GhostWhoVotes reports the Galaxy poll of 800 Queensland respondents which gave us state results on Saturday now brings us federal results, indicating a 59-41 Coalition lead in the state from a swing of about 4%. This compares with a 55-45 result in the last such poll in February, which seemed a little favourable to Labor at the time. On the primary vote, Labor is down five to 28% and the Coalition is steady on 46%.
There has also been Queensland state polling over the weekend from Galaxy and ReachTEL, which you can read all about here.
UPDATE: Essential Research has Labor down a point on the primary vote to 34%, with the Coalition and the Greens steady on 48% and 8%. Two-party preferred is unchanged at 55-45. Other questions find Joe Hockey leading Wayne Swan as more trusted to handle the economy 37-28, out from 35-32 before the budget; 43% believing Tony Abbott should accept the Gonski reforms against 34% who favour the existing model; 51% saying climate change is caused by humans against 35% opting for normal fluctuation; support on opposition for carbon pricing tied at 43% all, the most favourable result yet recorded; 39% favouring it against 29% for the Liberals’ “direct action” policy (at least with respect to the policies as described in the question); and only 26% believing Tony Abbott will fulfill his promise to remove both the mining and carbon taxes while keeping the carbon tax compensation measures.
The weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has Labor up 1.5% to 33.5%, the Coalition steady on 45.5% and the Greens down half a point to 9.5%. Both respondent allocated and previous election two-party preferred measures have shifted from 55-45 to 54.5-45.5, providing further evidence that Morgan’s new methodology has resolved the inexplicable discrepancy between these measures which bedevilled the old face-to-face series (as well as its Labor bias).
@Sean/1538
ITNews is not in the habbit of making positive news – especially for NBNCo Rollouts – they previously attacked the rollouts.
Now they are estimating that it will pass the new targets on either side of the targets.
—————————————
On that basis, at worst NBN Co’s rollout is to fall within its June targets (171,836 premises passed in a 155k-175k target range).
In a best case scenario, NBN Co could exceed the revised June target range by up to 13,000 premises passed.
Mick77
I have news for you. Israel is not a State full of divine beings. They are like all other people and governments and prone to all the good and bad that comes from the fact they are human.
Time for you to stop acting like the Israeli Government represents gods.
1107
Jackol
[C’mon people, can we stop falling for such obvious troll bait?]
+1
Hit ’em where it hurts.
Menzies House only pays per bait taken, not per bait laid.
If you don’t bite, the trolls don’t get paid, and have to go get a real job.
😉
[ Green supporters really do not want Abbott and not all of them understand preferential voting and so some will switch back to avoid what they think would be wasting their vote. ]
The Greens do not want to dirty their hands by actually voting. They prefer to be handed victory due to universal adulation of their ideological purity.
[1543
Mick77
Watermelon Fran, out of the closet again …]
iirc, Fran has never been in any closet, and has never just cloaked herself in anything…We are not on the same wavelength, but I would never accuse her of feigning her opinions.
Player One
[Fran, I think you are hands down the weirdest poster here on PB – and the competition is pretty stiff here sometimes!]
Yes, she’s disturbed by a few ALP policies so can’t give them her second preference, even though she has no compunction in supporting a bunch of Trotskyites and Maoists and fellow travellers in a Greek political party, whose every policy she obviously completely agrees with, by her own definition of her “principles”. And she teaches our kids, God help ’em. However if you think she’s weird, wait till you meet Deblonay.
Abbott’s motion.
https://twitter.com/IIreckon/status/339258700898369536/photo/1
Bushfire Bill
Essential has been delivering nonsensical and contradictory figures for a while now.
All the MSM carried breathless stories on Abbott’s move of No Confidence, in late March and on May 13. It led ABC bulletins. It was prominent on commercial TV, including SBS.
If it does not proceed,I look forward to equal coverage – including comment from Kelly,Oakes,Grattan,Coorey,Tingle.
