GhostWhoVotes tweets that Newspoll has the Coalition two-party vote up a point, putting their lead at 56-44. Primary votes are 31% for Labor (down one), 47% for Coalition (up one) and 10% for the Greens (steady). With both up two points, Tony Abbott’s lead over Julia Gillard as preferred prime minister shifts from 40-35 to 42-37. On personal ratings, Gillard is down a point on approval to 29% and up one on disapproval to 61%, with Tony Abbott steady on 36% and down two to 51%.
Also out today:
• Essential Research has the Coalition lead up from 55-45 to 56-44, from primary votes of 48% for the Coalition (steady), 33% for Labor (down one) and 9% for the Greens (steady). There are also numerous questions on national debt, led off by the finding that 48% are aware that Australia’s is relatively low compared to other countries against 25% who believe otherwise. However, 46% believe the main reason for Australia’s debt is that the “government are poor economic managers”, against 26% for the world economy and 17% for the high dollar. Same-sex marriage has been gauged for the second time in a fortnight, showing 58% support (up four on last time) and 32% opposition (down one).
• ReachTEL has conducted a national poll for the Seven Network with a big sample of 2856, which has the Coalition lead up from 57-43 in the April 12 poll to 58-42. The primary votes are 29.3% for Labor (down 2.0% on the April 12 result), 48.8% for the Coalition (down 1.3%) and 10.2% for the Greens. Questions on the NDIS find 52.6% supporting a Medicare levy raise to fund it against 33.6% opposed, but 41.2% saying the announcement has made them less likely to vote Labor against 26.3% more likely, which you may well find hard to square. Asked which of the two leaders respondents “trust most to deliver the National Disability Insurance Scheme successfully”, 57.3% opted for Tony Abbott and 42.7% for Julia Gillard (obviously after removing the undecided).
• The latest weekly Morgan multi-mode poll has moved in Labor’s favour, which is probably a correction after a Coalition blowout last time. Labor is up 1.5% on the primary vote to 32%, the Coalition down two to 46% and the Greens down 2.5% to 8.5%. The Coalition lead is 56-44 on both respondent-allocated and previous election preferences, down from 58-46 and 56.5-43.5 respectively.
[I was just going to say the Mid North Coast Poll Bludgers Get together is on again at Port Macquarie on 23rd May around 12.30pm, if anybody out there is interested in coming to the lovely mid north coast of NSW.Ask William for my email address, will be great company as usual, some new people are coming this time so don’t feel shy!! ]
I counsel against meeting at the all you can eat buffet on the second floor of the Port Macquarie Bowling Club opposite Town Beach.
Aha! Answer…
[The price will start at $23 per tonne on 1 July 2012. In each of the next two years, it will rise by 2.5 per cent in real terms, assuming inflation of 2.5 per cent a year, which is the mid-point of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s target range for inflation. The carbon price will be $24.15 per tonne in 2013-14 and $25.40 per tonne in 2014-15.]
So it’s a 2.5% in real terms, assuming inflation of 2.5%, for a total rise of 5% (or $1.15 per tonne).
William @1487
If you were referring to my request for Meguire Bob to resubmit his question I’m nit really sure what to say as I didn’t understand it.
If you are referring to @1475 – it wasn’t directed at Confessions – I agree with him – it was directed at the morons who think sending both PM and LOTO to those sort of things is a good idea.
Regards
Rummel @ 6:39 – if true, Abbott would certainly have said no. He doesn’t want the boats to stop before the election.
Sean
and 3% lower than you claim.
Sean it’s spin to put the best spin on an increase.
Wow look at the cloud mass across WA.
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=525193914188492&set=a.317777824930103.68104.269003509807535&type=1&theater
I agree Labor people shouldn’t be too gloomy. The loss in September is a necessity now, as painful as Abbott will be. The same leadership group cannot continue running the federal ALP. They are the cause of the position Abbott very fortunately finds himself in. They deliberately decided to lose, rather than cede power in favour of a change direction(whether via Rudd as leader or not).
Change the gloom into constructive anger at Conroy, Shorten, Gillard, Swan, Burke, Farrell, Feeney, the Ludwigs, O’Connor and work positively from now to see them out on their collective ear.
We need to see the deconstruction of Labor and a rebuild from the ground up.
From March 20 single pensioners will receive an extra $35.80 a fortnight, while couples will receive a combined increase of $54 a fortnight.
The increase applies to people receiving the age pension, disability pension and carer payment as well as veterans’ income support recipients
Thankfully we have a Govt who cares about pensioners and has increased pensions and veterans by a far greater amount than ever seen under Howard
[I agree with him]
You mean her. I am not a him.
confessions
[
Wow look at the cloud mass across WA.]
When the front went though Perth a friend had their fence blown down. Over the moon .Insured and wanted to replace the fence 🙂
Sean Tisme@1348
Wow!!!
