhile Greens supporters take a hard look at the biodiversity wreckage being wrought by state Liberal governments that the Greens leaders have been telling the Greens followers are the ‘same’ as Labor.
Just a Greens lie, really.
Piccoli did not go to Canberra to talk to the Govt, he went there to educate Chris Pyne.
Speers is floundering.
1489
It does not apply to formal votes whose 1st preferences go to candidates/Senate group tickets whose vote is under 4% or who refuse it. You can still vote formal and not have any money go to political parties.
Funding for administrative duties (as well as campaigns) based on votes is more democratic that than getting finding from corporate donors. As such it should be implemented but all electoral funding should be means-tested, so that groups that get more donations (that means from the rich and the vested interests) get less or no public money.
The US Supreme Court upheld the constitutionality of state laws making vaccination compulsory in 1905.
However nearly all states have exemption procedures.
Speers kicks Piccoli off the telly.
[And if they don’t you will change the criteria.]
If they don’t I will come in here admit I am wrong and vote Labor come election day.
The truth is NBN has missed every target they have ever set for themselves and will miss this latest one by a country mile. I’m in a roll-out suburb and I’m watching how slow the whole thing is happening… i’ll be impressed if they even reach 50% of their new new new target of 280,000 premises passed.
[1509…Fran Barlow]
You are seriously over-estimating the respective market shares of the Greens and Labor. In WA at the recent election, the Green vote was 8.3% and the ALP vote was 33.1%. This may not turn out to be very different from the result in September.
We are very far from appealing to 20% and 55/65% respectively. Very far indeed.
[ What this means at the moment is that I can’t even cast a formal vote in a Federal election for a party with which I agree in principle and of which I’m a member. ]
Fran, I think you are hands down the weirdest poster here on PB – and the competition is pretty stiff here sometimes!
1100
guytaur
[ @sspencer_63: News you may have missed. The Coalition has abandoned plans to force a no-confidence motion in the Gillard Govt. http://t.co/RLBWNtFdj9
Now the MSM is reporting it, it is official. Abbott is a coward.]
Abbott the Coward should be one of the government’s main campaign memes. Because it is true, relevant, and very damaging to his bogus he-man schtick, which is all he has.
1530
Bushfire Bill
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 4:52 pm | Permalink
BB..it’s that word “tax”…people oppose a carbon tax, but don’t mind a carbon price…idiotic, I know
Watermelon Fran, out of the closet again …
[I’d have supported Syriza in Greece. ]
Wiki: The coalition (Syriza)comprises a broad array of groups (thirteen in total) and independent politicians, including democratic socialists and green left groups, as well as Maoist, Trotskyist, and eurocommunist organisations.
What a lovely bunch. Is Kim Jong-Un also a member?
Bushfire Bill @ 1532
It seems the majority of coalition supporters are asked the 2pp questions
and a different type of supporter are asked the other questions
BB
I believe the Essential bloke said something along the lines of … after further info was given’. That there did seem to be confusion in the public mind. Yesterday, on the Drum.
[1527
AussieAchmed
truth will prevail and Abbott’s carbon price lie will be exposed]
I for one would like to re-design the thing. We can do more and do it with less heartache.
1533
Green supporters really do not want Abbott and not all of them understand preferential voting and so some will switch back to avoid what they think would be wasting their vote. There is also an element of polarisation on the left to avoid Abbott like the ALP took votes off the Democrats in 1993.
Sean Tisme
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 4:56 pm | PERMALINK
And if they don’t you will change the criteria.
If they don’t I will come in here admit I am wrong and vote Labor come election day.
The truth is NBN has missed every target they have ever set for themselves and will miss this latest one by a country mile.
———–
Wrong again
I can confirm NBN hooked the area i am in 2 months early
crikey whitey @ 1545
There wouldnt be confusion if the opinion polling was done with no media driven influence,
The coalition would be no chance
Speers is simply supporting his programs major sponsor.
With Guardian Australia’s debut this week it really does highlight how old fashioned the Sky News model is being financially backed by a newspaper.
I laugh when the morning presenters literally drag out the NewsLtd front pages to spruik their sponsor.