If that does not happen – its says it all about the state of political journalism in this country.
1324
briefly
[Yup…a lot of self-admiration going on inside the Abbott skull…a lot of preening and grooming.]
Massive over compensation is the hallmark of the fragile narcissist.
Abbott is utterly terrified of losing. It would destroy him.
BB you have to look at each question in context because they are really distinctly different questions. In the first respondents are given the option of getting rid of two taxes yet keep the compensation. That option will certainly skew the responses. There was no mention of taxes in the second question whick creates a completely different mindset.
ru
Abbott’s motion. Hehehe
Every time anti-Labor trolls serve up their “Gillard lied” mantra, someone should post the Abbott quote “why not just do it with a simple tax?”
It’s just as relevant, but never quoted 🙁
1554
Complete rubbish.
I am a Green and I vote. I am nowhere near alone on that either.
You are thinking of that independent far leftist Joseph Toscano, and those like him (who are not Greens), who run for parliament but do not vote.
“@JaneCaro: #GOTparliament Nick Minchin is Tywin Lannister to the life, even though he’s left parliament.”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZZJXw4MTA
Guytaur 1552
I was making exactly the same point to Fran some pages back, that she doesn’t cite issues with the government or policies of Israel which would be 100% legitimate provided they’re specific and not just malevolent. Her issue is (the existence of) Israel. So Fran may enlighten us what other countries, apart from Israel, the Oz government shouldn’t support, whatever “support” in her lexicon means. No probs with Venezuela, North Korea, Syria, Iran, Iraq, Zimbabwe? Last time I checked we give tens of millions to Arabs and Arab countries but not a cent to Israel and I have no issue with that “support” even if it is p****d up against the wall.
Spot anything interesting in the AMR research snippet?
[KEY FINDINGS (AMR Research):
Once given basic information about the carbon price, only a third of people still wanted it repealed. The number in favour of the repeal was significantly lower among the one in five Australians who are unsure of their voting intention with only 19 per cent wanting the carbon price repealed. Conversely, support of the repeal is higher among the 38 per cent of Australians who would vote for the Liberal Party.]
“NBN are going to miss their end of June roll out target by a country mile and when they do I expect you to apologise to me when it happens.”
You expect Rabbott to win the Election, too, but he hasn’t won a bloody thing yet.
Nothing.
[The latest data, which covers the financial year 2011-12 shows the Liberal party well ahead in the money stakes, thanks largely to a huge donation from healthcare billionaire – and Australia’s 13th richest person – Paul Ramsay, who gave $615,000 ($515,000 from Paul Ramsay Holdings and $100,000 from Ramsay Health Care, of which he is the majority and controlling shareholder). The Liberals have a total of $5,623,809 recorded on the database – compared with $3,184,127 for Labor.]
http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2013/may/28/australia-political-donations-parties?CMP=twt_gu
Mick77
It is your assertion about Fran not recognising the State of Israel.
I have not seen Fran say that and am sure she will clarify.
For my part I have supported statements of a two state solution.
This includes the right of the State of Palestine having control of its borders and its own military.
Thus there is no legitimate reason for the Israel blockade as an example of where Israel has it wrong.
Posted @1570 before I made my comment.
If the healthcare billionaire is supporting Liberal, what is he expecting to get out of it… Doesn’t look good for Medibank, does it 🙁
Boerwar @1533 – WA Greens did so well on 9 March based on their . . . . .????
2 members out of 36 in Legislative Council – powerhouse politics at work.
[If the healthcare billionaire is supporting Liberal, what is he expecting to get out of it… ]
Looks like he is going to run the new Sunshine Coast PUBLIC Hospital and his private one next door.
[The flour milling and ethanol company Manildra is next, donating to all the biggest parties.]
I thought Dick Honan was a keen lib supporter
In case you missed it, I will refine it.
