Galaxy: 59-41 to federal Coalition in Queensland

Galaxy follows up Saturday’s state poll with federal voting intention results for Queensland, painting the usual grim picture for Labor.

GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.

There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.

UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.

The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,883 comments on “Galaxy: 59-41 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

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  1. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-27/li-says-china-confronts-huge-challenges-as-growth-levels-slow.html

    Li Tells Germany China Targets 7% Growth for Decade

    Chinese Premier Li Keqiang told German business leaders his country is confronted by “huge challenges” as it seeks 7 percent annual growth this decade, down from more than 10 percent in the previous 10 years.

    The “ambitious” overhaul packages of his government, which took office in March, will offer “enormous” opportunities for the rest of the world, Li said. He outlined plans for advances in industrialization, urbanization, technological advances and agriculture.
    Trail Forecasts

    Data earlier this month on fixed-asset investment and factory production missed forecasts and gauges of manufacturing and service industries declined. The economy expanded 7.8 percent in 2012, the slowest pace in 13 years.]

  2. Everybody knows this is a dud government onto it’s way to a hiding… so it’s going to be silly season in the parliament right up to the end of parliament.

  3. “@KarenMMiddleton: High head count in House of Reps #qt today. I think the toll is now 5 Libs booted out & 1 Govt minister…”

  4. B

    [Speaker ordered Mr Simpkins to withdraw for 1 hour for interjecting after a warning had been given by the Chair, 2:53 PM and he accordingly left the Chamber.]

  5. Thought for a while Morrison might have been out patrolling the streets of Cronulla making sure no murdering AS were around:grin:

  6. Given that Members of Parliament are paid to represent their constituents (us), we should decline to subsidise their antics when they are booted.

    They should lose salary and entitlements for that day, which may well enthuse them for some manners and rational thought instead of boorish nonsense.

  7. Opposition still raving about cuts after being told it was detailed in the budget of increases to security services,

  8. I don’t know why Gillard had to setup a talkfest panel to try and stop the boats… she should have just picked up the phone to John Howard or maybe Phil Ruddock.

    Can’t remember them ever spending months setting up a talkfest panel… they just took action and did it rather than getting outsiders to write up their policy.

  9. Sean Tisme
    Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 2:53 pm | Permalink
    Everybody knows this is a dud government onto it’s way to a hiding… so it’s going to be silly season in the parliament right up to the end of parliament.
    ——————————————————-

    We have come to expect a lack of respect of our Parliamen by the Liberals.

    Noted how many Libs are getting themselves kicked out rather than continue to be embarrassed by their frony bench stupidity

  10. Who’s been telling porkies? As if we don’t know.

    [
    THE company building the nation’s biggest resource projects has countered claims that widespread union disruption is driving up costs in ways that threaten another $100 billion wave of investment in gas exports.

    Giant US company Bechtel, which is building four of Australia’s new gas facilities, said there were no significant labour stoppages at its sites under workplace agreements with three big unions.]

  11. [1426
    Sean Tisme

    I don’t know why Gillard had to setup a talkfest panel to try and stop the boats… she should have just picked up the phone to John Howard or maybe Phil Ruddock.

    Can’t remember them ever spending months setting up a talkfest panel… they just took action and did it rather than getting outsiders to write up their policy.]

    Tony’s fleet….a symbol of LNP and green obstruction.

  12. The Liberal NBN relies on copper that was laid by the PMG…how many of you are of an age that you even remember the PMG?

    The Liberal NBN imposes a cost on small business of thousands of dollars. This from the Libs who claim to understand and care about small business – another lie. If they did care they would be taking fibre to every small business

  13. The group that actually pushed up wages in mining were the mining companies.

    They started a bidding war in order to attract the small number of workers qualified to work in mining.

    They pushed up wages and conditions to attract workers

  14. briefly:

    [Well, no-one can force the G’s to make such choices. But unless a better accommodation is found, the LNP will have some very easy wins.]

    They may well, but there is a strategic rather than tactical question here. The ALP cannot govern as a progressive party if governing entails decisive reliance on people who are rightwing populists, social conservatives or dogmatic neoliberals. The ALP needs to work on building a consensus around a progressive agenda that can underpin their government. Pandering to the aforementioned groupd simply empowers opportunistic trolling and puts them at the mercy of the Murdoch-led media.

    In many respects, this was the problem with the “East Timor” strategy, and what prompted Gillard’s ill-advised responses on the “carbon tax” and the early surplus and the backdown on RSPT/R**d ouster. Along with the R**d leaking (with hindsight it was probably Crean) during the 2010 campaign. Similarly, their double-cross of Wilkie and the adventure with Slipper reflected their attempt to pander to the clubs lobby, but this simply played to the argument that Gillard was and is duplicitous.

    Nor should one underrate the factors in NSW and QLD playing against the ALP. The close alignment of Sussex St with the ouster of Rudd and makes the connection to the standing of the party here much worse than would normally be the case. The party here has a diabolical profile and the Thomson matter simply underlined it. And of course Swan and Rudd are both from QLD where the party is also on the nose. In neither setting has the influence of the Greens in Federal or State Labor’s standing been an issue.

    That the MBCM is likely to be hostile to progressive politics is a given. Once one accepts that feature of the political terrain, the only real question is how to respond to it. Plainly, one must develop a strong core ethos around which all progressives can unite and then seek to wedge the other side’s constituencies. One must also find ways of going around the MBCM to render them moot instead of giving them respect that they ill-deserve. These days, there are viable alternative channels for progressives to use that can wrongfoot the MBCM, but the ALP continues to behave as if the media landscape is exactly as it was in 1993. That’s inept and nothing to do with us.

  15. I liked the PMJG zinger, “…inviting me to thug the Member for having a different opinion.”

  16. But in fact ST Labor implemented the Pacific Solution and surprise surprise = the boats keep coming.

    After years of ranting that the PS worked and should be implemented all Abbott has is the one line slogan – “turn the boats back”. And despite the Navy and others advising that the Navy do not have enough personell or the right type of ships and that the turn back would be a breach of International Law and bordering on piracy, and a breach of Aust obligation under the UN Convention.

    Still those easily lead, unthinking, unable to absorb facts and hang their whole world on meaningless one line rants that in fact are lies, continue to cling to the deception as truth

  17. Fortunately there’s, in all likelihood, only another 14 days left of this Labor nonsense in the house. What’s Albanese going to do after Sep 14?

  18. AussieAchmed there is a big clear difference between Labors Pacific Solution and the Coalitions Pacific Solution.

    In Labors Pacific Solution 95% of Asylum Seekers are sent to the Australian mainland for processing.

    Under the Coalitions Pacific Solution 100% of Asylum Seekers were sent to Nauru or Manus Island.

    Labors Pacific Solution is as weak as a wet lettuce leaf, they’ve tried to be half-gutless and half-tough, but they’ve just come off as completely gutless in the eyes of the people smugglers and their potential customers.

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