GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.
There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).
Ban on unvaccinated children
http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/unvaccinated-children-banned-from-nsw-childcare-centres-20130528-2n8wp.html
Public Health v rights of admission.
At this time we should be grateful that we do not have a Bill of Rights
[Fortunately there’s, in all likelihood, only another 14 days left of this Labor nonsense in the house. What’s Albanese going to do after Sep 14?]
Used Car Salesman
Building company goes broke and ours workers hundreds of thousands of dollars in wages and superannuation.
There should be a Royal Commission into this embezzlement and theft by an employer of workers entitlements.
[Latika Bourke @latikambourke 1m
Former PM Kevin Rudd says he would support the push to let caucus choose the ministry ‘as part of a package of larger reforms.’]
I thought it was KR who changed ministry choice to PM’s choice.
For once I agree with Oakeshott!
Fran…bearing in mind all that you say, and not wanting to dispute any of it, the issue still remains: are the Greens going to continue to prowl for votes from Labor, or not?
Self-interest says the Greens will keep on plundering Labor while, at the same time, blaming Labor either being too Blue or not sufficiently Green.
It is a very interesting problem. Until it is resolved, the LNP will be able to help themselves to easy wins.
“Under the Coalitions Pacific Solution 100% of Asylum Seekers were sent to Nauru or Manus Island.”
Yes, and the great majority ended up here or in NZ at huge cost, which was never a concern for Howard and the Hammock Dweller – the all-time Big Spenders of Australian Governments.
Confound your critics and do your homework for a change. Have a look at the IMF report and spare us more idiot questions.
You really are an ignorant lightweight.
briefly:
[Fran…bearing in mind all that you say, and not wanting to dispute any of it, the issue still remains: are the Greens going to continue to prowl for votes from Labor, or not?]
We are certainly, as any principled party would, going to build our party by pitching first at those most likely to be sympathetic to our principles. In practice, most of these people will be ALP primary voters. That’s marketing 101.
Why would we expend any substantial part of our modest resources talking to people who are foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational? That doesn’t make a scrap of sense. It also wouldn’t make sense in terms of moving the ALP away from its currently self-destructive course. The ALP can defend itself against us by showing that one need not vote Green to have a government with which a progressive could identify without qualms. If it does so then it will inevitably draw to its side the best of the uncommitted and make life much tougher both for the LNP and its media partners.
A MELBOURNE business once awarded a best employer accolade is in strife after deducting wages from staff members for toilet breaks.
At least three employees at an Aegis Australia call centre in Werribee had money taken from their pay for the amount of time they spent in the loo during their shift.
employers impelenting Abbotts I/R changes ahead of time
Read more: http://www.news.com.au/business/worklife/staff-at-aegis-australia-call-centre-in-werribee-had-pay-cut-for-toilet-breaks/story-e6frfm9r-1226651670765#ixzz2UYxbse56
NBN Co to beat its June rollout targets
http://www.itnews.com.au/News/344524,nbn-co-to-beat-its-june-rollout-target.aspx
And just for the record, I would like it greatly if the ALP were the kind of party to which I could give an effective preference without crossing any serious ethical boundaries. As things stand, even if I went cognitively dissonant on Afghanistan, gay marriage, support for Israel, the MRRT, cutting supporting parents benefit, live exports (that would hurt a lot) I would be voting to imprison asylum seekers for seeking asylum. I just couldn’t elect to become a backer of punitive detention and rendition of vulnerable people, including children.
I’m a schoolteacher. How could that be right? I’ve taught kids who have come here on “boats”. I tell them that I solidarise with them and oppose their families being locked up, and believe in the Refugee Convention.
What this means at the moment is that I can’t even cast a formal vote in a Federal election for a party with which I agree in principle and of which I’m a member.
ST
“Fortunately there’s, in all likelihood, only another 14 days left of this Labor nonsense in the house. What’s Albanese going to do after Sep 14?””
There is something wrong with your eyes and ears if you think the libs perform well in Question Time. they are PATHETIC!.
[NBN Co to beat its June rollout targets]
Don’t tell me The Shadow Minister for the Copper Economy got his facts wrong.
ROYALTIES For Regions may have delivered swimming pools and a singing toilet to regional WA, but among the flush of amenities going in, basic infrastructure is still missing.
Typical Lib/National Party priorities
Why are the NSW Rugby League team sponsored by “Victoria” Bitter?