[ Conversely, support of the repeal is higher among the 38 per cent of Australians who would vote for the Liberal Party]
AMR puts Lib primary at 38%.
ru
Who is AMR?
ruawake
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 5:33 pm | PERMALINK
In case you missed it, I will refine it.
Conversely, support of the repeal is higher among the 38 per cent of Australians who would vote for the Liberal Party
AMR puts Lib primary at 38%.
—————————-
Landslide win for labor
I don’t want to get too precious about this, because I have dogs and cats as companions, but the following report is a worry.
http://www.theage.com.au/environment/whale-watch/endangered-whale-used-for-japan-dog-treats-20130528-2n989.html
Lizzie – as I recall, Ramsay Healthcare is in the forefront of the new favoured LNP health delivery model – public hospitals run by private companies. As I recall they have run Joondalup hospital in Perth for quite a while and are (I think) touted to be the ones in the running to build/operate the Northern Beaches replacement for the Manly hospital in NSW.
lizzie
Its not the fault of the cats and dogs that some Japanese humans feed them whale meat.
vic
http://www.amr-australia.com/
A market research company.
MB I think that 38% is only for the electorate of Lalor.
thanks ru
Will check it out
24 showing Huawei spokesperson talking about how important security measures are. 🙂
@drkerrynphelps: New poll: 65% of Australian voters support same-sex marriage.79% believe MPs should be allowed a conscience vote
http://t.co/1Y1Jrx86A5
Another Govt bill passes the Reps.
davidwh
Posted Tuesday, May 28, 2013 at 5:43 pm | PERMALINK
MB I think that 38% is only for the electorate of Lalor.
————–
You may be right , but it could be the same with news ltd polls where they only asked coalition electorate
then try to claim its Australia wide
the current pro coalition media polls unlike the real elections
do not say where the polling is conducted
MB the latest AMR national poll I could find was in March 2013 and they had the Coalition vote at 48%, Labor 33% and the 2PP result at 56/44. Stay positive.
[You expect Rabbott to win the Election, too, but he hasn’t won a bloody thing yet.
Nothing.]
Succinctly put, I thought.
He has won only polls. Not elections, not votes in the house. He has passed no legislation (despite larger numbers than Labor on the floor). He’s done nothing but have his photo taken at the four furlong mark, leading the race.
The finish line is further down the track.
davidwh
i think its more coalition 42% – labor 36%
the newsltd/Abbott coalition arent a happy looking bunch this close to the election if reality was the coalition was ahead easily
as news ltd media driven polls try to claim
There would be less propaganda and more spruikng how good the coalition policies are
none of that from pro coalition media
So the response varies depending on whether the word “Tax” is used?
Someone said that represented a “different mindset”.
Seem to me that anyone who couldn’t see that both are the same doesn’t have a mind.
Labor wil pick up ground , where its hard to see how the coalition is going to get 45% or over
A vote for Abbott is a vote for Pell!
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013/may/28/coalition-tax-school-ethics-classes?CMP=twt_gu
Abbott quotes
The government’s emissions trading scheme is the perfect political response to the public’s fears. It’s a plausible means to limit carbon emissions that doesn’t impose any obvious costs on voters.
I also think that if you want to put a price on carbon, why not just do it with a simple tax? Why not ask motorists to pay more, why not ask electricity consumers to pay more all taxes are burdensome, but it would certainly change the price of carbon, raise the price of carbon without increasing in any way the overall burden.
This Emissions Trading Scheme is almost impossible to understand. It involves some enormous offsets. It’s going to create business opportunities in a product that is not a real product.
Whyalla will be wiped off the map by Julia Gillard’s carbon tax. Whyalla risks becoming a ghost town, an economic wasteland, if this carbon tax goes ahead and that’s true not just of Whyalla, it’s also true of Port Pirie, it’s true of Gladstone, it’s true of communities in the Hunter Valley and the Illawarra in New South Wales, it’s true of Kwinana in Western Australia, it’s true of the La Trobe Valley, Portland, places like that in Victoria. There’s not a state and there’s hardly a region in this country that wouldn’t have major communities devastated by a carbon tax if this goes ahead…
This interview with the ABC’s Fran Kelly took place on November 24, 2009.