You’re out by a whole $20 a year!!!
40 cents a week!!!
I’m starting up a charity trust to raise enough money ($20) so that Sean’s lifestyle isn’t disadvantaged.
Please give generously.
Apparently the real question being debated is whether or not there was a second sandwich. This is far more important than … well, anything.
poroti:
😆
So far nothing here. It was very windy this morning and we had some rain mid-morning, but now it’s blue skies and relatively cloud free.
Bizarre.
poroti
I once had a minor bingle and had to confess it to my husband.
He was very pleased with me; he thought the panels on that side of the car needed replacing!
howfastisthenbn.com.au author James Brotchie on ABC radio now: http://www.abc.net.au/brisbane/programs/webcam_radio.htm?ref=listenlive&src=internetradio
Sean Tisme
“Will people be compensated an additional 5% or are we to wear the cost?”
Will we have to wear the costs that will be passed to consumers as businesses pay for Abbott’s PPL?
Or will Abbott cut taxes to compensate the consumer?
[Wow!!!
You’re out by a whole $20 a year!!!
40 cents a week!!!]
I actually make $80K a year so i’m much worse off under the Carbon Tax than the example I gave.
My point was that singles on $50K a year are worse off under the Carbon Tax, not the spin of $80K which is for couples with kids.
[If you are referring to @1475 – it wasn’t directed at Confessions – I agree with him – it was directed at the morons who think sending both PM and LOTO to those sort of things is a good idea.]
Okay, I understand now. I had assumed it was a response to her dig at Abbott.
[Stephen Koukoulas
At a conference today: Chief economist from W’pac & CBA say economically responsible to allow budget to move to deficit]
The thing that pisses me off more than anything is the same people say the same things about how Abbott lies, makes mistakes and is going to lose and how Gillard is brilliant, wise, smart, tactically astute etc … over and over and over again.
I’ve been through the “Gillard worship phase”. I know why certain people think she can win. “She’s tough. She’s playing the long game. She’s making the right decisions on the economy. She’s philosophically correct. The Liberal Party’s platform is unsustainable etc etc etc”
What I figured out after a very, very long time is the Coalition have those bases covered and the data (voting intention, issues polling, perception of leaders, the economic battlefied and how that relates to people’s emotions) shows Gillard is well and truly gone.
Then there’s the business about Rudd. Surely by now people who support Gillard should realise that attacking Rudd hurts Gillard more than it hurts him. That’s a big clue I’m giving away because as someone who’s pro Rudd, I’d prefer people kept attacking him as it just makes him look better and better.
It happens over and over again! I keep coming back because I hope that I might make some sort of impact, but in reality it’s futile. Minds have been made up and most are simply beyond listening.
[lizzie
Posted Wednesday, May 8, 2013 at 7:06 pm | PERMALINK
Apparently the real question being debated is whether or not there was a second sandwich. This is far more important than … well, anything.]
What are they are teaching in schools these days? the angry left used to toss shoes not sandwich’s
Dan Gulberry
[I’m starting up a charity trust to raise enough money ($20) so that Sean’s lifestyle isn’t disadvantaged.
Please give generously.]
A worthy cause. those who habitabunt sub ponte need a lot of help
[It happens over and over again! I keep coming back because I hope that I might make some sort of impact, but in reality it’s futile. Minds have been made up and most are simply beyond listening.]
Vote ALP… because you just don’t get it, do you?
If not already posted. This is excellent.
http://howfastisthenbn.com.au/
[Mod Lib
Posted Wednesday, May 8, 2013 at 6:06 pm | Permalink
Hockey: “Another day, another broken promise”]
Dont worry ML. The alleged broken promises of this government will pale into insignificance when your mob finally has to do something other than sit back and criticise. They are past masters at lying and breaking promises.
Tisme
So Abbott will raise income tax by $7 billion, great election promise.
rummel…
So it’s no deal then…
Greg Combet for one, feels distressed, disgusted and sick, that he ever even gave the Greens more than a few seconds of the day.
How he now wishes that Labor had remained committed to the CPRS, that was agreed to by both the major parties.
Labor would have been in a position of strength on climate change – instead of facing defeat at the election.
Oh Combet now knows, keep away from the Greens, at all cost, they’re bad news!
[Oh Combet now knows, keep away from the Greens, at all cost, they’re bad news!]
I think it was 2007 I advised putting them last on the ballot paper. 🙂
Yes Lizzie
The sandwich thrown at the PM got real solid air time on channel 7.
Especially when Julia said the kid was being naughty. Riley chimed in with “but Gillard has been naughty to the voters with another election promise.
Then they ask, why are Labor struggling in the polls!
LOL it’s a sick joke!
rua
Well they read it second with me 😀
[What I figured out after a very, very long time is the Coalition have those bases covered]
I also figured out a long time ago that the constant whiteanting of the govt by the Member for Griffith and his followers was playing into the hands of the opposition.