George Brandis DH, on now if anyone cares.
Fran 1458
Spoken and outed like a true Watermelon and Lee Rhiannon fan, who also wants to see Israel destroyed. You could get cute and say it’s only such-n-such policies that you don’t support but you’ve stated opposition to “support for Israel” so that means you’re in bed with Lee of course and others who oppose its existence: Hamas, Hizbullah, Deblonay and all the rest, Nazis and Greens alike. So much for a “principled party”, regressive in the extreme.
Fran 1461 that is.
A singing toilet? I bet if Buswell approved it, it has scratch-n-sniff seats as well.
Take the royalties for regions rorts out of the WA budget and they would be well on the way to reining the colossal growth in the Barnett state debt.
[Why are the NSW Rugby League team sponsored by “Victoria” Bitter?]
There are no happy people in VIC to support them.
Fran
Is there any government in the world you would ever have voted for without compromising your principles?
ruawake
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 3:55 pm | Permalink
Why are the NSW Rugby League team sponsored by “Victoria” Bitter?
Coz no decent beers are manufactured in NSW
I suspect Senator George is wearing stiletto’s at the moment
Brandis going off half cocked, he hasn’t had his briefing from the ASIO DG yet but he knows everything.
[1458…Fran Barlow]
In marketing terms, the generic left is cannibalising its own support.
That aside, Labor is going to have to renew the basis of its appeal. Because it necessarily must reach into the centre, it must present values that distinguish it from those the Greens most strongly identify with.
But this does not mean Labor’s appeal either is or will be “to people who are foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational”. This characterisation is as much an insult to Labor as it is to all those it seeks to represent and to serve.
It may seem low-brow, but I think Green-Labor-LNP rivalry should be considered in socio-economic terms, among others. Fully 70% of households in this economy have incomes that match the statistical average, or less. That is, their incomes are around $65,000 or less. Median incomes are around $46,000.
Considering that real incomes are going to come down as a result of declines in nominal exports and (a likely very deep) depreciation, the role of the State in protecting the welfare of the population is going to become absolutely central to Australian politics. If real wages fall as much as is likely, then median incomes will fall below $30,000, when expressed in current terms, within the coming few years.
This decline and our reaction to it – and the actions we might take to forestall climate change – will determine the substance of Australian politics for years to come. It is in these contests that Labor must rebuild its fortunes, either with the Greens or in spite of them.
Brandis DH is trying to run away.
I support Kurdistan.
Except that its declaration would provoke a regional war involving, in all probability, hundreds of thousands of deaths and millions of people driven out of their homes.
Wrings hands.
I was amused during QT that the Opp “strategy” had been so carefully worked out, but didn’t take account of possibility that questions might actually be dealt with by govt early on. Therefore Lib MP faced with “please reword your question” was totally flummoxed.
OTOH JG was being fed relevant material even as she was answering new questions. I do admire an intelligent mind at work.
[1461
Fran Barlow
And just for the record, I would like it greatly if the ALP were the kind of party to which I could give an effective preference without crossing any serious ethical boundaries.]
I could always email you a virtual clothes-peg…to apply to your nose as you cast an unprincipled vote 🙂
and Senator George sashays away back to the office….
‘…foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational…’
moi?
Tony Windsor now letting the Gina out of the bag re funding for Barnaby Joyces election campaign
[1480
Rex Douglas
and Senator George sashays away back to the office….]
Doesn’t he move by tottering? He certainly totters on the edge of indecency a lot of the time.
[1481
Boerwar
‘…foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational…’
moi?]
Yes…incorrigible….a term of endearment in your case…
The Australian gets it wrong again, it is not $1 a year per vote in electoral funding it is 33c.
Who is Greg Maguire ??????????
Windsor refers to reports of Gina funding Barnaby Joyce’s election camopaign in the hundreds. “even 700,000” dollars.
Are we going to see a leadership challenge in the liberal party ranks, the independents are getting a sniff
Gifting political parties $1 per vote is a good enough reason to vote informal.
shellbell
I imagine the anti vac nutters will find an anti vac doctor to fill in their exemption forms.
Which one of our esteemed press gallery professionals will pick up the scent that Windsor just deposited ???
@puff/1487
If Gina is trying to make friends with Politicians it’s the wrong crowd.