On 26 November, 2009, just two days later, Tony Abbott resigned from Malcolm Turnbulls cabinet in protest against Liberal Party Policy.
One week later, on 1 December, 2009, Tony Abbott challenged Malcolm Turnbull for the leadership of the Liberal Party and won.
The following are some quotes from this interview.
No, look, I am not challenging the leader. I can’t say whats going to happen tomorrow, but I am not challenging the leader. I want the leader to continue in his role.
…
You’re asking me…if you’re asking me do I never want to be the leader ever ever, look, of course, I want to serve the party and I’m not going to say never to these things, but, but, Malcolm Turnbull was elected as the leader about a year ago, we all expected him then to lead us to the election. I want that to happen.
…
I want, I want Malcolm to continue. He’s a good man and he’s doing a good job in difficult circumstances.
“The Government ought to be judged by how well it meets its legitimate objectives”
You be the Judge.
ALP achievements/bills since they came to office in 2007.
• NBN (the real one) – total cost $37.4b (Government contribution: $30.4b)
• BER 7,920 schools: 10,475 projects. (completed at less than 3% dissatisfaction rate)
• Gonski – Education funding reform
• NDIS/DisabilityCare
• MRRT & aligned PRRT
• Won seat at the UN
• Signed Kyoto
• Signatory to Bali Process & Regional Framework
• Eradicated WorkChoices
• Established Fair Work Australia
• Established Carbon Pricing/ETS (7% reduction in emissions since July last year)
• Established National Network of Reserves and Parks
• Created world’s largest Marine Park Network
• Introduced Reef Rescue Program
• National Apology
• Sorry to the Stolen Generation
• Increased Superannuation from 9 to 12%
• Changed 85 laws to remove discrimination against same sex couples
• Introduced National Plan to reduce violence against women and children
• Improvements to Sex Discrimination Act
• Introduced Plain packaging of cigarettes
• Legislated Equal pay (social & community workers up to 45% pay increases)
• Legislated Australia’s first Paid Parental Leave scheme
• Established $10b Renewable energy fund
• Legislated Murray/Darling Basin plan (the first in a hundred years of trying.)
• Increased Education funding by 50%
• Established direct electoral enrolment
• Created 190,000 more University places
• Achieved 1:1 ratio, computers for year 9-12 students
• Established My School
• Established National Curriculum
• Established NAPLAN
• Increased Health funding by 50%
• Legislated Aged care package
• Legislated Mental health package
• Legislated Dental Care package
• Created 90 Headspace sites
• Created Medicare Locals Program
• Created Aussie Jobs package
• Created Kick-Start Initiative (apprentices)
• Funded New Car plan (industry support)
• Created Infrastructure Australia
• Established Nation Building Program (350 major projects)
• Doubled Federal Roads budget ($36b) (7,000kms of roads)
• Rebuilding 1/3 of interstate rail freight network
• Committed more to urban passenger rail than any government since Federation
• Developed National Ports Strategy
• Developed National Land Freight Strategy
• Created the nations first ever Aviation White Paper
• Revitalized Australian Shipping
• Reduced transport regulators from 23 to 3 (saving $30b over 20years)
• Introduced NICS – infrastructure schedule
• Australia has moved from 20th in 2007 to 2nd on OECD infrastructure ranking
• Awarded International Infrastructure Minister of the Year (2012 Albanese)
• Awarded International Treasurer of the Year (2011 Swan)
• Introduced Anti-dumping and countervailing system reforms
• Legislated Household Assistance Package
• Introduced School Kids Bonus
• Increased Childcare rebate (to 50%)
• Allocated $6b to Social Housing (20,000 homes)
• Provided $5b to Support for Homelessness
• Established National Rental Affordability Scheme ($4.5b)
• Introduced Closing the Gap
• Supports Act of Recognition for constitutional change
• Provided the highest pension increase in 100 years
• Created 900,000 new jobs
• Established National Jobs Board
• Allocated $9b for skills and training over 5 years
• Established Enterprise Connect (small business)
• Appointed Australia’s first Small Business Commissioner
• Introduced immediate write-off of assets costing less than $6,500 for Sm/Bus
• Introduced $5,000 immediate write-off for Small Business vehicles over $6,500
• Introduced Small business $1m loss carryback for tax rebate from previous year
• Legislated Australian Consumer law
• Introduced a national levy to assist Queensland with reconstruction
• Standardized national definition of flood for Insurance purposes.