How differently things might have been for Labor had R*dd behaved with maturity and dignity, as Baillieu and Mills have done, and accepted the will of his party colleagues.
zoomster
[He was very pleased with me; he thought the panels on that side of the car needed replacing!]
You have a very special husband there 🙂
What is unusual about kids throwing out their lunch of scabby sambos?
Not a thing mind you from channel 7, of the agreement between Gillard and Newman on the NDIS – not a word!
Shellbell Have taken what you say re PM bowling club buffet, into consideration sounds like you have had a bit of experience eating there 😀 we are eating fairly close to there though.
Ch10 news here emphasised the carbon ‘tax’ compensation rather than the sandwich, and showed the PM among throngs of schoolkids all wanting to shake her hand and have photos taken with her.
Showed an ashen and grey Joe Hockey (what has happened to Joe of late btw?) tut-tutting with the LOTO.
Broken promise? Like Howard’s ‘Never, ever GST’? The change to the tax threshold is in the next parliamentary term. More disinformation (no lets say ‘lies’) from the Opposition.
[Then there’s the business about Rudd. Surely by now people who support Gillard should realise that attacking Rudd hurts Gillard more than it hurts him. That’s a big clue I’m giving away because as someone who’s pro Rudd, I’d prefer people kept attacking him as it just makes him look better and better.
It happens over and over again! I keep coming back because I hope that I might make some sort of impact, but in reality it’s futile. Minds have been made up and most are simply beyond listening.]
Spur
What do you mean by “make some sort of impact”? Even if you managed to convince everyone on this blog that Gillard is the problem and Rudd is the answer it will have absolutely no impact at all in the real world. The leadership of the Labor party is not decided here – nor are its policies. We are all just interested bystanders.
If you are serious about making an impact you need to be talking to people with much more clout than we have.
[Opposition Leader Tony Abbott has responded to a Public Service Commission report, saying cuts to the public service would be done better and more effectively under a coalition government.
The latest Australian Public Service (APS) jobs snapshot by the Public Service Commission shows the sector shed almost 2,500 positions in 2012, the first time in a decade the bureaucracy has shrunk]
Pants on fire. 😛
International news.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/australiaandthepacific/australia/10043235/Vegemite-sandwich-thrown-at-Julia-Gillard.html
confessions:
Yes this media bias is just incredible, aint it? :devil:
Centre:
I didn’t see Ch10 report the Qld NDIS deal either. Odd given that it’s newsworthy here with WA the last remaining recalcitrant state on NDIS.
ruawake
[
What is unusual about kids throwing out their lunch of scabby sambos?]
At least it was a true blue cooee cobber maaaate vegemite sandwich 🙂 However according to a journo that was there. it actually landed at the feet of “Emmo” ?. Meanwhile
[But as she walked to her vehicle, the school kids kept coming with their scraps of paper, their phones and their smiles and Ms Gillard seemed to oblige when she could.
She was loaded into the car with a large group of students cheering her on.
As the door closed, some of those students got into a game of one-up-manship “I touched her toes!” “She touched me!”
And then she was gone, leaving just the school leaders, their blazers neatly pressed, looking slightly bemused.
“Woah,” one of them said.
“That was intense. But great!”]
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/opinion/political-news/was-it-sandwichgate-or-just-one-naughty-boy-20130508-2j7lp.html#ixzz2SgwpTbu1
Hockey looks terrible.
Has he got a terminal disease or something?
Constantly spinning Abbott lies is obviously bad for your health.
By the way, if Hockey has had some surgery to his stomach to lose weight, I’d suggest to readers DON’T DO IT.
You not only lose fat, you lose muscle at a greater rate (explains Hockey). How do I know?
A nurse I know told me 😈
From the sandwichgate article:
[There is no “-gate” here. Just a “historic” day for Queensland and some very excited disabled people, their families and carers seeing a light at the end of the tunnel.
But never mind that. Half a sandwich landed on the ground. Let’s all talk about that.]
Sums it all up with our media, doesn’t it?
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/opinion/political-news/was-it-sandwichgate-or-just-one-naughty-boy-20130508-2j7lp.html#ixzz2SgwpTbu1
[Centre
Posted Wednesday, May 8, 2013 at 7:31 pm | PERMALINK
……By the way, if Hockey has had some surgery to his stomach to lose weight, I’d suggest to readers DON’T DO IT.]
I’d suggest to readers DON’T TAKE MEDICAL ADVICE FROM CENTRE
Cambell Newman actually praised the PM for the proposal of the NDIS.
He also said that the medicare levy is the best way to fund it, and he fully supported it.
Can’t have that shown on TV now can we? For eff sakes, Labor might improve slightly in the polls.
[He also said that the medicare levy is the best way to fund it]
It was his idea…..and Gillard flatly rejected it (until she backflipped)