[Why would we expend any substantial part of our modest resources talking to people who are foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational?]
But how does the left expect to increase its total overall vote, if not by convincing such people?
Is it any surprise then that the ALP has decided to take the other option and give in to them instead?
The finance sector continues to shrink as a share of the economy….
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-27/u-k-banks-cut-189-000-with-employment-at-nine-year-low.html
[Britain’s four biggest banks will have eliminated about 189,000 jobs by the end of this year from their peak staffing levels, bringing employment to a nine-year low amid a dearth of revenue. More cuts may follow.
Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, HSBC (HSBA) Holdings Plc, Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY) and Barclays Plc (BARC) will employ about 606,000 people worldwide by the end of 2013, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s 24 percent below the peak of 795,000 in 2008 and the least since 2004, when they employed 594,000 globally.]
Phil Coorey asks why there has been no public discussion of Electoral Matters legislation.
Maybe you should ask yourself Phil.
MB the Independents are protecting their backsides as they are totally married to the fortunes of Labor. They have little choice but to continue the Labor spin.
There will not be a change in LOTO … unfortunately.
It is worth noting that Australia rode out the global financial crisis relatively unscathed. Abbott voted against the AU$42bn stimulus that helped keep Australia out of recession, but despite his convictions, today the country’s government debt as a percentage of GDP is a mere 27 per cent – lower than that of Sweden, Norway, and Qatar – and it enjoys a triple-A credit rating from all three of the main ratings agencies.
It is also experiencing a sustained mining boom along with steady GDP growth, fuelled largely by Chinese consumption. This has meant that the average household income in Australia has become much higher than the equivalent in the UK or the US – roughly AU$64,168 per year, equivalent to £43,590 in the UK or $66,765 in the US.
Why, then, are neoliberal economic policies being proposed by Abbott, and meeting with such positive popular sentiment in such a prosperous country? In short, the situation in Europe is being used in Australia to create fear and distrust in big government policies.
The false narrative of unsustainable public spending and high taxes leading to financial crash and recession has been a potent tool in justifying further neoliberal reforms across the world.
We have it now in the UK, and Australia wants to be next. Abbott, aware of the power of such fearful narratives, is using them to his advantage despite having once written to Santamaria of the Liberal Party that it was populated by “…more or less simple-minded advocates of the free market.”
[Why, then, are neoliberal economic policies being proposed by Abbott, and meeting with such positive popular sentiment in such a prosperous country?]
Because both the PM and Treasurer over-promised and under-delivered on the 2013 surplus/deficit. Simply they have lost the battle on who is perceived the best party to manage the economy.
davidwh
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 4:25 pm | PERMALINK
MB the Independents are protecting their backsides as they are totally married to the fortunes of Labor. They have little choice but to continue the Labor spin.
———
its not the independent who are falling for labor’s spin
its those who are falling for news ltd/abbott coalition
davidwh time for you to change 🙂
briefly @1475
[In marketing terms, the generic left is cannibalising its own support.]
More precisely, there is competition between two brands pitching for overlapping consumers. Some of those ‘consumers’ prefer more socially and fiscally conservative policies, or have a relaxed attitude to ecosystem services and human rights. Some however are concerned to protect the environment, favour social justice and the like. We’re inviting them to indicate their support for these value by supporting us, and pressing the ALP to move in that direction.
[But this does not mean Labor’s appeal either is or will be “to people who are foolish, bigoted, ignorant, indolent or incorrigibly fearful or irrational”. This characterisation is as much an insult to Labor as it is to all those it seeks to represent and to serve.]
It may be an insult, but if it is, ALP HQ makes no apologies for this pitch. That’s precisely what they are doing. I recall those cringeworthy appeals of Gillard in 2010 when she essentially called asylum seekers queue-jumpers. I recall her alarm-clock references in April 2011.
BW:
[Fran Is there any government in the world you would ever have voted for without compromising your principles?]
Oh yes. Firstly, absent compulsory preferential I could vote Green here. I do that at state level. Many jurisdictions have PR. The UK has FPtP which, though grossly undemocratic, does permit one to vote for the party of one’s choice.
If the ALP were still a party like that of Whitlam, I could give it a preference, whatever reservations I had about its policies. There are also governments in Scandinavia and Western Europe that would pass a lesser harm test.
I don’t expect governing parties to be perfect, but there are some lines that should not be crossed.