• Created Tourism 2020
• Completed Australia’s first feasibility study on high speed rail
• Established ESCAS (traceability and accountability in live animal exports)
• Established Royal Commission into Institutional Sexual Abuse
• Established National Crime Prevention Fund
• Lowered personal income taxes (Ave family now pays $3,500 less p.a. than 2007)
• Raised the tax-free threshold from $6,000 to $18,200
• Australia now the richest per capita nation on earth
• First time ever Australia has three triple A credit ratings from all three credit agencies
• Low inflation
• Lowest interest rates in 60 years (Ave mortgagee paying $5,000 less p.a. than 2007)
• Low unemployment
• Lowest debt to GDP in OECD
• Australian dollar is now fifth most traded in the world and IMF Reserve Currency
• One of the world’s best performing economies during and since the GFC
• Australia now highest ranked for low Sovereign Risk
• Overseen the largest fiscal tightening in nations history (4.4%)
• 21 years of continuous economic growth (trend running at around 3%pa)
• 11 years of continuous wages growth exceeding CPI
• Increasing Productivity
• Increasing Consumer Confidence
• Record foreign investment
• Historic levels of Chinese/Australian bilateral relations
• First female Prime Minister
• First female Governor General
• First female Attorney General
No doubt under instruction from Pell
The Coalition will oppose moves by Labor to grant secular ethics classes the same tax-deductible status as providers of religious scripture classes, but claims it is not doing so out of any religious or philosophical objection to the classes.
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/coalition-to-fight-taxdeductible-ethics-donations-20130528-2n9ap.html#ixzz2UZYymOdQ
Storing carbon dioxide in soil and plants will deliver less than five per cent of the emissions cuts assumed under the Coalition’s direct action climate change policy, according to government estimates, as Tony Abbott also confirmed in Parliament his belief in man-made climate change.
Climate change department officials told a Senate estimates hearing on Monday night that soil carbon and revegetation projects are currently expected to deliver just 3.7 million tonnes a year of emissions cuts by 2020.
Labor says these new estimates blow a hole in the Coalition’s direct action climate change policy, which suggested up to 85 million tonnes per year of carbon dioxide cuts could come from soil carbon projects alone by the end of the decade.
Australia will need to reduce its emissions by 160 million tonnes from 2000 levels to meet an unconditional, bipartisan target of a five per cent cut in greenhouse gases by 2020
Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/political-news/doubts-over-coalition-plan-to-cut-emissions-20130528-2n90i.html#ixzz2UZZPXZET
Guytaur
[.. no legitimate reason for the Israel blockade]
I’ll give you a dozen reasons on my return, starting with rockets, suicide bombers etc .. Aside from this Gaza’s brethren on the border (their Muslim Brotherhood brothers) have also locked up shop after they firstly opened the crossings because of terrorist activity from Gaza against Egyptians in Sinai. But again, debating a specific policy is legit, debating Israel’s existence is not and many of the so-called “solutions” to the Israel-Arab situation would spell the end of Israel. The 2-state solution is a good solution provided the Arabs drop their demand to make it 2 Arab states by flooding Israel with millions of Arabs. That element is conveniently overlooked by many. Be back around 10pm if you’re still here.